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x y X2 Y2 XY PRONOSTI Y-Y4 134 16 17956 536 137.17142857143 -3.17142857142856 145 36 21025 870 140.41978021978 4.58021978021988 142 64 20164 1136 143.66813186813 -1.6681318681319

10 149 100 22201 1490 146.91648351648 2.083516483516512 144 144 20736 1728 150.16483516484 -6.164835164835214 160 196 25600 2240 153.41318681319 6.586813186813216 156 256 24336 2496 156.66153846154 -0.661538461538418 157 324 24649 2826 159.90989010989 -2.909890109890120 168 400 28224 3360 163.15824175824 4.841758241758322 166 484 27556 3652 166.40659340659 -0.406593406593424 167 576 27889 4008 169.65494505495 -2.65494505494526 171 676 29241 4446 172.9032967033 -1.903296703296728 174 784 30276 4872 176.15164835165 -2.151648351648330 183 900 33489 5490 179.4 3.6

238 2216 4956 353342 39150 2216 2.2737367544E-13

(Y-Y)2 Resumen10.05795918367320.978413235117 Estadísticas de la regresión2.7826639294771 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.9644323176824834.3410409370849 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.93012969539040638.005192609588 R^2 ajustado 0.92430717000627343.386107957976 Error típico 3.876481165581260.4376331360946 Observaciones 148.467460451636123.442622871634 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA0.1653181982852 Grados de libertad7.0487332447772 Regresión 1

3.62253834078 Residuos 124.629590629151 Total 13

12.96180.32527472528 Coeficientes

Intercepción 130.674725274725x 1.62417582417582

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico t1 137.1714285714292 140.419780219783 143.6681318681324 146.9164835164845 150.1648351648356 153.4131868131877 156.6615384615388 159.909890109899 163.158241758242

10 166.40659340659311 169.65494505494512 172.90329670329713 176.15164835164814 179.4

2216.000

Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F2400.53186813187 2400.53186813187 159.74678237129180.325274725275 15.02710622710622580.85714285714

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad2.41779020086106 54.0471730045838 1.05975114E-15

0.128504099336444 12.6390973716992 2.707022557E-08

Residuos Residuos estándares-3.17142857142855 -0.8515267771058994.58021978021981 1.2297864196041

-1.66813186813187 -0.4478924628020662.08351648351649 0.559422997017603

-6.16483516483515 -1.655254753833726.5868131868132 1.76855561398919

-0.661538461538441 -0.177622702639549-2.90989010989009 -0.7813038481553774.84175824175827 1.30000934855462

-0.406593406593402 -0.109170099628961-2.65494505494505 -0.712851245144788-1.90329670329669 -0.511034087992868-2.15164835164833 -0.577716365063533.60000000000002 0.966597963201304

0.000 0.000

Valor crítico de F2.70702255668756E-08

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%125.406812965645 135.94263758381 125.406812965645 135.9426375838051.34418944387675 1.9041622044749 1.34418944387675 1.9041622044749

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil t3.57142857142857 13410.7142857142857 14217.8571428571429 144

25 14532.1428571428571 14939.2857142857143 15646.4285714285714 15753.5714285714286 16060.7142857142857 16667.8571428571429 167

75 16882.1428571428571 17189.2857142857143 17496.4285714285714 183

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

20406080

100120140160180200

f(x) = 1.62417582417582 x + 130.674725274725R² = 0.930129695390406

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

20406080

100120140160180200

f(x) = 1.62417582417582 x + 130.674725274725R² = 0.930129695390406

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

-10

-5

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x Gráfico de los residuales

x

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x Curva de regresión ajustada

tPronóstico t

x

t

0 20 40 60 80 100 1200

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Gráfico de probabilidad normal

Muestra percentil

t

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

20406080

100120140160180200

f(x) = 1.62417582417582 x + 130.674725274725R² = 0.930129695390406

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 350

20406080

100120140160180200

f(x) = 1.62417582417582 x + 130.674725274725R² = 0.930129695390406

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresiónCoeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.955141726246962Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.912295717218026R^2 ajustado 0.907423257063472Error típico 0.507688067037451Observaciones 20

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertad Suma de cuadrados

Regresión 1 48.25932587858Residuos 18 4.63944912142001Total 19 52.898775

Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción 2.30862007731663 0.486903934068369x 0.008861218522442 0.0006475894675431


Observación Pronóstico y Residuos1 10.3457452771714 0.8542547228285982 10.5141084290978 0.5358915709022053 6.79239664967222 -0.3123966496722144 8.87478300244605 0.335216997553955 9.30012149152326 0.119878508476746 10.1862433437674 -0.1062433437674477 10.0533250659308 -0.603325065930828 6.82784152376198 -0.09784152376198219 6.99620467568838 0.243795324311622

10 6.03033185674222 0.089668143257784811 8.32538745405466 -0.69538745405465612 10.0356026288859 -0.60560262888593613 10.4963859920529 -1.0363859920529114 7.68737972043884 -0.047379720438843115 6.31389084946036 0.60610915053964516 8.76844838017675 0.18155161982324917 9.34442758413547 -0.014427584135470218 9.78748851025756 0.44251148974243719 11.2584507849829 0.51154921501708720 7.81143677975303 -0.401436779753029

175.75 7.105427357601E-15

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F48.25932587858 187.23513139 5.93374381849178E-11

0.257747173412223

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%4.74142826907714 0.0001629773 1.28567287075233 3.331567283913.6833888853399 5.9337438E-11 0.0075006835370527 0.0102217535


Residuos estándares Percentil y1.72874517425498 2.5 6.121.08447743086928 7.5 6.48-0.6321934033751 12.5 6.73

0.678374671351871 17.5 6.920.242596719090812 22.5 7.24

-0.215003397612517 27.5 7.41-1.22094179682311 32.5 7.63

-0.198000733885575 37.5 7.640.493365712997304 42.5 8.950.181460360474241 47.5 9.21-1.40724736230185 52.5 9.33-1.22555087402514 57.5 9.42-2.09732206863832 62.5 9.43

-0.0958817796113425 67.5 9.451.22657591590212 72.5 9.46

0.367403864749357 77.5 10.08-0.02919693129441 82.5 10.230.895505265585884 87.5 11.05

1.03521609330587 92.5 11.2-0.812382861014339 97.5 11.77

Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%1.28567287075 3.3315672838810.00750068354 0.010221753508

300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100

-1.5-1

-0.50

0.51


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Muestra percentil

y

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yPronóstico y

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Muestra percentil

y

x y x2 y2 xy907 11.20 822649 125.44 10158.4926 11.05 857476 122.1025 10232.3506 6.48 256036 41.9904 3278.88741 9.21 549081 84.8241 6824.61789 9.42 622521 88.7364 7432.38889 10.08 790321 101.6064 8961.12874 9.45 763876 89.3025 8259.3510 6.73 260100 45.2929 3432.3529 7.24 279841 52.4176 3829.96420 6.12 176400 37.4544 2570.4679 7.63 461041 58.2169 5180.77872 9.43 760384 88.9249 8222.96924 9.46 853776 89.4916 8741.04607 7.64 368449 58.3696 4637.48452 6.92 204304 47.8864 3127.84729 8.95 531441 80.1025 6524.55794 9.33 630436 87.0489 7408.02844 10.23 712336 104.6529 8634.12

1010 11.77 1020100 138.5329 11887.7621 7.41 385641 54.9081 4601.61

14623 175.75 11306209.0 1597.3019 133945.74

731.15 8.7875

300 400 500 600 700 800 900 100011000.00

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6.00

8.00

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f(x) = 0.00886121852244186 x + 2.30862007731663R² = 0.912295717218026

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

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300 400 500 600 700 800 900 100011000.00

2.00

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f(x) = 0.00886121852244186 x + 2.30862007731663R² = 0.912295717218026

y

yLinear (y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

Resumen


ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertad Suma de cuadrados

Regresión 1 280597.392520406Residuos 10 37.4929045935323Total 11 280634.885425

Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción -6.34222574796024 1.66204588886372TEMPERATURA 9.2085962526443 0.033660933804598


Observación Pronóstico CONSUMO /1000 Residuos1 187.03829555757 -1.248295557570152 214.664084315503 -0.1940843155030343 288.332854336658 -0.3028543366575044 426.461798126322 -1.621798126322065 454.087586884255 0.4924131157450236 536.964953158054 2.065046841946247 619.842319431852 1.707680568147578 675.093896947718 -0.033896947718299 564.590741915987 -2.5107419159865

10 454.087586884255 -1.1575868842549511 371.210220610456 -1.260220610456212 269.915661831369 4.06433816863114

5062.29 1.2789769243682E-12

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F280597.392520406 74840.131903 1.04751900558264E-203.74929045935323

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%-3.81591494582391 0.0033961765 -10.0454947667215 -2.63895672919894273.569245170092 1.047519E-20 9.13359501824014 9.28359748704847


Residuos estándares Percentil CONSUMO /1000-0.676144039919103 4.16666666666667 185.79-0.105126508200187 12.5 214.47-0.164042204150132 20.8333333333333 273.98

-0.87845312787874 29.1666666666667 288.030.266717438326126 37.5 369.95

1.11854048175386 45.8333333333333 424.840.924971679372304 54.1666666666667 452.93

-0.0183604107474229 62.5 454.58-1.35995291497618 70.8333333333333 539.03

-0.627011341769939 79.1666666666667 562.08-0.682603290203003 87.5 621.55

2.20146423839311 95.8333333333333 675.066.92668145063635E-13

Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%-10.045494767 -2.63895672929.13359501824 9.283597487048

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80-4-20246

TEMPERATURA Gráfico de los re-siduales

TEMPERATURA

Resid

uos

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 800

500

1000

TEMPERATURA Curva de regresión ajustada

CONSUMO /1000Pronóstico CONSUMO /1000

TEMPERATURA

CON

SUM

O /

1000

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200400600800


Muestra percentil

CON

SUM

O /

1000

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80-4-20246

TEMPERATURA Gráfico de los re-siduales

TEMPERATURA

Resid

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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 800

500

1000

TEMPERATURA Curva de regresión ajustada

CONSUMO /1000Pronóstico CONSUMO /1000

TEMPERATURA

CON

SUM

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200400600800


Muestra percentil

CON

SUM

O /

1000

MES TEMPERATURA CONSUMO /1000 X2 Y2 XYENERO 21 185.79 441 34517.9241 3901.59FEBRERO 24 214.47 576 45997.3809 5147.28MARZO 32 288.03 1024 82961.2809 9216.96ABRIL 47 424.84 2209 180489.026 19967.48MAYO 50 454.58 2500 206642.976 22729JUNIO 59 539.03 3481 290553.341 31802.77JULIO 68 621.55 4624 386324.402 42265.4AGOSTO 74 675.06 5476 455706.004 49954.44SEPTIEMBRE 62 562.03 3844 315877.721 34845.86OCTUBRE 50 452.93 2500 205145.585 22646.5NOVIEMBRE 41 369.95 1681 136863.003 15167.95DICIEMBRE 30 273.98 900 75065.0404 8219.4

558 5062.24 29256 2416143.68 265864.63

A

piezas x precio y x2 y2 xy50 1000 2500 1000000 5000055 950 3025 902500 5225060 800 3600 640000 4800065 740 4225 547600 4810070 700 4900 490000 4900075 650 5625 422500 4875080 605 6400 366025 4840085 585 7225 342225 4972590 510 8100 260100 4590095 430 9025 184900 40850

100 400 10000 160000 40000105 320 11025 102400 33600110 300 12100 90000 33000115 280 13225 78400 32200120 200 14400 40000 24000125 150 15625 22500 18750150 120 22500 14400 18000

1550 8740 153500 5663550 680525

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f(x) = − 9.55591787439613 x + 1385.39251207729R² = 0.95021162229436

precio y

precio yLinear (precio y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

Resumen


ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadrados

Regresión 1 1111901.31 1111901.31Residuos 15 58260.4559 3884.03039Total 16 1170161.76

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico tIntercepción 1385.39251 53.6673717 25.8144282piezas x -9.55591787 0.56478168 -16.919667


Observación Pronóstico precio yResiduosResiduos estándares1 907.596618 92.4033816 1.531302242 859.817029 90.182971 1.494505753 812.03744 -12.0374396 -0.199483594 764.25785 -24.2578502 -0.401999365 716.478261 -16.4782609 -0.273076566 668.698671 -18.6986715 -0.309873057 620.919082 -15.9190821 -0.263809898 573.139493 11.8605072 0.196551489 525.359903 -15.3599034 -0.25454322

10 477.580314 -47.580314 -0.7884975611 429.800725 -29.8007246 -0.4938554812 382.021135 -62.0211353 -1.0278098213 334.241546 -34.2415459 -0.5674484514 286.461957 -6.46195652 -0.1070870815 238.682367 -38.6823671 -0.6410414216 190.902778 -40.9027778 -0.6778379117 -47.9951691 167.995169 2.78400394

8740 2.6148E-12 4.33542E-14

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f(x) = − 9.55591787439613 x + 1385.39251207729R² = 0.95021162229436

precio y

precio yLinear (precio y)

Axis Title

Axis Title

F Valor crítico de F286.275131 3.50656E-11

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%7.60612E-14 1271.00322 1499.78181 1271.00322 1499.781813.50656E-11 -10.7597215 -8.35211423 -10.7597215 -8.35211423


Residuos estándares Percentil precio y2.94117647 1208.82352941 15014.7058824 20020.5882353 28026.4705882 30032.3529412 32038.2352941 40044.1176471 430

50 51055.8823529 58561.7647059 60567.6470588 65073.5294118 70079.4117647 74085.2941176 80091.1764706 95097.0588235 1000

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Muestra percentil

prec

io y

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piezas x

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piezas x Curva de regresión ajustada

precio yPronóstico precio y

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Muestra percentil

prec

io y

x y

50 1000 2500 100000055 950 3025 90250060 800 3600 64000065 740 4225 54760070 700 4900 49000075 650 5625 42250080 605 6400 36602585 585 7225 34222590 510 8100 26010095 430 9025 184900

100 400 10000 160000105 320 11025 102400110 300 12100 90000115 280 13225 78400120 200 14400 40000125 150 15625 22500150 120 22500 14400

1550 8740 153500 5663550

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f(x) = − 9.55591787439613 x + 1385.39251207729R² = 0.95021162229436

Chart Title

Column BLinear (Column B)

Axis Title

Axis Title

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresiónCoeficiente de correlación múltipleCoeficiente de determinación R^2R^2 ajustadoError típicoObservaciones

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA

RegresiónResiduosTotal

Intercepción x


Observación123456789

1011121314151617

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f(x) = − 9.55591787439613 x + 1385.39251207729R² = 0.95021162229436

Chart Title

Column BLinear (Column B)

Axis Title

Axis Title

Estadísticas de la regresión0.974787988382274

0.950211622294360.946892397113984

62.321989654735517

Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F1 1111901.30878801 1111901.30878801 286.27513069

15 58260.4559178744 3884.0303945249616 1170161.76470588

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad1385.39251207729 53.6673717461821 25.8144281525367 7.6061243E-14

-9.55591787439614 0.564781676030078 -16.9196669792226 3.5065618E-11

Pronóstico y Residuos Residuos estándares907.596618357488 92.4033816425122 1.53130223737438859.817028985507 90.1829710144929 1.49450575111882812.037439613526 -12.0374396135264 -0.199483589072151764.257850241546 -24.2578502415457 -0.40199936072125716.478260869565 -16.4782608695651 -0.273076561583269668.698671497584 -18.6986714975844 -0.309873047838827620.919082125604 -15.9190821256037 -0.263809891397615573.139492753623 11.860507246377 0.196551478527451525.359903381642 -15.3599033816423 -0.25454322121196477.580314009662 -47.5803140096617 -0.788497563648145429.800724637681 -29.800724637681 -0.49385547911662

382.0211352657 -62.0211352657003 -1.0278098215528334.24154589372 -34.2415458937196 -0.567448451627736

286.461956521739 -6.46195652173901 -0.107087081702672238.682367149758 -38.6823671497582 -0.641041424138853190.902777777778 -40.9027777777776 -0.677837910394413

-47.9951690821258 167.995169082126 2.78400393698578740 2.6147972675972E-12 4.33542091116124E-14

O12

WORKSTATION: SCR

O13

WORKSTATION:SCE

P13

WORKSTATION: CME

O14

WORKSTATION: VARIABILIDAD TOTAL SYY

P18

WORKSTATION: ESTADISTICO DE PRUEBA

Valor crítico de F3.50656182541778E-11

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%1271.00321695751 1499.7818072 1271.00321696 1499.78181

-10.7597215211109 -8.3521142277 -10.759721521 -8.35211423


Percentil y2.94117647058824 1208.82352941176471 15014.7058823529412 20020.5882352941177 28026.4705882352941 30032.3529411764706 32038.2352941176471 40044.1176470588235 430

50 51055.8823529411765 58561.7647058823529 60567.6470588235294 65073.5294117647059 70079.4117647058824 74085.2941176470588 80091.1764705882353 95097.0588235294118 1000

850 8740

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