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Page 1: Hitachi Construction Machinery Mining Business Update · Hitachi Construction Machinery Mining Business Update ... Market Outlook on Mining Equipment ... trolley truck started test-run

1© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

Hitachi Construction MachineryHitachi Construction Machinery

Mining Business UpdateMining Business Update

Mitsuhiro TABEI, Vice President and Executive Officer

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2© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

Sales Outlook (Shovel/Truck/Parts/Service)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Parts & Service

RFT

Shovel

’12(E)’’1122((EE))

(Billion Yen)

125

150

207

69

56

82

68

137

70

Mining Operation Sales Outlook (consolidated basis)

¥75/$ ¥100/€ (~FY12 1Q)

¥78/$

¥100/€ (FY12 2Q~4Q)

’11’’1111’10’’1100

Expect

ed to

grow by

38%

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3© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

FY2010 FY2018(E)

Parts

(Mining)

EX

RFT

Mining Sales & Profit

(’18 consolidated basis)

With Hitachi hi-tech truck,

we plan to expand

our sales worldwide

◆Mining market is dominated by 4 major players

Long Term Plan (consolidated basis)

4 times(Billion Yen)

4 Major playersLIEBHERR KOMATSU

CAT

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Thermal coal price ◆Price of Thermal Coal

Price of thermal coal seems to hit the

bottom. It is still weak but there is a sign of

rebound.

Estimated cost of production by Australian

suppliers is approx. US$70-80 which is

squeezing their profit whereas the cost of

Colombian and S. African coal is around

US$50 which brings them reasonable profit.

Production cost of thermal coal by major suppliers

◆Outlook

Recent mass investments in suppliers made

the supply shortage situation to a balanced

situation. The balance may gradually start to

rebound to a shortage of supply in 2H 2013.

China has increased their purchase of coal by

9% on month to month basis due to coming

high winter season demand for energy.

Germany has emerged for burning coal due to

power price increase.

Source:World Bank

FOB

New Castle, Australia

Price & Outlook on Thermal Coal

07/8 08/8 09/8 10/8 11/8 12/8

Source: Daiwa Securities, estimate by Daiwa Securities

Peabody Energy (AU)

Xstrata (AU)

BHP Hunter Valley (AU)

Anglo American Coal (SA)

Xstrata Colombia

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12E '13E '14E

Others

India

China

EU 15

Taiwan

S.Korea

Japan

◆Increases in inventory may ease after Q2 2013The impact of shale gas made US suppliers to export and extensive

investments by global players also brought excess in supplies. A slow

down in Chinese economy eased the balance in demand & supply

in ’12.

However, Australian coal still has power to determine the coal price due

to its quality. Current price of US$90 is considered as bottom as their

production cost is in a range of US$70-80.

Chinese economy on the other hand seems to seek for a soft landing

but looking at the seriousness of electricity supply, coal demand would

naturally increase gradually

from Q2 2013

Source:TEX

report、AME

forecast by Daiwa Security

Thermal coal imports(seaborne coal)Actual Forecast

2.5%~5.0% growth

Thermal Coal Outlook(M. ton)

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6© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

0

100

200

300

400

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12E '13E '14E

Others

EU15

Ch ina

Ta iwan

Brazi l

I ndia

Korea

Japan

0

200

400

600

800

1, 000

1, 200

1, 400

1, 600

1, 800

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12E '13E '14E

Others

S.Korea

Brazi l

USA

EU 27

Japan

India

Ch ina

Coking Coal Outlook

Price of coking coal

Worldwide crude steel production

Actual Forecast

3.1%~3.7% growth

Coking coal imports(seaborne

coal)

Actual Forecast

2.4%~4.7% growth

Source:TEX

report, AME

forecast by Daiwa Security

(M. ton)(M.ton)

◆Outlook on coking coal

<Imports>

Expected to grow by 2.4% to 4.7% annually

<Crude Steel Production>Expected to grow by 3.1% to 3.7%

annually

<Coking Coal Price>Current trend is same as thermal coal and

expected to rebound after 2Q 2013

Source:TEX

report, AME

forecast by Daiwa Security

Source: AME, McCloskey estimate by Daiwa Securities

Premium Hard Coking Coal Price

Spot rate (FOB Australia)

Contract rate (FOB)

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7© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12(Rev) '13(F) '14(F) '15(F)

Market Outlook on Mining Equipment

(Units)

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2,100

2,400

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12(Rev) '13(F) '14(F) '15(F)

Demand of Excavators

(machine weight 120t

and above)

Demand of Rigid Frame Truck

(Payload 150t

and above)(Units)

◆Demand level of ’11 through ’13 seems to be almost same. Recovery will

start to take place after ’13/2H to ’14/1H, similar to excavator.

◆’12 demand may result in small increase over ’11 due to 1H gain. Recovery

will start to take place after ’13/2H to ’14/1H

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A Paradigm Shift in Major Mining Houses

BHP B

(Australia)

VALE

(Brazil)

Rio Tinto

(Australia)

Anglo American

(England)

XSTRATA

(Switzerland)

Major Accounts

KPC (Indonesia)

ADARO (Indonesia)

BUMA (Indonesia)

PAMA (Indonesia)

Adani

(Australia)

Coal India (India)Shenhua

(China)SUEK (Russia)Banpu

(Thailand)

Local Heroes

THIESS

(Indonesia/Australia)

LEIGHTON

(Australia)

PAMA

(Indonesia)

Contractors

大手の寡占化が進んだ

Regio

n C

ove

rage

Commodity Focus

Monopoly by

Major Accounts

2001 2011

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9© Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. 2012. All rights reserved.

◆EX2600-6/5600-6:Feb.2012 on SaleIncreased Bkt

Capacity, Enhanced Engine and pump

◆EH5000AC-3

:Sep 2012 Display@MinexpoProto type

Hitachi AC Drive,

3rd

Generation Hitachi Drive System

●Electric Shovels

◆Line-up of EX-6 Electric ModelsEX2600~8000-6E:2012

Full Line-upEX1900-6E:2013 end

●(RFT)Trolley Trucks

◆EH3500ACII

Trolley:Started Operation Mar

2012

●EX8000 BH type

◆EX8000-6 Line-up of BH front :2012 end

EH3500ACII(190t)

Aug.’08 on Sale

Line-up of Hitachi AC Drive Trucks●New products

Introduction of New Products/Technologies(Differentiation)

EH4000ACII(240t)

Nov.’10 on Sale

EH5000AC-3(290t)

Jun’12 EXW

Evolution to AC-3 Models

FY’12 FY’13

EX1900-6E △

EX2600-6E EXW▲

EX3600-6E On Sale

EX5600-6E ▲

EX8000-6E ▲

Line-up of Electric Shovels

EH3500ACII Trolley Truck started operation in FQM, Zambia

*First Hitachi Trolley Truck24 units ordered

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New Products / New TechnologyNew Products / New Technology

Mining Trucks

• Trolley Assist

• New Hitachi Drive Control System

SkyAngle

(viewing monitor)

Autonomous Trucks

Remote Control ~

Autonomous Excavators

Introduction of New Products/Technologies ②

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TROLLEY ASSIST PROGRAM

First EH3500ACII

trolley truck started test-run in March

2012

in Zambia, and released in July 2012

Trolley Assist – Operation Video

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SkyAngle

(viewing monitor)①

• Jointly developed by HCM & Clarion Co. Ltd.

in Hitachi group

• Monitoring system to support and enhance

operator safety checks surrounding machinery

• Released in October 2012 on dump trucks

as

an optional,

and plans to release on ultra large

hydraulic excavators

on 2013

4 x Camera Mounting Positions

21

3 4

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Camera Monitor

Screen Changeover

Switch.

Five

viewing angles

on Neutral

or

Forward,

and Four viewing angles

on Reverse are selectable

by the

Screen Changeover Switch.

SkyAngle

(viewing monitor)②

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Autonomous Dump Truck System Overview

Autonomous Haulage Project◆Technology transfer to manned trucks for enhancement in;

-

Safety, Efficiency, Productivity

◆Field test from 2013

◆Fully Autonomous Operation by 2017

◆Using latest technology for pragmatic and efficient development

◆Synergy among Hitachi Group Companies

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The EndHitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.Mining Operations Group