WILSHIRE ASSOCIATES
Transcript of WILSHIRE ASSOCIATES
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
WILSHIRE ASSOCIATES
December 31, 2018
Executive Summary of Investment Performance
T h e C i t y o f G r a n d R a p i d s – G e n e r a l R e t i r e m e n t S y s t e m
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Contents
Capital Market Review Tab 1
Investment Performance Tab 2
Appendix
CAPITAL MARKET REVIEW
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
U.S. Equity
The U.S. stock market was down -14.3% for the
fourth quarter of 2018. This marks the worst
quarter for U.S. equities since 2011 and the first
down year since the credit crisis sell-off of 2008.
Concerns of an economic slowdown weighed on
stock prices as did fears that additional rate
increases by the Federal Reserve could weaken
future prospects for economic growth.
The yield curve ended 2018 with a very unusual
shape – which will likely be a source of debate if
it persists, largely focusing on the Fed’s
December rate hike. Some fear that it could be
enough to slow the economy and are therefore
selling shorter-term bonds, pushing rates higher.
Others highlight the fact that the Fed’s mandate
focuses on both growth and inflation and that a
0.25% increase is not likely to stop the U.S.
economy cold. Ultimately, the Fed makes their
final decisions based on all available data and
can decide to adjust their course of action.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MARKET COMMENTARY
Non-U.S. Equity
Equity markets outside of the U.S. suffered
during the quarter, although they generally
outperformed U.S. equity. While the EU began
the year in sound economic condition, growth
declined steadily while gains in unemployment
stalled and industrial production reversed
course. While there were some positive signals
on U.S.-China trade, investors will likely wait until
a scheduled meeting in January before fully
evaluating the current global trade environment.
Fixed Income
The U.S. Treasury yield curve fell across most
maturities with the 10-year Treasury yield at
2.69%, down 37 basis points. The Federal Open
Market Committee increased its overnight rate
by 25 basis points but adjusted downward their
forecast for future rates. Credit spreads widened
during the quarter within both the investment
grade and high yield markets.
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W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
ASSET CLASS PERFORMANCE
Data sources: Wilshire Compass Note: Developed asset class is developed equity markets ex-U.S., ex-Canada
ANNUALIZED
5-YEAR
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD AS OF 12/2018
U.S. Equity REITs REITs MLPs Emrg Mrkts T-Bills U.S. Equity
33.1% 31.8% 4.2% 18.3% 37.7% 1.9% 8.1%
MLPs U.S. Equity U.S. Equity High Yield Developed Core Bond REITs
27.6% 12.7% 0.7% 17.1% 25.6% 0.0% 7.9%
Developed Core Bond Core Bond U.S. Equity U.S. Equity U.S. TIPS High Yield
23.3% 6.0% 0.6% 13.4% 21.0% -1.3% 3.8%
High Yield MLPs T-Bills Commodities High Yield High Yield Core Bond
7.4% 4.8% 0.1% 11.8% 7.5% -2.1% 2.5%
REITs U.S. TIPS Developed Emrg Mrkts REITs REITs Emrg Mrkts
1.9% 3.6% -0.4% 11.6% 4.2% -4.8% 2.0%
T-Bills High Yield U.S. TIPS REITs Core Bond U.S. Equity U.S. TIPS
0.1% 2.5% -1.4% 7.2% 3.6% -5.3% 1.7%
Core Bond T-Bills High Yield U.S. TIPS U.S. TIPS Commodities Developed
-2.0% 0.0% -4.5% 4.7% 3.0% -11.2% 1.0%
Emrg Mrkts Emrg Mrkts Emrg Mrkts Core Bond Commodities MLPs T-Bills
-2.3% -1.8% -14.6% 2.6% 1.7% -12.4% 0.6%
U.S. TIPS Developed Commodities Developed T-Bills Developed MLPs
-8.6% -4.5% -24.7% 1.5% 0.8% -13.4% -7.3%
Commodities Commodities MLPs T-Bills MLPs Emrg Mrkts Commodities
-9.5% -17.0% -32.6% 0.3% -6.5% -14.2% -8.8%
ASSET CLASS RETURNS - BEST TO WORST
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W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
YEAREND ENVIRONMENT
Note: U.S. Stocks (Wilshire 5000 Total market Index), Non-U.S. Stocks (MSCI ACWI x-U.S.), Core Bonds (Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate).
1Q-18 2Q-18 3Q-18 4Q-18
2018
Calendar
Year
2019
Calendar
YTD
U.S. Equity
Market
Peak-Trough
Since U.S.
Equity Market
Bottom
U.S. Stocks -0.8 3.8 7.4 -14.3 -5.3 9.2 -20.2 16.5
Non-U.S. Stocks -1.2 -2.6 0.7 -11.5 -14.2 6.1 -12.6 7.5
Core Bonds -1.5 -0.2 0.0 1.6 0.0 1.1 1.6 1.4
Peak Trough
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
01/0
2/1
8
01/2
3/1
8
02/1
3/1
8
03/0
6/1
8
03/2
7/1
8
04/1
7/1
8
05/0
8/1
8
05/2
9/1
8
06/1
9/1
8
07/1
0/1
8
07/3
1/1
8
08/2
1/1
8
09/1
1/1
8
10/0
2/1
8
10/2
3/1
8
11/1
3/1
8
12/0
4/1
8
12/2
5/1
8
01/1
5/1
9
02/0
5/1
9
VIX
Wils
hir
e 5
000 I
ndex L
evel
Equity Market Performance & Volatility
Equity Volatility (VIX) (RHS) W5000 (LHS)
Peak-to-Trough
Performance: -20.2%
Sep. 20 through Dec. 24
As of Feb. 11, 2019
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
DECEMBER 2018 ASSET CLASS
ASSUMPTIONS
DEV EMG GLOBAL LT NON-US
US EX-US MRKT EX-US GLOBAL PRIVATE CORE CORE US HIGH BOND US GLOBAL PRIVATE REAL US
STOCK STOCK STOCK STOCK STOCK EQUITY CASH BOND BOND TIPS YIELD (HDG) RES RES RE CMDTY ASSETS CPI
EXPECTED COMPOUND RETURN (%) 7.00 7.50 7.50 7.75 7.45 10.05 2.65 3.85 4.25 3.00 5.90 1.25 5.65 5.85 6.65 4.35 6.40 1.70
EXPECTED ARITHMETIC RETURN (%) 8.30 8.95 10.45 9.35 8.75 13.35 2.65 4.00 4.70 3.15 6.35 1.30 7.00 7.00 7.55 5.40 6.75 1.70
EXPECTED RISK (%) 17.00 18.00 26.00 18.80 17.05 28.00 1.25 5.15 9.85 6.00 10.00 3.50 17.00 15.80 14.00 15.00 8.75 1.75
CASH YIELD (%) 2.15 3.50 2.50 3.25 2.65 0.00 2.65 4.05 5.00 3.55 8.95 1.80 4.40 4.40 2.70 2.65 3.00 0.00
CORRELATIONS
US STOCK 1.00
DEV EX-US STOCK (USD) 0.81 1.00
EMERGING MARKET STOCK 0.74 0.74 1.00
GLOBAL EX-US STOCK 0.83 0.96 0.86 1.00
GLOBAL STOCK 0.94 0.92 0.82 0.94 1.00
PRIVATE EQUITY 0.74 0.64 0.62 0.67 0.74 1.00
CASH EQUIVALENTS -0.05 -0.09 -0.05 -0.08 -0.07 0.00 1.00
CORE BOND 0.28 0.13 0.00 0.09 0.20 0.31 0.19 1.00
LT CORE BOND 0.31 0.16 0.01 0.12 0.23 0.32 0.11 0.93 1.00
US TIPS -0.05 0.00 0.15 0.05 0.00 -0.03 0.20 0.60 0.47 1.00
HIGH YIELD BOND 0.54 0.39 0.49 0.45 0.51 0.34 -0.10 0.25 0.32 0.05 1.00
NON-US BOND (HDG) 0.16 0.25 -0.01 0.18 0.18 0.26 0.10 0.67 0.66 0.39 0.26 1.00
US RE SECURITIES 0.59 0.47 0.44 0.49 0.56 0.50 -0.05 0.17 0.23 0.10 0.56 0.05 1.00
GLOBAL RE SECURITIES 0.65 0.59 0.56 0.62 0.66 0.58 -0.05 0.17 0.22 0.11 0.62 0.03 0.94 1.00
PRIVATE REAL ESTATE 0.54 0.44 0.44 0.47 0.52 0.51 -0.05 0.19 0.25 0.09 0.57 0.05 0.77 0.76 1.00
COMMODITIES 0.25 0.34 0.39 0.38 0.32 0.27 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 0.25 0.29 -0.10 0.25 0.28 0.25 1.00
REAL ASSET BASKET 0.42 0.43 0.50 0.48 0.47 0.43 0.01 0.24 0.25 0.41 0.53 0.06 0.65 0.69 0.69 0.59 1.00
INFLATION (CPI) -0.10 -0.15 -0.13 -0.15 -0.13 -0.10 0.10 -0.12 -0.12 0.15 -0.08 -0.08 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.44 0.26 1.00
REAL ESTATE
EQUITY FIXED INCOME REAL ASSETS
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
ECONOMIC REVIEW
Data sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Treasury, University of Michigan, Institute for Supply Management, Bureau of Economic Analysis
AS OF DEC. 31, 2018
CPI (ALL ITEMS)
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Dec-18 -0.1 3-Mo. 0.3
Nov-18 0.0 12-Mo. 1.9
Oct-18 0.3 10-Yr. (Annual) 1.8
BREAKEVEN INFLATION 10-Yr. 1.7
CONSUMER SENTIMENT Dec-18 98.3
U. OF MICHIGAN SURVEY Nov-18 97.5
1-Yr. Ago 95.9 10-Yr. Avg 82.5
MANUFACTURING Dec-18 54.1
INST. FOR SUPPLY MGMT Nov-18 59.3 >50 Expansion
PURCHASING MNGRS' IDX 1-Yr. Avg. 58.8 <50 Contraction
Note: Seasonally adjusted CPI data is utilized to better reflect short-term pricing activity.
September/2018 CPI is based on Federal Reserve of Philadelphia Survey of Professional Forecasters
MONTHLY CHANGE CUMULATIVE CHANGE
KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS
CHANGE IN SECTOR
Real GDP
Consumer Spending
$(15,000)
$(10,000)
$(5,000)
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
-7.5%
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
Quart
erly G
DP (
$bil)
Annualized G
row
th
CHANGES IN REAL GDP (2012 BASE YEAR)
Annualized Change in Real GDP Private Investment Series9 Government Spending
(5.0)
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
(200)
(100)
-
100
200
300
400
Unem
plo
ym
ent
Rate
(%
)
Job G
row
th/L
oss (
thou)
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND JOB GROWTH/LOSS
Job Growth (Loss) Unemployment Rate
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
Text
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
RISK MONITOR
Data sources: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Barclays
Text
Text Text
-4.00
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
10-Y
ear
Tre
asury
-3-M
onth
TBill (%
)
YIELD CURVE SLOPE VS RECESSIONS (IN GRAY)
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
Options A
dju
ste
d S
pre
ad (
%)
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS CREDIT INDEXES
Investment Grade
High Yield
< — Investment Grade High Yield — >
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Mark
et
Str
ess R
ela
tive t
o A
vera
ge (
Zero
)
ST. LOUIS FED FINANCIAL STRESS INDEX
Constructed from seven interest rate series, six yield spreads and five other financial stress indicators.0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
30-D
ay E
xpecte
d V
ola
tility
(%
)
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
U.S. EQUITY MARKET
Data sources: Wilshire Compass, Wilshire Atlas
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
WILSHIRE 5000 INDEX -14.3 -5.3 -5.3 9.1 8.1 13.2
WILSHIRE U.S. LARGE CAP -13.7 -4.6 -4.6 9.3 8.5 13.1
WILSHIRE U.S. SMALL CAP -19.7 -10.8 -10.8 7.4 4.7 13.9
WILSHIRE U.S. LARGE GROWTH -16.8 -3.6 -3.6 10.3 9.6 14.6
WILSHIRE U.S. LARGE VALUE -10.8 -5.9 -5.9 8.1 7.2 11.6
WILSHIRE U.S. SMALL GROWTH -20.6 -9.7 -9.7 8.1 4.5 14.7
WILSHIRE U.S. SMALL VALUE -18.7 -12.0 -12.0 6.5 4.7 12.9
WILSHIRE REIT INDEX -6.9 -4.8 -4.8 2.1 7.9 12.2
MSCI USA MIN. VOL. INDEX -7.7 0.9 0.9 9.5 9.8 12.6
FTSE RAFI U.S. 1000 INDEX -13.8 -8.3 -8.3 7.9 6.6 14.1-5.3
-16.6
4.3
-4.4
-19.4
-8.3
-13.9
-14.3
-1.6
-13.0
5.4
0.7
-14.3
-14.5
0.8
-6.2
-25.6
-5.5
-13.3
-18.2
-16.5
-13.7
-10.8
-17.5
Wilshire 5000
Materials
Utilities
Real Estate
Energy
Consumer Staples
Communication Services
Industrials
Consumer Discretionary
Financials
Health Care
Information Technology
2.6%
3.4%
4.2%
4.9%
7.0%
9.2%
9.9%
10.4%
14.3%
14.4%
19.8%
WILSHIRE 5000 SECTOR WEIGHT & RETURN (%)
4th Quarter 1-Year
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
Larg
e C
ap in e
xcess o
f Sm
all C
ap
LARGE CAP VS SMALL CAP
QTD Excess Return Rolling 3-Year Excess Return
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
Gro
wth
in e
xcess o
f Valu
e
GROWTH VS VALUE
QTD Excess Return Rolling 3-Year Excess Return
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
• 2018 was the first down year for the Wilshire 5000 Index since the global financial crisis
• While it was the mildest negative return in two decades, the market briefly entered a technical bear
market (-20%) in late December
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
ANNUAL EQUITY RETURNS
24 24
-11 -11
-21
32
13
6
16
6
-37
28
17
1
16
33
13
1
13
21
-5
-22
-12
-21
-29-32
-13
-8 -7 -8 -10
-49
-27
-16-20
-10
-6-7
-12 -11
-3
-20
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
WILSHIRE 5000 INDEXWORST INTRA-PERIOD SELLOFF VS ANNUAL RETURN (%)
Annual Return Largest Selloff 11
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
• Volatility returned to the equity markets
after a tranquil 2017
• Investor concerns included monetary
tightening, global trade and future
economic growth
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
EQUITY VOLATILITY
Since
1980 Year 1% 2% 3% 4%
Max Risk 40.56% -48.54% 71 42 24 17 -17.23%
Avg 15.48% -13.97% 28.2 7.7 2.3 1.0 -4.00%
Med 13.33% -9.95% 23.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 -3.34%
Min Risk 6.96% -2.74% 3 0 0 0 -1.36%
Level 6.96% -2.75% 4 0 0 0 -1.85%
Rank 1 2 2 1 1 1 7
Level 16.86% -20.18% 32 15 5 1 -4.02%
Rank 29 31 25 33 32 27 27
The "Rank" s tatis tics reflect ordinal rankings among 39 annual observations (i .e. ranks shown are X of 39)
2018
2017
Universe
Statistics
Annual
Volatility
Largest
Drawdown
Number of Days Down: Worst
Down Day
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Wilshire 5000 Index: 20-Day Rolling Risk
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
Highest quality names produced a positive return for the year but are among the lowest weight within
the broad market
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
RETURNS BY QUALITY SEGMENT
Data sources: Wilshire Atlas
(25.00)
(20.00)
(15.00)
(10.00)
(5.00)
-
5.00
4Q 18 YTD 2018
Tota
l Retu
rn (
%)
RETURN BY S&P QUALITY RATING
A+ A A- B+ B B- C / D
A+ 6%
A 8%
A- 13%
B+ 31%
B 15%
B- 9%
C / D 4%
N.A. 14%
Segment Weights
as of September 30
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©2019 Wilshire Associates.
Text
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
NON-U.S. GROWTH AND INFLATION
Data sources: Bloomberg
Text
Text Text
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
DEVELOPED MARKETS REAL GDP GROWTH YoY (%)
USA Eurozone Japan UK
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
EMERGING MARKETS REAL GDP GROWTH YoY (%)
China India Brazil Russia South Korea
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
DEVELOPED MARKETS CPI GROWTH YoY (%)
USA Eurozone Japan UK
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
EMERGING MARKETS CPI GROWTH YoY (%)
China India Brazil Russia South Korea
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W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
NON-U.S. EQUITY MARKET
Data sources: Wilshire Compass
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
MSCI ACWI EX-US ($G) -11.4 -13.8 -13.8 5.0 1.1 7.1
MSCI EAFE ($G) -12.5 -13.4 -13.4 3.4 1.0 6.8
MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ($G) -7.4 -14.2 -14.2 9.6 2.0 8.4
MSCI FRONTIER MARKETS ($G) -4.3 -16.2 -16.2 4.6 1.1 5.4
MSCI ACWI EX-US GROWTH ($G) -12.2 -14.1 -14.1 4.6 2.1 7.5
MSCI ACWI EX-US VALUE ($G) -10.6 -13.4 -13.4 5.4 0.2 6.6
MSCI ACWI EX-US SMALL ($G) -14.4 -17.9 -17.9 4.4 2.4 10.5
MSCI ACWI MINIMUM VOLATILITY -6.5 -1.0 -1.0 8.3 7.9 10.5
MSCI EAFE MINIMUM VOLATILITY -7.3 -5.2 -5.2 4.5 5.4 8.1
FTSE RAFI DEVELOPED EX-US -12.8 -14.5 -14.5 4.9 0.9 7.3
MSCI EAFE LC (G) -12.2 -10.5 -10.5 3.1 4.3 8.0
-13.4
-10.4
-8.2
-21.8
-11.9
-14.0
-12.6
-12.5
-9.6
-8.9
-15.6
-15.0
-11.7
-14.2
MSCI EAFE
Australia
Switzerland
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Japan
6.9%
8.7%
8.8%
11.1%
16.9%
24.6%
MSCI EAFE: LARGEST COUNTRIES & RETURN (USD)
4th Quarter 1-Year
-14.2
-24.0
-0.6
-7.3
-8.2
-20.7
-18.7
-7.4
-3.6
13.6
2.5
-13.8
-12.9
-10.7
MSCI Emrg Mrkts
South Africa
Brazil
India
Taiwan
South Korea
China
6.2%
7.5%
9.4%
11.4%
13.8%
30.4%
MSCI EM: LARGEST COUNTRIES & RETURN (USD)
4th Quarter 1-Year
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W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
U.S. FIXED INCOME
Data sources: Wilshire Compass, Bloomberg Barclays, U.S. Treasury
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Option A
dju
ste
d S
pre
ad (
bps)
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS FIXED INCOME INDEXES
Securitized IG Corporate Aa Corporate High Yield
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yie
ld (
%)
Maturity (yrs)
TREASURY YIELD CURVE
Current Quarter Previous Quarter One Year Ago
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 YTM DURATION QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS AGGREGATE 3.3 5.9 1.6 0.0 0.0 2.1 2.5 3.5
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS TREASURY 2.6 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.1
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS GOV'T-REL. 3.4 5.3 1.2 0.3 0.3 2.4 2.6 2.9
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS SECURITIZED 3.4 4.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.4
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS CORPORATE 4.2 7.1 -0.2 -2.5 -2.5 3.3 3.3 5.9
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS LT G/C 4.1 15.0 0.8 -4.7 -4.7 4.0 5.4 5.9
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS LT TREASURY 3.0 17.4 4.2 -1.8 -1.8 2.6 5.9 4.1
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS LT GOV't-REL. 4.6 11.8 0.0 -3.2 -3.2 4.7 5.6 5.7
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS LT CORP. 4.9 13.5 -1.8 -7.2 -7.2 4.9 5.0 7.6
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS U.S. TIPS * 2.7 7.6 -0.4 -1.3 -1.3 2.1 1.7 3.6
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD 8.0 4.0 -4.5 -2.1 -2.1 7.2 3.8 11.1
TREASURY BILLS 2.5 0.25 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4
* Yield and Duration statistics are for a proxy index based on similar maturity, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Index
16
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
• Federal Reserve began their balance sheet normalization program during October 2017; targeting
$10B in reductions per month while increasing to $50B per month in Q4 2018
• Generally on pace with their initial plan, the Federal Reserve has reduced their total assets by $406
billion through mid-January 2019
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
FEDERAL RESERVE
Data sources: Federal Reserve
$-
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0
FEDERAL RESERVE: BALANCE SHEET FORECAST ($T)
U.S. Treasuries Mortgage-backed Securities Other Original Forecast
January 2019
17
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
NON-U.S. FIXED INCOME
Data sources: Wilshire Compass, Bloomberg Barclays, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
DEVELOPED MARKETS
BLMBRG BRCLYS GLBL AGGREGATE xUS 0.9 -2.1 -2.1 3.2 0.0 1.7
BLMBRG BRCLYS GLBL AGGREGATE xUS * 1.9 3.2 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.0
BLMBRG BRCLYS GLOBAL INF LNKD xUS -1.1 -5.9 -5.9 3.1 1.0 3.8
BLMBRG BRCLYS GLOBAL INF LNKD xUS * 1.4 1.3 1.3 6.2 6.3 5.8
EMERGING MARKETS (HARD CURRENCY)
BLMBRG BRCLYS EM USD AGGREGATE -0.2 -2.5 -2.5 5.0 4.2 8.5
EMERGING MARKETS (FOREIGN CURRENCY)
BLMBRG BRCLYS EM LOCAL CURR. GOV'T 2.5 -3.4 -3.4 5.3 0.5 4.1
BLMBRG BRCLYS EM LOCAL CURR. GOV'T * 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.2 2.9 3.2
EURO vs. DOLLAR -1.6 -4.8 -4.8 1.7 -3.7 -2.0
YEN vs. DOLLAR 3.5 2.7 2.7 3.1 -0.9 -1.9
POUND vs. DOLLAR -2.3 -5.9 -5.9 -4.7 -5.1 -1.2
* Returns are reported in terms of local market investors, w hich removes currency effects.
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
Yie
ld t
o W
ors
t (%
)
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS FIXED INCOME INDEXES
U.S. Treasury Global xUS Gov't EM USD Sovereign EM Foreign Gov't
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Rollin
g 1
-Year
Retu
rn
Index L
evel
U.S. DOLLAR INDEX: MAJOR CURRENCIES
Index Level Rolling 1-Year Return
18
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
GLOBAL INTEREST RATES
Data sources: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
Negative short-term rates remain in Europe; Long rates jumped in Italy during the quarter
Germany
Japan
France
United Kingdom
Canada
Australia
Italy
Spain
South Korea
Portugal
U.S.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
-1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
Long-T
erm
/ 1
0-Y
ear
Yie
lds (
%)
Short-Term / 3-Month Yields (%)
GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS
19
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
HIGH YIELD BOND MARKET
Data sources: Wilshire Compass, Bloomberg Barclays
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD -4.5 -2.1 -2.1 7.2 3.8 11.1
CREDIT SUISSE LEVERAGED LOAN -3.1 1.1 1.1 5.0 3.3 8.3
HIGH YIELD QUALITY DISTRIBUTION WEIGHT
Ba U.S. HIGH YIELD 46.1% -2.9 -2.4 -2.4 5.7 4.3 10.2
B U.S. HIGH YIELD 39.7% -4.4 -1.3 -1.3 6.8 3.3 9.7
Caa U.S. HIGH YIELD 13.3% -9.3 -3.8 -3.8 11.7 3.9 13.9
Ca to D U.S. HIGH YIELD 0.6% -24.1 -1.3 -1.3 27.2 -11.2 7.4
Non-Rated U.S. HIGH YIELD 0.2% -1.7 1.2 1.2 5.3 -0.5 6.9
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Option A
dju
ste
d S
pre
ad (
bps)
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD INDEXES
HY Index Ba B Caa
20
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
REAL ASSETS
Data sources: Wilshire Compass, National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018 QTR YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 10 YR
BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS U.S. TIPS -0.4 -1.3 -1.3 2.1 1.7 3.6
BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX -9.4 -11.2 -11.2 0.3 -8.8 -3.8
WILSHIRE GLOBAL RESI INDEX -6.1 -5.4 -5.4 3.3 6.1 11.6
NCREIF ODCE FUND INDEX 1.8 8.3 8.3 8.2 10.4 7.0
NCREIF TIMBERLAND INDEX 1.0 3.4 3.4 3.2 5.0 3.8
ALERIAN MLP INDEX (OIL & GAS) -17.3 -12.4 -12.4 -1.1 -7.3 9.6
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Curr
ent
Yie
ld
Curr
ent
Cap R
ate
REAL ESTATE VALUATION
NPI Current Value Cap Rate Wilshire RESI Current Yield 10-Year Treasury Yield
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
Retu
rn (
%)
NCREIF ODCE FUND INDEX RETURN
Appreciation Income Total Return
21
APPENDIX: PRIVATE
MARKETS UPDATE
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
PRIVATE EQUITY – FUNDRAISING &
INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
Source: Preqin, as of December 31, 2018.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
No
. o
f F
un
ds
Ag
gre
ga
te D
ea
l V
alu
e (
$B
)
Global Quarterly Private Capital Fundraising (Q1 2013 – Q4 2018)
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn) No. of Funds Closed
-50
150
350
550
750
950
1,150
1,350
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
No
. o
f D
ea
ls
Ag
gre
ga
te D
ea
l V
alu
e (
$B
)
Global Annual Private Equity-Backed Buyout Activity (Q1 2013 – Q4 2018)
Aggregate Deal Value ($B) No. of Deals
23
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
PRIVATE EQUITY – PRICING &
VALUATIONS
Source: S&P LBO; PitchBook, *as of December 31, 2018.
6.0x 6.6x 7.1x7.3x
8.4x 8.4x
9.7x
9.1x
7.7x
8.5x8.8x 8.7x 8.8x
9.7x10.3x 10.0x
10.6x 10.6x
0x
2x
4x
6x
8x
10x
12x
2001
2002
2003
20
04
2005
2006
2007
2008
20
09
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
*201
8
LBO Purchase Price Multiples (2001 - Q4 2018)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*
Se
rie
s C
, &
D+
An
ge
l/S
ee
d, S
eri
es
A, &
B
Venture Capital Pre-Money Valuations ($M) (2006 - Q4 2018)
Angel/Seed Series A Series B Series C Series D+
24
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
U.S. INVESTMENT ACTIVITY BY
DEAL SIZE
• Deal volume continues to be dominated by lower middle market deals with investment sizes below
$100 million through the fourth quarter of 2018
• However, deals with below $100 million check sizes comprised only 7% of all deal volume by
amount of capital invested in the fourth quarter of 2018
Source: PitchBook, *as of December 31, 2018.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*
Percentage of Deal Volume by Deal Size (by Count)
$1B-$2.5B
$500M-$1B
$100M-$500M
$25M-$100M
Under $25M
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*
Percentage of Deal Volume by Deal Size (by Dollars)
25
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
PRIVATE CAPITAL DRY POWDER
Source: Preqin, as of December 31, 2018.
• Global private capital dry powder continues to increase, topping $2 trillion across all fund types
• Private equity comprises just under 70% of total dry powder in the market as of Q4 2018
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Private Capital Dry Powder by Fund Type (2009 - Q4 2018)
Private Equity Private Debt Closed-End Private Real Estate Unlsited Infrastructure Unlisted Natural Resources
26
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
PRIVATE EQUITY - U.S. DEBT
MARKETS
Source: S&P LBO, as of December 31, 2018.
• Loan volume in 2018 increased by approximately $25 billion from the prior year and is on pace to
once again increase year-over-year through the fourth quarter of 2018
• Availability of debt capital has driven up the percentage of debt used to finance leveraged buyouts
of less than $50 million of EBITDA through the fourth quarter of 2018
0
50
100
150
200
250
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total U.S. LBO Loan Volume ($B) (2006 – 2018)
Pro Rata Institutional
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Percentage of Debt Used in LBOs (2006 – 2018)
$50M or more of EBITDA Less than $50M of EBITDA
27
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
W i l s h i r e P r i v a t e M a r k e t s
PRIVATE EQUITY - U.S. LBO
PURCHASE PRICE MULTIPLES
• Due to the amount of debt that is readily available, purchase price multiples for U.S. LBOs have
remained consistent through Q4 2018 relative to 2017 levels
Source: S&P LBO, as of December 31, 2018.
8.4x
9.7x
9.1x
7.7x
8.5x8.8x 8.7x 8.8x
9.7x
10.3x10.0x
10.6x 10.6x
0x
2x
4x
6x
8x
10x
12x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Purchase Price Multiples of U.S. LBO Transactions (2006 - 2018)
Equity/ EBITDA Debt/EBITDA Total
28
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
Focus on Research – Driven by client interaction and the latest thinking in the industry
Each year, Wilshire hosts an educational conference for clients on important issues and topical ideas.
Investment topics for 2019 include:
• Market & Economic Outlook
• Economic Regimes and the Late Cycle
• International Equity
• Hedge Funds
• Liquidity
• Outsourced CIO
• ESG / SRI
• Defined Contribution Plans
• Private Markets: State of the World
• Active, Passive, and Alternative Beta
• Infrastructure
• Private Credit
• Diverse Managers and New Opportunities within Private Markets
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
37 th ANNUAL CLIENT CONFERENCES u n d a y, M a r c h 2 4 t h – Tu e s d a y, M a r c h 2 6 t h i n N a p a , C A
T h e E s t a t e Y o u n t v i l l e
N a p a V a l l e y C a l i f o r n i a
29
TOTAL FUND TOTAL FUND
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
5
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Pol icy A l locat ion vs Actua l A l locat ion
Total Assets: $381,534,081
Total Fund CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
Current Policy
Allocation
Proposed Policy
Allocation
Actual Allocation (in
$’000)
US Equity22.5%
Non - US Equity 22.5%
Core Fixed Income25.0%
Private Equity 5.0%
TIPS10.0%
Commodities5.0%
Real Estate 5.0%MLPs
5.0%Cash0.0%
US Equity17.8%
Non - US Equity 17.8%
Core Fixed Income24.5%
Private Equity 5.0%
TIPS5.0%Commodities
5.0%
Real Estate 5.0%
MLPs5.0%
Private Credit5.0%
Global Low Vol Equity10.0%
US Equity$85,63022.4%
Non - US Equity $79,47020.8%
Core Fixed Income
$104,54127.4%
Private Equity $20,110
5.3%
TIPS$31,811
8.3%
Commodities$16,184
4.2%
Real Estate $18,915
5.0%MLPs
$16,7384.4%
Cash$8740.2%
Private Credit$7,2611.9%
31
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
6
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Current Po l icy A l locat ion vs Actua l A l locat ionTotal Fund CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
Actual Current Policy Proposed Policy Variance Current
US Equity $85,630 22.44% 22.50% 17.75% -0.06%
Non - US Equity $79,470 20.83% 22.50% 17.75% -1.67%
Global Low Volatility Equity $0 0.00% 0.00% 10.00% 0.00%
Private Equity $20,110 5.27% 5.00% 5.00% 0.27%
Private Credit $7,261 1.90% 0.00% 5.00% 1.90%
Total Growth Assets $192,471 50.45% 50.00% 55.50% 0.45%
Core Fixed Income $104,541 27.40% 25.00% 24.50% 2.40%
Cash $874 0.23% 0.00% 0.00% 0.23%
Total Diversifying Assets $105,415 27.63% 25.00% 24.50% 2.63%
TIPS $31,811 8.34% 10.00% 5.00% -1.66%
Commodities $16,184 4.24% 5.00% 5.00% -0.76%
Real Estate $18,915 4.96% 5.00% 5.00% -0.04%
MLPs $16,738 4.39% 5.00% 5.00% -0.61%
Total Inflation Hedging Assets $83,648 21.92% 25.00% 20.00% -3.08%
Total Fund Composite $381,534 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Market Value (in $'000)Asset Allocation
32
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
7
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Proposed Pol icy A l locat ion vs Actua l A l locat ionTotal Fund CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
Actual Proposed Policy Current Policy Variance Proposed
US Equity $85,630 22.44% 17.75% 22.50% 4.69%
Non - US Equity $79,470 20.83% 17.75% 22.50% 3.08%
Global Low Volatility Equity $0 0.00% 10.00% 0.00% -10.00%
Private Equity $20,110 5.27% 5.00% 5.00% 0.27%
Private Credit $7,261 1.90% 5.00% 0.00% -3.10%
Total Growth Assets $192,471 50.45% 55.50% 50.00% -5.05%
Core Fixed Income $104,541 27.40% 24.50% 25.00% 2.90%
Cash $874 0.23% 0.00% 0.00% 0.23%
Total Diversifying Assets $105,415 27.63% 24.50% 25.00% 3.13%
TIPS $31,811 8.34% 5.00% 10.00% 3.34%
Commodities $16,184 4.24% 5.00% 5.00% -0.76%
Real Estate $18,915 4.96% 5.00% 5.00% -0.04%
MLPs $16,738 4.39% 5.00% 5.00% -0.61%
Total Inflation Hedging Assets $83,648 21.92% 20.00% 25.00% 1.92%
Total Fund Composite $381,534 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Market Value (in $'000)Asset Allocation
33
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
8
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Investment Performance
*Returns are net of fees.
**Policy index = Wilshire 5000 (22.50%), MSCI ACWI ex U.S. (22.50%), Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate (25.00%), Bloomberg Barclays TIPS (10.00%), FTSE EPRA
NAREIT Dev RE (5.00%), Wilshire 5000 +2.5% (5.00%), Bloomberg Commodity Index (5.00%), S&P MLP Index (5.00%)
Total Fund Composite*As of December 31, 2018
Quarter YTD One Year Three Years Five Years Seven Years Ten Years
Total Fund -8.1% -5.8% -5.8% 4.9% 3.9% 7.2% 9.5%
Total Fund Policy** -7.8% -5.9% -5.9% 4.8% 3.4% 6.5% 8.3%
-8.1%
-5.8% -5.8%
4.9%3.9%
7.2%
9.5%
-7.8%-5.9% -5.9%
4.8%3.4%
6.5%8.3%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
34
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTotal Fund CompositePeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
φ 1
φ 1
φ 1
φ 1
φ1
φ 1φ
1
φ
1
Med
75th
95th
25th
5th
φ Total Fund 1 Policy Index 5th %tile25th %tileMedian75th %tile95th %tileNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-8.06 (58)-7.77 (54)
-2.43-5.89-7.51-8.97
-10.33150
-6.11 (82)-5.63 (71)
-0.18-3.38-4.85-5.71-7.38
149
-4.47 (75)-4.25 (66)
1.03
-2.22-3.67-4.47-6.16
149
-5.59 (84)-5.85 (88)
1.66
-2.22-4.05-5.07-6.70
147
3.98 (84)3.23 (89)
8.516.285.024.192.22142
5.11 (82)4.78 (86)
8.386.916.175.493.67137
4.14 (79)3.41 (89)
6.645.795.114.502.90131
9.84 ( 7)8.25 (76)
9.919.288.818.276.09119
*TUCS Total Ret of Master Trusts - Public Universe - Gross of Fees 35
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
U.S. Equity Composite
Net of Fee Return D Wilshire 5000
Value Added
Non-U.S. Equity Composite
Net of Fee Return
Policy Benchmark
Value Added
Private Equity Composite
Net of Fee Return
Wilshire 5000 +2.5%
Value Added
Private Credit Composite
Net of Fee Return
S&P LSTA Leverage Loan Index
Value Added
Core Fixed Composite
Net of Fee Return
Bloomberg Aggregate
Value Added
Real Estate Composite
Net of Fee Return
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Value Added
-14.84
-14.29
-0.55
-14.48
-11.46
-3.01
5.15
-13.67
18.83
-0.52
-3.45
2.93
1.33
1.64
-0.30
-6.14
-5.69
-0.45
-6.05
-5.27
-0.78
-15.09
-14.20
-0.89
20.04
-2.77
22.81
-0.50
0.01
-0.51
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
-6.05
-5.27
-0.78
-15.09
-14.20
-0.89
20.04
-2.77
22.81
-0.50
0.01
-0.51
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
9.20
9.12
0.08
2.91
4.48
-1.56
14.43
11.62
2.80
3.10
2.06
1.05
0.61
2.72
-2.11
8.13
8.07
0.06
1.47
0.68
0.80
13.70
10.57
3.13
3.40
2.52
0.88
2.76
4.34
-1.58
12.80
12.47
0.33
6.04
4.85
1.19
10.48
14.97
-4.50
3.42
2.10
1.32
5.79
7.30
-1.51
14.16
13.20
0.96
7.78
6.57
1.21
6.17
3.48
2.70
9/30/87
9/30/87
9/30/87
6/30/95
6/30/95
6/30/95
6/30/10
6/30/10
6/30/10
9/30/18
9/30/18
9/30/18
9/30/87
9/30/87
9/30/87
6/30/09
6/30/09
6/30/09
8.19
9.17
-0.98
6.72
4.66
2.06
9.37
15.66
-6.29
-0.52
-3.45
2.93
6.53
6.29
0.23
8.25
9.59
-1.33
36
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Commodities Composite
Net of Fee Return
DJ UBS Commodity Index
Value Added
MLP Composite
Net of Fee Return
Alerian MLP Index
Value Added
TIPS Composite
Net of Fee Return
Barclays U.S. TIPS
Value Added
Total Real Assets Composite
Net of Fee Return
Policy Index
Value Added
Total Fund
Net of Fee Return
Policy Index
Value Added
-9.81
-9.41
-0.40
-20.62
-17.30
-3.32
-0.58
-0.42
-0.16
-8.07
-6.75
-1.32
-8.11
-7.77
-0.34
-12.33
-11.25
-1.09
-13.54
-10.97
-2.57
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
-7.75
-5.87
-1.88
-5.82
-5.85
0.02
-12.33
-11.25
-1.09
-13.54
-10.97
-2.57
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
-7.75
-5.87
-1.88
-5.82
-5.85
0.02
3.23
0.30
2.93
-0.73
0.83
-1.56
1.99
2.11
-0.13
1.32
1.91
-0.59
4.85
4.78
0.07
-7.06
-8.80
1.74
3.88
3.41
0.47
7.19
6.47
0.72
9.54
8.25
1.29
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
9/30/87
9/30/87
9/30/87
-7.93
-9.11
1.18
-9.58
-9.52
-0.06
1.18
1.29
-0.11
-2.50
-2.13
-0.37
7.35
7.88
-0.53
37
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
CUSTOM BENCHMARK SPECIFICATIONTotal FundDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Quarter Start Quarter End Percent Description
Policy Index 12/79
9/98
12/02
6/06
9/06
9/09
6/10
3/13
6/98
9/02
3/06
6/06
6/09
3/10
12/12
3/15
55.00
40.00
5.00
50.00
40.00
10.00
50.00
35.00
15.00
55.00
30.00
15.00
55.00
30.00
15.00
5.00
15.00
30.00
50.00
5.00
5.00
30.00
15.00
45.00
5.00
5.00
5.00
30.00
15.00
Wilshire 5000
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI EAFE Index (N)
Wilshire 5000
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI EAFE Index (N)
Wilshire 5000
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI EAFE Index (N)
Wilshire 5000
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI EAFE Index (N)
Wilshire 5000
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Bloomberg Aggregate
Wilshire 5000
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Wilshire 5000 + 2.5%
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Wilshire 5000
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Bloomberg Commodity Index
Wilshire 5000 + 2.5%
Bloomberg Aggregate
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
38
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
CUSTOM BENCHMARK SPECIFICATIONTotal FundDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Quarter Start Quarter End Percent Description
Policy Index (cont.)
6/15 12/18
40.00
22.50
25.00
10.00
5.00
22.50
5.00
5.00
5.00
Wilshire 5000
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Bloomberg Aggregate
Bloomberg U.S. TIPS
S&P MLP Index
Wilshire 5000
Wilshire 5000 + 2.5%
Bloomberg Commodity Index
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
39
U.S. EQUITY
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONU.S. Equity CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
NTAM$53,785,121 62.81%
Wellington$22,024,338 25.72%
PIMCO Stock Plus$9,820,126 11.47%
41
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONU.S. Equity CompositePeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1
1
1 1
1
11
1
Med75th
95th
25th 5th
U.S. Equity Composite 1 Wilshire 5000
5th %tile25th %tileMedian75th %tile95th %tileNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-14.80 (55)-14.29 (38)
-12.30-13.80-14.64-15.91-19.44
142
-9.03 (44)-8.06 (23)
-6.07-8.14-9.25
-10.89-15.71
141
-5.15 (40)-4.54 (24)
-2.96-4.59-5.66-8.04
-11.14138
-5.91 (42)-5.27 (33)
-1.25-5.07-6.26-8.68
-12.73134
7.03 (36)7.06 (35)
8.857.396.335.030.89121
9.39 ( 8)9.12 (20)
9.609.008.407.274.13117
8.34 (10)8.07 (17)
8.887.856.926.333.70108
14.43 ( 7)13.20 (43)
14.7313.3613.0912.4610.68
80
*TUCS Total Ret of US Equity Investment Pools Universe - Gross of Fees 42
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
NTAM
Net of Fee Return
Policy Benchmark
Value Added
PIMCO Stock Plus
Net of Fee Return
Standard & Poor’s 500
Value Added
Wellington
Net of Fee Return
Russell 2000
Value Added
U.S. Equity Composite
Net of Fee Return D Wilshire 5000
Value Added
-13.49
-13.52
0.03
-14.22
-13.52
-0.70
-18.37
-20.20
1.83
-14.84
-14.29
-0.55
-4.38
-4.38
-0.00
-5.33
-4.38
-0.95
-10.50
-11.01
0.52
-6.05
-5.27
-0.78
-4.38
-4.38
-0.00
-5.33
-4.38
-0.95
-10.50
-11.01
0.52
-6.05
-5.27
-0.78
9.25
9.26
-0.01
9.41
9.26
0.15
8.91
7.36
1.55
9.20
9.12
0.08
8.51
8.50
0.01
8.36
8.50
-0.14
6.68
4.41
2.27
8.13
8.07
0.06
12.71
12.70
0.01
13.50
12.70
0.81
13.04
10.44
2.60
12.80
12.47
0.33
13.17
13.12
0.05
15.00
13.12
1.88
16.15
11.97
4.18
14.16
13.20
0.96
9/30/98
9/30/98
9/30/98
9/30/00
9/30/00
9/30/00
9/30/99
9/30/99
9/30/99
9/30/87
9/30/87
9/30/87
6.79
6.79
0.00
5.64
5.15
0.49
10.60
7.57
3.03
8.19
9.17
-0.98
43
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISNTAMDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-0.20
-0.10
0.00
0.10
0.20
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Policy Benchmark 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
0.01
0.06
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
0.22
0.48
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
-0.04���������������-0.02���������������
0.00����������������
0.04����������������0.02����������������
0.06����������������
0.00����������������
0.05����������������0.04����������������
0.00����������������0.00����������������
-0.02���������������
-0.05���������������
0.00����������������
-0.01���������������
0.01����������������
-0.01���������������-0.01���������������-0.01���������������
0.03����������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Policy Benchmark
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1
1
1 1
11 1
1
Med75th95th
25th
5th
NTAM 1 Policy Benchma
MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-13.48 (36)-13.52 (45)
-13.5491
-6.81 (31)-6.85 (38)
-7.3490
-3.61 (29)-3.65 (34)
-4.0688
-4.34 (42)-4.38 (43)
-4.6288
7.95 (43)7.93 (43)
7.8181
9.30 (40)9.26 (42)
9.1481
8.56 (40)8.50 (46)
8.4379
13.23 (52)13.12 (56)
13.3247
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
NTAM
Policy Benchmark
Median
1
8.56
8.50
8.43
40
46
9.79
9.80
9.93
51
51
*TUCS Total Returns of Large Neutral Equity Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 44
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISPIMCO Stock PlusDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-5.00
-4.00
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Standard & Poor’s 500 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
-0.13
1.00
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
-0.13
-0.28
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-1.4%
-1.2%
-1.0%
-0.8%
-0.6%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.04����������������
0.14����������������0.05����������������
-0.62���������������
-0.09���������������-0.15���������������
-1.29���������������
-0.04���������������
-0.31���������������
0.47����������������0.44����������������
0.05����������������0.20����������������0.22����������������0.22����������������0.20����������������
-0.28���������������
-0.11���������������
0.22����������������
-0.7����������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Standard & Poor’s 500
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
⊕ 1
⊕ 1⊕ 1 ⊕ 1
⊕ 1⊕ 1 ⊕ 1
⊕1
Med75th95th
25th
5th
⊕ PIMCO Stock Pl 1 Standard & Poo
MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-14.22 (76)-13.52 (45)
-13.5491
-7.42 (62)-6.85 (38)
-7.3490
-4.34 (61)-3.65 (34)
-4.0688
-5.33 (71)-4.38 (43)
-4.6288
7.82 (48)7.93 (43)
7.8181
9.41 (35)9.26 (42)
9.1481
8.36 (52)8.50 (46)
8.4379
15.00 (11)13.12 (56)
13.3247
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
⊕1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
PIMCO Stock Plus
Standard & Poor’s 500
Median
⊕1
8.36
8.50
8.43
52
46
10.39
9.80
9.93
37
51
*TUCS Total Returns of Large Neutral Equity Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 45
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISWellingtonDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-10.00
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Russell 2000 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
2.17
2.48
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
0.88
1.96
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
2.23����������������
0.14����������������
1.84����������������
0.18����������������0.35����������������
-0.48���������������
1.23����������������0.79����������������
-1.11���������������
2.01����������������
-1.47���������������-0.63���������������
2.53����������������
1.65����������������
0.38����������������0.50����������������
-0.89���������������-1.11���������������
0.25����������������
1.83����������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Russell 2000
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1
1
1 1
1
1
1
1
Med75th95th
25th 5th
Wellington 1 Russell 2000
MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-18.24 (32)-20.20 (78)
-18.8666
-14.98 (31)-17.35 (56)
-16.8065
-9.20 (17)-10.94 (31)
-11.7965
-9.93 (20)-11.01 (28)
-13.3865
4.43 ( 1)1.00 (43)
0.4664
9.58 (28)7.36 (53)
7.5862
7.37 ( 1)4.41 (65)
4.8960
16.87 ( 1)11.97 (85)
13.1033
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 18.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
Wellington
Russell 2000
Median
1
7.37
4.41
4.89
1
65
13.67
14.54
13.56
45
27
*TUCS Total Returns of Small Neutral Equity Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 46
NON-U.S. EQUITY
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONNon-U.S. Equity CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Neuberger Berman CIT$52,256,732 65.76%
Harding Loevner$27,213,726 34.24%
48
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONNon-U.S. Equity CompositePeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
χ
1
χ
1
χ 1χ 1
χ 1 χ 1
χ1
χ1
Med75th95th
25th
5th
χ Non-U.S. Equity Composit 1 Policy Benchmark 5th %tile25th %tileMedian75th %tile95th %tileNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-14.43 (93)-11.46 (30)
-6.40
-11.21-12.40-12.71-14.75
87
-13.99 (86)-10.84 (26)
-0.97
-10.72-11.83-13.31-15.03
86
-14.55 (54)-13.17 (26)
-1.60
-13.09-14.26-15.50-19.09
84
-14.93 (60)-14.20 (40)
-5.36
-13.68-14.65-15.85-19.78
81
4.28 (55)4.47 (55)
8.625.824.713.442.28
76
3.08 (77)4.48 (43)
7.185.524.453.242.09
75
1.59 (36)0.68 (66)
3.162.041.120.00
-1.1270
8.01 (19)6.57 (77)
10.187.807.026.574.91
49
*TUCS Total Ret of Non-US Equity Investment Pools Universe - Gross of Fees 49
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Neuberger Berman CIT
Net of Fee Return
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Value Added
Neuberger Composite
Net of Fee Return
MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Value Added
Harding Loevner
Net of Fee Return
MSCI ACWI X US (N)
Value Added
Non-U.S. Equity Composite
Net of Fee Return
Policy Benchmark
Value Added
-14.11
-11.46
-2.65
-14.11
-11.46
-2.65
-15.17
-11.46
-3.70
-14.48
-11.46
-3.01
-15.67
-14.20
-1.47
-13.90
-14.20
0.30
-15.09
-14.20
-0.89
-15.67
-14.20
-1.47
-13.90
-14.20
0.30
-15.09
-14.20
-0.89
1.98
4.48
-2.50
4.75
4.48
0.28
2.91
4.48
-1.56
1.22
0.68
0.54
1.47
0.68
0.80
5.84
4.85
0.99
6.04
4.85
1.19
7.64
6.57
1.07
7.78
6.57
1.21
6/30/18
6/30/18
6/30/18
6/30/06
6/30/06
6/30/06
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
6/30/95
6/30/95
6/30/95
-14.80
-10.84
-3.96
2.32
2.65
-0.33
2.08
1.04
1.04
6.72
4.66
2.06
50
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISNeuberger Berman CITDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
12/18
-4.5%
-4.0%
-3.5%
-3.0%
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
-1.51���������������
-2.65���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. MSCI ACWI ex US (N)
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1 1 Med75th
95th
25th
5th
Neuberger Berm 1 MSCI ACWI ex U MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-14.11 (69)-11.46 (42)
-12.43
873
-14.80 (78)-10.84 (39)
-11.90
865
-14.12850
-14.50844
4.80818
4.38787
1.83737
8.39513
*TUCS Total Returns of International Equity Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 51
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISHarding LoevnerDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
3/16 6/16 9/16 12/16 3/17 6/17 9/17 12/17 3/18 6/18 9/18 12/18
-14.00
-12.00
-10.00
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. MSCI ACWI X US (N) 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
0.26
3.92
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
0.07
0.12
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-5.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
-0.07���������������
0.23����������������
3.01����������������
0.40����������������
1.68����������������
0.05����������������
-2.75���������������
2.21����������������
0.76����������������
-0.31���������������
-1.37���������������
1.63����������������1.89����������������1.08����������������
-3.7����������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. MSCI ACWI X US (N)
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
χ1 χ1
χ1 χ1
χ1
χ1
Med75th
95th
25th
5th
χ Harding Loevne 1 MSCI ACWI X US MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-15.04 (80)-11.46 (42)
-12.43
873
-13.41 (68)-10.84 (39)
-11.90
865
-13.93 (47)-13.17 (38)
-14.12
850
-13.43 (36)-14.20 (45)
-14.50
844
5.80 (37)4.47 (55)
4.80818
5.31 (40)4.48 (48)
4.38787
1.83737
8.39513
Three Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 22.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
χ1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description
Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
Harding Loevner
MSCI ACWI X US (N)
Median
χ1
5.31
4.48
4.38
40
48
13.06
10.95
12.16
33
73
*TUCS Total Returns of International Equity Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 52
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
9
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
Investment Performance
1TVPI = Fair Value + Capital Distributed / Capital Called
Private PartnershipsAs of December 31, 2018
Amount % Amount %
Private Equity Program
Adams Street Direct 2010 Fund $500,000 April 27, 2010 $473,300 95% $533,965 107% $326,422 1.82 13.64%
Adams Street Non-US Dev. 2010 Fund $1,500,000 April 27, 2010 $1,313,250 88% $915,712 61% $1,025,007 1.48 11.21%
Adams Street Non-US EM 2010 Fund $500,000 January 3, 2011 $449,000 90% $118,384 24% $579,757 1.55 11.04%
Adams Street US 2010 Fund $2,500,000 April 27, 2010 $2,202,500 88% $1,509,367 60% $2,153,501 1.66 13.83%
Adams Street 2013 Global Fund $5,000,000 July 3, 2013 $3,775,000 76% $538,386 11% $4,657,388 1.38 11.23%
Aberdeen Global Partners $5,000,000 January 17, 2012 $4,850,000 97% $1,591,013 32% $5,281,768 1.42 10.69%
Adams Street 2015 Global $6,500,000 September 30, 2015 $4,222,868 65% $825,449 13% $4,568,924 1.28 26.62%
Adams Street 2017 Global $6,000,000 June 17, 2017 $1,853,455 31% $0 0% $1,912,856 1.03 8.43%
Private Equity Composite $27,500,000 April 27, 2010 $19,139,373 70% $6,032,276 22% $20,505,623 1.39 12.64%
Private Credit Managers
Grosvenor Opportunistic Credit V $14,000,000 September 17, 2018 $6,182,525 44% $0 0% $6,165,279 1.00 -
50 South Sponsor Backed Credit $7,000,000 October 4, 2018 $710,111 10% $0 0% $700,000 0.99 -
Private Credit Composite $21,000,000 September 17, 2018 $6,892,636 33% $0 0% $6,865,279 1.00 -
Total Value /
Paid-In Capital 1Annualized
IRR Partnership Commitment Value Inception Date
Capital Called Capital DistributedFair Value
54
CORE FIXED INCOME
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONCore Fixed CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Western Asset Management$52,491,078 50.21%
Baird Advisors$52,049,683 49.79%
56
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONCore Fixed CompositePeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
1 1 1
1
11
1
1
Med
75th
95th
25th
5th
Core Fixed Composite 1 Bloomberg Aggreg 5th %tile25th %tileMedian75th %tile95th %tileNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
1.36 (23)1.64 (14)
2.561.340.44
-0.69-3.41
137
1.55 (29)1.65 (24)
4.571.640.90
-0.16-1.57
135
0.89 (49)1.49 (35)
5.381.700.86
-0.92-2.55
132
-0.35 (61)0.01 (48)
9.100.99
-0.01-1.55-5.56
126
2.61 (30)1.76 (89)
4.022.932.242.031.54100
3.33 (45)2.06 (88)
6.814.133.222.471.41
95
3.64 (30)2.52 (68)
5.773.852.982.421.88
89
6.43 (14)3.48 (88)
7.885.634.744.153.13
59
*TUCS Total Ret of Fixed Income Investment Pools Universe - Gross of Fees 57
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Baird Advisors
Net of Fee Return
Bloomberg Aggregate
Value Added
Western Asset Management
Net of Fee Return
Bloomberg Aggregate
Value Added
Core Fixed Composite
Net of Fee Return
Bloomberg Aggregate
Value Added
1.56
1.64
-0.08
1.11
1.64
-0.53
1.33
1.64
-0.30
0.13
0.01
0.12
-1.25
0.01
-1.26
-0.50
0.01
-0.51
0.13
0.01
0.12
-1.25
0.01
-1.26
-0.50
0.01
-0.51
2.64
2.06
0.58
3.52
2.06
1.46
3.10
2.06
1.05
3.08
2.52
0.56
3.69
2.52
1.17
3.40
2.52
0.88
2.89
2.10
0.79
3.91
2.10
1.81
3.42
2.10
1.32
4.67
3.48
1.19
7.62
3.48
4.14
6.17
3.48
2.70
3/31/03
3/31/03
3/31/03
3/31/04
3/31/04
3/31/04
9/30/87
9/30/87
9/30/87
4.22
3.85
0.36
4.78
3.75
1.03
6.53
6.29
0.23
58
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISBaird AdvisorsDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-1.40
-1.20
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Aggregate 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
0.55
0.22
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
2.50
5.59
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
0.30����������������0.15����������������0.19����������������0.12����������������0.10����������������0.13����������������
0.02����������������0.04����������������0.05����������������
0.31����������������0.33����������������0.21����������������0.21����������������0.25����������������
0.02����������������0.21����������������
0.10����������������0.06����������������0.04����������������
-0.08���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Aggregate
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
φ1 φ1 φ1
φ1
φ1
φ1
φ1
φ1
Med75th95th
25th 5th
φ Baird Advisors 1 Bloomberg Aggr MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
1.61 (27)1.64 (23)
1.08
50
1.73 (17)1.65 (25)
1.44
48
1.68 (21)1.49 (39)
1.46
48
0.35 (31)0.01 (52)
0.04
48
2.39 (40)1.76 (87)
2.33
45
2.86 (47)2.06 (91)
2.84
44
3.30 (25)2.52 (88)
2.89
38
4.90 (41)3.48 (91)
4.65
26
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
-3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
φ
1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description
Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
Baird Advisors
Bloomberg Aggregate
Median
φ1
3.30
2.52
2.89
25
88
2.97
2.96
3.03
58
58
*TUCS Total Returns of Fixed Income Portfolios - Core Universe - Gross of Fees 59
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISWestern Asset ManagementDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-6.00
-5.00
-4.00
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Aggregate 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
1.14
1.49
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
0.76
1.71
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
1.22����������������0.92����������������
0.23����������������
-0.46���������������
0.54����������������
-0.1����������������
-1.24���������������
0.33����������������
-0.37���������������
1.28����������������1.25����������������
0.55����������������1.05����������������1.09����������������
0.39����������������0.37����������������0.23����������������
-1.15���������������
0.18����������������
-0.53���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Aggregate
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
χ1 χ1
χ1
χ1
χ1
χ
1
χ1
χ
1
Med75th95th
25th 5th
χ Western Asset 1 Bloomberg Aggr MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
1.11 (47)1.64 (23)
1.08
50
1.38 (52)1.65 (25)
1.44
48
0.13 (79)1.49 (39)
1.46
48
-1.03 (85)0.01 (52)
0.04
48
2.84 (21)1.76 (87)
2.33
45
3.80 (12)2.06 (91)
2.84
44
3.98 (13)2.52 (88)
2.89
38
7.93 ( 9)3.48 (91)
4.65
26
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
-3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
χ
1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description
Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
Western Asset Management
Bloomberg Aggregate
Median
χ1
3.98
2.52
2.89
13
88
3.42
2.96
3.03
27
58
*TUCS Total Returns of Fixed Income Portfolios - Core Universe - Gross of Fees 60
REAL ESTATE REAL ESTATE
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONReal Estate CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
CBRE Clarion$18,915,233 100.00%
62
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONReal Estate CompositePeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 11
1
1 1 1 Med75th95th
25th 5th
Real Estate Composite 1 FTSE EPRA/NAREIT 5th %tile25th %tileMedian75th %tile95th %tileNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-5.95 (85)-5.69 (84)
11.692.461.25
-2.12-7.05
113
-6.48 (85)-5.97 (83)
12.624.752.25
-4.43-22.91
118
-3.41 (78)-1.16 (75)
14.996.453.93
-0.87-34.29
116
-7.93 (83)-5.63 (75)
87.8810.297.18
-4.86-38.60
119
1.32 (67)2.05 (67)
36.789.557.05
-0.65-20.71
111
1.37 (77)2.72 (72)
29.6610.207.162.30
-29.55110
3.53 (81)4.34 (80)
30.3614.419.945.25
-15.11105
15.507.946.001.84
-10.4667
*TUCS Total Ret of Real Estate Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 63
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
CBRE Clarion
Net of Fee Return
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Value Added
Real Estate Composite
Net of Fee Return
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Value Added
-6.14
-5.69
-0.45
-6.14
-5.69
-0.45
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
-8.63
-5.63
-2.99
0.61
2.72
-2.11
0.61
2.72
-2.11
2.76
4.34
-1.58
2.76
4.34
-1.58
5.79
7.30
-1.51
5.79
7.30
-1.51
6/30/09
6/30/09
6/30/09
6/30/09
6/30/09
6/30/09
8.25
9.59
-1.33
8.25
9.59
-1.33
64
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISCBRE ClarionDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-5.00
-4.00
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N) 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
-1.52
1.38
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
-1.10
-2.45
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-8.0%
-7.0%
-6.0%
-5.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
-0.78���������������
0.45����������������
-0.25���������������-0.23���������������-0.2����������������-0.22���������������
0.06����������������
-0.24���������������
-0.85���������������
-1.62���������������
-0.34���������������-0.53���������������-1.03���������������
0.25����������������
-0.34���������������
1.46����������������
-0.34���������������
-2.02���������������
-0.45���������������-0.45���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 11
11 1 1 Med
75th95th
25th 5th
CBRE Clarion 1 FTSE EPRA/NARE MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-5.95 (85)-5.69 (84)
1.25113
-6.48 (85)-5.97 (83)
2.25118
-3.41 (78)-1.16 (75)
3.93116
-7.93 (83)-5.63 (75)
7.18119
1.32 (67)2.05 (67)
7.05111
1.37 (77)2.72 (72)
7.16110
3.53 (81)4.34 (80)
9.94105
6.0067
Five Year Risk/Return Analysis vs Peer Universe*
-20.0 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
1
Media
n
Ris
k
Median
Return
Description
Legend
Gross Fee Ret
Value Rank
Standard Deviation
Value Rank
CBRE Clarion
FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Dev (N)
Median
1
3.53
4.34
9.94
81
80
9.14
9.07
7.19
36
37
*TUCS Total Returns of Real Estate Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 65
COMMODITIES COMMODITIES
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONCommodities CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Wellington Commodities$16,183,501 100.00%
67
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Wellington Commodities
Net of Fee Return
Bloomberg Commodity Index
Value Added
Commodities Composite
Net of Fee Return
DJ UBS Commodity Index
Value Added
-9.99
-9.41
-0.58
-9.81
-9.41
-0.40
-12.50
-11.25
-1.26
-12.33
-11.25
-1.09
-12.50
-11.25
-1.26
-12.33
-11.25
-1.09
3.16
0.30
2.86
3.23
0.30
2.93
-7.10
-8.80
1.71
-7.06
-8.80
1.74
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/13
3/31/13
-7.96
-9.11
1.15
-7.93
-9.11
1.18
68
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISWellington CommoditiesDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Commodity Index 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
1.26
4.32
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
0.29
0.65
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/14 12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
-3.63���������������
3.55����������������3.03����������������
-0.06���������������
1.00����������������
-2.68���������������
0.45����������������
-1.34���������������
2.78����������������
-2.35���������������
3.12����������������
-0.96���������������
2.44����������������
-0.82���������������
2.86����������������2.79����������������
-0.44���������������
0.90����������������
-1.21���������������-0.58���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Bloomberg Commodity Index
69
MLP MLP
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONMLP CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Harvest MLP$16,738,478 100.00%
71
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Harvest MLP
Net of Fee Return
Alerian MLP Index
Value Added
MLP Composite
Net of Fee Return
Alerian MLP Index
Value Added
-20.79
-17.30
-3.50
-20.62
-17.30
-3.32
-13.73
-10.97
-2.76
-13.54
-10.97
-2.57
-13.73
-10.97
-2.76
-13.54
-10.97
-2.57
-0.80
0.83
-1.63
-0.73
0.83
-1.56
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
3/31/15
-9.64
-9.52
-0.12
-9.58
-9.52
-0.06
72
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISHarvest MLPDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
6/15 9/15 12/15 3/16 6/16 9/16 12/16 3/17 6/17 9/17 12/17 3/18 6/18 9/18 12/18
-12.00
-10.00
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Alerian MLP Index 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
-0.13
3.38
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
-0.04
-0.07
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2.44����������������
0.07����������������
1.68����������������
0.90����������������
-2.5����������������
1.27����������������
-1.79���������������
0.57����������������
-0.56���������������
0.10����������������
-0.17���������������
1.13����������������
0.43����������������
-0.49���������������
-3.5����������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Alerian MLP Index
73
TIPS TIPS
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
MANAGER ALLOCATIONTIPS CompositeAs of December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Brown Brothers Harriman$31,811,478 100.00%
75
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
PERFORMANCE COMPARISONTrailing ReturnsPeriods Ended December 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
1 Qtr YTD 1 Year 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 7 Yrs 10 Yrs Incept Date Incept Ret
Brown Brothers Harriman
Net of Fee Return
Barclays U.S. TIPS
Value Added
TIPS Composite
Net of Fee Return
Barclays U.S. TIPS
Value Added
-0.58
-0.42
-0.16
-0.58
-0.42
-0.16
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
-1.63
-1.26
-0.37
1.99
2.11
-0.13
1.99
2.11
-0.13
6/30/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
6/30/15
1.18
1.29
-0.11
1.18
1.29
-0.11
76
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
INVESTMENT MANAGER ANALYSISBrown Brothers HarrimanDecember 31, 2018
© 2019 Wilshire Associates Inc.
Cumulative Skill Analysis vs Benchmark
9/15 12/15 3/16 6/16 9/16 12/16 3/17 6/17 9/17 12/17 3/18 6/18 9/18 12/18
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
-0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Barclays U.S. TIPS 80% Confidence Band
Excess Return:
Excess Risk:
-0.11
0.21
Information Ratio:
T-Stat:
-0.51
-0.89
Value-Added Analysis vs Benchmark
12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18
-0.5%
-0.4%
-0.3%
-0.2%
-0.1%
-0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
-0.13���������������
0.12����������������0.08����������������
-0.05���������������
0.01����������������
0.15����������������
-0.02���������������
-0.08���������������
-0.13���������������
0.04����������������
-0.01���������������
-0.2����������������
0.01����������������
-0.16���������������
Cumulative Value Added
Quarterly NOF Value Added vs. Barclays U.S. TIPS
Performance Comparison vs Peer Universe*
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
⊗ 1
⊗ 1⊗ 1
⊗ 1
⊗ 1
⊗ 1
Med75th95th
25th 5th
⊗ Brown Brothers 1 Barclays U.S. MedianNumber of Funds
1 Quarter 2 Quarters 3 Quarters 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
-0.58 (74)-0.42 (49)
-0.43
32
-1.39 (78)-1.24 (59)
-1.24
32
-0.83 (93)-0.48 (59)
-0.45
32
-1.63 (90)-1.26 (71)
-1.15
32
0.57 (96)0.85 (77)
0.95
31
1.99 (73)2.11 (63)
2.21
30
1.7230
3.6725
*Compass Total Returns of Active TIPS Portfolios Universe - Gross of Fees 77
APPENDIX
©2019 Wilshire Associates.
15
W i l s h i r e C o n s u l t i n g
GlossaryCumulative Skill Graph
Data Source: Wilshire Compass79