World Bank Documentdocuments1.worldbank.org/curated/en/545361504000062662/... · 2017. 8. 29. ·...
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Assam Poverty, Growth & Inequality 1 June 20, 2017 Assam is home to 31 million people, a third of whom are poor. While poverty levels in Assam declined rapidly between 1994 and 2005, the state has since lagged behind most other states in reducing poverty. The incidence of poverty in Assam remains higher than the national average, with poverty levels being very high in some parts of the state. Growth, which is driven mainly by services, is among the lowest in the country. Consumption inequality, while low relative to other Indian states, has been increasing, especially in urban areas. Poverty in Assam is higher than in most other Indian states GA HP KL PJ SK AP DL JK HR UK TN MG RJ TR GJ MH NL WB KA MZ AI UP MP AS OD BH AR MN JH CG 0 10 20 30 40 50 There are pockets of very high poverty within Assam Population below poverty line, 2012 (%) District level poverty, 2012 N Population below the poverty line, 2012 (%) 6-20 20-26 26-32 32-43 43-60 40 37 37 35 34 33 32 32 29 22 22 21 20 19 17 17 15 15 12 12 11 11 11 10 9 9 8 8 8 5 Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized
Transcript of World Bank Documentdocuments1.worldbank.org/curated/en/545361504000062662/... · 2017. 8. 29. ·...
AssamPoverty, Growth & Inequality
1 June 20, 2017
Assam is home to 31 million people, a third of whom are poor. While poverty levels in Assam declined rapidly between 1994 and 2005, the state has since lagged behind most other states in reducing poverty. The incidence of poverty in Assam remains higher than the national average, with poverty levels being very high in some parts of the state. Growth, which is driven mainly by services, is among the lowest in the country. Consumption inequality, while low relative to other Indian states, has been increasing, especially in urban areas.
Poverty in Assam is higher than in most other Indian states
GAHPKLPJSKAPDLJKHRUKTNMGRJTRGJMHNLWBKAMZAIUPMPASODBHARMNJHCG
0
10
20
30
40
50
There are pockets of very high poverty within Assam
Population below poverty line, 2012 (%)
District level poverty, 2012
6 − 2020 − 2626 − 3232 − 4343 − 60
N
0.6-5.25.3-13.213.3-17.217.3-22.622.7-62.8
Patna
Population below the poverty line, 2012 (%)
6-2020-2626-3232-4343-60
4037 37
35 34 33 32 3229
22 22 21 20 1917 17
15 1512 12 11 11 11 10 9 9 8 8 8
5
Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.
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AssamPoverty, Growth & Inequality
2 June 20, 2017
Since 2005, the pace of poverty reduction in Assam has been slower than in most other states
Poverty declined sharply in both rural and urban areas of Assam between 1994 and 2005
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MZDLNLGAPJJKKLSKTRUKHPHRMGGJRJWBMPAPTNAIUPMHKACGASARODBHJHMN
Population below poverty line, (%)
Population below poverty line, (%)
RuralTotal
Urban
1994 2005 2012
0
10
20
30
50
40
60
70
Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.
● 1994 ● 2005 ● 2012
55
28
36
22
34
21
32
52
35
AssamPoverty, Growth & Inequality
3 June 20, 2017
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
5
10
15
-4
-2
0
4
2
6
8
10
Services contribute most to Assam’s economic growth, which is lower than the national average
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
5
10
15
-4
-2
0
4
2
6
8
10
Assam lags behind most Indian states in economic growth
AP
AS
BH
GJ
HR HP
KA
KL
MP
MH
OD
PJ
RJ
TN
UP WB
JH
CG
UK
Leading
Lagging
Improving
Weakening
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000
An
nu
al g
row
th r
ate,
20
05
- 20
12 (%
)
Real GSDP per capita, (2005 Rupees) All India
ImprovingLow income, high growth
LeadingHigh income, high growth
LaggingLow income, low growth
WeakeningHigh income, low growth
Impr
ovem
ent f
rom
200
5 to
201
2
Standard of living, 2005
Interpreting the graph
Annu
al g
row
th ra
te, 2
005
- 201
2 (%
)
Real GSDP per capita, (2005 Rupees)
High poverty, declining slowly
Low poverty, declining fast
-17
-15
-13
-11
-9
-7
-5
-3
-1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
An
nu
al d
ecli
ne
in p
over
ty r
ate,
20
05
- 20
12 (%
)
All India
AP
AS
BH
GJ
HR
HP
KA
KL
MP
MH
OD
PJ
RJ
TN
UP
WB
JH CG
UK
Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in orange.
Annual growth rate, (%) Components of GSDP growth rate, (%)
■ Assam GSDP ■ All India GDP
0.4
6.5
-3.2
3.7
0.7-1.0 0.0
4.2
0.5
4.0
0.20.7
3.6
1.6
0.5
5.3
1.6
2.1
4.2
0.40.7
3.4
0.40.9
■ Services ■ Industry ■ Agriculture
AssamPoverty, Growth & Inequality
4 June 20, 2017
Poverty reduction has been the slowest in Assam after 2005
Assam is home to a larger share of India’s poor relative to its population
Poverty rate, 2005
bubble size: number of poor (millions)
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 5 10 15 20 25
Stat
e sh
are
in In
dia
’s p
oor,
20
12 (%
)
State share in India’s population, 2012 (%)
AP AS
BH
GJ
HR
KA
KL
MP
MH
OD
PJ
RJ
TN
UP
WB JH
CG
UK HP
High poverty, declining slowly
Low poverty, declining fast
-17
-15
-13
-11
-9
-7
-5
-3
-1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
An
nu
al d
ecli
ne
in p
over
ty r
ate,
20
05
- 20
12 (%
)
All India
AP
AS
BH
GJ
HR
HP
KA
KL
MP
MH
OD
PJ
RJ
TN
UP
WB
JH CG
UK
Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in orange.
Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in yellow.
Annu
al d
eclin
e in
pov
erty
rate
, 200
5 - 2
012
(%)
Stat
e sh
are
in In
dia’
s po
or, 2
012
(%)
State share in India’s population, 2012 (%)
Wha
t % o
f Ind
ia’s
poor
live
s in
this
sta
te?
What % of India’s population lives in this state?
Interpreting the graph
Share of poor > share of population
Share of poor < share of populationShare of p
oor = share of p
opulation
AssamPoverty, Growth & Inequality
5 June 20, 2017
UrbanRuralTotal0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Gini coefficient
Consumption inequality is increasing in Assam, a lot more in urban areas
Consumption inequality in Assam is lower than in most other states
Gini coefficient, 2012
MNMGSKBHNLTRASRJJHJKODMZGJAPUKGAHPPJUPCGMPWBHRAITNARMHKADLKL
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.
0.200.18
0.28
0.25
0.22
0.35
0.22
0.19
0.31
■ 1994 ■ 2005 ■ 2012
