Yell Class

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  • 8/19/2019 Yell Class

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    Analysis of BT Yellow Pages CCF 2000-2007 (pounds in t

    Year Source

    REVENUES-MANAGEMENT PROJECTIONS Exhibit 6

    Advertisement Volume (‘000)

    growthWeighted Average Advertisement Price (£)

    growth

    Gross revenue ('000 pounds)

    growth

    R!"#$- R!%$& PR'CT%'"$Advertisement Volume (‘000) Ex 6

    growthWeighted Average Advertisement Price (£)

    Inflation rate forecast Text page 5

    C!

    "eighted vg# dv# !rice ($)

    Gross revenues ($ '000)

    growth

    Discounts and free ads (£’000) Ex 6

     s % of gross revenues

    &et revenues

    revenue growth

    Costs

    Direct costs (£’000) Ex 6

    % of net revenuesOverhead costs (£’000)

    % net revenues ounf gt pro up to *5%

    E+IT,

    E+IT, argin %

    Depreciation (£’000) Ex 6

    E+IT

    ,epreciation

    Change in " C Ex 6

    as a % of net revenues increases

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    Capex

    CC- .efore taxes

    as a % of E+IT,

    Taxes T&/

    CC- of 12 ,irectories +usiness

    CC- of other 12 +usinesses

    CC- of 12 operations

    Growth

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      housands)

    Actual Actual Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected31-Mar-0031-Mar-0131-Mar-02 31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    813 853 927 991 1,058 1,126 1,194 1,254

    3#40% # 6#4 6# 6#5 6 5641 645 644 648 649 649 649 649

    0#60% /0#* 0#6 0# 0 0 0

    5*4 55005 547*4 63760 667 7*3*7 573 *37*0

    5#50% #6 #5 6#4 6#5 6 5

    813 853 927 991 1,058 1,126 1,194 1,254

    3#40% # 6#4 6# 6#5 6 5641 645

    #30% #7

    6#00% 6#00% 6#00% 6#00% 6#00% 6#00%

    6 544 55 55 570 50

    5*4 55005 567 547760 604* 6*305 6773 6730*

    5#50% 3# #4 #3 #3 # *# 0#

    42,402 47,276 78,180 86,585 84,324 86,615 85,366 86,049

    #60% *7#6 *3#6 *7#4 *7#4 *7#5 *7#5

    340 50* 340 5065 5736 57340 53646 55*75*

    5#00% /0#4 *# 7#7 # #7 0#

    180,479 187,395 195,972 201,742 206,649 211,278 214,996 216,716

    7# 7#7 7#5 7#5 7#5 7#5 7#5 7#5102,530 88,870 37* 60*6 50 0* 036 07

    *#30% *# *5 *5 *5 *5 *5 *5

    *45* 65* 7663 30* 363 5305 54*7 6*4

    30#4 35#* 3#5 3#5 3#5 3#5 3#5 3#5

    5,530 5,370 6,130 8,850 8,400 7,630 8,000 8,000

    *4075* **3 705* 7*6 303 36745 5**7 574

    5,530 5,370 6,130 8,850 8,400 7,630 8,000 8,000

    10,570 12,772 2,178 6,000 8,497 6,300 4,375 2,023

    57 /3 0 5* 56 75 75

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    7,380 9,760 10,220 9,730 9,230 8,380 8,000 8,000

    177,931 203,985 224,250 224,988 230,920 239,345 247,548 252,360

    40# 40#* 43# 47#5 4#4 43# 45#7 46#3

    50 70003 7307 770 3*7 35044

    *4534 *4343 *46* 0*05 05775 06*

    /3566 /*337 /*63* /7 *76 *456 *0000 0000

    *7*0 *636 *404 04* *5775 6*

    #00% 6#* #5 6#* 5#5

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    BT Yellow Pages Ta P*o+e,tion

    YearActual Actual Projected

    Source 31-Mar-00 31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02

    E+IT ('000) T& Ex/* *4075* **3 705*

    Interest Expenses 8ee calculation /*70**7

    ,educti.le roll ups Ex footnote /5300

    E+T 45006

    Taxes 50

    Ex ** 70%

    Cal,ulation of %nte*est penses

    &et $,hedule Ex

    8enior ter loan Ex footnote 600000 550000

    /50000

    8enior Ter 9oan + *5000 *5000

    8enior Ter 9oan c *5000 *5000

    :igh ;ield .ond 500000 500000

    interests) *0**7

    CC-?Total de.t service (onl= 12 operations) *#0x

    CC-?Total de.t service including *00 pound revolver *#5x

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    Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    7*6 303 36745 5**7 574

    /*6*67 /*07 /**77 *0337 /4657

    /564 /5444 /677 /6663 /03

    *000*3 **30*0 *75 *30* *50770

    70003 7307 770 3*7 35044

    70% 70% 70% 70% 70%

    35000 75000 5000 *5000 5000

    /5000 /*00000 /*00000 /*00000 /*00000

    *5000 *5000 *5000 *5000 *5000

    *5000 *5000 *5000 *5000 *5000

    500000 500000 500000 500000 500000

    ***04 **04* *73*7 *700 *7*0

    564 5444 677 6663 03

    *37604 *7304* *33*7 **550 *06*0

    /564 /5444 /677 /6663 /03

    37350 755 465 *5 *75

    *367 *367 *367 *367 *367

    *300 *300 *300 *300 *300

    5750 5750 5750 5750 5750

    *6*67 *07 **77 *0337 4657

    0**67 07 *77 0337 *4657

    0#47 0#4 0#46 *#05 *#*6

    *#37 *#75 *#37 *#53 *#6

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    Analysis of Yellow Boo. #$A p*o+e,tions/ CCF 2000-2007 ( 10

    "ew aun,hes Cal,ulation

    New launches (number)

    evenues per launch (@ '000)

    Expected revenues fro new launches

    ,irect and sales costs per launch

    Costs fro new laucnhes

    E+IT, fro new laucnhes

    '*gani, 3*owth Cal,ulation

    Total revenues

    Growth %

    &ew launches revenues

    Arganic revenues

    (growth is calculated on total revenues at th

    B%T&A Re4ised P*o+e,tionsArganic E+IT, (@ '000)

    &ew launches E+IT,

    Total E+IT,

    E+IT, argins

    E+IT, growth

    ,epreciation

    E+IT

     ddB ,epreciation9essB change in woring capital

    9essB Capex

    CC- .efore taxes

    as a % of E+IT,

    Taxes

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    :=pothesisB ,e.t of @600D000 in 006

    at *0% interest rate generates tax shields

    CC- @'000 of 18 operations

    Growth

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      00)

    Actual Actual Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected

    Source 31-Mar-00 31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02 31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06

    Ex   n/a n/a 7 8 7 8 0

    Text page 6 *00 *00 *00 *00 *00

    5600 6300 5600 6300

    text p 6 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000

    000 7000 000 70000

    00 700 00 700

    Ex   217,500 330,000 421,600 483,200 544,050 598,600 688,390

    5*# # 7#3 70 # *5

    &ew launches calculation 5600 6300 5600 6300

    *500 770000 763400 3*300 3750 57700 6740

      e end of previous =ear) 5*#0% *0#6 /0# 0#4 /*#4 *5

    text page 6 6077 4346 *0733 *3 *04

    *#00% *4 * 7 5

    &ew launches calculation 00 700 00 700

    730 3000 4077 **46 *7*033 *5553 *04

    *0#4 *# *#5 7# 3#* 6 5

    6#4 **6 7# *6# *# *0#6

    Ex 6 /000 /630 /4*0 /370 /*0 /000

    730 75000 3347 *0376 *76*3 *363 *6304

    /000 /630 /4*0 /370 /*0 /000text page 6 73070 3500 7000 7035 5 3345

    Ex 6 764 000 *0600 00 *0 440 000

    0037 40 73777 46 4334 **4704 **407

    3 7 65 * 64

    Ex **B 75% of E+IT /457 /76575 3765 /5*76 /5373

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    360 766* 34*3 643 6*6

    66% 76 7 /4

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    Projected

    31-Mar-07

    0

    *00

    3000

    757,229

    *0

    54

    *0

    *470

    5

    *470

    5

    *0

    /000

    **70

    /0007330

    000

    *36

    /6735

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    *000

    *03370

    64

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    Cal,ulation of the *etu*n on assets

    a) Cal,ulation of A4e*age asset eta f*o5 ,o5pa*ales in 60

    Co5pany Co5pa*ale

    8+C Counications &o

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    %f 9uity Beta

    4s 8$C%

    o,al 9uity Assu5ed &et &et:! %5plied Asset Beta wo*ld inde

    Rationale Beta Beta

    &ot pure pla=er 0#53 *5#30% 0#67

    &ot pure pla=er 0#57 #6 0#6*

    &ot pure pla=er 0#3* *#5 0#3

    &ot pure pla=er *#7 5 *#74

    &ot pure pla=er 0#66 *6#3 0#6

    &ot pure pla=er *#5 0# &?

    0#4 0#5 3#3 0#7 *#00#4 0#5 # 0#45 0#

    Anl= * =ear data *#36 *#* *#3

    #77 0#5 *#4 #4 *#4

    Anl= * =ear data 0#37 # 0#4

    *#7

    !alue

    3#5%

    *#

    #

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    %5plied Asset

    Beta

    0#0#5

    *#

    *#

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    !aluation of BT Yellow Pages and Yellow Boo. #$A (pounds in thousa

    a) !aluation of BT Yellow Pages

    Projected

    Source 31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02

    eturn on assets T&/3 *7#0%

    CC- ($'000) of 12 operations T&/* *7*0

    T< g#0%

    assued

    ,iscounting factor 0#3

    ,iscounted

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    ds; unless othe*wise indi,ated)

    Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected

    31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    *636 *404 04* *5775 6*

    03*

    EHuals #4x 00 E+IT,

    #x 00 E+IT

    0#* 0#64 0#6* 0#574 0#36

    *3530 *7607 *746 **6054 *030

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    ) !aluation of Yellow Boo. #$A

    Source 31-Mar-01

    eturn on assets T&/3 *7#0%

    Int ate @ 5#6*%

    Int ate $ Ex ** 3#5%

    (*> int rate @) (*> int rate $) *#0*%

    eturn on assets @ *3#70%

    CC- (@ '000) of 18 operations T&/7

    T< g 5#0%assued

    ,iscount factor 

    ,iscounted

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    Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected

    31-Mar-02 31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    360 766* 34*3 643 6*6 *03370

    **3*4*6#x 00 E+IT,

    6#5x 00 E+IT,

    0#5 0#65 0#664 0#55 0#5* 0#33

    3*67 7 7403 7457 7*60 367

    555*3

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    Total nte*p*ise !alue

    a) Total nte*p*ise !alue and 8ai5u5 Bid (pounds in thousands)

    8ource

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    !aluation of BT Yellow Pages with the AP! 5eth

    Projected$ou*,e   31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02

    E+IT T&/* 705*

    ess Taxes Ex ** 70% tax rate /64*56

    E+IT *6*767

    Add ,epreciation   6,130

    ess Inc# in " C   2,178

    ess Capex   10,220

    -C- of 12 ,irectories   155,095

    Ather 12 .usinesses Ex 6   -12,641

    142,454

    Growth T&/5a %

    eturn on assets T&/3 Ra 6D2>

    T<

     ll eHuit= value of 12 *3447

    .usiness

    Interest expenses T&/ *70**7

    ,educti.le roll ups /5300

    *755*7

    Tax shields Ex ** 70% tax rate 30653

    T< of tax shields .ased on

    Growth T&/5a #00%

    A T&/3 *7#0%

    !< of interest tax shields 646

     ll eHuit= value of 12 .usiness *3447

    !< of interest tax shields 646

     !< valuation of +T ;ellow pages 67@6E2EEHual to the CC- valuation in T&/5a

    $ensiti4ity Analysis

    6D20>

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    d

    Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    7*6 303 36745 5**7 574

    /64560 /03 /74*4 /5533 /6*6

    *670 *6*7 *3 *664 *38,850 8,400 7,630 8,000 8,000

    6,000 8,497 6,300 4,375 2,023

    9,730 9,230 8,380 8,000 8,000

    155,428 158,846 165,427 172,004 176,193

    -8,238 1,362 1,956 10,000 20,000

    147,190 160,208 167,383 182,004 196,193

    1,793,417

    *6*67 *07 **77 *0337 4657

    /564 /5444 /677 /6663 /03

    *7*53 *676 **660 ****0 *0756

    74556 7* 7554 7777* 7*064

    &is,ount Rate fo* Ta shields

    6 62 66 60 E

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    !aluation of 20> Ca**y to P %n4esto*s f*o5 BT Yellow Pages %n4est5ent

    Projected Projected$ou*,e   31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02 31-Mar-03

    CC- ($ '000) of 12 Aperations T&/* *7*0 *636

    T< T&/5a

    Total CC- *7*0 *636

    eturn on assets T&/3 *7#0%

    E< **44 *7743 *0

    Total de.t T&/ *550000 *505300 *37604

    EHuit= 7*44 743 35*64

    Total CC- *7*0 *636

    less pa=ent of interest *70**7 *6*67less net de.t repa=ent 33600 6470

    EC- 745 /5

    epa=ent to 9!s /745 5

     ount left for distri.ution & &

    0% carr= pa=ent to G!s & &

    e f > Je K !

    Je (Ja > Jd K ,?

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    axiu .id for +T ;ellow !ages *3*503

    (excluding other transaction costs)

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    Projected Projected Projected Projected31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06 31-Mar-07

    *404 04* *5775 6*

    03*

    *404 04* *5775 7036

    *47*03 *440*36 07667 7036

    *7304* *33*7 **550 *06*0

    5460*7 3*77 *605 *356

    *404 04* *5775 7036

    *07 **77 *0337 46574300* 476 47776 446

    /*6*60 /7073 *56 **5*65

    *6*60 7073 /*56 /7740

    & & & *4*

    & & & *6773

    64 67 5 36

    7#7 # #7 *#4

    7 #5 # *#4

    6#* #4 0# *#*

    & & & *6773

    0#37 0#75 0#4* 0#3

    & & & 3033

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