Download - BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality

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ULTRABROADBAND AS THE UBIQUITOUS ON-RAMP TO THE NEW VIRTUALIZED NETWORK REALITY (OR THE FUTURE AND HOW TO GET THERE)

Marcus Weldon October 22nd, 2013

3


THE INDUSTRY CHALLENGE

+

1€ / MACHINE 10€ / USER DEVICE

1 DEVICE / USER 10 DEVICES / USER 1

100X LOWER COST/BIT 100X MORE BYTES

1 BIG CELL/NODE 10 SMALL CELLS/NODES 2

100 CLOSED NETWORKS 1 OPEN NETWORK

10 SEPARATE DOMAINS 1 CONVERGED NETWORK

+ 3

+

1 SYSTEM / SERVICE 10M SERVERS / SERVICE

1B APPS DOWNLOADED 1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED 4

CAN WE R ISE TO THE CHALLENGE ?

+

+

+

100 OSS SYSTEMS 1 CLOUD OSS 5

1 SERVICE / DECADE 1 SERVICE / DAY

4


THE INDUSTRY OPPORTUNITY

PHENOMENAL GROWTH BUT IN CHALLENGING T IMES

1

0

2

4

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Cumulative Units

Years after introduction

Source data: Wearables: ABI Cloud Servers: IHS iSuppli Tablets: Gartner & IDC M2M: Machina Research SDN: company data

1.5B Tablets (2017)

2B Wearables (2018)

2M Wifi APs (2016)

6.5B M2M Connections

(2017)

6.5M Cloud Servers (2015)

0.5 B SDN Investment

(2013)

5


0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

1

10

20

50

75

100

300

500

1000

0.1 0.5 0.5

ADSL2+

Bonded ADSL2+

VSDL2

VDSL2 w/ Vectoring

Bonded VDSL2 w/ Vectoring

GPON/G.Fast

CO-Home Distance (km)

Node-Home Distance (km)

Mbps per subscriber

1000x SCALABIL ITY AT ~100x LOWER COST/B IT

THE WIRELINE ANSWER 2

6


10-100x SCALABIL ITY BUT AT WHAT COST ?

THE WIRELESS QUESTION (AND ANSWER) 2

7


0

2

4

6

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Average Usage (GB/Mo/User)

Conservative Growth Model

LTE + SMALL CELLS (+ WIREL INE) = 10x LOWER COST/B IT

THE WIRELESS ECONOMIC ANSWER 2

8


NETWORK OPERATORS

• Assets: Ultrabroadband Access (Fixed + Mobile)

• New Services: Limited own (Walled Garden)

• E/R: Increasing Network spend with flat revenue

• Innovation Speed: Years

• Assets: Massive global compute & storage facilities

• New Services: Limited own, but APIs to Web Services

• E/R: Increasing DC spend, but growing revenue

• Innovation Speed: Days

WEB PLAYERS

THE TENSION AND THE SYNERGY

COMMON TECHNOLOGIES, COMMON ARCHITECTURES, COMM-PETIT ION ?

3

IT TECHNOLOGIES IP TECHNOLOGIES

9


THE COMMONALITY AND CONVERGENCE

CONVERGENCE OF DC AND WAN, IT AND IP, MANY TO ONE, CENTRAL IZED TO DISTRIBUTED

3

WEB/IT DC

INTERNET

TELCO DC

MANY ACCESS

NETWORKS

VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN1.0

DEDICATED PLATFORMS + NETWORKS

NETWORK 1.0

WEB/IT DC

INTERNET

TELCO IT DC

UBB IP ACCESS NETWORK

VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN2.0

DISTRIBUTED TELCO IT DC

VIRTUALIZED & FEDERATED IP NETWORKS

NETWORK 2.0

10


VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER

ELASTIC SCAL ING WITHOUT INF IN ITE EFFORT

4

11


VIRTUALIZATION OF VIRTUALLY EVERYTHING

S IMPL IF IED, SEAMLESSLY SCALED, SOFTWARE NETWORKS

4

12


Virtualize

Software Define IP INFRASTRUCTURE

NETWORK APPLICATIONS

NETWORK SERVICES CONTROL

Analyze &

Program

Slic

e &

Mon

etiz

e

THE FUTURE NETWORK

S INGULAR SOFTWARE-DEF INED SOFTWARE NETWORK

5 Enterprise Provider Telecom Provider Webscale Provider

Cl

oud

OS

Lega

cy O

S

Uni

fy

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1-10€ / DEVICE 10 DEVICES / USER

100X MORE BYTES @ 100X LOWER COST

10-100x SMALL CELLS/NODES

1 CONVERGED, OPEN NETWORK

10M SERVERS / SERVICE

1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED

THE ‘ I ’NETWORK: INTEGRATED (DC+WAN), INTUIT IVE, INTELL IGENT, INTERNATIONAL, ALL IP, IT -ENABLED NETWORK

1 CLOUD OSS 1 SERVICE / DAY

PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER