Wind power in Central America - platts.com · Wind power in Central America Platts Conference June...
Transcript of Wind power in Central America - platts.com · Wind power in Central America Platts Conference June...
Wind power in Central America
Platts Conference June 2012
Jay Gallegos, Managing Director, Globeleq Mesoamerica Energy
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
• GME is the leading company in the development and operation of wind energy projects in Central America
- 23 wind MW operating in Costa Rica since 1996 (Plantas Eolicas, SRL-PESRL)
- 102 wind MW operating in Honduras since 2011 (Cerro de Hula)
- 44 MW under construction in Nicaragua – COD December 2012 (Eolo)
- 50 MW awarded – Costa Rica
- Over 140 professionals with experience in project development and O&M
• Founded by Mesoamerica Investments in 2004 with the acquisition of Plantas Eólicas SRL in Costa Rica
• Globeleq acquires 70% of the company in 2010
Globeleq Mesoamerica Energy
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Operational Wind Farms
Plantas Eólicas SRL (PESRL) - successful operational history
• 58 Kenetech turbines, 23 MW installed capacity
• Built in 1994 - first utility scale Wind project in Latin America
• Commercial Operation 1996, project in 17th year, average availability 96%
Cerro de Hula Wind Project • 51 GAMESA G87 wind turbines, 102 MW installed
capacity • COD - December 2011 (10,5 construction
months) • Community Participation - 300 landowners
- More than 20 town hall meetings
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
PESRL 23 MW Wind-CR
Expansion 50 MW
Cerro de Hula 102 MW Wind
Expansion 24 MW
Eolo 44 MW Wind
Under construction-NIC
Focus region
Central America
Mexico
Peru
Colombia
* Other markets on
opportunistic basis
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Growth in installed capacity in Central America
Source: Recompilation of GME with ECLAC data
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
19
85
19
90
19
95
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
MWInstalled capacity and Maximum Demand
in Central America
Thermal Renewable Maximum demand
4-5%
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Month
Win
d (m
/s)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Pre
cip
ita
ció
n P
rom
ed
io (
mm
)
Wind
Rain
Complementary resources
- seasonality
Wind resource is at its peak during the dry season Most hydro projects are run of river
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Wind Energy Potential in Central America
Population (M)
Estimated Installed Capacity
2011 (MW)
Installed Capacity
Wind (MW)
% Wind Energy
Generation
Wind Connection
Potential, 10% system (MW)
Wind Connection
Potential, 20% system (MW)
Guatemala 14,7 2.475 0 0,00% 248 495
El Salvador 6,2 1.480 0 0,00% 148 296
Honduras 8,2 1.712 102 5,96% 161 322
Nicaragua 5,8 1.060 63 5,94% 100 199
Costa Rica 4,6 2.650 133 5,01% 252 503
Panama 3,4 1.974 0 0,00% 197 395
Total 43 11.351 298 1.105 2.211
The energy grids in these countries could take on additional new wind capacity over the next 10 years
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Wind Projects in Central America
> 10 MW wind projects
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Plantas Eólicas, Costa Rica (23 MW) C/O
MOVASA, Costa Rica (20 MW) C/O
AeroEnergía, Costa Rica (8 MW) C/O
Tejona, Costa Rica (20 MW) C/O
Amayo, Nicaragua (40 MW) C/O II (23 MW) C/O
PEG, Costa Rica (50 MW) C/O
Cerro de Hula, Honduras (102 MW) C/O CdH II
Coopesantos, Costa Rica (13 MW) C/O
Chiripa, Costa Rica (50 MW)
Orosi (50 MW), Costa Rica
Valle Central, Costa Rica
Eolo (44 MW), NIcaragua C/O
La Fe, San Martin (40 MW), Nicaragua C/O
Las Sierras, Nicaragua
Santa Fé, Panama
Toabre, Panama
El Tesoro, Panamaa
Penonome, Panama
Buenos Aires, Guatemala
San Antonio, Guatemala
Viento Blanco, Guatemala
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Resource Assessment
Some of the building blocks take much longer in the Region
Permits
Infrastructure
Land
Socialization
Environment
Off-Taker / Market
Interconnection Construction
Operation & Maintenance
Financing
Balance of Plant
Equipment
Legislation & Policies
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
EPC and Turbine costs
Turbine
cost 56%
EPC cost
22%
Financial
cost 13%
Others
9%
Source: Prepared by GME
Source: GL GH, Prices based on year 2011
• Turbine supply costs clearly mark the trend of the global cost market in recent years. The prices have been slightly more expensive in Latin America than Europe
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Regional risks and effects
• Wind risk & Grid stability
Limited long term references Increase uncertainly on energy production Grid penetration issues
• Social:
Land title Opposition Groups Opportunism
• Delay of Financial close:
Project finance due diligence challenges Offtaker creditworthiness Land and social issues Insurance Permitting process transparency
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Regional risks and effects
• EPC
Delays in notice to proceed to EPC contractor
LNTP
Weather
Larger project execution teams required
Local contractor mobilization
Shipping & Customs
• Others:
Security
Implementation of renewable incentives
Change in Law clause weaknesses
This information is confidential and was prepared by Mesoamerica Investments solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Mesoamerica's prior written consent.
Conclusions
• More wind and social risk
• EPC more expensive
• Require greater owner involvement
• Security
• More difficult to achieve financial close
• Implementation of incentives not easy
• Difficult to enforce change in law provision
Impacts to IRR