WINNING THE GLOBAL WAR AGAINST APATHY AND IGNORANCE

WINNING THE GLOBAL WAR AGAINST APATHY AND

IGNORANCE

Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna,

Virginia, USA

NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO MAKE OUR WORLD

DISASTER RESILIENT

We can do it through the convergence of realistic thinking and strategic actions that are based on improving community preparedness, protection, response, and recovery.

STATUS OF THE WORLD AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY

• 7 billion people, and counting• Living and competing in an interconnected global economy• Producing $60 trillion of products• Facing many complex problems (e,g.,5 E’s and 2 S’s)

OUR COMPLEX GLOBAL PROBLEMS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21ST CENTURY

•Conflict and terrorism•Health care• Chronic hunger• Increasing risk of pandemic disease• Large-scale migration of people• Environmental degradation• Increased impacts of natural hazards • Threats related to global climate change

THE REALITY OF THE 21ST CENTURY

Unless we devise and implement a realistic, new strategy, OUR problems may grow worse rapidly, and all of us may share in the blame for an unnecessary reduction in the quality of life on Planet Earth.

THE FRAMEWORK OF DISASTER RESILIENCE PROVIDES WORTHY GOALS

•To protect and preserve the environment

• To build capacity for disaster resilience

• To inform, educate, and train

• To build equity in all communities in all regions of the World

WE KNOW WHAT TO DO, SO JUST DO IT!

• Working strategically, we can implement a realistic set of scientific, technical, and political solutions--- within OUR administrative, legal, and economic constraints, --- and become disaster resilient.

INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING

EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES

SOIL AMPLIFICATION

PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND

FAILURE)

IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN

TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP

LACK OF DETAILING AND POOR CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

LACK OF ATTENTION TO NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS

CAUSES OF DAMAGE

CAUSES OF DAMAGE

CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES

CLARIFY VULNERABILTIES

CLARIFY VULNERABILTIES

ANY COMMUNITY CAN EVALUATE THE VULNERABILITY OF ITS BUILDINGS

EVALUATEEVALUATE

INITATE ACTIONSINITATE ACTIONS

INDENTIFY OPTIONS

INDENTIFY OPTIONS

OPTIMIZE OPTIMIZE

IMPLEMENT BEST SOLUTION

IMPLEMENT BEST SOLUTION

• An Incremental ProcessAn Incremental Process

SOURCE OF INFORMATION

• The following graphic The following graphic characterizations of building characterizations of building vulnerability to earthquake vulnerability to earthquake ground shaking were developed ground shaking were developed by an insurance company and by an insurance company and provided to facilitate education provided to facilitate education and training.and training.

BUILDING ELEVATIONS

• Horizontal and vertical Horizontal and vertical changes in symmetry, mass, changes in symmetry, mass, and stiffness will increase a and stiffness will increase a building’s vulnerability to building’s vulnerability to ground shakingground shaking

AN IMPORTANT NOTE

• NOTE: The local site geology NOTE: The local site geology and the construction materials and the construction materials are key parameters in are key parameters in controlling a building’s controlling a building’s performance; analysis of their performance; analysis of their effects is NOT considered here.effects is NOT considered here.

RELATIVE VULERABILITY

[1 (Best) to 10 (Worst)]



1-21-2

ANALYSIS OF VULNERABILITY

LOCATIONS OF POTENTIAL FAILURE


None, if attention given to foundation and non-structural elements. Rocking may crack foundation and structure. X-Cracks around windows.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

BoxBox

DAMAGED HOUSE:CHINA

ASYMMETRY AND LATERAL CHANGES: CHINA





11




None, if attention given to foundation and non structural elements. Rocking may crack foundation.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

PyramidPyramid





4 - 64 - 6




Top heavy, asymmetrical structure may fail at foundation due to rocking and overturning.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Inverted PyramidInverted Pyramid





5 - 65 - 6




Asymmetry and horizontal transition in mass, stiffness and damping may cause failure where lower and upper structures join.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

““L”- Shaped BuildingL”- Shaped Building





3 - 53 - 5




Vertical transition and asymmetry may cause failure where lower part is attached to tower.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Inverted “T”Inverted “T”





2 - 32 - 3




Vertical transition in mass, stiffness, and damping may cause failure at foundation and transition points at each floor.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Multiple SetbacksMultiple Setbacks





4 - 54 - 5




Top heavy asymmetrical structure may fail at transition point and foundation due to rocking and overturning.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

OverhangOverhang





6 - 76 - 7




Horizontal and vertical transitions in mass and stiffness may cause failure on soft side of first floor; rocking and overturning.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Partial “Soft” StoryPartial “Soft” Story





8 - 108 - 10




Vertical transitions in mass and stiffness may cause failure on transition points between first and second floors.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

““Soft” First FloorSoft” First Floor

THE TYPICAL SOFT-STOREY BUILDING IN TURKEY

THE TYPICAL SOFT-STOREY BUILDING IN TURKEY





9 - 109 - 10




Horizontal and vertical transitions in mass and stiffness may cause failure at transition points and possible overturning.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Combination of “Soft” Combination of “Soft” Story and OverhangStory and Overhang





1010




Horizontal transition in stiffness of soft story columns may cause failure of columns at foundation and/or contact points with structure.

BUILDING ELEVATION

BUILDING ELEVATION

Building on Sloping Building on Sloping GroundGround

SOFT STORY BUILDING ON

SLOPING GROUND: CHINA TRIGGERED LANDSLIDES

TUSCALOOSA, AL: EF5 STORM WITH 466 KPH (280 MPH) WINDS

APRIL 27, 2011

TUSCALOOSA, AL: APRIL 27, 2011

PRATT CITY, AL: APRIL 27, 2011

PRATT CITY; AL: APRIL 27, 2011PRATT CITY; AL: APRIL 27, 2011

PLEASANT GROVE, AL: APRIL 27, 2011

DEBRIS ACROSS HIGHWAY

MOUNT KARANGETANG ERUPTS

The 1,784 m (5,853 ft) volcano, which is one of Indonesia’s 129 active volcan-oes, is located on Siau.

VOLCANO HAZARDS (AKA POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS)

• LAVA FLOWS

• LAHARS

• EARTHQUAKES (related to movement of lava)

• “VOLCANIC WINTER”

NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH EVACUATION IS TYPICALEVACUATION IS TYPICAL

NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH NATURAL HAZARDS FOR WHICH EVACUATION IS TYPICALEVACUATION IS TYPICAL

FLOODS

HURRICANES

TYPHOONS

TSUNAMIS

VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS

WILDFIRES

HIGH BENEFIT/COST FOR SAVING LIVES, BUT LOW BEMEFIT/COST FOR PROTECTING PROPERTY

HIGH BENEFIT/COST FOR SAVING LIVES, BUT LOW BEMEFIT/COST FOR PROTECTING PROPERTY

GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT OF HARM’S WAYOF HARM’S WAY

GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT GOAL: MOVE PEOPLE OUT OF HARM’S WAYOF HARM’S WAY

CHRONOLOGY OF THE STORM

• Starts in Oklahoma late Thursday (April 14)

• Moves to Arkansas on Friday (April 15)

• Impacts Mississippi and Alabama

TECTONICS OF INDONESIA REGION

• The Australian and Eurasian plates meet in Indonesia, creating a tectonic setting favorable for generating earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanic eruptions.

Indonesia has 129 active

volcanoes, with two of the most active ones — Mount Kelut and Mount Merapi — on the island of Java, where the Indonesian

capital, Jakarta, is.

SENSITIZED BY THE 2004 TSUNAMI DISASTER, INDONESIANS HEEDED THE

WARNING

This time, the

tsunami that inundated towns, immobilized air ports, destroyed buildings, and killed 1,000’s in Japan, WAS NOT DEADLY in Indonesia.

IN 2004, TSUNAMI WAVES REACHED BANDA ACHE IN1/2 HOUR, THEN TRAVERSED THE

INDIAN OCEAN

12 COUNTRIES ADJACENT TO THE INDIAN OCEAN WERE IMPACTED

THE 2004 EXPERIENCE

• THE TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED BY A SHALLOW, M 9.3 EARTHQUAKE LOCATED 260 KM (155 MI) FROM BANDA ACEH, SUMATRA

THE 2004 EXPERIENCE

• THE TSUNAMI WAVES HAD HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 10 M AND RUNUP OF 3.3 KM OR MORE ON THE COAST LINES OF 12 NATIONS

THE 2004 EXPERIENCE

• THE EXISTING TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM WAS INEFFECTIVE IN 2004

• RESULT: LITTLE OR NO EVACUATION

THE 2004 EXPERIENCE

• AN EXTIMATED 220,000 PEOPLE WERE KILLED (120,000 IN INDONESIA) AND 500,000 WERE INJURED IN 12 COUNTRIES BORDERING THE INDIAN OCEAN

WINNING THE GLOBAL WAR AGAINST APATHY AND IGNORANCE

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