Download - Issues on Transport Connectivity in Northeast Asia...2018/09/04 · Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia, All Rights Reserved Key Issues on Transport Connectivity in Northeast

Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia, All Rights Reserved

Key Issues on Transport Connectivity in Northeast Asia

新井洋史 Hirofumi Arai環⽇本海経済研究所(ERINA)

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111th GSDM Platform Seminar7th September 2018University of Tokyo


“Vision for NEA Transport Corridors” by ERINA

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ERINA・東京大学GSDM主催セミナー「北東アジアの経済統合に向けて」

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Two Layers in NEA Transport Structure

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• Between Asia and Europe

• “Trans‐Siberian Railways(TSR)” /“China‐Europe Railway Express”

Trans‐continental seamless

transportation

• Between “Inland NEA” and“Oceanic NEA”

• Sea‐land multimodal transport

Intra‐regional seamless

transportation


Target Segments of Logistics Services

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To Europe & Central Asia

Trans‐Eurasian Transit (SLB)

Intra‐Regional Transport

Trans‐Eurasian Transit (CLB)


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Land Transport vs. Marine Transport

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Shorter & Faster


Shipping Cost &Time from Wuhan to Hamburg

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Source: Tsuji (2016)

Mode Cost (USD/FEU) Time (Door‐to‐door)

Air 14,000~15,000 4~5 days

Rail 4,000~5,000 around 20 days

Truck+Sea > 4,000 40 days

River+Sea 2,000 51 days


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Market Segment for Eurasian Land Bridge (ELB)

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Air

Rail = ELB

（SLB&CLB）

Marine (Deep Sea)

High value, light cargo

Low value, heavy cargo 22 mil. TEU/y

1‐2 mil. TEU/y (?)

Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia, All Rights Reserved 8

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

東航（中国→EU）⻄航（EU→中国）

東航（中国→EU）⻄航（EU→中国）

Number of trains

Volume transported (TEU)

Number of Container Trains

Volume transported (TEU)

0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000

Eastbound (China to EU)

Westbound (EU to China)

Eastbound (China to EU)

Westbound (EU to China)

History of China‐Europe Railway Express（中欧班列）

Source: Eurasian Development Bank (2018) etc.


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“Eurasia Train Direct” service

• “Nippon Express,” one of the Largest forwarders in Japan, launched FCL transport service in 2015, then LCL in 2016.

• The company expand the area of service in September 2017.

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NE China Provinces’ “Silk Road” initiatives

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Jilin provinceHunchun ‐Zarubino ‐Busan

(From 2015)

Heilongjiang provinceSuifenhe ‐Vladivostok/Vostochny ‐Busan –Shanghai

(From 2016)

Growing, but still small amount of cargo.

ex. 9098TEU(1‐9, ‘17)


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Russia’s ITC “Primorye‐1” and “Primorye‐2”

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https://minvr.ru/activity/infrastrukturnoe‐razvitie‐regionov/


Non‐physical Infrastructure Matters

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Ultimate Customers

Primary Customers

Logistics Services

Transport Operation

Institution

Physical Infrastructure

• Consumers

• Producers

• Venders / Sales Agents

• Forwarders / 3PL Business

• Brokers

• Carriers

• Governments

• International Organizations

• Governments

• Public Enterprises


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Service Scheme of SLB & CLBTrans‐loading Low‐frequency

Trans‐loading Trans‐loading High‐frequency

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EuropeEurope

Russia

JapanROKJapanROK

PRCPRCMongolia C. Asia

Mongolia C. Asia


Container Transport between CHN and EU/RUS

2016, Thous. TEU

West Bound East Bound

ThroughDostyk(KAZ)

ThroughZabaikal’sk

(RUS)

Through Naushki(MON)

Others (incl. Grodekovo(RUS))

ThroughDostyk(KAZ)

ThroughZabaikal’sk

(RUS)

Through Naushki(MON)

Others (incl. Grodekovo(RUS))

CHN – EU 65 20 7 5 34 11 5 <1

CHN – RUS 5 50 <1 <1 0 17 <1 4

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Source: Eurasian Development Bank (2018) etc.


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