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Directot'ute el'I ntelligence
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Africa Review[
2I December 1990
APPROVED FOR RELEASBDATE: JUN 2006 Scerct-
ALA AR 90p.282l Dcccnhr 1990
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Mq} Paal i(/GADIE: WF tlitiury Comnutdcr
Kaganu wa born in 1957. Hc earned a B,A, from Kampala College in 1978. Uke
Relugce hoblcm Rclnging. . .
The invasion hss hcightened tension over thclongstending Tlrtsi rcfugcc issue, a kcy initant inRwandab rclations with is ncighbors and a security
and eonomic concern for $c region. Some 5m,m0mos0y Tirsi refugccs in the region cornpcto with host
counlry citizcns for scarcc rpsourccs and arc oftcn a
channol for unrcst across bordcrs. Thc invasion haltcd
implcmcntation by ttrc IJN High Commisioner on
Refugoos (uN}lCR) of a reseulcmcnt plan in Uganda
that imluded rcgisradon of refugecs for eitherrcpariuion b Rwurda or absorption into Uguda.Morcover, the conflict lus addcd to refugec popthtionsin tho rugion, prompting rcighboring heads of garc nthruatcn orpulsion to pre$urie Habyarimana tonegothtc. For example, Uganda said in Octobcr that itcan no longcr act as a "rofugce prisott" and that Rwanda
hu igmred 0re problem of exilod Rwandans wanting to
rctum homc for 30 ygars. Some l0,m new refugecs
hsve entcrri Uganda as a rosult of the conflict. Kenyan
President Moi spoke out against illegal alicns as a thrcatto Kcnyan sccurity and reluions with neighboring
counuies and threotened n expel thcrn all. Bunndi,dready host o some 250,000 Rwurdans, is strugglingto aopc with an influx of ncw rcfugees $at, whilcnurnbering only slightly over l,m0 so far, is morc tlran
iu limired facilities and supplies can hurdle.l-l
: . . And Rcgional Summitry Bogged Dorvn
Rcgionat ud intcrnational sfforts to resolve the refugecquestion have gaincd impctus as a result of thc fighting.Bclgium---sd latcr France-speuheadcd initidattcmpts to anange and rnonitor a ccaso-firc, mediatc
Etluic Tutsi Pavl Kagann's sclolarly and rcticcnt
an attenpl to
hstabilizc ttu Hutu.domirutcd Rwando
, lu joined Mweveni's gwrrillalorcg pl@
-lo ansune command ol the Rwondan rebel forccs
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I)irectorate oJ'I ntelligence
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}ucrntALA AR 90p.282l Deccnhr 1990
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Africa Review
2I December 1990
OJs66-/
PPROVED FOR RELEASEI-30-N ov-2011
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MqJ, Paul I(AGA}iE: RPF Miliury Comnuttder
Etluic Tutsi Paul Kaganu's scholarly ard rcticcnt monner belies his role as tlu keyopc?albral corunander of tlu RPF gurrillaforce. Rumored to be an architect ofthc Tutsi-lcd invasion launched by former colleagws lrom thc Ugandan Army,Kagame hars efectivcly adoptcd snull-scalc hit-and-run tactics in an attc,npl todcstabilizc thc Hutu.dominatcd Rwanda rcghne and gain political concessbns for
Relugcc Problcn Rcmrim . . ' havo cntcrcd Ugudr as a rcsult of rhc eonflict, KcnyanThc invrsion hss hoighloncd tcnsion ovcr lhc Prcsidcnt Moi spoke out agrinsr illcgql .licns.s a hrcatlongstandlng T[tsi rcfugcc issue, a tcy ininnt in lo Kcnyan rcuriry anrl rclarions with ncighboringRwandab rpladons with its ncighbon urd a soourity counuics Ed Urelrcncd n expel rhun Ai suru1oi,ad cconomb conccrn for rhc rcgion, Somc 50,00 alresdy ho$ to sornc 250,000 Rwandurs, is srugglingtnoctly Tiltsi tEfugccs in thc rcgion canpch with ho$ to copc wi0r an influx of ncw rcfugcs rhat, whficomtry citizcns lor scatcc rqioutccrs Itd ut oflon o numbcring only slightly over l,O0 so far, is morc d|8nchanncl for unra* rcross bordcrs. llc invasion halrcd is limircd facilitics and supptics csn hrndb.F--llmplcmcnlation by thc tJN High Canmisioncr onRcfugcs ([INHCR) of a rrrulcrncnt plrn in ugrnda . . . And Rcglonrl summltry Bogged l]orvnthat imluM roglsradon of rcfugccs for cither Rcgional ard inomationrl cfforts o resolvo lhe rufugecrcparladot o Rwrnda or abcorprion ino Uganda. qucstion hrvc grincd impdus as a rceult of 1rc fighti-ng.Morowr, thc conflict lue addcd to rcfugca populrtions Bctglun-{d latcr Francc-spcuhcadcd initialin 0u rcglon, pompting rnighboring hads of ilele !o atrcmpc to arangc and monioi a ccase-tirq mcdiaothrr.tcn oxpulsion to prasurc Hrbyuimura to ul*s bawcen Kigrti urd thc RpE an dornnizrc tncgotiaf. For cxamplc, Uganda Eaidi Ocroicfhsr i! rcsioml confcrcngc on refugecs, f---- ,
cur no longcr act as a "refugce prison" ild lhat Rwoda | | Froncc offcredEGil a ccasc.firc-
hu igmrcd 0rc poblcm of exilcd Rwandrnc wanting lorcturfl hornc for 30 ycars. Somc 10,ffi rrcw refugccs
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