Workforce Index Q1 2010
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Transcript of Workforce Index Q1 2010
PEOPLE REPORT Q1
10
Most companies maintaining current employment levels
Recruiting difficulty increases to highest level since Q4 08
Decreasing number of vacancies
Highest Employee Expectations since Q3 08
Turnover pressure remains minimal
The People Report Workforce Index (WFI), a quarterly barometer of market pressures on employment measures, registered an overall reading of 48.3 for the 1st Quarter of 2010. While the overall index reading remains below 50 (indicating a reduction in industry employment pressures), this does mark the highest reading since the 4th Quarter of 2008 (51.3).
Q1 10 People Report Workforce Index
Overall WFI
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•While most operators would like to forget about 2009, it is important to note that industry comp sales, while still negative, were trending upwards towards the end of the year, with the top quartile reporting positive sales according to industry analysis by People Report’s sister company, Black Box Intelligence. Generating traffic and sales remains a challenge while news of economic gloom lingers, but it appears as though the seeds of a slow, impending recovery have begun to take root.
•The Employment Expectations component of the People Report Workforce Index registered a value of 61.9, with all segments expecting an increase in payrolls during the first three months of 2010. This the highest level for this component since before the economic collapse in the fall of 2008.
The overall Index reading for the Quick Service segment increased for
the third consecutive quarter in Q1, shooting up six points to 53.6
The overall Index reading for Fast Casual/Family Dining once again
remained relatively flat in Q1, registering a value of 43.3
The overall Index reading for Casual Dining jumped six points in Q1 to 48.1
The overall Index reading for Fine Dining/High Volume rose three points in Q1 to 48.0---the segment’s highest reading since Q3 08
Do you expect the number of unit level employees at your company to increase, stay the same, or decrease for the following position levels in
Q1 10 when compared to Q4 09?
Hourly Management
Increase 36% 31%
Stay the same 52% 59%
Decrease 11% 10%
Employment Expectations
Employment Expectations
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•Since bottoming out in Q1 09, Employment Expectations have slowly risen for all industry segments and are now at levels not seen the economic meltdown of 2008.
Did the number of unit level employees at your company increase, stay the same, or decrease for the following position
levels in Q4 09 when compared to Q3 09?
Hourly Management
Increase 25% 25%
Stay the same 51% 57%
Decrease 25% 18%
Employment Levels
Employment Levels
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•Employment Levels have dropped significantly since Q3 08, but staffing cuts appear to have abated and most companies are maintaining their current staffing levels or cautiously adding staff.
Did the labor market conditions make it more or less difficult to recruit qualified unit level employees to fill positions at the
following levels in Q4 09 when compared to Q3 09?
Hourly Management
Increase 12% 20%
Stay the same 60% 52%
Decrease 28% 29%
Recruiting Difficulty
Recruiting Difficulty
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•Recruiting Difficulty is trending upwards for the first time since Q3 08.
How did the number of unit level vacancies at your company change in Q4 09 when compared to Q3 09?
Hourly Management
Increase 8% 13%
Stay the same 57% 62%
Decrease 34% 25%
Vacancies
Vacancies
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•Vacancies have been gradually increasing since hitting bottom in Q2 09.
Did your company's turnover increase, stay the same, or decrease for the following position levels in Q3 09 when
compared to Q2 09?
Hourly Management
Increase 13% 33%
Stay the same 6% 25%
Decrease 82% 41%
Turnover
Change in 12-Month Management Turnover
Segment Change
Quick Service +1%
Fast Casual/Family Dining -3%
Casual Dining -4%
Upscale Casual/Fine Dining -2%
Segment Change
Quick Service -29%
Fast Casual/Family Dining -27%
Casual Dining -22%
Upscale Casual/Fine Dining -16%
Change in 12-Month Hourly Employee Turnover
Turnover
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10
Overall Quick Service Fast Casual/Family Dining Casual Dining Upscale Casual/Fine Dining
•Turnover pressures remain extremely low as unemployment continues to rise.
We’re throwing a party…
and you’re
invited!!!
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http://peoplereport.com/subscriptions/freeregistration.aspx
or send an email to:[email protected]