Deputy General Director
of the Russian Energy Agency
Kozhukhovskiy Igor Stepanovich
Baku, 18 October 2016
Russian Energy Agency
Overview of the Russian
Electric Power Sector
157,7
150,3
2014 2015
Maximum Load (GW)
240,3
243.2
2014 2015
Installed Capacity (GW) -7,4 (4,7%)
China
1040,4
1036.4
2014 2015
Electricity Consumption (TWh)
-4,0 (0,4%)
Key Indicators of the Russian
Electric Power Sector
2
+2,9 (1,2%)
Electricity
Production
in 2015
1049,9 TWh
5th in
the global
ranking
1 2 3 4 5
USA
India
Japan
Russia
Revenue – 3 trillion roubles (47,6 bln US$ )
и годовой максимум
201,4 204,6220,3
260,1
156,1
133,8151,1
191,2
1035
850
1010
1215
0
400
800
1200
1600
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
TWhGW
Installed Capacity Maximum Load Electricity Consumption
2015
1036
150.3
243.2
Installed capacity exceeded the level achieved in 1990 by 41,8 GW
Total annual hours of thermal plant’s operation
• 1990 г 5673 hours • 2015 год 4136 hours,
installed capacity utilization factor - 47,2%
+41,8 GW
2015 : Electricity consumption and maximum load are comparable to the levels reached in 1990
actual forecast
3
Installed capacity exceeded the level of maximum load in 1,29 times in 1990, and in 1,62 times – in 2015 (or by 93 GW)
Reasons for growing excess of generation capacity: • Drastic reduction of electricity consumption while maintaining the existed level of old generation
capacities during the period of economic decline in the 1990s • Changes in the structure of electricity consumption in the period of recovery economic growth • Low growth rate of electricity consumption, substantial increase in new generating capacities
commissioned under the concluded regulated capacity contracts, and lower decommissioning of old inefficient power plants during the post-reform period of 2005-2015
Trends in Electricity Demand and
Supply, Excess of Generation Capacity
4
Legal & Regulatory Basis
Federal Law №35-ФЗ «About Electric Power Sector»
Electricity & Capacity Markets Rules & Procedures
Tariffs Formation Rules (based on fair return of investments) in the Electric Power Sector
Laws & Regulations on: Energy Security Entrepreneurship Labor Competition Non-Discriminatory Network & Services Access Environmental Protection
Sector Specific Legal & Regulatory Basis
General Legal & Regulatory Basis
5
Structure of the Russian Electric
Power Sector
JSC «Federal Grid
Company»
JSC «МОЭCК»
JSC «Ленэнерго»
JSC «Янтарьэнерго»
JSC «Тюменьэнерго»
JSC «ТРК»
JSC «МРСК Волги»
JSC «МРСК Центра и Приволжья»
JSC «МРСК Юга»
JSC «МРСК Центра»
JSC «МРСК Урала»
JSC «МРСК Сибири»
JSC «МРСК Северо-Запада»
JSC «МРСК Северного Кавказа»
Power Delivery Infrastructures, System & Market Operators
JSC «Russian Electric Grids» JSC «System
Operator»
Partnership «Market
Council»
- Seller’s Chamber - Buyer’s Chamber - Expert’s Chamber - Infrastructural Organization’s Chamber:
- JSC “Financial Settlement Center” - JSC «Trade Administrator» - JSC «System Operator» - JSC «Federal Grid Company»
7 Uniform Dispatch Centers
50 Regional Dispatch Centers
Generation Companies LLC «Газпром энергохолдинг»
(JSC «Мосэнерго», JSC «МОЭК»,
JSC «ТГК-1» , JSC «ОГК-2») 38
GW
JSC«ИНТЕР
РАО» 22,9 GW
(18 TPP)
JSC«Фортум»
3,8 GW
(8 TPP)
JSC «Т Плюс»
16,2 GW
(62 TPP)
JSC«Юнипро»
4,7 GW
(5 TPP)
JSC «Энел ОГК-5»
9,7 GW
(4 TPP)
JSC «РусГидро»
(51 HPP, 3 PSPP,
3 GTPP) 38,5 GW
JSC «Квадра»
3,6 GW
(22 TPP)
JSC «ЭС
Востока»
9 GW
(40 TPP)
JSC«Сиб. ГК»
7,1 GW
(17 TPP)
JSC «ТГК-11»
1,5 GW
(6 TPP)
JSC«Кузбасэнерго»
2,5 GW (2 TPP)
Guaranteeing Suppliers, Non-regulated Supply Companies
& others
> 300 companies are participating in the wholesale&retail electricity markets (guaranteeing suppliers, non-
regulated supply companies)
JSC
«Росэнергоатом»
25,2 GW
(16 NPP)
Market Structure
European &
Ural Zone Siberian Zone
Arkh
ang
elsk
Kalinin-
grad
Komi Far
East
Non-Market
Zones
Market zone 2 Market zone 1
Balancing
Market
Capacity
Auction Bilateral
Capacity
Contracts Regulated
Capacity
Obligations
Day-ahead
Market
Capacity
Market
Wholesale
Market
6
Structure of the Electricity
Consumption in 2015
7
53%
2%1%
3%
8%
9%
14%
10%
добыча полезных ископаемых, обрабатывающие производства, производство и распределение электроэнергии, газа и воды
сельское хозяйство, охота и лесное хозяйство
строительство
оптовая и розничная торговля
транспорт и связь
другие виды экономической деятельности
городское и сельское население
потери в электросетях
Данные Росстата
By economic activities
78%
18%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Европейская часть + урал
Сибирь Дальний Восток
By regions of Russia
Since 2005 electricity consumption has increased by 12,1% and reached 1036,4 TWh in the
Russian Federation (source of data: Ministry of Energy of RF)
mining, manufacturing, production
and distribution of electricity,
gas and water
urban and rural population
other economic activities
Trasnsport and communication
wholesale and retail trade
construction
Agriculture
losses in electricity
European
part + Ural Siberia Far East
8
Structure of Electricity Production in 2015
Since 2005 electricity production has increased by 12,2% and reached 1049,9 TWh (source of data: Ministry
of Energy of RF)
65.13%
18.59%
16.19%
0.09%
ТЭС
АЭС
ГЭС
ВИЭ
Данные Минэнерго
Russian Federation
67.50%
24.63%
7.81% 0.06%
55.85%
0.00%
44.15%
0.00%
European zone + Ural Siberia
66.89%
0.45%
31.71%
0.95%
Far East
mining, manufacturing,
production
Thermal power plant
gas and water
Nucleare power
Hydro power
Renewable energy
9
Capacity Additions & Investments in
2011-2015
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011-2015
Total Capacity Additions 4,7 6,3 4,0 7,6 4,9 27,5
incl. added due to regulated capacity obligations (thermal PP) 3,9 3,6 1,9 4,9 2,9 17,2
New Capacity Additions in 2011-2015 GW
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011-2015
Largest Generation&Electric Network
Companies 893,4 851,3 867,0 807,7 646,5 4065,9
Largest Generation Companies 523,7 522,8 522,2 492,5 375,8 2437,0
incl. invested due to regulated
capacity obligations (thermal PP) 151,1 172,2 185,9 165,8 96,1 771,1
Investments in the Russian Electric Power Sector in 20112015 bln.₽
10
In 2013-2015, electricity price growth was rather even for all customer groups - 6-7% per year. The rate of growth was lower
the inflation rate (11% in 2014 , 13% in 2015 ).
Electricity prices in US cents are decreasing in the last years due to depreciation of the Russian currency against the U.S.
dollar.
High prices for non-industrial electricity customers and roughly equal prices for industrial and residential customers suggest that
residential electricity tariffs are still cross-subsidized. By assessments of Ministry of Energy of RF, the level of cross-
subsidization in the electric power sector was around 238 billion rubles. This problem is most acute in the regions of the
Russian Far East
2.47 2.64
2.80
2.04 2.17
2.32 2.29
2.47
2.60
3.05
3.26
3.48
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2013 2014 2015
₽/kWh
Все потребители Промышленность
Население (с НДС) Непром. потребители
7.8
6.9
4.6
6.4
5.7
3.8
7.2
6.5
4.3
9.6
8.5
5.7
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2013 2014 2015
US cents/kWh
Все потребители Промышленность
Население (с НДС) Непром. потребители non-industrial consumers
industry
Tariff dynamics
all consumers industry
non-industrial
consumers
population all consumers
population
11
Capacity additions and dismantling
capacity in 2016-2022
11
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2016-2022
Total Capacity Additions 5671,5 5994,0 4439,6 1713,6 565,0 2453,8 20837,5
Nuclear power 1195,4 2268,8 1195,4 1198,8 2453,8 8312,2
Hydro power 351,8 11,6 350,2 49,8 763,4
Pumped-storage hydroelectricity
140 420 420
980
Thermal power plant 3589,3 2948,6 2174 195 565 9471,9
Renewable energy 395 345 300 270 1310
Capacity additions in 2016-2022 (mW)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2016-2022
Total dismantling Capacity 1674,1 1383,0 1617,0 300 1000 1000 6974,1
Nuclear power 417
1000 1000 1000 3417
Thermal power plant 1257,1 1383 617 300
3557,1
Dismantling capacity in 2016-2022 гг. (mW)
Information presented on these schemes and development programs of the
Unified Energy System of Russia in the 2016 - 2022 years
New Trends and Proposed
Projects
• Grid development for power interchanges Russia-
Azerbaijan-Iran
• Development large wind park in Sakhalin Island for
supply electricity to Japan
• Development large wind park in the South of Siberia-the
North of Kazakhstan to supply electricity for the region of
«Silk Roads Project» implementation
• Pilot innovation projects – National technological initiative
«Energy Net»
• Implementation of the energy management systems and
informational systems in regions of Russia
12
Thank you for your attention!
13
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