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Page 1: Dairy Cattle Breeding in the United States

2004

2004

2006

John B. Cole

Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory

Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD

[email protected]

Dairy Cattle Breeding in the United States

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U.S. dairy statistics (2004) 9.0 million cows

67,000 herds

135 cows/herd

19,000 lb (8600 kg)/cow

~93% Holsteins, ~5% Jerseys

~75% bred AI

46% milk recorded through Dairy Herd Improvement (DHI)

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U.S. dairy population and yield

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

40 50 60 70 80 90 00Year

Cow

s (m

illion

s)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

Milk yie

ld (kg/cow

)

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DHI statistics (2004) 4.1 million cows

97% fat recorded 93% protein recorded 93% SCC recorded

25,000 herds

164 cows/herd

21,250 lb (9640 kg)/cow 3.69% fat 3.09% (true) protein

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U.S. progeny-test bulls (2000)

Major and marketing-only AI organizations plus breeder-proven

BreedsAyrshire 10 bullsBrown Swiss 53 bullsGuernsey 15 bullsHolstein 1436 bullsJersey 116 bullsMilking Shorthorn 1 bull

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National Dairy Genetic Evaluation Program

AIPL CDCB

NAAB

PDCA DHI

UniversitiesAIPL Animal Improvement Programs Lab., USDA

CDCBCouncil on Dairy Cattle BreedingDHI Dairy Herd Improvement (milk recording organizations)NAAB National Association of Animal Breeders (AI)PDCAPurebred Dairy Cattle Association (breed registries)

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AIPL mission

Conduct research to discover, test, and implement improved genetic evaluation techniques for economically important traits of dairy cattle and goats

Genetically improve efficiency of dairy animals for yield and fitness

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AIPL research objectives

Maintain a national database with animal identification, production, fitness, reproduction, and health traits to support research on dairy genetics and management

Provide data to others researchers submitting proposals compatible with industry needs

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AIPL research objectives (cont.)

Increase accuracy of genetic evaluations for traits through improved methodology and through inclusion and appropriate weighting of deviant data

Develop bioinformatic tools to automate data processing in support of quantitative trait locus detection, marker testing, and mapping methods

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AIPL research objectives (cont.)

Improve genetic rankings for overall economic merit by evaluating appropriate traits and by determining economic values of those traits in the index

Improved profit functions are derived from reviewing incomes and expenses associated with each trait available for selection

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AIPL research objectives (cont.)

Characterize dairy industry practices in milk recording, breed registry, and artificial-insemination to document status and changes in data collection and use and in observed and genetic trends in the population

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Traits evaluated Yield (milk, fat, protein volume;

component percentages)

Type/conformation

Productive life/longevity

Somatic cell score/mastitis resistance

Fertility Daughter pregnancy rate (cow) Estimated relative conception rate (bull)

Dystocia and stillbirth (service sire, daughter)

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Evaluation methods Animal model (linear)

Yield (milk, fat, protein) Type

(Ayrshire, Brown Swiss, Guernsey, Jersey) Productive life SCS Daughter pregnancy rate

Sire – maternal grandsire model (threshold) Service sire calving ease Daughter calving ease Service sire stillbirth Daughter stillbirth

Heritability25 – 40%7 – 54%

8.5%12%4%

8.6%3.6%3.0%6.5%

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Genetic trend – Milk

Phenotypic base = 11,638 kg

-3500-3000-2500-2000-1500-1000-500

0500

1000

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

ed

ing

valu

e (

kg

)

sires cows

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Genetic trend – Fat

-125

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

edin

g va

lue (kg

) Phenotypic base = 424 kg

sires cows

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Genetic trend – Protein

-125

-100

-75

-50

-25

0

25

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

edin

g va

lue (kg

) Phenotypic base = 350 kg

sirescows

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Genetic trend – Productive life (mo)

-7

-6

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

edin

g va

lue (m

onth

s) Phenotypic base = 24.6 months

sirescows

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Genetic trend – Somatic cell score

-.15

-.10

-.05

.00

.05

.10

1985 1990 1995 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

edin

g va

lue (lo

g bas

e 2)

Phenotypic base = 3.08 (log base 2)

sires

cows

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Genetic trend – Daughter pregnancy rate (%)

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Holstein birth year

Bre

edin

g va

lue (%)

Phenotypic base = 21.53%

sirescows

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Genetic trend – calving ease

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

Holstein birth year

PTA %

DBH

(diffi

cult

bir

ths

in h

eifers

)

Phenotypic base = 8.47% DBHPhenotypic base = 7.99% DBH

servicesire

daughter

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Genetic trend – stillbirth

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Holstein birth year

PTA %

Sti

llbir

ths

Phenotypic base = 8% SBHservice

sire

daughter

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Genetic-economic indices

Trait

Relative value (%)Net merit

Cheesemerit

Fluid merit

Milk (lb) 0 -12 24Fat (lb) 23 18 23Protein (lb) 23 28 0Productive life (mo) (PL) 17 13 17Somatic cell score (log2) (SCS)

–9 –7 -9

Udder composite (UDC) 6 5 6Feet/legs composite (FLC) 3 3 3Body size composite (BSC) –4 –3 -4Daughter pregnancy rate (%) (DPR)

9 7 8

Calving ability ($) (CA$) 6 4 6

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Index changes

Trait

Relative emphasis on traits in index (%)PD$

(1971)MFP$(1976)

CY$(1984)

NM$(1994)

NM$(2000)

NM$(2003)

NM$(2006

)Milk 52 27 –2 6 5 0 0Fat 48 46 45 25 21 22 23Protein

… 27 53 43 36 33 23

PL … … … 20 14 11 17SCS … … … –6 –9 –9 –9UDC … … … … 7 7 6FLC … … … … 4 4 3BDC … … … … –4 –3 –4DPR … … … … … 7 9SCE … … … … … –2 …DCE … … … … … –2 …CA$ … … … … … … 6

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Persistency

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Introduction

At the same level of production cows with high persistency milk more at the end than the beginning of lactation

Best prediction of persistency is calculated as a function of trait-specific standard lactation curves and the linear regression of a cow’s test day deviations on days in milk

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Best Prediction

Selection IndexSelection Index Predict missing yields from measured Predict missing yields from measured

yieldsyields Condense daily into lactation yield and Condense daily into lactation yield and

persistencypersistency Only phenotypic covariances are neededOnly phenotypic covariances are needed Mean and variance of herd assumed knownMean and variance of herd assumed known

Reverse predictionReverse prediction Daily yield predicted from lactation yield Daily yield predicted from lactation yield

and persistencyand persistency

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PersistencyCole and VanRaden 2006 JDS 89:2722-2728

DefinitionDefinition305 daily yield deviations (DIM 305 daily yield deviations (DIM - DIM- DIMoo))

Uncorrelated with yield by Uncorrelated with yield by choosing DIMchoosing DIMoo

DIMDIMo o were were 161161, , 159159, , 166166, and , and 155155 for M, F, P, and SCS for M, F, P, and SCS

• DIMDIM00 have increased over time have increased over timeStandardized estimateStandardized estimate

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Cow with Average Persistency

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300Days in Milk

Kilo

gram

s

Best PredictionStandard CurveTest Days

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Highest Cow Persistency

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300Days in Milk

Kilo

gra

ms

Best Prediction

Standard Curve

Test Days

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Lowest Cow Persistency

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300

Days in Milk

Kilo

gram

s

Best Prediction

Standard Curve

Test Days

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ModelRepeatability animal model:

yijkl = hysi + lacj + ak + pek + β(dojk) + eijkl

yijkl = persistency of milk, fat, protein, or SCS

hysi = fixed effect of herd-year-season of calving I

lacj = fixed effect of lactation j

ak = random additive genetic effect of animal k

pek = random permanent environmental effect of animal k

dojk = days open for lactation j of animal k

eijkl = random residual error

ijkljkkkjiijkl e)β(dopealachysy ijkljkkkjiijkl e)β(dopealachysy

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(Co)variance Components

σa2 σpe

2 σe2 h2 rept

PM 0.10 0.09 0.85 0.10 0.18

PF 0.07 0.08 0.79 0.07 0.15

PP 0.08 0.07 0.70 0.09 0.17

PSCS 0.02 0.03 0.64 0.03 0.07

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Correlations Among Persistency Traits

PM PF PP PSCS

PM 0.83 0.87 -0.48

PF 0.72 0.82 -0.41

PP 0.91 0.72 -0.58

PSCS -0.19 -0.11 -0.14

1Genetic correlations above diagonal, residual correlations below diagonal.

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Genetic Correlations Among Persistency and Yield

M F P SCS

PM 0.05 0.10 0.03 -0.04

PF 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00

PP -0.02 0.08 -0.09 -0.11

PSCS -0.23 -0.28 -0.20 0.41

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Factors Affecting Persistency

Parity: 1st lactation cows tend to have flatter lactation curves than later lactation cows

Nutrition: underfeeding energy will reduce peak yield, leading to higher persistency

Stress: low persistency in cows under handling or heat stress

Diseases?

Breed differences?

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Summary

Heritabilities and repeatabilities are low to moderate

Routine genetic evaluations for persistency are feasible

The shape of the lactation curve may be altered without affecting production

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Diseases and PersistencyAppuhamy, Cassell, and Cole 2006

Other measures may improve disease resistance through indirect selection, e.g. productive life (PL), body condition scores, and persistency

Studies of the effect of diseases on milk yield is abundant in literature

Investigations of relationships between diseases and other traits are lacking (Muir et al., 2004)

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Objectives

Investigate the effect of common health disorders on persistency

Estimate phenotypic correlations among diseases and persistency

Measure breed effects (Holstein and Jersey) on these relationships

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Materials and Methods

Daily milk yield records of Holstein and Jersey cows at the Virginia Tech Dairy Complex from 07/18/2004 to 06/07/2006 Holstein Jersey

First lactation (L1) 41 10

Second lactation (L2)

34 08

Third and later (L3+)

40 15

Total Lactations 115 33

Total cows 93 33

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Definition of Disease Variables

Mastitis (MAST) : All causes of udder infections

MAST1 : in first 100 days (stage1)

MAST2 : after 100th DIM (stage2)

Post Partum Metabolic Diseases (METAB): Milk fever and/or ketosis

Other diseases: LAME, DA, MET, PNEU, DIARR

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Statistical Analysis

where:

Yijklm = Lactation persistency of cow m

Li = Effect of ith lactation (i = 1, 2, & 3)

YSj = Effect of jth calving year-season ( j=1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6)

Dk = Effect of kth status of the disease ( k =1 or 0)

Ol = Effect of lth status of other diseases (l=1 or 0)

eijklm = residual effect

(Other diseases includes all diseases beside the disease of interest.)

Pijklm = Li + Yj +Dk + Ol + eijklm

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Disease incidence rates in Holstein (H) & Jersey (J) cows

0

10

20

30

MAST1 MAST2 METAB OTHER

Disease

Inci

denc

e ra

te (

%)

H

J

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Diseases and Breed on Persistency

** Significant (p<0.05)

 Factor  Levels  LS Mean  Correlation

 MAST1**

0 -0.18

-0.241 -0.76

 MAST2

0 -0.3

-0.091 -0.55

METAB 

0 -0.35

-0.081 0.37

BREED** 

H -0.11  

J -0.74  

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Conclusions

Mastitis in early lactation has a significant, negative effect on persistency

Mastitis in late lactation and post partum metabolic diseases have non-significant, but negative, effects on persistency

Persistency differs significantly between Holstein and Jersey cows

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All-Breeds Evaluation

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Goals

Evaluate crossbred animals without biasing purebred evaluations

Accurately estimate breed differences

Compute national evaluations and examine changes

PTA of purebreds and crossbreds Changes in reliability

Display results without confusion

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Methods

All-breed animal modelPurebreds and crossbreds togetherUnknown parents grouped by breedVariance adjustments by breedAge adjust to 36 months, not mature1988 software, good convergence

Within-breed-of-sire model examined but not used

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Unknown Parent Groups

Groups formed based onBirth year (flexible) Breed (must have >10,000 cows)Path (dams of cows, sires of cows, parents of bulls)

Origin (domestic vs other countries)

Paths have >1000 in last 15 years

Groups each have >500 animals

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Data

Numbers of cows of all breeds 22.6 million for milk and fat 16.1 million for protein 22.5 million for productive life 19.9 million for daughter pregnancy rate 10.5 million for somatic cell score

Type evaluated in separate breed files

Calving ease joint HO, BS, and HO x BS

Goats in all-breed model since 1988

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Crossbred Cowswith 1st parity records

YearF1 (%)

F1 cows

Back-

crossHet

> 0XX

cows

2005 1.3 8647 2495 12621

4465

2004 1.2 7863 1983 11191

3947

2003 .9 6248 1492 9051 3111

2002 .7 4689 1467 7338 2564

2001 .5 3491 1330 5878 2081

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Reliability

Crossbred cowsWill have PTA, most did not before

Accurate PTA from both parents

Purebred animalsInformation from crossbred relatives

More contemporaries

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All- vs Within-Breed Evaluations

Correlations of PTA Milk

Breed

99% REL bulls

Recent bulls

Recent cows

Holstein >.999 .994 .989Jersey .997 .988 .972Brown Swiss .990 .960 .942Guernsey .991 .988 .969Ayrshire .990 .963 .943Milking Shorthorn

.997 .986 .947

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Display of PTAs

Genetic base Convert all-breed base back to within-

breed-of-sire bases Each animal gets just one PTA PTAbrd = (PTAall – meanbrd) SDbrd/SDall

Heterosis and inbreeding Both effects removed in the animal model Heterosis added to crossbred animal PTA Expected Future Inbreeding (EFI) and

merit differ with mate breed

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Schedule

Interbull test run Feb. 1, 2006Trend validationConvert all-breed PTA back to within-breed bases

Scientific publication (JDS)

ImplementationExpected May 2007

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Conclusions

All breed model accounts for:General heterosisUnknown parent groups by breedHeterogeneous variance by breed

PTA converted back to within breed bases, crossbreds to breed of sire

PTA changes more in breeds with fewer animals

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Genomics

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SNP Project Outcomes

Genome-wide selection

Parentage verification & traceability panels

Enhanced QTL mapping & gene discovery

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Linkage disequilibrium (LD)

Non-random association of alleles at two or more loci, not necessarily on the same chromosome

Not the same as linkage, which describes the association of two or more loci on a chromosome with limited recombination between them

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The population isyoung enough that large segments of the genome are not disrupted by recombination (LD)

Concept of a HapMap

ManyGenerations

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Genome Selection

Animals are genotyped at birth

Genomic EBV calculated for many traits

Even those not typically recorded (e.g. semen quality)

Accuracy is predicted to be similar to progeny test evaluation

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Advantages of Genome Selection

Generation intervals can be reduced

Costs of progeny testing can be decreased

More accurate selection among full sibs

Decreased risk in selection program

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Low-cost parentage verification

SNP tests may make parentage validation cheap enough for widespread adoption

Develop a database and software to check parentage and suggest alternatives for invalid IDs

Determine rate of parentage errors in a sample of herds

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In Conclusion

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Ongoing Work

New traits Stillbirth (HOL) Milking speed (BSW) Rear legs/rear view (BSW, GUE) Bull fertility (transferred from

DRMS)

Improved online tools Fully buzzword-compliant Web services for data delivery

Choice of scales

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Senior research staff