YGN Future 2 Dec 2014

Yangon Present and Future; Presented at AMA 13.12.2014 (Part II)

Yangon Present and Future; Presented at AMA 13.12.2014 (Part II, Housing, Legal Frameworks in Urban Issues, Yangon

Extensions & National Urbanization Strategy)

1. Housing solving methods

2. Housing Financing &

3. Legal issues on housing

4. Yangon extension

5. Legal issues on Land

6. National Urbanization Strategy

7. Difficulties

Investors from many countries are keen to help Yangons

development

Do we have firm legal framework?Do we have proper policy?Do we have sufficient know-how?Do we have proper controlling system?

Population forecast for Yangon city with 3 scenarios

2.03

2.95

5.2

6.5

8.2

10.3

12.9

2.03

2.95

6.9

9.2

12.4

16.6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

^1973 ^1983 ^2014 ^2024 ^2034 ^2044 ^2055

P

o

p

u

l

a

t

i

o

n

(

M

i

l

l

)

Years

Lower Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 2.3% yearly)

Middle Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 2.6% yearly)

Higher Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 3% yearly)

Issue no. 6. Housing issues

The past solutions: 1. Site & Service Schemes

Public-Private Partnership

Site & Service Schemes: Low standard & unhygienic areas developed as a result

Low standard & unhygienic areas developed as a result of site & service schemes

Now the city has 365 sq. miles

In the last decades, housing units with inhumane designs were constructed

These residential areas had no:

Childrens playground

No Car Parking

No Proper waste disposal systems

Above all: no proper building distances and too high FAI

In the last decades, housing units with inhumane designs were constructed

View of the Project

Views of Front & Backyards

8 (2,4m)

Typical plans of Walk-up apartments in Yangon

Mudita Housing (no windows, no day-light, no ventilation)

Challenges of Yangon in Housing Sector (Inhumane dwellings of the last 2 decades)

Investment & return analysis for 100 units with 600 sq. ft.

Investment for 1 units is:-(600x 14 000= 8400 000) Kyats or 84 lakhs, say 90 lakhs

Investment for 100 apartments is 9000 lakhs 40% goes to government The average sale price of apartments is 300

lakhs

Therefore the return is 300x60=18 000 lakhs

100% profit within a few years,

Where is better business????

Theoretical housing need for Yangon, calculated based on 2.5% population growth rate and 5 persons per household

0.31

0.40

0.51

0.66

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

Y2010 Y2020 Y2030 Y2040 Y2050

Theoretical decadal housing need in mill. (starting from 2010)

Yearly 20 000 units yearly are needed Around 7000 units Were constructed yearly between 2009 & 2010r

The issues in Housing Sector

1. Humane housing designs

2. Humane housing estates

3. The beginning of housing Financing System

YCDC projects

Around 250 lakhs

per unit

View of duplex units

3 bed room units with 940 or 1000 sq. ft. per Unit

Review of Housing solving methods Site & services (urban sprawl, increased

infrastructural cost, social segregation, poor housing are vulnerable to hazards)

From hut to apartments (Not applicable to all places & not sustainable)

Public private partnership (PPP) (Low quality, inhumane housing, 40%-60% great lost to public sector)

New solutions YCDC is practising (cost around 200 Lakhs per unit)

Need for housing Financing Mechanism,

5.1%

20.6%

26.5%

24.3%

13.6%

6.6%

2.2%

1.2%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

Below 50 000

50 000 to 100 000

100 000 to 150 000

150 000 to 200 000

200 000 to 300 000

300 000 to 500 000

300 000 to 500 000

Above 1000 000

Percentage in income groups

Percentage in income groups

About 70% of HouseholdsShould be the target

Income groups are based on YCDC Survey

Housing Financing Mechanism

Partial down-payment

Gradual repayment

Internationally accepted formula

PM=L x Int/(1- 1+Int)-N

Where

PM is monthly repayment

L is the loan amount

Int is the yearly interest rate

N is the number of times repayment


89972.6 Kyats per month, say 90 000 Kyats

The bank interest rate in Myanmar is 8%, therefore 9% was based in the calculation

If we take 4% interest rate for calculation, which is normal in most countries, then the monthly repayment shall be around 60 000 Kyats per month.

Basic rules in all kinds of financing

1. Never give free, we can help but not free

2. If you give free, only a few will gain

3. Cross-subsidise if possible

4. Recover the investment to increase capital and to increase people who benefit

Request no. 2-to all Establishment of

Housing Financing MechanismHire Purchase Housing

In Canada & in US is termed Installment Plan

Laws Concerning Housing Sector

1947 Immovable Property Act 1947 Urban Rent Control Act

One new law should be adopted Which is Condominium Law

Essence of Condominium Law

1. All units belong legally to those who buy them. For that reason they have all rights to sell, to mortgage or rent with or without the consent of the developers or any other parties

2. Since the units belong to the individuals they have the duty and responsibility to maintain their units individually and common portion commonly

3. They must raise and maintain funds for long term maintenance

The Disputes on Condominium Law

The Immovable Property Act of 1947 Many developers want that the

condominiums could be sold to foreign citizens

To consider a good condominium in Singapore cost between 5 to 12 million Kyats

In Myanmar it is around 0.5 million Kyats

Request no. 3-to allCondominium Law

The Condominium law and immovable property acts are separate issues and possibility to sell condominiums to the foreign citizens should be discussed separately

Issue no. 7.Yangon Extension

Population forecast for Yangon city with 3 scenarios

2.03

2.95

5.2

6.5

8.2

10.3

12.9

2.03

2.95

6.9

9.2

12.4

16.6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

^1973 ^1983 ^2014 ^2024 ^2034 ^2044 ^2055

P

o

p

u

l

a

t

i

o

n

(

M

i

l

l

)

Years

Lower Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 2.3% yearly)

Middle Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 2.6% yearly)

Higher Scenairo (Based on growth rate of 3% yearly)

Additionally SEZ shall be another attraction pole

0.020.12

0.60

1.20

3.00

4.00

0.12

0.300.42

0.90

1.20

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

^1994 ^1996 ^1998 ^2000 ^2002 ^2004 ^2006 ^2008 ^2010 ^2012

U

S

$

/

s

q

.

m

Land price changes in Yangon

Land price at first class areas (Kyats Lakhs/Sft)

Land prices at middle value areas (Kyats Lakhs/Sft)

Land prices at suburbs (Kyats Lakhs/Sft)

0.5 4.020.0

175.0

300.0

600.0

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

^1985 ^1990 ^1995 ^2000 ^2005 ^2010

A

x

i

s

T

i

t

l

e

Comparison between Land/Gold & US Dollar price Changes

First class land (Kyts Lakhs/100 sq. ft) Gold price (Kyts Lakhs/ Viss US Dollars Kyats /10 $

6 830

60

250

10 12

60

100

500

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Y1990 Y1995 Y2000 Y2005 Y2010

A

x

i

s

T

i

t

l

e

Selected Years

Changes of apartment prices in Yangon in selected townships (in Lakhs Kyats for one apartment at 4th or 5th floors, 600 sft.)

Tamwe Pazun Daung Mingala Taung Nyunt Latha/ Lanmadaw

Priorities should be 1. Densification 2. Filling the gaps 3. Extension

6965.1

5192.1

6564.6

4050.0 4153.0

7666.7

5065.5

934.6

2431.3

500.0

117.0

2500.0

0.0

1000.0

2000.0

3000.0

4000.0

5000.0

6000.0

7000.0

8000.0

9000.0

Yangon Djakarta Manila Ho Chi Minh City Hanoi Bangkok

Land prices (US $/sq.m) in selected ASEAN cities (Sources: Processed from various sources)

Average price (Commercial) Average price (High class residential)

11.9

10.2

8.3

7.4

6.5

5.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

Manila (Metro) Jakarta (CapitalCity)

Bangok (City) Ho Chi Minh City Hanoi (Metro) Yangon

Population (Mill)

Population (Mill)

Middle Zone

PabedanLathaLanmadaw

Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone

Mayangone

Insein

Northern ZoneNorth Okalapa

Mingalardon

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone

Southern Outer ZoneDala

Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad

Planned circular roadPl

anne

d ci

rcul

ar r

oad

SecondaryCBD(planned)

ExtensionAreas

ExtensionAreas

IndustrialZones

IndustrialZones

IndustrialZones

SEZ

IndustrialZones

1. Infrastructure improvement2. Transportation improvement3. Land-use pattern changes

6. Employment generation

4. Inner Ring & outer ring5. Heritage conservation

Conceptual Development Plan

Middle Zone


Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad

Planned circular road

Plan

ned

circ

ular

roa

dComme rc ia l Ce ntre

Planned Area

Potential Extension Areas

Around 20 000 Acres are alreadyIncluded in Yangon area

Considering Extension Priorities

Density comparison among zones

23848

56091

101812

59424

49077

1514619779

7449

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Population density (P/sq.ml.)

Population density (P/sq.ml.)

Source: Calculated base on the data of YESB

0.08 0.08

0.02

0.21

0.08

0.01

0.13

0.040.06

0.04

0.25

0.19

0.11

0.14

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

Electric SupplyElectric meter box & Households in Yangon Zones (data

from 2012)

Meter boxes (mill) House-holds (mill)

850.51

609.25

72.61

221.15

340.88

491.11

249.61

0.00

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

800.00

900.00

Supplied units per & Households in August 2012 in Yangon Zones

Supplied Units per Household

In the electricity supply, Units per Household in August 2013

M

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Electricity, supplied units per household

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a

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850 units per Household in CBD

72 units per Householdin Southern Zone


Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone

Middle Zone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun


Ahlone

Thaketa

Kyauktada

Botataung

PazundaungDawbon

Mingala Taung NyuntDagon

Dala

Seikyi

Bahan

Kyee

myi

n din

e

Sanchaung

Hlaing

Kamaryut

Mayangone

Insein

Mingalardon

Hlaing Tharyar

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Shwe Pyitha

Thin Gan Gyun

North Oakkalapa

Aung MingalarHighway Station

Eastern zone density (South & North Dagon)7500 p/sq.ml

Middle (Kyee Myin Dine, Hlaing, etc)(110 000 p/sq.ml)

Commercial Establishments Distribution

Bah anBah anK

yeem

yind

ine

San chau ng

Hlaing

K amaryut

1.Mindama Secondary CBD

2.Dagon Myo Thit Sub-center

Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad


Plan

ned

circ

ular

roa

d

Commercial Building (100 nos)

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Th aketa

Dawbon

Y an kin

Tar mway

Sou th Oak kalapa

Thin Gan Gyun


26% in CBD

34% in Inner City Areas

Unequal Densities

M in gala Taung Nyunt

Bah an

Inn er cit y Zone

P azun daung

M in gala Taung NyuntDagon

Bah an

Kye

emyi

ndin

e

San ch au ng

Hlaing

K amaryut

CBD Zone



Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad


Plan

ned

circ

ular

roa

d

Distribution of Population &Commercial Establishments in YCDC area

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Th aketa

Dawbon

Y an kin

Tar mway

Sou th Oak kalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Populations (10000 persons)


Population Densities &Commercial Area Densities are uneven

Mingala Taung Nyunt

Bahan

Inner city Zone

Pazundaung

Mingala Taung NyuntDagon

Bahan

Kyee

myi

n din

e

Sanchaung

Hlaing

Kamaryut

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon


Seikyi Kanaungto

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-Western Zone

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone


Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

216 000 p/SM

Commercial establishments distribution

50% of all commercial establishmentsare concentrated in 10% of an area

C

B

D

1

.

3

%

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5551 establishments

7758establishments

E

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3

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.

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Issue no. 3. Issue of Land-use & Central Business District location

7% of Yangons population living in 3% of the area

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone

Middle Zone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-Western Zone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun


Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

Another sub-centreBeyond localRequirementIs justified

Recommendation for Issue no. 3 is

-- Decentralization & Dispersion

Considering Extension Priorities

M in gala Taung Nyunt

Bah an

Inn er cit y Zone

P azun daung

M in gala Taung NyuntDagon

Bah an

Kye

emyi

ndin

e

San ch au ng

Hlaing

K amaryut

CBD Zone



Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad


Plan

ned

circ

ular

roa

d

Distribution of Population &Commercial Establishments in YCDC area

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Th aketa

Dawbon

Y an kin

Tar mway

Sou th Oak kalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Populations (10000 persons)


Densities are higher in the southern & western zones

Underground Tunnels are required (1 tunnel 1 Bill.$)

Outer Ring Road()

Inner Ring road()

Yangon Urban Expressway()

Overall Project Plan

Link road ( )

-

(

.

)

()

()

.

.

-

Endeavour no.3 Circular roads

(Overall Project Plan )

Khayaepin Rd

Bag

o Ri

ver

Bago

Rive

r

YwarTharGyi

Station

Commercial Centre

Low Rise Residential Area438.14 Acre



Low Rise Residential Area283.99Acre


Middle Rise Residential Area330.24 Acre

Middle Rise Residential Area460.19 Acre


High Rise Residential Area554.65 Acre

High Rise Residential Area335.82Acre





Sports & recreation278.40 Acre

Terminal Gate &Work Shops317.78Acre

Sports & recreation336.72 Acre

High Rise Residential Area264.93Acre

Industrial Zone1313 Acres

Industrial Zone368 Acres

Y a ng on Ci ty De v e l op ment Committee

Y.C.D.C

Layout Plan

Yangon North-East City Extension

uefUowf

16

uefUowf

2

2000 4000

0

2 4 Km

0

0

1 3 Miles

1000 3000 5000 Yds

1 3

yHk(6)

pDrHudef;zGJUpnf;wnfaqmufrIjyyHk

Existing Villages

Existing Villages

Existing Villages

Existing Villages

pD;yGm;a&;Zkefrsm;

tm;upm;Zkefrsm;? tm;upm;&Gmrsm;pdrf;vef;pdkajye,fajr? O,smOfyef;jcHrsm;pufrIZkefrsm;txyfedrfhvlae&yfuGufrsm;

ta0;ajy;,mOf&yfem;pcef;rsm;

txyfjrifhvlae&yfuGufrsm;

Existing Villages

Existing Villages

Existing Villages

tv,ftvwftqifhvlae&yfuGufrsm;vuf&Sdvlaeaus;&Gmrsm;

&nfnTef;csufrsm;

904 acres

Figure(5)

Planned Area

uefUowf15

uefUowf

2 4 6 Miles

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Yds

0

0

2 4 6 8 Km

a&G;cs,fxm;aom pDrHudef;tqdkjyKae&mjyyHkyHk (5)

Development Cost

Seikkyikanaungdo

136 acresCommercialCenter

145 acresC om mercialC enter

Highriseresidential737acres

Lowriseresidential

Lowriseresidential

Lowriseresidential

Lowriseresidential


Highriseresidentialacres

Highriseresidential

Mid-riseresidential

Pollution freeIndustrial

Lowriseresidential

Mid-riseresidential

M id-riseresidential888acres

Mid-riseresidential

Mid-riseresidential

Lowriseresidential



Bridgetobeconstructed


Middle Zone


Ahlone

Kyauktada

Botataung

CBD Zone

Seikan

Dagon Seikkan

South Dagon

North Dagon

East Dagon

Eastern Zone

Mayangone

Insein


Mingalardon

Shwe Pyitha

Hlaing Tharyar

North-WesternZone


Seikyi Kanaungto

SoutheasZone

Thaketa

Dawbon

Yankin

Tarmway

South Oakkalapa

Thin Gan Gyun

Plann

ed circ

ular ro

ad

Planned circular roadPl

anne

d ci

rcul

ar r

oad

SecondaryCBD(planned)

ExtensionAreas

ExtensionAreas

IndustrialZones

IndustrialZones

IndustrialZones

SEZ

IndustrialZones

1. Infrastructure improvement2. Transportation improvement3. Land-use pattern changes

6. Employment generation

4. Inner Ring & outer ring5. Heritage conservation

Summarized presentation

1

2

3

4

Cost Comparison

1. Development cost in Northeast Zone Average 40 Mill. Kyats / Acre + 2.3 mill. for main Roads. Therefore total 42.3 mill. Kyats /Acre

2. Development cost in Southeast Zone-Average 40 Mill. Kyats / Acre + 4 mill. for main Roads. Therefore total 43.7 mill. Kyats /Acre

Issue of Yangon Extension

1. To densify first to save agricultural land converted into urban areas

2. Extension in the east where no additional bridges are required

3. To think of South and South West Areas

Issue no. 8Laws and Legality in Urban

Development

Laws Concerning Urban Development in Myanmar

2008 Constitution of The Republic of Union of Myanmar 1974 Constitution of the Socialist Republic of the Union

of Burma 1924 Rangoon Development Trust Act 1954 Town & Country Planning Act 1990 YCDC Law

1894 Land Acquisition Act (4) 1907 Lower Burma Town & Village Act 1947 Immovable Property Act 1947 Urban Rent Control Act

Required Laws Concerning Land Issues & Urban Development (Conversion from agricultural land

Right for acquisition in public interest (In America it is called Eminent Domain Act, in UK Compulsory Purchase Act) In Myanmar The 1894 Land Acquisition Act is still valid

Central Administrative Body of Farm Land shall examine the town plans (chapter VI, Duties and responsibilities of Central Administrative Body of Farm Land )

The conversion procedures must be approved the Union Government (chapter X , utilization of farmland)

These laws prevent easy conversion of agricultural land into urban landand land speculation

Required Laws Concerning Land Issues & Urban Development (Conversion from agricultural land

Measures for compensation (2012 Farmland Law, chapter IX) to compensate as agricultural land)

Agricultural Land must be used only for agricultural purposes)

Therefore to buy agricultural land for land speculation should not be profitable. (if laws are effective)

Requirements in Urban Development Issues

Planning ahead and land bank

1. Increase Supply (Compensation system: Urban land for urban-land-prices Agricultural land for Agricultural-Land-Prices

1. Urban Planning Law

NrdKUjypDrHudef;Oya'twGuf t"duyg0if&rnf jzpfaomtcsuf (6) csuf

Urban Planning LawNrdKUjypDrHudef;Oya'

NrdKUjypDrHudef; Oya'\ t"dutESpfom&

1. NrdKUjya'orsm;onf aemifumvtwGuf zGH Y NzdK;rIpDrHudef;rsm;xm;&Sd&rnf/

2. a&;qGJxm;aompDrHudef;rsm;onf trsm;jynfolu odk Yr[kwftrsm;jynfoludk udk,fpm; jyKaomolrsm;u twnfjyKcsuf&&Sd&rnf/

3. xdkNrdKUjypDrHudef;rsm;taumiftxnfazmfonfhtcgvdktyfrnfjzpfaomajrrsm;udk trsm;jynfoltusdK;iSm odrf;yd kifcGif h&S d&rnf/

(trsm;jynfoltusdK;[kowfrSwf&mwGif NrdKUjya'orsm;zGHUNzdK;rItwGufonfvnf; trsm;jynfoltusdK;[kowfrSwf&rnf/ )

NrdKUjypDrHudef; Oya'\ t"dutESpfom&

4. NrdKUjya'ozGHUNzdK;rItwGuf ajrrsm;odrf;yd kufonfhtcgavsmfaMu;ay;&efyrmPESifh enf;pepfrsm; xm;&Sd&rnf/

5. NrdKUrsm;udktkyfcsKyfaom tzGJUtpnf;rsm;onfNrdKUjypDrHudef;rsm;\abmiftwGif; vdktyfaomajrrsm;udkBudKwifodrf;yd kufpDrHEd kifcGif h&S d&rnf/

6. NrdKUajrrsm;ESif h ywfouf Land Speculation ac: NrdKUjyajrrsm;ay:wGif tjrwfxkwf pD;yGm;&Smjcif;udk umuG,faomenf;pepfrsm;ESif h vkyfxHk;vkyfenf;rsm; xm;&Sd&rnf/

The measures against land speculation

Additional tax for owning multiple land properties

Additional tax for keeping empty land Higher taxation at land transactions Plot sizes regulations (minimum and

maximum plot sizes)

The 1947 immovable property act should still be maintained

Request No. 4National Human

Settlement Distribution Strategy

28.91

35.29

51.42

58.06

65.55

74.01

83.56

6.9724%)

8.69

15.43(30%)

18.5622.34

26.89

32.36(39%)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

^1973 ^1983 ^2014 ^2024 ^2034 ^2044 ^2054

M

i

l

l

i

o

n

s

Years

Myanmar National & Urban Population Forecast

Total national population (mill) Urban population (mill)

21.19

24.64 24.88 24.9026.62

30.19

14.93

21.97

24.80

28.00

31.61

35.99

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

1953-54 1973-74 1983-84 1993-94 2003-04 Y2014

Changes in agriculture land & rural population ratios in Myanmar

Agriculture land (current follows + sown in mill. acres) Calculated rural population in mill.

Source: Agricultural statistics, p34, Report to Pyithu Hluttaw 1988/89, p.48 & Statistical Yearbook 2010 & Population census of 1983 & 2014

ANDAMAN SEA

Main poles

Towns with around 1.5 Lakhs

States & Division capitals

Two deep seaports are onthe way

ConsiderationofnorthernpoleThe

Asianhighways

ThefinalrecommendationisTherequirementofHumanSettlementsStrategyandPlan

Rural population (mill in 2010), 31.7,

66%

Population in smaller towns

(mill.), 8.6, 18%

Population in towns larger than 0.1 mill.,

1.8, 4%

Yangon pupulation in 2010 (mill), 4.9,

10%

Mandalay population in 2010

(mill), 1.1, 2%

Population distribution pattern in Myanmar

Population in smaller towns

(mill.), 8.6, 52%

Population in towns larger than 0.1 mill., 1.8, 11%

Yangon pupulation in

2010 (mill), 4.9, 30%

Mandalay pupulation in 2010 (mill), 1.1, 7%

Urban population distribution in Myanmar

4.86

1.00

0.27 0.19 0.19 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.12

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Population of towns larger than 0.1 mill in 2010

2010 population based on trends (mill)

Yangon problems call for National Urbanization Strategy

Population comparison at Capitals of States & Divisions

Dependency between urban sizes and growth rates

4.425

0.932

0.4200.263 0.219 0.186 0.175 0.1480.1470.113 0.1000.088

2.1802.092

2.426

3.059

2.278

3.366

2.018

3.497

2.664

3.508

2.7812.881

1.838

2.5392.7042.7812.705

2.392

2.866

3.431

0.883

2.649

0.000

0.500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

5.000

M

i

l

l

i

o

n

p

o

p

u

l

a

t

i

o

n

o

r

a

n

n

u

a

l

g

r

o

w

t

h

r

a

t

e

i

n

%

The medium towns with population between 0.4 and 0.15 million have generally higher growth rates

2007 Population (mill)

Growth rate (Yearly %) between 1983-2007

Range of town sizes in the take-off

Nay Pyi Daw

ANDAMAN SEA

Main poles

Towns with around 1.5 Lakhs

States & Division capitals

Two deep seaports are onthe way

ConsiderationofnorthernpoleThe

Asianhighways

ThefinalrecommendationisTherequirementofHumanSettlementsStrategyandPlan

Nay Pyi Daw

Can Tho1.2 mill. Pop.

Da Nang 0.8 mill.

Haiphong1.5 mill.

Hanoi6.5 mill.

Ho Chi Minh City7.2 mill. pop

The plans in Vietnam

Request no. 4National Human

Settlement Distribution Strategy

4. Requests

1. To work against Land Monopolization &Land Speculation

2. Housing Financing Mechanism

3. Condominium Law (should be separated form Immovable Property Law

4. National Human Settlement Distribution Strategy

End of presentation

YGN Future 2 Dec 2014

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Transcript of YGN Future 2 Dec 2014