COMPLEX SYSTEM FOR IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY AND COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT
OF INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES
ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), 28.09.2012
Authors: Adam Mazurkiewicz, Beata Belina, Beata PoteralskaPresenter: Ludmiła Łopacińska
INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES – NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE (ITeE-PIB)
Presentation plan
• Complex technology assessment system – assumptions
• Method of the assessment of implementation maturity level
• Method of the assessment of commercial potential
• Practical application of the assessment methods
Level 6
Product operation
IDENTIFICATION
Level 2
Level 6
SOLUTION CONCEPTION
CONFIRMATION OF THE SOLUTION
MODEL – laboratory environment
MODEL – simulation of operating environment
PROTOTYPE – conditions resembling real operating
environment
PROTOYPE – real environment
FINAL PRODUCT
TRIAL VERSION
Manufacture preparation Level 10
Level 9
Level 2
Complex system of technology assessment
Level 10
ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL
POTENTIAL
[t]
Start of solution development
End of solution development
Changes of assessment levels
INNOVATIVENESS ASSESSMENT
[t]
Start of solution development
End of solution development
ASSESSMENT OF IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY LEVEL
[t]
Start of solution development
End of solution development
Assessment of implementation maturity level
Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria
Categories:machines and devices, software and computer systems, manufacturing technologies, materials and chemical agents
GENERAL ALGORITHM of implementation maturity assessment
DETAILED ALGORITHMof implementation maturity assessment
Stage Product
Stage Product
General assessment
algorithm
Detailed assessment
algorithmProducts
Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria
Levels and milestones in the development process of innovative solution
Basic principles identified and described
Technology concept formulated2
Analytical and experimental critical function and characteristicproof-of-concept3
Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment6
Component and model validation in laboratory environment4
Model validation in relevant environment5
Prototype demonstration and verification in an operational environment7
Final product version made8
Product samples produced and certified9
Final product preparation to commercialisation10
1
Idea
Prototype
Verification
Transfer
Stag
e II
Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment
Detailed maturity level assessment – qualification criteria for Level 6
Level 6Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment
•Design and production of the prototype •Prototype tested in relevant environment
No. Criterion Criterion coefficient
Criterionfulfillment
1 All project costs identified
2 Final completion plan of the project developed
3 Quality and reliability levels for components determined
4 Program of final tests and evaluation developed
5 Technology management program developed
6 Conditions of contract for technology transfer and implementation aproved by client
30 Software in „alfa” version developed
31 Functionality requirements of application in full scale for developed software fulfilled
. . .13 Prototype of full functional parameters made
14 Prototype tested in revelant enviroment. . .
Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of a solution developed within R&D project
System for quality control of metal products by means of the optical inspection method, for the use in a production line
Bearing roller
Examples of faults of bearing rollers
System implemented in a factory manufacturing roller bearings
•High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea
•Validation of laboratory model
•Validation of experimental model•Building and initial validation of product prototype
•Validation of product prototype•Making the final version of the product
•Final product preparation to commercialisation
Innovative solution obtained level 10 of development advancement - Level of Transfer
Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of an innovative solution developed within the Strategic Programme „Innovative Systems of Technical
Support for Sustainable Development of Economy”
Technological line for implementation of RFID inlets
Innovative solution obtained level 7 of development advancement - Level of Prototype
•Validation of laboratory model
•Achieved level of Prototype
•High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea
•Final product in the course of preparation
Stages of the technology assessment system
Assessment of commercial potential
Detailed
assessment algorithm
Products
General assessment
algorithmProducts
Assessment of technologies
competitiveness
Economic assessment
…
General assessment
algorithm
Detailed assessment
algorithm
assessment of potential market
demand
geographical scope
market-legal requirements
scale of the market
types of consumers
AREAS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL
Technological area Economic area Market area
Legal-organisational
area
• Uniqueness on a national scale• Innovativeness level• Functionality level• Technological level• Level of ecological threat…
• Cost-effectiveness of production• Maintenance costs•Costs of intelectual property protection• Costs of maintaining the market…
• Level of market demand• Potential beneficiaries• Scale of applications in economy…
• Level of intellectual property rights protection• Possibility of imitation by others• Dependence of implementation on changes in legal regulations• Strategy of introducing solutions on the market
Dependences between technological assessments
NoImplementation maturity
Innovativeness
Commercial potential
Possibility of sale
Comments
1 H H H High There is interest in the solution that is innovative and ready for implementation
2 H H L Low Changes of legal rules
3 H H L High Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise
4 H L L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market
5 H L L High Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise
6 H L H High Demand for a solution even if it is not innovative
7 L H H High Demand for a solution on the market
8 L L L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market
9 L L H Low Demand for a solution, even if it is not ready for implementation
10 L H L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market
Stand for testing sleeping surfaces
Test chambers for volatile organic compounds emission testing
Conclusions
• The proposed system can be used for complex assessement of technological solutions in the aspect of implementation maturity, commercial potential and innovativeness level
• The system can be used for complex assessment of a particular technological solution or assessment of a selected aspect (by means of a selected method)
• The assessment can be carried out at all stages of technological solutions development starting from the idea creation to technology trasfer
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