1
Improvement of Public Transport in SurabayaMultidisciplinary MSc ProjectFaculty Civil Engineering and Geosciences TU Delft
2
Indonesia
• Population: 249 Million
• Dutch colony• Economic growth• Urbanization
• Weather• Nature
3
Problem definitionSurabaya
• Congestion
• Increasing demand for mobility
• Air pollution and public health
• Traffic safety
• Social inclusion
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011
244,435 526,837 823,849 974,266
1,028,686
3,007,739
4,465,144
5,726,514
Mobil
Sepeda Motor
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011
244,435 526,837 823,849 974,266
1,028,686
3,007,739
4,465,144
5,726,514
Mobil
Sepeda Motor
4
Research question
Which public transport system for Surabaya makes the entire city more sustainable, accessible and less congested, while creating most value for money?
5
Use of Simulation
• OmniTRANS• Intensity and capacity of roads
• Java Spatial Model• Predicting settlement• Population• Employment
6
Scenario set-up
Realistic scenario and two optimistic scenarios
1.Current Trend2.Super City3.Super City with Sustainable Conditions
ScenariosCT 2030 SC 2030 SCSC 2030
GDP growth 5% 7% 7%Employment growth
1%-2% 2%-3% 2%-3%
Good governance - - +Economic centres - - +TDM - - +
7
Alternatives
Alternative 1: Future plans Surabaya
Alternative 2: BRT ring road + grid
Alternative 3: Future plans + BRT ring road
8
Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA)Scores for Current Trend 2030
MCA total scores
CT2030 Weight Base 2030
1. Future plans
Surabaya
2. Ring road + Grid
3. Future plans +
RingTravel time gain
0.3 0 1.7 3.6 4.7
Speed 0.2 5.6 6.0 8.7 6.8Accessibility 0.2 197,000 204,000 237,000 226,000PT trips 0.3 97,000 176,000 328,000 214,000
Scenario Base 2030 1. Future plans Surabaya
2. Ring road + Grid
3. Future plans + Ring
CT2030 0.00 0.27 0.93 0.67SC2030 0.00 0.42 0.90 0.65SCSC2030 0.00 0.23 0.86 0.70
Good Sufficient Medium Bad
9
Impact assessment• Financial evaluation
• Cost• Revenue
BRT ring road + grid
• Economic evaluation• Traffic accidents• Healthcare• CO2 emissions• Value of time
BRT road + grid
10
ConclusionsWhich public transport system for Surabaya makes the entire city
more sustainable, accessible and less congested, while creating most value for money?
•BRT ring road + grid• Best mobility performance• Most value for money
•Future plans Surabaya• Improvement for Surabaya but high investment
•Future plans + BRT ring road only• Only feasible for the optimistic scenarios
11
Recommendations• More research is needed about the implementation of the BRT system
• Expansion of study area towards Madura Island to the north and Waru and Juanda Airport to the south
• Public transport can be an effective solution, however policy change and urban planning is needed to create a larger modal shift towards PT
• Include different income groups in the OmniTRANS model
• More detailed road network in the OmniTRANS model
Top Related