Consider this…Consider this…
40 years ago you could notbuy a Currency Futures Contract
20 years ago CollateralizedDebt Obligations did not exist.
20 years ago CollateralizedDebt Obligations did not exist.
2 years ago Subprime could bespoken about on Wall Street
Things change.Things change.
Fundamentals
#1 Failing
serious panic.Economic data causes
Equities drop to zero.
Equities drop to zero.
Communication is global and
extremely fast.
#2 Growing complexity
Individual investors
are trading online.
Information Overload
#3 Disappearing Borders#3 Disappearing Borders
Source: IMF
Global EconomicOutput in 2000
37%
Source: IMF
Global EconomicOutput Today
45%
Emerging markets havehad a growth explosion.
Commodity markets are exploding.Commodity markets are exploding.
#4 Greater Transparency
Better software can helpinvestors visualise risk.
Harry Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory
Banks are scared as they hold many custom over-the-counter assets.Banks are scared as they hold many custom over-the-counter assets.
Don’t look to regulatorsDon’t look to regulators
New financial products will be less arcane.
#5 Lack of Education
People think options are risky.People think options are risky.
Managed futures are almost unknown.
CISDM CTA Index
53%
Correlation is -0.08 to MSCI WorldCorrelation is -0.08 to MSCI World
MSCI World Index
42%
Individual investors will be capable ofmanaging their own affairs.
Death of the Mutual FundDeath of the Mutual Fund
Mindset is70% of success.
Mindset is70% of success.
Investment ManagementManaged AccountsMarket Neutral Specialists
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