York Region Presentation to Markham Addressing Growth to 2041€¦ · York Region Presentation to...
24
1 Addressing Growth to 2041 Analyzing and Refining Draft Growth Scenarios York Region Presentation to Markham Valerie Shuttleworth Chief Planner
Transcript of York Region Presentation to Markham Addressing Growth to 2041€¦ · York Region Presentation to...
1
Add
ress
ing
Gro
wth
to 2
041
Ana
lyzi
ng a
nd R
efin
ing
Dra
ft G
row
th S
cena
rios
York
Reg
ion
Pres
enta
tion
to M
arkh
am
Vale
rie S
huttl
ewor
th
Chi
ef P
lann
er
2
Out
line
•
Mun
icip
al C
ompr
ehen
sive
Rev
iew
and
M
aste
r Pla
nnin
g P
roce
ss
•P
hase
1 C
onsu
ltatio
n an
d K
ey R
esul
ts
•Fo
reca
stin
g an
d D
raft
Gro
wth
Man
agem
ent
Sce
nario
s •
The
Pha
se 2
Pro
cess
•
Pre
ferr
ed G
row
th S
cena
rio –
Get
ting
ther
e…
Inte
grat
ed L
and
Use
, Inf
rast
ruct
ure
and
Fina
ncia
l Pla
nnin
g
3
RO
P P
hase
1 P
ublic
Con
sulta
tion
17 L
ocal
Mun
icip
al
Mee
tings
6
Repo
rts t
o Co
unci
l
2 In
terd
epar
tmen
tal
Mee
tings
3 Pu
blic
Ope
n Ho
uses
2 Te
chni
cal
Advi
sory
Co
mm
ittee
M
eetin
gs
1 Sp
ecia
l Mee
ting
of C
ounc
il
4 Ph
ase
1 ra
n fro
m Q
2 20
14 to
Q2
2015
5
Pol
icy
Are
as R
ecom
men
ded
for R
evie
w
Hous
ing
Heal
thy
Com
mun
ities
Prov
inci
al P
lan
Conf
orm
ity
Empl
oym
ent
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Cem
eter
ies
Agric
ultu
re
Econ
omic
De
velo
pmen
t
Reta
il
6
Phas
e 2
will
incl
ude
polic
y an
alys
is a
nd p
ropo
se
mod
ifica
tions
Key
Res
ults
from
Pha
se 1
TM
P C
onsu
ltatio
n
7
A.M
. Trip
s to
Wor
k fo
r 200
1 an
d 20
11
Sour
ce: T
rans
port
atio
n To
mor
row
Sur
vey
Man
agin
g co
nges
tion
and
redu
cing
trav
el ti
mes
is a
prio
rity
for o
ur re
side
nts
and
wor
kfor
ce
Key
Res
ult f
rom
Pha
se 1
W
ater
& W
aste
wat
er M
aste
r Pla
n
8
Acce
ss to
relia
ble
mun
icip
al w
ater
and
was
tew
ater
ser
vice
s is
a p
riorit
y fo
r our
resi
dent
s an
d w
orkf
orce
9
The
RO
P U
pdat
e A
ddre
ss G
row
th to
204
1
Fore
cast
gro
wth
is in
line
with
his
toric
al g
row
th ra
tes
0
2000
00
4000
00
6000
00
8000
00
1000
000
1200
000
1400
000
1600
000
1800
000
2000
000
1971
1981
1991
2001
2011
2021
2031
2036
2041
Popu
latio
nEm
ploy
men
t
Grow
th P
lan
Amen
dmen
tFo
reca
stAc
tual
1971
1
981
1
991
2
001
2
011
2
021
2
031
2
036
2
041
10
Fore
cast
and
Lan
d B
udge
t wor
k is
R
equi
red
to C
onfo
rm to
the
Gro
wth
Pla
n
•50
peo
ple
and
jobs
per
hec
tare
in n
ew
gree
nfie
ld a
reas
•20
0 pe
ople
and
jobs
per
hec
tare
in
Reg
iona
l Cen
tres
•M
inim
um 4
0% in
tens
ifica
tion
Den
sity
targ
ets
supp
ort i
nves
tmen
t in
infra
stru
ctur
e
11
Con
text
for t
he F
orec
asts
•
Fore
cast
s ta
ke a
ccou
nt o
f: –
Res
iden
tial a
nd e
mpl
oym
ent
land
sup
ply
–C
hang
ing
dem
ogra
phic
and
ec
onom
ic fa
ctor
s –
Reg
iona
l and
loca
l mun
icip
al
polic
y
–In
frast
ruct
ure
loca
tion,
tim
ing
and
capa
city
–
Prov
inci
al G
row
th P
lan
polic
y re
quire
men
ts
12
Thre
e D
raft
Gro
wth
Sce
nario
s w
ere
Dev
elop
ed
1.40
% In
tens
ifica
tion
–G
row
th P
lan
min
imum
requ
irem
ent
–R
equi
res
urba
n ex
pans
ion
2.50
% In
tens
ifica
tion
–H
ighe
r int
ensi
ficat
ion
stan
dard
than
Gro
wth
Pla
n –
Req
uire
s ur
ban
expa
nsio
n, b
ut le
ss th
an 4
0% s
cena
rio
3.N
o U
rban
Exp
ansi
on
–H
ighe
st in
tens
ifica
tion
stan
dard
am
ong
the
3 sc
enar
ios
–N
o ex
pans
ion
beyo
nd e
xist
ing
RO
PA’s
1, 2
and
3
Al
l sce
nario
s m
eet G
row
th P
lan
40%
inte
nsifi
catio
n ta
rget
13
Hou
sing
Uni
ts b
y La
nd A
rea
Cat
egor
y
TOTA
L ST
OCK
- Gr
ound
Rel
ated
Sha
re 7
9% /
Apar
tmen
t Sha
re 2
1%
TOTA
L ST
OCK
- Gr
ound
Rel
ated
Sha
re 7
5% /
Apar
tmen
t Sha
re 2
5%
TOTA
L ST
OCK
- Gr
ound
Rel
ated
Sha
re 7
1% /
Apar
tmen
t Sha
re 2
9%
14
Dra
ft P
opul
atio
n Fo
reca
st S
cena
rios
for 2
041
M
unic
ipal
ity
Dec
. 201
4
Pop.
Est
imat
e RO
P 20
10
(203
1)
40%
Sc
enar
io
50%
Sce
nario
N
o Ex
pans
ion
Auro
ra
56,2
00
70,2
00
76,7
00
79,5
00
81,0
00
East
Gw
illim
bury
24
,300
86
,500
13
5,30
0 11
3,40
0 10
8,70
0
Geo
rgin
a 46
,900
70
,300
71
,900
73
,300
73
,400
King
24
,000
34
,900
35
,100
33
,600
34
,200
Mar
kham
34
2,00
0 42
1,60
0 54
1,80
0 54
1,90
0 53
6,60
0
New
mar
ket
85,7
00
97,1
00
107,
000
112,
400
114,
900
Rich
mon
d Hi
ll 20
3,20
0 24
2,20
0 27
0,90
0 28
4,40
0 28
4,70
0
Vaug
han
317,
900
416,
600
486,
100
484,
500
488,
600
Whi
tchu
rch-
Stou
ffvill
e 44
,600
60
,600
65
,200
67
,000
67
,900
York
Reg
ion
1,14
4,80
0 1,
500,
000
1,79
0,00
0 1,
790,
000
1,79
0,00
0
15
Hou
sing
Mix
Com
paris
on –
S
hare
of h
ousi
ng G
row
th B
y U
nit T
ype
2005
-201
4 (A
ctua
l) 20
06-2
031
(RO
P 20
10)
2011
-204
1
201
1-20
41
2011
-204
1 (4
0%)
(50%
)
Gro
und
rela
ted
units
in to
tal h
ousi
ng s
tock
rang
e fro
m
79%
(40%
Inte
nsifi
catio
n) to
71%
(no
urba
n ex
pans
ion)
(No
Urb
an
Expa
nsio
n)
16
Dra
ft 20
41 E
mpl
oym
ent F
orec
ast S
cena
rios
M
unic
ipal
ity
2014
Em
ploy
men
t Es
timat
e
ROP
2010
(2
031)
40%
Sc
enar
io
50%
Sc
enar
io
No
Urb
an
Expa
nsio
n
Auro
ra
27,0
00
34,2
00
37,0
00
37,4
00
38,0
00
East
Gw
illim
bury
9,
500
34,4
00
48,9
00
45,2
00
41,9
00
Geo
rgin
a 8,
800
21,2
00
23,6
00
23,9
00
23,7
00
King
8,
900
11,9
00
14,3
00
14,1
00
13,4
00
Mar
kham
17
0,00
0 24
0,40
0 27
5,70
0 27
5,60
0 27
4,80
0
New
mar
ket
42,7
00
49,4
00
55,0
00
55,9
00
56,6
00
Rich
mon
d Hi
ll 75
,200
99
,400
11
0,40
0 11
2,70
0 11
3,80
0
Vaug
han
208,
100
266,
100
312,
100
312,
000
314,
400
Whi
tchu
rch-
Stou
ffvill
e 14
,400
23
,000
23
,000
23
,200
23
,400
York
Reg
ion
564,
600
780,
000
900,
000
900,
000
900,
000
17
York
Reg
ion
Em
ploy
men
t For
ecas
t By
Type
Com
paris
on
Dra
ft fo
reca
st s
cena
rios
refle
ct a
shi
ft to
maj
or o
ffice
and
po
pula
tion-
rela
ted
empl
oym
ent
18
40%
and
50%
Sce
nario
s R
equi
re
Urb
an E
xpan
sion
Dra
ft G
row
th S
cena
rio W
hite
belt
Land
Req
uire
men
ts (h
ecta
res)
to 2
041
Scen
ario
C
omm
unity
La
nds
Empl
oym
ent
Land
s To
tal
40%
Inte
nsifi
catio
n Sc
enar
io
2,30
0 16
0 2,
460
50%
Inte
nsifi
catio
n Sc
enar
io
1,10
0 16
0 1,
260
Phas
e 2
will
test
urb
an e
xpan
sion
loca
tions
19
Pha
se 2
is a
n Ite
rativ
e P
roce
ss
Phas
e 2
is a
n ite
rativ
e pr
oces
s w
ith th
e re
finem
ent a
nd a
naly
sis
of d
raft
grow
th s
cena
rios
20
Con
sist
ent w
ith th
e ap
prov
ed R
OP,
the
Pref
erre
d Sc
enar
io w
ill:
•S
uppo
rt th
e R
egio
nal S
truct
ure
of c
entre
s an
d co
rrido
rs
•B
e tra
nsit
supp
ortiv
e an
d pe
dest
rian
orie
nted
citi
es a
nd
new
com
mun
ities
•
Ens
ure
fisca
l res
pons
ibilit
y •
Sup
port
an e
ffici
ent a
nd c
ost e
ffect
ive
trans
porta
tion
syst
em o
f roa
ds, t
rans
it an
d ac
tive
trans
porta
tion
optio
ns
•A
chie
ve o
ptim
al u
se o
f exi
stin
g an
d fu
ture
wat
er a
nd
was
tew
ater
infra
stru
ctur
e •
Incl
ude
hous
ing
dive
rsity
and
affo
rdab
ility
•
Add
ress
job
crea
tion
and
the
prot
ectio
n of
em
ploy
men
t la
nds
C
reat
ing
Stro
ng, C
arin
g, S
afe
Com
mun
ities
21
Con
sist
ent w
ith C
ounc
il di
rect
ion,
the
Pre
ferr
ed
Tran
spor
tatio
n M
aste
r Pla
n w
ill:
•O
ptim
ize:
impr
ove
on w
hat
we
have
•E
xpan
d: c
reat
e m
ore
way
s to
get
aro
und
•Tr
ansf
orm
: rad
ical
ly s
hift
how
we
trave
l
Fina
lizat
ion
of th
e M
aste
r Pla
ns a
nd d
evel
opm
ent o
f a
pref
erre
d gr
owth
sce
nario
go
hand
-in-h
and
22
•In
tegr
ate:
–
Wat
er C
onse
rvat
ion
–In
flow
and
Infil
tratio
n R
educ
tion
–W
ith lo
cal m
unic
ipal
sys
tem
s –
Asse
t man
agem
ent
•Pr
ovid
e In
nova
tive
oppo
rtun
ities
for:
–
Clim
ate
Cha
nge
Adap
tatio
n an
d R
esilie
ncy
–En
ergy
effi
cien
cy, r
ecov
ery
and
oppo
rtuni
ties
for r
enew
able
en
ergy
•O
ptim
ize
Exis
ting
Infr
astr
uctu
re
The
Mas
ter P
lan
will
supp
ort g
row
th to
204
1 an
d be
yond
sa
fely,
relia
bly,
cos
t effi
cien
tly a
nd s
usta
inab
ly
The
2015
Wat
er &
Was
tew
ater
M
aste
r Pla
n w
ill:
Q2
2015
Q
2-Q
3 20
15
Q4
2015
Q
1 20
16
Nex
t Ste
ps –
Pha
se T
wo
Polic
y Ar
eas a
nd D
raft
G
row
th S
cena
rios f
or
Revi
ew
Deta
iled
Anal
ysis
and
Refin
emen
t
Reco
mm
ende
d Sc
enar
io a
nd
Polic
y Di
rect
ion
Draf
t RO
PA
Regi
onal
Offi
cial
Pla
n:
23
Polic
y &
Net
wor
k Sc
enar
ios
Fina
ncia
l An
alys
is Re
com
men
ded
Net
wor
k Pl
an
Draf
t TM
P
Tran
spor
tatio
n M
aste
r Pla
n:
Serv
icin
g St
rate
gies
Ev
alua
te
Serv
icin
g Al
tern
ativ
es
Reco
mm
ende
d Se
rvic
ing
Plan
Dr
aft
W/W
W M
P
Wat
er a
nd W
aste
wat
er M
aste
r Pla
n:
A pr
efer
red
scen
ario
, and
pol
icy
dire
ctio
n be
fore
Cou
ncil
in
Nov
embe
r 201
5
Your
Inpu
t and
Que
stio
ns a
re W
elco
me
