Download - Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

Prospects for Leading Companies in Cargo, Passenger, Airline & Airport Security

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Contents 1. Executive Summary 1.1 Global Aviation Security Market Overview

1.2 Global Aviation Security Market Segmentation

1.3 Why You Should Read This Report

1.4 How This Report Delivers

1.5 Key Questions Answered by This Analytical Report Include:

1.6 Who is This Report For?

1.7 Methodology

1.8 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1.9 Associated Visiongain Reports

1.10 About Visiongain

2. Introduction to the World Aviation Security Market 2.1 Global Aviation Security Market Structure Overview

2.2 Aviation Security Market Definition

2.3 Who is Responsible for Aviation Security?

2.4 Aviation Security Market Technologies

2.4.1 Advanced Imaging Technologies

2.4.2 Backscatter X-ray Technology

2.4.3 Millimetre Wave Scanner

2.4.5 Explosive Trace Detectors

2.4.6 Explosive Detection Systems

2.4.7 Liquid Explosive Detection

2.4.8 Biometric Systems

2.4.9 Air Cargo Security

2.5 New Technological Developments

3. Global Aviation Security Market 2014-2024 3.1 Global Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

3.2 Global Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

3.3 Analysis of the Global Aviation Security Market

4. Global Aviation Security Submarkets 2014-2024 4.1 Global Aviation Security Submarket Overview

4.2 Aviation Security Passenger and Baggage Screening Submarket 2014 - 2024

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Contents 4.2.1 Aviation Security Passenger and Baggage Screening Analysis

4.3 Aviation Security Air Cargo Submarket 2014-2024

4.3.1 Aviation Security Air Cargo Submarket Analysis

4.4 Aviation Security Access Control Submarket 2014- 2024

4.4.1 Aviation Security Access Control Submarket Analysis

4.5 Aviation Security Digital Surveillance Submarket 2014- 2024

4.5.1 Aviation Security Digital Surveillance Submarket Analysis

4.6 Aviation Security Perimeter Submarket Forecast 2014-2024

4.6.1 Aviation Security Perimeter Submarket Analysis

4.7 Global Aviation Security Submarkets Cumulative Market Share Forecast 2014-2024

5. Leading 12 National Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024 5.1 National Aviation Security Market Share Forecast 2014-2024

5.2 US Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014- 2024

5.2.1 The Need to Reduce the Federal Deficit will lead to Cost Effective Strategies and

Emphasis on Risk-Based Aviation Security Measures

5.2.2 US Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.2.3 US Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.3 Chinese Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.3.1 China’s Civil Aviation Sector is Expected to lead Regionally, Despite a Deceleration

in the Country’s Economic Growth

5.3.2 Chinese Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.3.3 Chinese Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.4 UK Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

5.4.1 Risk-Based Aviation Security is the Future for UK Airports

5.4.2 UK Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.4.3 UK Aviation Security Market Contracts &Programmes

5.5 French Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.5.1 New Airport Infrastructure and European Regulations for Baggage Screening

Systems will drive the French Aviation Security Market in the Medium Term

5.5.2 French Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.5.3 French Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.6 German Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.6.1 Slow Growth is forecast for the German Aviation Security Market due to Lower

Passenger Traffic and Subsequent Delays to Airport Expansion Projects

5.6.2 German Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.6.3 German Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

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Contents 5.7 Australian Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.7.1 Short Term Growth will Remain Strong as Government Investment and new Terminal

Projects are concluded

5.7.2 Australian Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.7.3 Australian Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.8 Canadian Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.8.1 The Canadian Aviation Security Market has a Robust Outlook due to Government

Spending on new Security Technologies and Programmes

5.8.2 Canadian Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.8.3 Canadian Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.9 Italian Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.9.1 Directives from ENAC will sustain growth in the Italian Aviation Security Market

although Budget Restraints mean that Large Scale Investment and Procurement

Programmes will not Materialise in the Short to Medium Term

5.9.2 Italian Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.9.3 Italian Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.10 Indian Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.10.1 Strong but Consistent Growth is Forecast for the Indian Aviation Security Market

5.10.2 Indian Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.10.3 Indian Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.11 Brazilian Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

5.11.1 Brazil’s Upcoming Sporting Event and Privatisation of Major Airports will drive

Investment in Aviation Security

5.11.2 Brazilian Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.11.3 Brazilian Aviation Security Market Contracts &Programmes

5.12 United Arab Emirates Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

5.12.1 Large Scale Airport Expansion Projects to accommodate Passenger and Air Freight

Growth will drive Aviation Security Spending in the United Arab Emirates

5.12.2 UAE Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.12.3 UAE Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.13 Israeli Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

5.13.1 Israeli Aviation Security Measures are some of the Most Extensive in the World

5.13.2 Israeli Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.13.3 Israeli Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.14 Rest of the World Aviation Security Market Forecasts 2014-2024

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Contents 5.14.1 The Majority of Spending in the Aviation Security Market is likely to occur in South

East Asia and the Middle East with Africa Identified as a Region with Potential Strong

Growth

5.14.2 Rest of the World Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

5.14.3 Rest of the World Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

5.15 Leading 12 National Aviation Security Markets Cumulative Market Share Forecast 2014 -

2024

6. SWOT Analysis of the World Aviation Security Market 2014-2024 6.1 Strengths

6.1.1 Regulatory Framework

6.1.2 The Continuing Evolution of Security Threats to Air Transport will require New

Security Solutions

6.2 Weaknesses

6.2.1 Budget Restraints and Reductions in Government Agency Spending

6.2.2 Overreliance on Government Contracts

6.2.3 Privacy and Health Concerns Related to Security Technology

6.3 Opportunities

6.3.1 Forecast Growth in the Aviation Sector

6.4 Threats

6.4.1 The Continuing Emergence of New Threats to the Aviation Industry

6.4.2 Delays to Aviation Infrastructure Expansion Projects

7. Expert Opinion 7.1 Human Recognition Systems

7.1.1 Human Recognition Systems’ Position within the Aviation Security Market

7.1.2 Main Technological Developments over the Next Ten Years

7.1.3 Key Trends in the Global Aviation Security Market

7.1.4 Where is Growth going to come from?

7.2 Westminster Aviation Security Services

7.2.1 Westminster Aviation Security Services’ Involvement with the Global Aviation

Security Market

7.2.2 The Main Technological Developments over the Next Ten Years

7.2.3 Key Trends in the Global Aviation Security Market

7.2.4 Where is Growth going to come from?

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Contents 8. Leading Companies in the Aviation Security Market 8.1 Top 10 Leading Companies in the Aviation Security Market Analysis 2014

8.2 American Science and Engineering Profile

8.2.1 American Science and Engineering seeks to enhance its International Market Share

to Compliment an Extensive North American Customer Base

8.2.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of American Science and Engineering

8.2.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of American Science and Engineering

8.2.4 Future Outlook for American Science and Engineering

8.3 Analogic Corporation Profile

8.3.1 Analogic Corporation is a Major Supplier to Original Equipment Manufacturers

8.3.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Analogic Corporation

8.3.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Analogic Corporation

8.3.4 Analogic Corporation M&A Activity

8.3.5 Future Outlook for Analogic Corporation

8.4 G4S Plc Profile

8.4.1 G4S Plc is a Leading Provider of Aviation Security Services

8.4.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of G4S Plc

8.4.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of G4S Plc

8.4.4 Future Outlook for G4S Plc

8.5 Human Recognition Systems Profile

8.5.1 With an Established Share in the UK Aviation Security Market, Human Recognition

Systems has International Horizons

8.5.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Human Recognition Systems

8.5.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Human Recognition Systems

8.5.4 Future Outlook for Human Recognition Systems

8.6 Implant Sciences

8.6.1 Implant Sciences is set to concentrate on the US Domestic Security Market as part of

its Growth Strategy

8.6.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Implant Sciences

8.6.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Implant Sciences

8.6.4 Future Outlook for Implant Sciences

8.7 L-3 Communications Holdings Profile

8.7.1 L-3 Communications Holdings will continue to develop and enhance its Market Share

with Innovative Products and Affordable Solutions

8.7.2 Aviation Security Competitors of L-3 Communications Holdings

8.7.3 L-3 Communications Holdings M&A Activity

8.8 Leidos

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Contents 8.8.1 Leidos Holdings Places Considerable Emphasis on its R&D Activities and US

Government Contracts

8.8.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Leidos Holdings

8.8. Regional Emphasis / Focus of Leidos Holdings

8.9 Morpho Detection (Safran SA)

8.9.1 Morpho Detection is a Leading Supplier of Advanced Technological Solutions for

Aviation Security Applications

8.9.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Morpho Detection

8.9.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Morpho Detection

8.9.4 Safran SA M&A Activity

8.9.5 Future Outlook for Safran SA

8.10 NUCTECH Profile

8.10.1 NUCTECH has become a Global Specialist in Security Inspection Product

Manufacturing and Research

8.11 Rapiscan Systems Profile

8.11.1 Rapiscan Systems will continue to Capitalise on its Global Reach and Access to

Emerging Markets to Increase its Customer Base

8.11.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Rapiscan Systems

8.11.3 Future Outlook for Rapiscan Systems

8.12 Smiths Detection

8.12.1 Continuing Investment in R&D Activity will drive Smiths Detection’s Business by

Upgrading and Developing its Product Portfolio

8.12.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Smiths Detection

8.12.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Smiths Detection

8.12.4 Future Outlook for Smiths Detection

8.13 Westminster Aviation Security Services

8.12.1 Westminster Aviation Security Services Provides an Extensive Range of Services,

Programmes and Technologies to the Civil Air Transport Sector

8.12.2 Aviation Security Market Competitors of Westminster Aviation Security Services

8.12.3 Regional Emphasis / Focus of Westminster Aviation Security Services

8.12.4 Future Outlook for Westminster Aviation Security Services

8.14 Other Leading Companies in the Global Aviation Security Market

9. Conclusions 9.1 Global Aviation Security Market Outlook & Key Findings

9.2 Drivers & Restraints for the Global Aviation Security Market

9.3 Global Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014 - 2024

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Contents 9.4 Global Aviation Security Submarket Forecast 2014-2024

9.5 Leading National Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024

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Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024: Prospects for Leading Companies in Cargo, Passenger, Airline & Airport Security

4.6 Aviation Security Perimeter Submarket Forecast 2014-2024

Table 4.10 Aviation Security Perimeter Submarket Forecast 2014-2024 (US$m, AGR %, Cumulative)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2014-24

Sales (US$m) 1450 1482 1522 1559 1596 1644 1689 1733 1775 1819 1863 1911 18593

AGR (%) 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.4 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.6

CAGR (%) 2014-19 2.7 2019-24 2.5

CAGR (%) 2014-24 2.6

Source: Visiongain 2014

Figure 4.16 Aviation Security Perimeter Submarket Forecast 2014-2019 (US$m, AGR %)


Table 4.11 Aviation Perimeter Security Submarket Share Forecast 2014, 2019 and 2024 (% Share)

2014 2019 2024


0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

AGR

(%)

Sale

s U

S$m

Year Market Value AGR %

7.6%

6.9%

6.1%

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5.12 United Arab Emirates Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014 -

2024

Table 5.32 UAE Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024 (US$m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2014-24

Sales (US$m) 394 428 460 497 532 569 603 634 665 687 709 731 3501

AGR (%) 8.6 7.4 8.2 7.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 3.2 3.2 3.1

CAGR (%) 2014-19 7.1 2019-24 6.6

CAGR (%) 2014-24 6.0


Figure 5.32 UAE Aviation Security Market Forecast 2014-2024 (US$m, AGR%)


Figure 5.33 UAE Aviation Security Market Share Forecast 2014, 2019 and 2024 (% Share)

2014 2019 2024


0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024AG

R (%

)

Sale

s U

S$m

Year Market Value US$m AGR (%)

2.2% 2.3

%

2.3%

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5.12.2 UAE Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

Table 5.33 UAE Aviation Security Market Drivers & Restraints

Drivers Restraints

• Major airport construction projects to accommodate forecast growth rates

• Rising passenger and cargo volumes • Government investment • Frequent audits for safety and security legislation

which are stated in the National Civil Aviation Programme

• Potential decline in spending as construction projects and security equipment procurement are completed


5.12.3 UAE Aviation Security Market Contracts & Programmes

Table 5.34 UAE Aviation Security Market Major Contracts & Programmes (Date, Company, Value, Details)

Date Company Value Details

September 2013 G4S -

G4S announced the signing of a new three-year contract with Dubai Airports. The contract, which could be extended by a further two years, will see G4S provide its existing operations as well as a range of additional services to Dubai International Airport, the second busiest airport in the world for international passenger traffic. The new contract also allows G4S providing services at Dubai World Central-Al Maktoum International Airport from October 2013.

November 2012

Implant Sciences

Corporation -

Implant Sciences Corporation announced that it has sold a Quantum Sniffer QS-H150 unit to a new distributor in the United Arab Emirates.

October 2012 emaratech

AOptix IrisGuard

-

In October 2012, AOptix and IrisGuard both received contracts to supply iris and facial recognition systems to speed-up and secure the immigration process. There is some question as to who is supplying which area however, although it is believed that emaratech was the prime contractor and chose both.

January 2011 American

Science and Engineering

US$5.5m

American Science and Engineering Inc. (AS&E) announced that it had received an order from Abu Dhabi Customs Administration for multiple Z Backscatter™ Van (ZBV™) X-ray screening systems andGemini™ 100100 parcel X-ray inspection systems. The ZBV and Gemini systems will be used to screen vehicles, cargo, and passenger bags at border checkpoints in Abu Dhabi, the largest emirate of the United Arab Emirates.


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7. Expert Opinion

7.1 Human Recognition Systems Jim Slevin is the managing director of Human Recognition Systems’ Aviation Business Unit.

Human Recognition Systems is a provider of security, access and measurement solutions and

products. Jim Slevin kindly provided answers to visiongain’s questions in June 2014.

Visiongain: Could you outline your role and background in Human Recognition Systems?

Jim Slevin: I am the Managing Director of Human Recognition Systems’ Aviation Business Unit.

My role is to lead this business vertical including Sales, Marketing, Delivery and our Product

Strategy. I also take an active role in leading our major accounts for our larger Airport clients and

Sales. Since joining HRS, I have focused on the delivery of Aviation related products to the leading

airports including London Gatwick, Manchester, Newcastle, Edinburgh, London City, Glasgow

International, Belfast International and Liverpool John Lennon.

7.1.1 Human Recognition Systems’ Position within the Aviation Security

Market Visiongain: Could you outline how Human Recognition Systems is involved in aviation

security?

Jim Slevin: We specialise in Identity Assured Management (IAM) solutions for the Aviation market.

With over ten years’ experience in the aviation industry, our proven security, access and

measurement solutions are widely used, enabling airports to deliver unique and personalised

passenger experiences; while increasing operational efficiency, retail conversion and

airside/landside security. We provide airports, airlines and their stakeholders with trusted

passenger and staff management solutions. Our goal is to establish IAM as the global standard for

safe and effective management of airports, with our products supporting the vision of a fully

biometrically enabled airport for passengers and staff alike.

Our products are currently active in 10 major UK airports with over 161,000 passengers using our

MFlow products every day. MFlow Journey has processed in excess of 100 million faces, with

MFlow Track processing over 12 million passengers every year. By the end of this year 2,500

authorised signatories will be using our MTrust solution across 800 sponsor companies to apply for

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8.2 American Science and Engineering Profile

Table 8.2 American Science and Engineering Company Overview 2013 (Total Revenue, HQ, Ticker IR Contact, Employees, Website)

Total company revenue $m US$190m

Headquarters Billerica, Massachusetts, USA

Ticker ASEI

IR Contact Annemarie Sadowski

Investor Relations Manager

Employees 344

Website www.as-e.com


Table 8.3 American Science and Engineering Major Aviation Security Contracts / Projects / Programmes (Date, Country, Value, Details)

Date Country Value Details

April 2014 Undisclosed - American Science & Engineering announced that it had received an order for 33 ZBV mobile screening systems for use in security applications. This was the largest single order to date.

March 2014 Taiwan -

American Science and Engineering announced that it had received an order for a Z Portal cargo screening system from Taiwan Aviation Police. Co-locating the Z Portal system with their existing Sentry Portal will allow a more comprehensive air cargo screening system to better detect organic threats and other contraband in pallets and containers routed through Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport.

January 2014

Middle East Region

-

American Science and Engineering announced that it had received an order for 28 ZBV mobile screening systems from a key Middle East channel partner. The ZBV systems will be used for law enforcement and security applications in multiple countries in the region.

January 2014

Asia-Pacific Region -

American Science and Engineering Inc. (AS&E) announced that it had received orders for 10 ZBV mobile inspection systems for customs and law enforcement applications

September 2013

USA US$12.4m

American Science and Engineering Inc. (AS&E) announced the receipt of a contract for service, maintenance, and spare parts from the U.S. government to continue support of its fleet of AS&E detection systems.

July 2013 USA US$60m

American Science and Engineering Inc. (AS&E) announced that it had received a multi-year Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity (IDIQ) contract from a government agency, valued up to $60 million, for the service and maintenance of its AS&E X-ray inspection systems in support of counter-drug and anti-terrorism missions. The first task order has been funded for $11.2 million. AS&E will provide support