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VISIONS FOR THE SMART GRID PANELVISIONS FOR THE SMART GRID PANELAndrew Tang, Senior Director,Andrew Tang, Senior Director,
Smart Energy Web, PG&ESmart Energy Web, PG&E
PhilipPhilip MezeyMezey, SVP & COO,, SVP & COO,
ItronItron North AmericaNorth America
DavidDavid PacynaPacyna, SVP & GM, NAFTA, SVP & GM, NAFTA
Transmission & Distribution,Transmission & Distribution,
Siemens EnergySiemens Energy
Sharon Allan, Senior Executive, NorthSharon Allan, Senior Executive, NorthAmerican Smart Grid Practice, AccentureAmerican Smart Grid Practice, Accenture
HOST: Matt MarshallHOST: Matt Marshall
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3
GreenGreenBeatBeat 20092009
SmartGridSmartGrid Vision for 2015Vision for 2015
Andrew TangSenior Director
Smart Energy Web
November 19, 2009
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Challenge: Peakiness of Demand
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500
MW
Last 25% of capacityneeded less than10% of the time
Last 5% (2,500 MW)needed less than 50
hours per year
Annual Generation Utilization
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Challenge: Integrating Projected Generation Mix
Nuclear
LargeHydro
Coal
Renewable
NaturalGas
Other
2009 2020
Nuclear
LargeHydro
Renewable*
NaturalGas
Other*With 33% RPS
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Challenge: Distributed Generation
40% of US solar PV interconnections are in PG&Es service territory
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PV Solar Is Concentrated
596 citiesAverage = 57
Median = 12
Mode (86 cities) = 1
Top 20 cities = 38% of total
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Challenge: Electric Vehicle Growth
Average (532)
Low (219)
HEV Historical
Cumulative PG&E Service Territory PEVMarket Adoption Scenarios
High (845)
ThousandsofE
Vs
* Shifted 10 years forward
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Fresno CA:
New registrations: 83K
HEV registrations: 2K
2.4% new registrationsHEVs
HEV zip code median: 11
HEV density: A Tale of Two Cities
= 25 HEVs
Source: Polk & Company, DMV new carregistrations.
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Berkeley CA:
New registrations: 14K
HEV registrations: 2.5K
18% new registrationsHEVs
HEV zip code median: 212
= 25 HEVs
Source: Polk & Company, DMV new car
registrations.
HEV density: A Tale of Two Cities
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PEV Charging Creates A Significant Increase In Load
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0
BEV @ 240V/30A
San Ramon
Rocklin
Fresno
Vacaville
Berkeley
San Francisco
kW
Customers will prefer a240V charge to shorten
recharge times
PEV charging is a large load for PG&Ecustomers, comparable to average peak
summer load of a single home
Source: http://www.nissanusa.com/leaf-electric-car/#/charging, August 14, 2009
240V/30A
4 hours
240V/15A
8 hours
120V/12A
Rate of charge
BEVRechargetime 16 hours
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Four ChallengesPeakiness in the absence of Time Shifting Aggressive additions to Intermittent Renewables
Local Concentrations of EVsLocal Concentrations of DG
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Smart Grid Vision 2015
Power
Plants
Transmission
Networks
Substations Distribution
Networks
Consumers
Overlay with intelligence and automation
Sense Communicate Compute Control
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Challenges On The Horizon
Policy
Technology
Consumer Adoption
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2009, Itron Inc.
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2009, Itron Inc.
The smart grid is about more
than just communications,
technology and energy
systems allowing us to secure
our future. Its about acultural transformation for
the utility industry and all
consumers of energy.
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2009, Itron Inc.
Building the smart grid may
take a lifetime. But aspects of
it are here today and it is
developing rapidly. To be
successful, we need aninfrastructure designed to
evolve and interoperate.
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2009, Itron Inc.
Is it too obvious a thought
that we need to protect the
worlds energy and water
supply? Evidently not. Its
time to get real about thelevel of security needed to
secure our energy
infrastructure.
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2009, Itron Inc.
Too many discussions about
the smart grid are framed
with only the worlds largest
utilities in mind. The key
players of course have a bigstake in the grids future, but
all utilities need to be able to
access the grid and use it in
ways that meet their unique
objectives.
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2009, Itron Inc.
Advanced metering is the
technology around which the
smart grid is built. Why?
Because it acts as the smart
grids nervous system,flowing with information and
commands. Because it
provides the necessary
ongoing measurement for
the grids networks,
technologies and other
applications. Because it
becomes the framework for a
multi-application network.
And most importantly,
because it is here today.
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2009, Itron Inc.
Utilities, regulators,
consumers and others are
tired of excessive hype
around the smart grid. We
are too.
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2009, Itron Inc.
For some time, the
definitions of open and
standards have been
debated, misunderstood and
often misrepresented.
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2009, Itron Inc.
The smart grid is creating
new ways to understand
energy use and behaviors.
With this comes the
development of new rolesfrom the utility executive to
the end use customer. But
what does this all mean?
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2009, Itron Inc.
Sometimes patches can be a
good thing: A mended hole in
a garment. A bandage that
helps a wound heal. A piece
of tape on an exposed wire inyour kitchen until the
electrician shows up. By
definition, a patch is a
temporary fix, a short-term
solution. But imagine an
energy grid where functions
along the network are
patched together and
incompatible. That wont
work.
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2009, Itron Inc.
If theres one thing that 30
years of experience driving
innovation for utilities has
taught us, its that our
complex industry is biggerthan any one company. We
have to work together.
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November 2009 2009 Siemens Energy, Inc. All rights reserved
Smart Grid in 2015..
Becoming Grid As Usual
Demand Response and RPS Targets Part of Every Utilitys Strategy
Decoupling, TOU Rates, and other Innovative Measures Create NewParadigm for Economic Structure of the Industry
Nationwide Transmission Superhighway.Under Construction!
eMobilityGaining Speed
Storage, Fast Charging for eCars, Self Healing NetworksSettingthe Technology Pace
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SHARON ALLENSHARON ALLEN
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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved.
Visions of the Smart Grid2015
Sharon Allan
Partner, Accenture
NA Smart Grid Services
32
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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 33
Smart Grid 2015: Transformation Connections
More Renewable and DistributedResources Wind: From a fraction of a percent 5
years ago to 3% by 2015 Solar Photovoltaics: From a fraction
of a percent 5 years ago to 1.5% by2015
MicroGrids
Integrated Visualization, Analytics,& Control
Smart Meters utilized for more thangenerating a monthly bill From less than 1 million 5 years ago
to over 57M in 2015 (NA)
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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 34
Smart Grid 2015: Digitizing and Connecting
Electrification (EV/PHEV and Boats)
From virtually none 5 years ago to
projections of 1.7M Worldwide President Obama wants 1.5M by
2015
V2G limited will likely occur
beyond 2015
More Consumer/Businessofferings
Value to Customer
More accessible information
Smart Grid 2015 Not just Technology but part of
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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved.
Smart Grid 2015: Not just Technology but part ofSocial Norms
35
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Copyright 2009 Accenture All Rights Reserved.
Sharon Allan
Partner, Accenture
NA Smart Grid Services
36
Sources:1.Pike Research Forecast2.Montreal PHEV World 2009
3.IEA report, Transport, Energy&CO2: Moving Toward Sustainability (2009)4. "EPRI Joins Ford-SCE Analysis of Plug-In Hybrids on Grid," Targeted News Service, 27 March 2008, viaFactiva, Copyright 2008, Targeted News Service.
5. "PSA Peugeot Citron's EV Strategy Shifts into High Gear," Business Wire Regulatory Disclosure, 5 March2009, via Factiva, 2009, Business Wire.
6. Masia, Seth, comment on "EV Batteries: An Investor's Take," Solor Today Blog, comment posted March 29,2009, http://ases.org/index.php?option=com_myblog&show=EV-batteries-An-investors-take.html&Itemid=27 .
7. International Energy Agencys World Energy Outlook 2009