@mnhealth #2016MNCHC

WELCOME!From Principle to Practice:

Walk the Talk for Health Equity

2016

Craig HelmstetterWilder Research

Community Health Conference, September 30, 2016

Minnesota’s Aging

Population

The collaborative of foundations behind Minnesota Compass…

Mardag Foundation

The McKnight Foundation

The Minneapolis Foundation

Northwest Minnesota Initiative Foundation

The Saint Paul Foundation

Wells Fargo Foundation Minnesota

Amherst H. Wilder Foundation

3M Foundation

Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota Foundation

Boston Scientific

Otto Bremer Trust

Bush Foundation

Greater Twin Cities United Way

Initiative Foundation

The Jay & Rose Phillips Family

Foundation of Minnesota

MNCompass.org

Which is the best metaphor for Aging in MN?

Which is the best metaphor for Aging in MN?

#1

#2

#3

270,000730,000

806,000

1,320,000

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

2070

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

Age 65+93% growth

2010-2035

Age 85+125%

growth 2020-2045

The population of what age group is growing most rapidly in Minnesota?

A) Children (age 0-17)

B) Working age adults (18-64)

C) Older Adults (65+)

D) None. All groups are shrinking.

QUIZ QUESTION #1

The population of what age group is growing most rapidly in Minnesota?

A) Children (age 0-17)

B) Working age adults (18-64)

C) Older Adults (65+)

D) None. All groups are shrinking.

QUIZ QUESTION #1

The population of what age group is projected to barely grow in the next quarter century?

A) Children (age 0-17)

B) Working age adults (18-64)

C) Older Adults (65+)

D) None. All groups will grow rapidly.

QUIZ QUESTION #2

The population of what age group is projected to barely grow in the next quarter century?

A) Children (age 0-17)

B) Working age adults (18-64)

C) Older Adults (65+)

D) None. All groups will grow rapidly.

QUIZ QUESTION #2

Minnesota’s population by age

Older adults (65+)

Working age (18-64)

Children (0-17)

Total population

64%

4%

3%

13%

47%

28%

10%

25% 1990-2015

2015-2040

GrowthToday (2015)

5.5 Million

1.3 Million

3.4 Million

806,000

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

Age 0- 4

Age 5-17

Age 65+

Minnesota’s population2020

Older Adults outnumber

school aged kids

2050Older Adults outnumberall children

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

Age 18-64

Age 65+

Minnesota’s population

Digital (age 0-19)

Millennial (age 19-35)

Generation X (age 36-51)

Baby Boom (age 52-70)

Silent (age 71-88)

Greatest (age 89+)

1,282,000(23%)

1,254,000(23%)

1,104,000(20%)

1,286,000(24%)

436,000(8%)

93,000(2%)

Minnesota’s population by generation

What generation are you in?

(Note: it is OK to lie in this case)

Digital (age 0-19)

Millennial (age 19-35)

Generation X (age 36-51)

Baby Boom (age 52-70)

Silent (age 71-88)

Greatest (age 89+)

1,282,000(23%)

1,254,000(23%)

1,104,000(20%)

1,286,000(24%)

436,000(8%)

93,000(2%)

Minnesota’s population by generation

Workforce shortage!

Loss of workplace leadership & expertise!

The “Silver Tsunami” =

The relationship between Health and Age is…

A) Linear

B) Curvilinear

C) Neither

QUIZ QUESTION #3

The relationship between Health and Age is…

A) Linear

B) Curvilinear

C) Neither

D) Honestly I’m not completely sure, but for many Health gets worse with Age

QUIZ QUESTION #3

20%

1%

65%

1%

Vision

Cognitive

Self care

Hearing

Independent living

Ambulatory

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

85+75-8465-7418-64

Disability by type by age, Minnesota 2014

More health difficulties for individuals!

More pressure on care givers!

More pressure on health care systems!

The “Silver Tsunami” =

Are you ready for some beautiful butterflies?

A) YesB) Yes pleaseC) YES!!!

QUIZ QUESTION #4

Some good news about aging in Minnesota

Among lowest disability rates nation-wide!

The prevalence of some health conditions may improve with age

Our nation has figured out how to provide at least some level of health insurance to older adults, even prior to Affordable Care Act

Age 65+

Under 18

18-64

Older adults will help address Minnesota’s projected workforce shortage

22% 27%Age 65-74Age 75+

Age 55-64

Age 25-44

Among the highest levels of civic engagement!

What sort of asset will older adult volunteers

be for Minnesota by 2040?

Aging is impacting all areas of our state

Where can we learn how to best address an aging population?

What have we learned?

Stay in touch…

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