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    Chapter 10Managing Transaction Exposure

    to Currency Risk

    Learning objectives

    Transaction exposure An example

    Internal hedges Multinational netting and leading/lagging

    Financial market (external) hedges Currency forwards, futures, options, swaps,

    and money market hedges

    Treasury management best practices

    Butler, Multinational Finance, 4e

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    Exposures to currency risk

    Change in firm value due to unexpectedchanges in foreign exchange rates

    - Transaction exposure change in the value of contractual cash flows arising from

    the firms monetary assets and liabilities

    - Operating exposure change in the value of noncontractual cash flows arising

    from the firms real assets

    Realassets

    Monetaryassets

    Commonequity

    Monetaryliabilities

    Transaction exposure

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    A forward currency hedge

    Underlying pound exposure

    Short forward position

    Net position

    Net exposureDV$/

    DS$/

    shortpound

    +1,000,000

    -1,000,000

    +$1,500,000

    +$1,500,000

    longpound

    Transaction exposure

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    Managing transaction exposure

    Managing transaction exposure internally

    - multinational netting (currency diversification)

    - leading and lagging

    Managing transaction exposure in the financialmarkets

    - currency forwards

    -

    money market hedges- futures

    - options

    - swaps

    Transaction exposure

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    Multinational netting

    Germansubsidiary

    U.S.subsidiary

    U.K.parent

    100m

    Cross rates 1.5000/$1.2500/

    $0.8333/

    200m$75m

    $125m

    150m

    60m

    Internal hedges: Multinational netting

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    Cash flows before netting

    Germansubsidiary

    U.S.subsidiary

    U.K.parent

    100m200m60m

    100m

    100m

    40m

    Internal hedges: Multinational netting

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    Cash flows after netting

    Germansubsidiary

    U.S.subsidiary

    U.K.parent

    60m 140m

    Internal hedges: Multinational netting

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    Leading and lagging

    Leading and lagging refers to altering thetiming of cash flows within the firm to offsetforeign exchange exposures

    For example:

    - Leading - If a parent firm is short euros, itcan accelerate euro payments from itssubsidiaries

    -Lagging - If a parent firm is long euros, itcan delay euro payments from itssubsidiaries

    Internal hedges: Leading and lagging

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    Leading and laggingUnderlying cash flows

    Leading

    Lagging

    -10 million

    +7.5 million+7.5 million +7.5 million

    -10 million -10 million

    Jan Feb Mar Apr JuneMay July Aug

    Internal hedges: Leading and lagging

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    Currency forward contracts

    Advantages

    - Forwards can provide a perfect hedge oftransactions of known size and timing

    Disadvantages

    - Bid-ask spreads can be large on smalltransactions, long-dated contracts, or

    infrequently traded currencies- Forwards are a pure credit instrument, so

    forward contracts have credit risk

    External hedges: Forwards

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    Currency futures contracts

    The futures contract solution to the defaultrisk of forward contracts

    -An exchange clearinghouse takes one side ofevery transaction

    - Futures contracts are marked-to-market on a dailybasis

    -Initial and maintenance margins are required onfutures contracts

    External hedges: Futures

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    FX forwards versus futures contracts

    Forwards Futures

    Counterparty Bank Futures exchange

    clearinghouse

    Maturity Negotiated Standardized

    Amount Negotiated Standardized

    Fees Bid-ask Commissions

    Collateral Negotiated Margin account

    External hedges: Futures

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    Currency futures contracts

    Advantages

    - Low cost if the size, currency and maturity matchthe underlying exposure

    -

    Low credit risk with daily marking-to-market

    Disadvantages- Costs increase with transaction size

    - Exchange-traded futures come in limitedcurrencies and maturities

    - Daily marking-to-market can cause a cash flowmismatch

    External hedges: Futures

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    Money market hedges

    Advantages

    - Synthetic forward positions can be built incurrencies for which there are no forward

    currency markets

    Disadvantages

    - Relatively expensive hedge

    -

    Might not be feasible if there areconstraints on borrowing or lending

    External hedges: Money market hedges

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    Currency option hedges

    Advantages

    - Disaster hedge insures againstunfavorable currency movements

    Disadvantages

    - Option premiums reflect option values, sooption hedges can be expensive involatile currencies and at distantexpiration dates

    External hedges: Options

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    A pound call is an option to buy pounds- the option holder gains if pound sterling rises

    - the option holder does not lose if pound falls

    Long pound callan option to buypounds sterlingat a contractual

    exercise price

    S$/

    V$/

    Option premium = $0.30/

    Exerciseprice

    $1.50/

    -$0.30/

    External hedges: Options

    A currency call option

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    A call option hedge

    S$/

    V$/

    $1.50/

    -$1.50/

    Short exposure

    External hedges: Options

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    A call option hedge

    S$/

    V$/ Call option hedge

    -$0.30/

    $1.50/

    -$1.50/

    Short exposure

    External hedges: Options

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    A call option hedge

    S$/

    V$/ Call option hedge

    Optionhedged position

    -$0.30/

    $1.50/

    -$1.50/

    -$1.80/

    Short exposure

    External hedges: Options

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    A pound put is an option to sell pounds- the option holder gains if pound sterling falls

    - the option holder does not lose if pound rises

    Long pound putan option to sellpounds sterlingat a contractual

    exercise price

    S$/

    V$/

    Option premium = $0.30/

    Exerciseprice

    $1.50/

    -$0.30/

    External hedges: Options

    A currency put option

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    A put option hedge

    S$/

    V$/

    Long exposure

    +$1.50/

    $1.50/

    External hedges: Options

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    A put option hedge

    S$/

    V$/

    Put option hedge

    Long exposure

    -$0.30/

    +$1.50/

    +$1.20/

    $1.50/

    External hedges: Options

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    A put option hedge

    S$/

    V$/

    Put option hedge

    Long exposure

    Optionhedged position

    -$0.30/

    +$1.50/

    +$1.20/

    $1.50/

    External hedges: Options

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    Currency swapsIll pay yours if you pay mine

    Currency swap

    - An agreement to exchange a principal

    amount of two currencies and, after a pre-arranged length of time, re-exchange theoriginal principal

    -

    Interest payments are also usuallyswapped during the life of the contract

    External hedges: Swaps

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    Currency swap contracts

    Advantages

    - Quickly transforms the firms liabilities into othercurrencies or payout structures

    - Low cost for plain vanilla swaps in actively traded

    currencies- Swaps can be used to to hedge long-term

    exposures

    Disadvantages- Not the best choice for near-term exposures

    - Innovative or exotic swaps can be expensive

    External hedges: Swaps

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    Financial market hedges

    Vehicles Advantages Disadvantages

    Forward Exact hedge; Large bid-ask spreads onSmall bid-ask spread small or long-dated deals &

    for large deals thinly traded currencies

    Future Low cost for small Only a few currencies &

    deals; low risk maturities; mark-to-market

    with mark-to-market can cause a CF mismatch

    Money market Synthetic forward Relatively expensive; not

    hedge always possible

    Swap Quick & low-cost Innovative swaps costly;

    switch of payoff may not be best for

    structures near-term exposures

    Option Disaster hedge Option premiums

    provides insurance can be expensive

    External hedges

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    10%

    51%

    10%

    49%

    6%

    26%

    Alter the size ofa hedge

    Alter the timingof a hedge

    Actively takepositions

    Sometimes

    Frequently

    Active management of fx risk

    Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey of Derivatives

    Usage by U.S. Non-Financial Firms, Financial Management(1998).

    Financial management

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    42%

    24%

    17% 17%

    Beginning-of-

    period forward

    rates

    Beginning-of-

    period spot

    rates

    Baseline

    percent

    hedged

    strategy

    Other

    benchmark

    Risk management benchmarks

    Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey.

    Financial management

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    40%

    21% 22%18%

    Reduced

    volatility

    relative to a

    benchmark

    Risk-adjusted

    performance

    Absolute profit

    or loss

    Increased

    profit relative

    to a

    benchmark

    Performance evaluation

    Bodnar, Hayt, and Marston, 1998 Wharton Survey.

    Financial management

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    Active treasuries

    Tend to be large firms with centralized riskmanagement

    Use sophisticated valuation methodologiessuch as value-at-risk for managing theirexposures

    Frequently mark their derivatives positions to

    market

    Gczy, Minton, and Schrand, Taking a View: Corporate Speculation,Governance, and Compensation Journal of Finance(2007)

    Financial management

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    Active treasuriesmanage their managers

    Managers actions are closely monitored

    Firms use compensation contracts to align

    managers objectives with those of otherstakeholders

    Firms use derivatives-specific controls such asperformance benchmarks to manage potential

    abuses

    Gczy, Minton, and Schrand, Taking a View

    Financial management

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    Corporate use of derivatives

    Used TotalType of product often usage

    Currency forwards 72.3% 93.1%

    Currency swaps 16.4 52.6

    OTC currency options 18.8 48.8Cylinder options 7.0 28.7

    Synthetic forwards 3.0 22.0

    Currency futures 4.1 20.1

    Exchange-traded (spot) options 3.6 17.3Exchange-traded futures options 1.8 8.9

    Jesswein, Kwok & Folks, What New Currency Risk Products AreCompanies Using and Why? Journal of Applied CorporateFinance(1995)

    Fi i l t