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Transcript of Yoo sinjae
8/8/2019 Yoo sinjae
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Concept of Concept of
Ecosystem CarryingEcosystem Carrying
Capacity for MarineCapacity for MarineEcosystem ManagementEcosystem Management
Sinjae Yoo
KORDI
Ansan, South Korea
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OutlineOutline
Why a new concept?
•Ecosystem services
•Interactions, linkages, and tradeoffsEcosystem Carrying Capacity
•Definition
•PropertiesFuture directions
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YSLME Project YSLME Project
Project Title: “Reducing Environment Stress
in the Yellow Sea Large Marine Ecosystem”.
Project Objective: Ecosystem-based
Environmentally-Sustainable managementand Use of the YSLME and its Watershed:Reducing Development Stress andPromoting sustainable Development of the
Ecosystem from a Densely Populated,Heavily Urbanised, Industrialised Semi-Enclosed Shelf Sea
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Five major environmentalFive major environmental
problemsproblems
in the Yellow Sea ecosystemin the Yellow Sea ecosystem(from TDA report)(from TDA report)
Marine environmental pollution
Marine and coastal habitatmodification
Change in ecosystem structures and
functionsUnsustainable fisheries
Unsustainable mariculture practices
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Since we identified themajor problems, all wehave to do is to solveeach problem?
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Interactions between ecosystems and humanInteractions between ecosystems and human
societiessocieties
Indirect drivers
Directdriver
s
Services
Benefits people get from ecosystems
Drivers
Factors that change ecosystem structures, rates,and processes
Climate systemsClimate systems
P i i i i f
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Provisioning services of Provisioning services of
YSE YSEFoods
•wild fish, shellfish, algae, etc
•Aquaculture
Genetic resources
New materials
Biofuels
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Regulation services of Regulation services of
YSE YSESewage treatment (water quality
regulation)
Disease control
Climate regulation
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Supporting services of Supporting services of
YSE YSE
Nutrient cycling
Primary and secondary production, and
their transferMaintenance of biodiversity
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Cultural services of YSECultural services of YSE
Spiritual/religious values
Aesthetic values
Recreation and ecotourismCultural diversity
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Multiple driversMultiple drivers
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Construction/Water use
Freshwaterinput
Temp.
Aquaculture
Precipitation
HAB
Eutrophication
Food web/Productivity
NutrientsN:P:Si
Hypoxia
Stratification
HUMAN ACTIVITIESLand use (agriculture, sewage)
Jellyfish
Sea level rise.
Fisheries
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Provisioningservices
Fish catchaquaculture
Maintenanceof
biodiversity
biofuels
pollution
Regulatingservices
WaterQuality
regulation
Climate
control
Diseasecontrol
Supportingservices
Overfishing
Habitatmodification
Unhealthy
Aquaculture
Climatechange
Geneticresources
Nutrientcycling
Primary andsecondaryproduction
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Ecosystems provide many services.We cannot manage each service
separately.
• There are linkages and tradeoffsamong services.
•Not all the drivers are controllable(e.g., climate change).
There is a limit in ecosystem servicesand the services are inter-dependent.
Necessity of a unifiedconcept
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The limit of services will be determined by
various ecological processes, which in turnare determined by ecosystem configurationand state.
There is a need for a comprehensive andholistic quantity that describe this capacityof ecosystem to provide its services.
Such capacity will change under different
environmental conditions.
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Logistic modelLogistic modelVerhulst (1838, 1845)Verhulst (1838, 1845)
0 0 t
N K/2
h
K
Exponential
growth(1 )m
dN N
r N dt K = −
( )
1 1(0)
rt
K N t
K e N
=
+ −
Logisticgrowth
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Previous usage of the term‘Carrying Capacity’
Human population dynamics (Verhulst,1838 & 1845)
One of the basic concepts in ecology: r-
K selection,PICES Science Program (1996-2006):
“Climate Change and Carrying
Capacity”Ability of ecosystems to sustain fisheryand other living resources,” (Olsen, etal., 2006).
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Ecosystem CarryingEcosystem Carrying
CapacityCapacityCapacity of an ecosystem to
provide various services
The capacity is determined byecosystem structure, productivityand habitat integrity.
This capacity will change associetal requirements increase andclimate change accelerates.
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ECC through timeECC through time
Time
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Determinants of ECC andDeterminants of ECC and
driversdrivers
Ecosystem structure• Trophic structure (e.g., fishing, climate change,
nutrient budgets)
Biological Productivity
• Nutrient budget, climate change (stratification,alteration of freshwater cycle, solar radiation,etc)
Habitats integrity
• Water quality (eutrophication, aquaculture)
• Habitat destruction and modification
• hypoxia
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Further questions
How to quantify ECC?
•Different approaches for services?Provisioning services
Regulating
Supporting
Cultural
•Or unified valuation?
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Properties of ECC
How long does an ecosystem canprovide its services at certain level?(sustainability)
How much an ecosystem providethat service? (maximum Capacity)
How stable are the services?(resilience)
F di i fF t di ti f
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Future directions forFuture directions for
YSLME YSLME Theoretical formulation
•Quantification of ECC
•Properties of ECC and their behavior
Assessment of ECC of YSLME
•Multi-scale approaches are desirableModeling of ECC of YSLME based on scenarios
•How will it change given the changes in theecosystem by climate changes
•Regional scenarios
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SummarySummary
For a unified concept of ecosystemmanagement, ECC is proposed.
ECC can conveys in the time of rapidly changing world.
Further formulation is needed to usethe new concept.
Scenarios-modeling in regional scalewill be useful for future management.