Presenter:
Date:
Arizona & Higher Education 2014 and
Beyond
Dan AndersonDirector of Institutional ResearchOctober 22, 2014
Background and Outline
FY 2020 figures (outer ring) are Enterprise targets. Actual figures (inner ring) reflect the most current data available for each metric. The data points are color-coded as follows: 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14.
Arizona Higher Education EnterpriseAnnual Bachelor's
30,890
Adults with Bachelor's28.6%
Research Expenditures$1.94 billion
Undergraduate Enrollment142,400
Community College to Bachelor's9,985
Community College Transfers 13,429
College Going 60%
6-yearGraduation
65.4%
Freshmen Retention86.7%
Arizona High School Student Pipeline
5
Arizona High School Graduate Projections by Race/Ethnicity to 2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
White
HispanicACTUAL
PROJECTED
Black
Asian
Native American
6
Arizona High School GraduatesClass of 2012-13 College Going
Graduated from High School in
2012-13
Enrolled in a 2 Year Institution
Enrolled in a 4 Year Institution
Percent College Going
Whites 27,926 6,538 9,068 55.9%
Hispanics 20,918 5,777 3,334 43.6%
Blacks 3,199 842 781 50.7%
Native Americans
2,499 446 368 32.6%
Asians 2,195 395 1,132 69.6%
Unknown 2,481 526 567 44.1%
TOTAL 59,218 14,524 15,250 50.3%
7
Arizona High School GraduatesClass of 2006-07 College Graduation
Graduated from High School in
2006-07
Graduated from a 2 Year
Institution
Graduated from a 4 Year
Institution
Percent Bachelors
Degree Awards
Whites 30,895 1,899 7,886 25.5%
Hispanics 17,427 1,095 1,574 9.0%
Blacks 2,920 159 430 14.7%
Native Americans
3,147 138 196 6.2%
Asians 1,697 79 632 37.2%
TOTAL 56,086 3,370 10,718 19.1%
University System Enrollment
9
Undergraduate Enrollments in 2012-132,130
5,536
4,727
22,685
285
67,243
4,005
4,843
1,261
Native American
Asian
Black
Hispanic
Pacific Islander
White
Two or More
Nonresident Alien
UnknownTotal = 112,715
10
Degrees Awarded in the Arizona University System
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Graduate
Undergraduate
Total
11
Bachelors Degrees Awarded in 2012-13443
1,294
890
4,272
34
15,936
582582
801
Native American
Asian
Black
Hispanic
Pacific Islander
White
Two or More
Unknown
Nonresident AlienTotal = 24,834
It’s All About The Money
13
University Funding Formulas
• For many years, state funding for the universities used what was known as 22:1. That is, for every additional 22 FTE students, the universities would receive 1 faculty position plus a fraction of a support person.
• A new performance-based funding formula is being implemented. It is composed of degrees awarded, student credit hours and research funding. This is output, not input, based.
14
University System Revenues
• In 2013-14, total operating revenues to the universities were approximately $4.1 billion.
• Of that, $2.9 billion were education & general expenses (71%).
• The remaining $1.2 billion includes things like, research, athletics, room/board, etc.
• In 2014-15, revenues are expected to rise almost 7% to $4.4 billion.
• To put that in perspective, Arizona’s 2014-15 General Fund budget is $9.27 billion.
15
19.4%
16.1%
12.7%
10.7%
8.0%
8.3%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
Perc
ent
General Fund Appropriations for the Arizona University Systemas a Percent of Total State General Fund Appropriations
16
$7,636
$16,195 $15,634
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
Arizona University SystemOperating1 Revenues per FTE Student
1 Operating Revenues = combined general fund appropriations and net tuition and fee revenues
17
$11,725
$16,195 $15,634
$10,573$9,439
$5,061
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
Arizona's Universities General Fund Appropriations and Net Tuition and Fee Revenue
Per FTE Student
Operating Revenues/FTE
TF/FTE
GF/FTE
18
$2,313 $2,488 $3,032
$3,637 $3,578
$5,587
$6,711
$7,956
$9,633 $9,718
$-
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
AVG TUITION (Sticker Price) vs AVG TUITION PAID (Tuition and Mandatory Fees Less Gift Aid)
Arizona University SystemFY09 - FY13
Tracking Student Outcomes
20
Earnings of University GraduatesClasses of 1989-90 thru 2011-12
• In 2012, students who graduated in the last 23 years, (1989-90 thru 2011-12) earned $13.2 billion in wages in Arizona and contributed $947 million in state and local taxes.
• Of those 496,701 graduates, 241,434 (49%) were working in Arizona in 2012.
• For the class of 2011-12, about two thirds were working in Arizona in 2012.
21
Resident Undergraduate EmploymentYear
Graduated
Resident Bachelor Degrees Awarded
Percent Employed in Arizona
in 2012
Total Wages Earned 2012
Estimated AZ Total State Tax Revenue
Average Wage in 2012
1990 5,715 40.7% $173,288,382 $12,206,646 $74,5651991 8,694 43.5% $286,993,478 $20,229,830 $75,8041992 9,269 43.8% $307,284,971 $21,717,257 $75,6301993 9,812 44.5% $314,100,477 $22,223,247 $71,8771994 10,073 46.3% $334,448,581 $23,606,046 $71,6471995 10,222 48.1% $347,065,675 $24,519,152 $70,5701996 10,466 48.6% $345,177,191 $24,441,753 $67,8411997 10,474 49.2% $354,007,811 $25,000,059 $68,7661998 10,755 51.4% $355,089,848 $25,116,560 $64,1771999 10,759 51.6% $343,410,615 $24,331,288 $61,8422000 11,130 52.9% $361,996,961 $25,693,041 $61,4392001 11,011 54.4% $349,984,100 $24,844,652 $58,4572002 11,474 55.5% $359,277,484 $25,523,314 $56,4192003 12,138 56.7% $369,253,526 $26,274,980 $53,6472004 12,626 58.5% $372,561,802 $26,651,292 $50,4832005 13,445 59.8% $394,792,131 $28,277,595 $49,1032006 13,788 62.3% $403,839,563 $29,003,496 $47,0352007 13,895 63.6% $394,149,879 $28,478,336 $44,5822008 14,218 64.4% $367,690,370 $26,966,745 $40,1802009 15,092 65.1% $357,289,848 $26,626,502 $36,3652010 15,777 68.8% $370,502,581 $28,188,901 $34,1452011 16,733 72.8% $371,264,645 $29,245,283 $30,4692012 17,692 77.7% $285,896,568 $25,917,975 $20,808
22
Earnings of 2008-12 UndergraduatesCIP Code Description
Bachelors Degrees Awarded 2008-2012
Number Working in 2012
Median Wages in 2012
Agriculture, and Related Sciences 784 354 $35,290
Natural Resources and Conservation 610 246 $28,882
Architecture and Related Services 1,745 709 $35,208
Area, Ethnic, Cultural, and Gender Studies 681 310 $28,287
Communication, Journalism, and Related Programs 6,851 3,505 $32,997
Communications Technologies/Technicians & Support 76 56 $28,926
Computer and Information Sciences & Support Services 1,269 774 $53,769
Education 10,028 7,764 $36,102
Engineering 5,111 2,685 $59,273
Engineering Technologies/Technicians 824 409 $58,269
Foreign Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics 1,765 780 $29,749
Family and Consumer Sciences/Human Sciences 2,394 1,377 $28,875
Legal Professions and Studies 302 219 $30,359
English Language and Literatures/Letters 2,946 1,570 $29,217
Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies & Humanities 2,200 1,437 $35,591
Biological and Biomedical Sciences 6,753 3,062 $28,055
Mathematics and Statistics 824 356 $39,663
Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies 6,151 3,377 $36,292
Parks, Recreation, Leisure and Fitness Studies 2,461 1,496 $27,273
Philosophy and Religious Studies 791 367 $28,368
Physical Sciences 1,306 475 $37,215
Science Technologies and Technicians 1,004 732 $45,563
Psychology 6,445 3,561 $29,436
Security and Protective Services 1,811 1,236 $33,083
Public Administration and Social Service Professions 1,098 719 $34,029
Social Sciences 9,097 4,296 $31,414
Transportation and Materials Moving 256 151 $28,080
Visual and Performing Arts 5,819 2,830 $26,581
Health Professions and Related Clinical Sciences 5,063 3,260 $54,678
Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support 17,822 9,938 $41,656
History 1,983 996 $29,419
University Total 106,270 59,047 $36,320
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