XVII CaixaBank BPI Conference...EBITDA 140 207 -32% 52 88.4 -41% EBITDA /Sales 20.1% 24.2% 4.1pp...
Transcript of XVII CaixaBank BPI Conference...EBITDA 140 207 -32% 52 88.4 -41% EBITDA /Sales 20.1% 24.2% 4.1pp...
X V I I C a i x a B a n k B P I C o n f e r e n c e
S e p t e m b e r 1 72 0 2 0
This presentation is intended to provide a general overview of The Navigator Company S.A.’s business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding The Navigator Company S.A.. Accordingly, no representation, undertaking or warranty, expressed or implied, is given by The Navigator Company S.A. or any of its subsidiaries’ undertakings, affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisors or any other person as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or of the views given or implied or any other material discussion in connection with this presentation.
This presentation has been prepared by The Navigator Company S.A. for information purposes only. The Navigator Company S.A. or any of its affiliates, directors, officers, employees or advisers or any other person shall not have any liability whatsoever (including in case of omission, negligence or otherwise) for any losses, errors or omissions howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith or with respect to their reliance upon the completeness and accuracy of any such information, as well as any damages resulting hereof.
DISCLAIMER
1
T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S
2
Solid & Resilient Business Model
Expansion & Diversification
01 02 03 04Sustainability at
the Core
Performance, Market Update
& Outlook
3
NAVIGATOR IN BRIEF
A solid business model, with significant resilience in adverse market conditions
Expansion and diversification of business portfolio into the growing tissue segment, with other growth options available
Focused on efficiency and committed to additional cost reduction programs
Sustainability at the core – investing in people, aiming to be a leader in sustainability and delivering sustainable returns
Performance, Market update & Outlook
THE NAVIGATOR COMPANY an integrated producer
R & D
F O R E S T
P U L PE N E R G Y
P A P E R
T I S S U E
130,000 ton Reels;120,000 ton Converting*
1.6 M tonof UWF paper
2.5 TWhof electricity
Leader in Eucalyptus globulus cloning
108,000 ha of forest(under management)
1.6 M ton of BEKP pulp(0.350 M market pulp)
4
(*total nominal capacity)
NAVIGATOR IS THE LEADING MANUFACTURER of UWF paper in Europe
19%
16%
12%12%
10%
31%
Nº1 in European UWF fine paper by capacity, with the largest and most modern mills
European uncoated fine paper* Main players
Uncoated woodfree (UWF)European mills
Velsen-Noord
Stockstadt
Alizay
Hernani
Fabriano
Munkedal
Etival
Theresienthal
Nymolla
Figueira da Foz
Kymi
Others
Others
Kostrzyn**
Ruzomberok **
Veitsiluoto
Setúbal
Nordland
Kwidzyn**
Syktyvkar*
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
SAPPI
Crown Van Gelder
Zicuñaga
Clairefontaine
Fedrigoni
Double A
Arctic Paper
UPM
International Paper
Stora Enso
Mondi
Capacity, 1000 ton/year
Saillat Svetogorsk *
The Navigator Company
Mondi
IP
Stora Enso
UPM
Other
*Excluding value-added products (ex.: carbonless papers, termal papers,colorful papers, engineering papers, specialty papers, etc)
Integrated
Non Integrated
5
Kematen
5* Mill located in Russia; ** mill located in Poland and Slovakia
BASED ON LARGE SCALE PRODUCTION MILLS with state-of-the-art technology
FIGUEIRA DA FOZ
• Pulp (Integrated) – 650,000 tAD
• Paper – 790,000 ton
The Navigator Company operates world class state-of-the-art-assets with a global capacity of:
1.6 Mtons of UWF - 1.6 Mtons of BEKP – 130 ktons of Tissue Reels
VILA VELHA DE RÓDÃO
• Tissue – 60,000 ton reels;65,000 ton converting
SETÚBAL
• Pulp (Integrated) – 550,000 tAD
• Paper – 775,000 ton
CACIA
• Pulp (Market) – 350,000 tAD
• Tissue – 70,000 ton reels; 55,000 ton converting*
6(*total nominal capacity)
*Other includes forest **Revenues by geography of pulp, paper and tissue ***Includes all energy sales in Portugal
The Group exports around 83% of pulp, paper and tissue products
WITH A MORE DIVERSIFIED BUSINESS AND GLOBAL SALES TO 130 DIFFERENT COUNTRIES
Revenue diversification over the last 5 years with the entry into the tissue business and pulp debottlenecking, with a diversified customer base selling across 130 different countries
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76% 71%
7% 10%
15%10%8%
2% 2%
2014 2019
Other
Tissue
Energy
Pulp
Paper
15% 19%
62% 50%
12%11%
11% 20%
2014 2019
Other
America
Rest ofEurope
Portugal***
Revenue by Geography**Revenue by business area
WITH A DIFFERENTIATION STRATEGY based on the highest quality paper products and own brands
Product and brand differentiation strategy have skewed the Group’s product mix to the high end market, allowing up to 7% price premium advantage (in Europe)
2019 The Navigator Company
Europe industry average*
Premium products 51% 14%
Mill Brands 70% 20%
Sheets 75% 69%
Operating rates 100% 90%
* Estimated industry average including Navigator
NVG market share in Western Europe
Source: Euro-Graph; EMGE
8
20%
22%
21%
13%
~50%
Total
Cut-size
Folio
Reels
Premium
ATF FIG
SET
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
€/ton
Capacity
AND WITH A VERY EFFICIENT CASH COST STRUCTURE
4Q 2019 UWF Cash costs, Europe, €/t
Navigator’s mills are very well positioned in the cash cost curve
Partial/Non Integrated
Changes in demand might accelerate closures from less efficient (and smaller) players and conversions to other types of products
NVG estimates that roughly:
• 2.5 M tons with cash costs above 550 €/ton (38% of European capacity*)
• During Q2 many paper machines reduced production and YTD August operating rates in the European industry stand at 75% (NVG OR- 80%)
*excluding Russia, UWF specialties papers and recycled grades
Source: Fast Markets RISI
9
Mills located in Russia and
Eastern Europe
Source: Euro-Graph; EMGE; RISI 10
Evolution of UWF Europeanapparent consumption
8.7 8.7 8.7 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.5
7.2 7.6 7.3 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.1
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capacity Apparent consumption
Mill
ion
of t
ons
Evolution of UWF USAapparent consumption
10.8 10.0 9.8 9.4 9.1 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.4 6.89.2 9.1 8.7 8.2 8.2 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capacity Apparent consumption
Mill
ion
of t
ons
PRODUCING ONE OF THE BEST PERFORMING GRADES IN PRINTING AND WRITING: UWF
2009-2019:Change in capacity of -1.2 ktonsChange in demand of -1.1 ktonsAverage operating rate of 90%
2009-2019:Change in capacity of -4 ktons
Change in demand of -2.7 ktonsAverage operating rate of 90%
UWF capacity has been adjusting to the reduction in consumption
UWF resilience comes from its:
Universality: available for purchase by many
different customer segments, from both B2B
and B2C
Versatility: end use options are wide
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Uncoated
Woodfree Mechanical
CoatedHigh-end magazines &
Communication materials(flyers, brochures, posters…)
UncoatedTrade books, directories
CoatedMagazines &
communication materials
Printing & Writing
Graphic Papers
UWF IS LESS EXPOSED TO DIGITALIZATIONThere are different grades to different uses and UWF is less dependent on media and advertising
UWF PAPER VS PULP: REDUCED VOLATILITY & MORE STABLE RETURNS
Index FOEX PIX (Europe) – Gross Prices
A4 – B Copy: index for uncoated woodfree paper (80 g/m2)
BHKP: index for bleached hardwood kraft pulp (eucalyptus or birch)12
EUROPEAN MARKET PAPER PRICE – A4 B-COPY AND BHKP (IN €)
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 4 12 20 28 36 44 52 8 16 24 32 40 48 4 12 20 28 36 44 52 8 16 24 32 40 48 4 12 20 28 36 44 52
Eur
/Ton
Week
A4 B-copy BHKP
2015 2019 20202016 2017 2018
13
Navigator has been permanently focus on optimizing its production processes and its cost reduction initiatives
Cost optimization and operational efficiency plan implemented at the start of 2020:
Bringing together the existing M2 and Corporate ZBB programs Launching a Digital Transformation project in the corporate sector
Covid-19 pandemic compelled a reassessment and extension of the scope and depth of the cost reduction initiatives originally envisaged
Target for 2020 to reduce fixed costs by € 46 million
€ 22 million achieved already in H1 2020
FOCUS ON COST EFFICIENCY
T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S
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Solid & Resilient Business Model
Expansion & Diversification
01 02 03 04Sustainability at
the Core
Performance, Market Update
& Outlook
15
€131 M
ORGANIC DEVELOPMENT AND DIVERSIFICATION IN THE LAST GROWTH CYCLE
25 36 4387
143127 93 72
129 15
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Capex (M€)
GrowthCycle
CurrentBusiness
€158 M€152 M
€129 M
€115 M
€216 M
Tissue: 190 M€
Pellets: 115 M€
Pulp expansion:
125 M€
Heavyweights: 12 M€
Growth cycle included:
• From 2015 until 2018, Capex included essentially growth projects that have allowed NVG to diversify its business
• In 2019, capex included mainly maintenance /efficiency, regulatory/environment (~33 M€ for environment) and completion of expansion projects
• In light of the Covid-19 the capex plan for 2020 was significantly revised downward from 158 M€ to circa 70 M€; 2020 plan will include mainly maintenance /efficiency and regulatory/environment (80% of investment spending in 2020 is related to maintenance and projects that started in previous years)
Diversification of The Navigator Company’s
portfolio(Representing currently 10% of
Navigator’s sales, tissue business is an important
growth platform option for the future)
Synergies with our core business
(raw material Eucalyptus globulus)
Ability to develop a competitive advantage with pulp integration
(cost and quality advantage)
State-of-the-art technological
solution
(The Navigator Company’s DNA)
After entering the tissue business in 2015, Navigator doubled its capacity in 2018, with the construction of a new 70 Ktons integrated machine in Aveiro.The growth in the tissue business has a strong strategic rational:
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GROWTH IN THE TISSUE BUSINESS
NAVIGATOR - #3 P LAY E R I N T I S S U E I N I B E R I A
PRODUCTION CAPACITY IN IBERIAN PENINSULA (KTON) 2020
17
280
140130
120110
100 95
55
718
30303030505050
5
Source : RISI, NUMERA, Companies & NVG estimates
Total capacity in Iberia:
1 330 ktons
Portugal – 330 Ktons
Spain - 1 000 k tons
In 5 years, Navigator developed a business platform that represents 10% of Iberian Capacity and 40% of Portuguese capacity
Growth opportunity driven by increased demand in Asia and worldwide supply limitations
Attractive fundamentals of Mozambique:• High Forest productivity • Proximity to Asia• Land available at competitive costs
Geographic diversification within the core business of The Navigator Company
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MOZAMBIQUE PROJECT
P h a s e 1 :W o o d c h i p M i l l
Project Phases Strategic Rationale
P h a s e 2 :P u l p M i l l
Investment: USD 260 M(USD 100 M already invested)
40 000 ha planted area
Investment: USD 2.5 B
8000 jobs opportunities
MOZAMBIQUE PROJECT UPDATE
• Navigator has been working with the Mozambique Government under the terms of the MoU signed in 2018, in particular on infrastructures and logistics and land and development issues.
• This has included the first Outgrower Support program in Mozambique, a government initiative funded by the World Bank. The aim is to promote small and medium scale sustainable commercial private forestry plantations, and restoration of degraded areas. In the first 2019-2020 season, plantations were established over an area of approximately 550 hectares and 1200 hectares are estimated for the next season 2020-2021.
• Portucel Moçambique played an active role in designing the program, providing wide-range support by designing the silviculture model, supplying clonal plants and offering access to fertilizers. When the plantations are ready for harvest, Portucel Moçambique will have first option on purchase of the wood.
• The Government of Mozambique referred the strategic importance to the country and to the Zambézia province of building the port of Macuse, in order to develop commercial farming and forestry.
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FOCUSED ON BUILDING THE FUTURE BIO-ECONOMY
RAIZ & Inpactusproject
Plantation trees Forestry residues
Biorefinery
Biomass deconstruction & separation
processes
1 ton wood Pulp
Fibers
Chemicals & energy recovery
(combustion)Pulping By-products
Biomass components
Paper
Tissue
Market pulp
Heat and electricity
BiochemicalsBioproductsBiomaterials
Examples of bioproducts from biorefinery
Essential oils
Sugars for bioethanol and bioplastics
Thermoplastic bio composites
Lignin-based foams for thermo insulation
Bacterial cellulose for biomedical applications
Nanocellulose for paper coating and food additives
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CREATING INNOVATIVE PRODUCTS & TECHNOLOGIES
A co-promotion R&D project between industry and academia.A step forward to a green, global, sustainable and competitive bioeconomic environment in Portugal, based on eucalyptus pulp and paper industry!
RAIZ & Inpactus project
180Researchers/Technicians
50Research grants
2Invited chairs
15.3M€Total budget
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T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S
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Solid & Resilient Business Model
Expansion & Diversification
01 02 03 04Sustainability at
the Core
Performance, Market Update
& Outlook
SUSTAINABILITY AGENDA
Navigator’s sustainability goals for 2020-25 (based on materiality assessment):
• Sustainable forest management
• Energy and climate
• Industrial environmental management
• Talent Management and development of
human capital
• Occupational health and safety
• Sustainable supplier Management
• Customer satisfaction
• Community engagement
• Innovation, Research & Development
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“It´s thinking about people, their quality of life and the future of the planet that inspires and motivates us. We want to share the wealth we create, but also our knowledge, our experience and our resources, all in the name of a better future.
That is why we are committed to creating sustainable value for our shareholders, and for society as a whole, leaving a better planet for future generations, through natural products that are sustainable, recyclable and biodegradable, that help to capture carbon and produce oxygen, that protect biodiversity, improve the soil and
combat climate change.”
Forest
• ≥ 75% national certified wood by 2025
• ≤ 1% of burned area
Industrial Operations
• 87% of waste recovery by 2025
• 15% reduction in specific water consumption
Community engagement (Mozambique
Project)
• Inclusive business model with the local communities
• Investment in infrastructures
Talent• Develop H.Resources
with skills needed to pursue Company Strategy: 75% of critical areas covered by internal trainees
• Internal succession: target to achieve 75% of succession places filled by 2025
Climate
• Carbon Neutral Mills by 2035
• 85% of Renewable energy by 2035
• over 10% reduction of specific energy consumption
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MAIN SUSTAINABILITY GOALS FOR 2020-25
AT THE HEART OF WHAT WE DO IS THE FOREST, a natural and renewable resource
5.3 Million t CO2 eq
12 MillionPlants produced at Portuguese
Nurseries
108.269ha
Forest under management in Portugal
Million3.3 Investment in protection
against forest fires
RAIZForest and Paper Research Institute
Improve foresty management
Increase eucalyptus Yields
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234Species of Fauna
740Species of Flora
ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE BY BECOMING ACARBON NEUTRAL COMPANY
The Navigator Company is committed to achieve Carbon Neutrality at its industrial sites by 2035,15 years ahead of schedule, by investing € 154 million in the implementation of changes in its production processes in order to minimize the use of fossil fuels
GOAL 1100% of electrical energy production from renewable sources
GOAL 2Reduce fossil fuelCO2 emissions with implementation of cleaner technologies
GOAL 3Reduction of 10% of the specific energy consumption from 2015 until 2025
GOAL 4Carbon offsettingfor unavoidablecarbon emissions
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ROADMAP TO CARBON NEUTRALITY BY 2035
86% reduction of CO2 emissions, approximately 667 ktCO2/ from 2018 until 2035, with an investment of 154 million €
CO2 Expected Emissions
774 744 730
512 512 488 460 455378 350 350 308
107
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2035
CAPEXIn Million €
8
1928
1220 17
4 5 813
19
1
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2035
Reduction of
667kton CO2
CAPEX
154M€
Ktons86%
27
28
Navigator is already the biggest national producer of renewable energy through biomass and subproducts of wood, representing up to 60% of the Group´s total energy capacity
The new biomass boiler will increase significantly the capacity production based on renewable resources (from 60% to 70%)
Installed capacity
2,5 TWh/Year(enough to supply the entire region of the
Algarve for a year ).
3 Biomass cogeneration
plants
+2 Natural Gas cogeneration
plants
+2 Biomass plants
~5%Of the National electricity
production
(produce exclusively electricity to the
portuguese network)
=
NEW BIOMASS BOILER AT F.FOZ
Biomass Boiler – Capex of € 55 million
Steam generation capacity of 128 MWth; Plant is expected to start and ramp up operations between Q4 2020 and Q2 2021
Reduction of CO2 emissions by 81% at FFoz and by 20% for Navigator as a whole (reduction of 155 ktons tons of Co2/year). F.Foz mill will be 100% powered by renewables
Net expected savings in costs (reduction in purchase of natural gas and maintenance costs) of € 14 million /year
ENERGY – SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC
RAIZ Institute (2019)342 solar panels
94 kW of installed capacity(satisfies 30-35% of the institute’s
consumption).
The energy generation through renewable energy sources constitutes one of the company’s strategic axis, this is shown through relevant investments in solar plants in self consumption regime.
Navigator Paper Setúbal (2016)8 800 solar panels
2.2 MW of installed capacity(the biggest solar photovoltaic plant installed in
industrial environment in Portugal, enough to supply 850 households for a year).
1 140 t CO2 emissions/year avoided
Herdade de Espirra (2018)352 solar panels
112.6 kW installed capacity(supplies ~30% of the consumption
of the Herdade de Espirra).
U P C O M I N G P R O J E C T S ( 2 0 2 2 )• Navigator Pulp Setúbal: 4 680 solar panels
(installed capacity 1.8 MW);
• PM2 Figueira da Foz: 7 700 solar panels (installed capacity 2.7 MW).
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80%Waste
Recovery Rate
90%Renewable
raw materials
Solar power plant 3,1 GWh/year
Saving1.140 t CO2 /year
80% of water intake is returned to
the environment
64%of paper is sold with FSC*, PEFC or Ecobel
seals of approval
More than
67%Primary energy used
from renewable sources (biomass)
I N D U S T R I A L O P E R A T I O N S
Fiber optimization
Bioproducts and biofuels research
*pulp and paper
30
Mozambique project
31
$6 Million invested
In the Community Development
Program
250 employees90% Mozambicans
30% women
Increasing household
income And decreasing the poverty rate in the
provinces of Zambezia& Manica
5300 km of new roads and
rural pathsAllowing better access to public transportation, to healthcare & to markets
Securing families welfare
Delivering food security and
generating income to 7.000 families
24 new water boreholes
Making potable water available to communities
2300 families received solar lamps
Can also be used to charge devices and allows children to study after sunset
I M P A C T O F S O C I A L P R O G R A M *
* Reference to the end of 2019
INVESTING IN PEOPLE & TALENT MANAGEMENT
32
G E N D E R D I V E R S I TY
G E N D E R D I V E R S I TY 3280
Employees in 2019
W O R K F O R C E R E J U V E N AT I O N
( 2 0 1 3 - 2 0 1 9 )
W O R K F O R C E R E J U V E N AT I O N
( 2 0 1 3 - 2 0 1 9 )
T R A I N I N G&
L E A R N I N G C E N T E R
T R A I N I N G&
L E A R N I N G C E N T E R
Middle and Senior management
70% - Male 30% - Female
Training Hours: 182,740h59h/ Employee
Management Courses: 117 courses/300 hours
Internal Training: 200 courses/165 hours
Average reduction of 6.5 years
Distribution by age:11% < 30 years
56% between 30 – 50 years33% > 50 years
Headcount 3280*
Setúbal1,157
Figueira da Foz1,008
Aveiro503
Vila Velha de Ródão226Portucel
Mozambique157Others
locations in Portugal
146
International sales offices
83
* Dec.2019
ENGAGING WITH STAKEHOLDERS
Main forest certification schemes
Currently Vice-President of PEFC Portugal
33
WWF lead initiative to share knowledge about well-managed plantations and learn from others' good examples with top P&P companies and Governments
SteerCo member of this Yale University based initiative focusing on forests and their role in promoting improving the livelihoods of local communities
Members and part of the WBCSD’s ExCoForest Solutions Group – core members
C o r p o r a t e i n i t i a t i v e s t o d r i v e S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t
M u l t i s t a k e h o l d e r i n i t i a t i v e s
Engaging in projects to debate SDG implementation, the Future ofWork, Human Rights, Circular Bio-Economy and a Vision for 2050
Presidency of BCSD Portugal, anaffiliate of WBCSD
T A B L E O F C O N T E N T S
34
Solid & Resilient Business Model
Expansion & Diversification
01 02 03 04Sustainability at
the Core
Performance, Market Update
& Outlook
35
FINANCIAL INDICATORS
2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 2 0 1 7 2 0 1 8 2 0 1 9Million euros
Turnover 1,628 1,577 1,637 1,692 1,688
EBITDA 390 397 404 455 372
EBITDA/Sales (%) 24% 25% 25% 27% 22%
CAPEX 148 139 115 216 158
Free Cash Flow 81 184 198 211 186
Net debt/EBITDA 1.68 1.61 1.72 1.50 1.92
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MAIN FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
1,542
1,628
1,577
1,637
1,692 1,688
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Turnover (M €)
328390 397 404
455
372
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
EBITDA (M €)
292 304
385 357 377307
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Operational Cash Flow (M €)
1,564 1,555 1,587 1,5781,513
1,447
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Paper sales (ktons)
257 253291 311
253314
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Pulp sales (ktons)
37 3951 55 63
96
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Tissue sales (ktons)
24%
14% 18
%
13%
13% 16
%
25%
12%
15%
16%
14% 15
%
24,7
%
11%
17%
16%
16%
16%
27%
13%
18%
17,4
%
18% 20
%22%
10%
17%
18%
15%
15%
The NavigatorCompany
Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Competitor 4 Competitor 5
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
VERY FAVOURABLE COMPARISON WITH PEERS
Source:Euro-Graph; EMGE* Average does not include Navigator
EBITDA Margin - Paper Peers (2015-2019) Average for 2015-2019*: 15%
37
HISTORICAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT AND SHARE PRICE EVOLUTION
Year (payment) Ajusted dividend yield Total amount paid (million euros)
2014 12.3% 200.8
2015 14% 440.5
2016 11.6% 170.0
2017 10.7% 250.0
2018 6.6% 200.0
2019 7.0% 200.0
38
Jan 2014 – Aug 2020:
TSR: 48.5%
TSR annualized: 6.1 %
€/share
0.0 €
1.0 €
2.0 €
3.0 €
4.0 €
5.0 €
6.0 €
7.0 €
1Protect the
core business
2 Consolidate and clarify the options of organic
growth
3Reinforce the
focus on efficiency and
cost management
4 Continue to
invest on our people as a
key asset for the future
5 Align the
company’s external
positioning with the core
priorities
Financial Goal: Preserve company’s value, operating under the norms of shareholder’s remuneration.
MANAGEMENT PRIORITIES
39
40
• Decline in consumption of UWF across the world due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the general lockdowns of economies
• Navigator managed paper production output during most of the quarter, avoiding inventories build-up, further price erosion and preserving working capital
• With a more diversified business, with increased tissue and market pulp sales, and a strong cost action, the Group is well protected against these adverse market conditions and continues to present a significant ability to generate cash flow
• Navigator maintains a strong financial standing, after an increase in short term liquidity and a reduction in Net Debt
• Production activity in the paper mills is returning to normal, and the significant efforts to prepare the seasonally slow summer period have allowed the Company to increase its order book to comfortable levels
H1 2020 PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
41
Turnover declined 19% YoY on the back of decreased paper sales and lower paper prices
Increase in pulp and tissue volume and significant improvement in production costs (variable & fixed) mitigated sales and price drops
Under extreme market conditions, EBITDA margin remained above 20% in H1
Significant free cash flow generation of 114 million sustained by efficient working capital management and reduced capex disbursements
Strong balance sheet, with Net Debt reducing by € 96 million to € 700 million during the first half; Net Debt / EBITDA of 2.29 X remains at comfortable levels, after paying 100 M€ in reserves
H1/Q2 2020 Financial Highl ights
In millions € H12020
H1 2019
ChangeHoH
Q22020
Q12020
ChangeYoY
Turnover 696 854 -19% 290 405.8 -29%
EBITDA 140 207 -32% 52 88.4 -41%
EBITDA /Sales 20.1% 24.2% 4.1pp 17.8% 21.8% -3.9pp
CAPEX 49 68 -19.0 26 23 +3
Free Cash Flow 114 101 +13 99 15 84.0
Net Debt 700 796 -96 700 799 -99
RemuneratedNet Debt/EBITDA
2.29 1.83 0.47 2.29 2.25 0.05
Source: FOEX
EUROPEAN MARKET PAPER PRICE – A4 B-COPY AND BHKP (IN €)
42
PULP &PAPER PRICES IN H1 2020
Average A4 B-Copy price
2014-18 2019 H1 2020EUR 832 903 855
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 4 12 20 28 36 44 52 8 16 24 32 40 48 4 12 20 28 36 44 52 8 16 24 32 40 48 4 12 20 28 36 44 52
Eur
/Ton
Week
A4 B-copy BHKP
2015 2019 20202016 2017 2018
With market discounts increasing, net pulp prices are currently at the lowest level since end 2009Paper prices have been impacted by current market conditions and declined 6% YoY
Average pulp prices
2014-18 2019 H1 2020USD 817 855 680EUR 701 762 618
43
NAVIGATOR PAPER & PULP PERFORMANCEH12020
PAPER PERFORMANCE
• UWF sales volume decreased 17% YoY and 37% QoQ following production curtailment in April, May and June
• Average index price for H1 2020 was down 6.6% vs H1 2019 and down 2.2% vs Q1 2020 and paper turnoverstood at € 468 million in the first half (-23% YoY)
• Order book recovered in June to 30 days, close to normal levels for this period, comparing favourably with thean estimated average of 18 days for the industry
• Increase in market share among European producers of 0.4 p.p. (order entry)
• NVG inventories reduced 19% from end-March until end-June (vs -6% among competitors)
PULP PERFORMANCE
• Sales volume totaled 193 Ktons in H1 2020, recording the highest volume sold since 2010, increasing 56% vsH1 2019 and 79% in Q2 2020 vs Q2 2019. Sales turnover was € 79.6 million, improving 2.6% YoY
• Increase in volume was sustained by higher availability of pulp and by sales recovery in European markets, aswell as diversification into other geographies, taking advantage of market opportunities in tissue and packaging
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• Global volume of tissue sold increased to 52 kton (+10% YoY), sustained by strong sales in reels which offset thedecline in finished products, impacted by the contraction of the Away-From-Home segment due to the Covid-19pandemic
• Sales turnover increased to € 70.3 million, representing a growth of 7% YoY and 5% in Q2 2020 vs Q2 2019
• Tissue prices showed significant resilience during Q2, increasing vs Q12020 in both reels and finished products; mixeffect (with an increased weight of reels) impacted average tissue prices
• Good industrial performance of both Aveiro and Vila Velha Rodão mills and improvement in fixed costs
45% Consumer (At-Home)
40% Away-from-Home +C&C
15% Parent Reels
38% Portugal
30% Spain
32% Extra-Iberia
Revenue by segment
(H1 2020)
Revenue by geography
(H1 2020)
RECORD PERFORMANCE IN TISSUE IN H1 2020
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H12020 - STRONG FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION
Very strong generation of Free Cash Flow of € 114 million, comparing favorably with FCF of € 101 million in H1 2019; efficient management of working capital, with both strong cash conversion of clients receivables and careful management of suppliers, with recourse to financial solutions to
support their liquidity
120.5114.0
48.7
24.9
22.1
21.2
13.110.6
Operating Cash Flow
OtherClientsCAPEX Inventories State & Public Entities
Free CashFlow
Suppliers
M€
Current Average Cost of Debt
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Debt Rate Profile
Fixed Variable
69% 31%
Navigator increased its short term liquidity to 317 M€ at the end of June and has no significant repayments in 2020; current average cost of debt remains very competitive
Debt maturity profileTotal debt: € 1,027 million
Average maturity: 2.9 years
37
332
55
300
101 77127
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026-2028
CONSERVATIVE DEBT PROFILE
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SuppliersBalance mill’s needs while securing suppliers’ activities
Improve working capital while supporting suppliers (namely forest producers) through financial instruments
LiquidityIncrease immediate liquidity with € 95 million unused facilities, with additional €65 M of short-term financing guaranteed in April
Short term liquidity increased to € 317 million
Renegotiation of debt maturing in 2021
Capex Capital expenditure for 2020 revised from an estimated €158 million to circa € 70 million
€ 49 million registered in the first half, with 80% related to projects started in previous years
Decarbonisation plan continues
Efficiency and cost reduction programmesAnnual target for reduction in fixed costs in 2020 of €46 million
€ 22 million reduction in fixed costs achieved
Responsive measures taken to secure business well being
Swift response to Covid-19 and prompt measures to preserve business well being were put in place
PULP PAPER• Seasonal weak period in Q3 also
impacted by demand cool off for tissue products and packaging and drop in production of graphic papers
• Supply may be impacted by production and maintenance stoppages, providing some support to historically low pulp prices, which may recover in Q4
• Navigator will continue with its commercial efforts to improve market pulp volumes
TISSUE• Demand for the At-Home
segment expected to slow down, as the Away-From-Home segment experiences a gradual recovery
• Navigator expects to maintain a good level of industrial performance
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• After a very difficult market environment in Q2, activity is slowly getting back to normal, albeit at a slow pace
• Having placed a strong effort in the preparation of the traditional slow Summer season, Navigator records a healthy order book, with all of its paper mills currently back in operation
Outlook for H2 2020Progressive recovery of UWF business in Q3, albeit at a slow pace and depending on the rhythm of economic progression; high level of uncertainty persists
Navigator will continue with its strong commercial planning, cost efficiency programs and effective management of liquidity
X V I I C a i x a B a n k B P I C o n f e r e n c e
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