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Mansoor Ahmed
Director (MENA Region) – Research & Advisory
Colliers International MENA
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World Changes Affecting
& Disrupting Real
Estate
3
Industry 4.0
Artificial Intelligence
Coworking
Air BNB
Changing Traditional Retail
The Digital Economy
Telemedicine
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Residential
Retail
Offices
Hospitality
Healthcare
Education
Logistics?
The Last Mile Logistic!
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Iconomy
6
71%Use mobile
in stores
60%Of all ecommerce
traffic is on a
mobile device
47%Make repeat purchase
through a marketplace
50%Make their first purchase
through a retailer
46%Prefer to buy in
a physical store
SHOPPER-
FIRST FACTS
82%Are willing to have their
product shipped to
home within 24 hours
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RussiaUSD 19 Billion
South KoreaUSD 69 Billion
GermanyUSD 77 Billion
FranceUSD 55 Billion
BrazilUSD 16 Billion
USAUSD 561 Billion
CanadaUSD 44 Billion
UKUSD 93 Billion
JapanUSD 87 Billion
ChinaUSD 740 Billion
Ecommerce Global Market Value
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USD 2.8 Trillion of e-commerce sales in 2018
20% CAGR between 2018 - 2021
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1.2 Million Sqft required for everyBillion Dollars Prologis
53% of delivery costs are in the “last mile” –
BI Business Intelligence Incider
The Truck Route – Already Well Established and Developed
So What About Cairo?
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Consolidation Hub
Micro – hub
Truck Route
Last Mile Route
The Opportunity?
Rapid Delivery Network Service Zone
New Real Estate Asset Class?
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Standby Couriers Pick up
(Centralized Hub)Drop Off
Home
Offices
Stores
Anywhere
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So why and where for
Greater Cairo?
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What Density Map Illustrates Cairo?
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What Density Map Illustrates Cairo?
Karachi50,084 ppl/km2
Shanghai77,726 ppl/km2
London18,769 ppl/km2
New York38,242 ppl/km2
Cairo153,606 ppl/km2
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How Big is the
Egyptian Market?
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20182021
USD 0.6 Billion
USD 1.0 Billion
16% CAGR
41%Internet
penetration rate
26%Smart Phone
Penetration rate
6%Credit Cards
Penetration rate
70%Of population are
below 35 years of
age
Online Sales in Egypt
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18.4%
8.2%
2.5%1.2%
0.4%
Online Retail As a Percentage of Total Retail Sales
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40 Million of
internet users in 2018
10% CAGR
53 Million of
internet users in 2021
41%
Internet Penetration in 2018
51%
Internet Penetration in 2021
8% CAGR
Internet Users In Egypt
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26 Million of smart
phone users in 2018
8% CAGR
33 Million of smart
phone users in 2021
26%
Smart Phone Penetration in 2018
31%
Smart Phone Penetration in 2021
6% CAGR
Smart Phone Users In Egypt
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24 million online buyer in 2018
5.8 million credit cards in 2017
72%Cash
22%Credit card
Preferred online payment method
6%Others (i.e. PayPal)
33 million in 2021
22 million in 2021
40% CAGR
10% CAGR
Online Buyers Payment Preferences
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2010
2011
2012
2017
2015
2018
2019
Online Shopping Evolution
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2010
2011
2012
2017
2015
2018
2019
Growth of Homegrown Logistics/ Couriers
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Sheikh Zayed
city
6th of October city
Pyramids Gardens
Kafr Ghatati
ShubraEl-Kheima
Boulaq
Imbaba
Kerdassa
Haram
Omrania
Monib
KafrTuhmous Giza
DokkiMohandesin
KitkatAgouza
RhodaManial
GardenCity
Zamalek
BoulaqAboul-Ela
Shubra
Faggala
Downtown
Old Cairo
IslamicCairo
Ein El-Sirah
Maadi
Turah
Masarra
Mukattam
Nasr City
Abbassia
Heliopolis
El-Quba
Zatoun(Zeitoun)
Al-Matariya
Marg
Ain Shams
Cairo International
Airport(CAI)
SheratonResidence
El-Hadba El-Wosta
New Cairo City
Obour City
New Heliopolis
Badr City
Shorouk City
Madinaty
Zahra’a Al-
Maadi
Low Density High Density
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Downtown
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
Population Density In Greater Cairo
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~ 45 mins driving time
~ 60 mins driving time
Downtown Cairo 5KM radius
Shopping Malls
Traffic Density In Greater Cairo
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Low Density High Density
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Downtown
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
Logistics Hub
Existing Locations In Greater Cairo
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Low Income High Income
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Downtown
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
Consumers'’ Affordability Levels In
Greater Cairo
Overlay Population Density with
Affordability Levels?
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Government / Embassies expected to
be relocated to New Administrative City
Low Density High Density
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
Downtown
So What Locations ?
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Low Density High Density
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
Downtown
The Mix & Match
Overlay Population Density with
Affordability Levels?
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Low Income High Income
6th of October city
New Cairo City
Downtown
Maadi
Shubra
Heliopolis
Nasr City
Giza
Shorouk
The Answer!
Opportunities for
Centralized Hubs?
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20% Non-Residential Land Allocation in New Cities
Opportunities Created Through Last Mile?
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20% Non-Residential Land Allocation in New Cities
Opportunities Created Through Last Mile?
Logistics Hubs
Self Pick Up and Drop Off
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Last Mile & Hub Logistics
The
New Generation of Asset Class
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Real Estate
Real Advisors
Real Advice
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