Wilmott on Delta

9
Wilmott magazine 49 ing millions of dollars—-can only be learned through real action. Now, the manual: BSD trader “Solider, welcome to our trading team, this is your first day and I will instruct you about the Black-Scholes weapon.” New hired Trader “Hah, my Professor taught me probability theory, Itô calculus, and Malliavin calculus! I know everything about stochastic calculus and how to come up with the Black-Scholes formula.” BSD trader “Solider, you may know how to construct it, but that doesn’t mean you know a shit about how it operates!” New hired Trader “I have used it for real trad- ing. Before my Ph.D. I was a market maker in stock options for a year. Besides, why do you call me solider? I was hired as an option trader.” BSD trader “Solider, you have not been in real war. In real war you often end up in extreme situations. That’s when you need to know your weapon.” New hired Trader “I have read Liar’s Poker, Hull’s book, Wilmott on Wilmott, Taleb’s Dynamic Hedging, Haug’s formula collec- tion. I know about Delta Bleed and all that stuff. I don’t think you can tell me much more. I have even read Fooled by Ran ...BSD trader “SHUT UP SOLIDER! If you want to survive the first six months on this trading floor you better listen to me. On this team we don’t allow any mistakes. We are warriors, trained in war!” New hired Trader “Yes Sir!” BSD trader “Good, let’s move on to our busi- ness. today I will teach you the basics of the Black-Scholes weapon.” 1 Background on the BSM formula Let me shortly refresh your memory of the BSM formula c = Se (br)T N(d 1 ) Xe rT N(d 2 ) p = Xe rT N(d 2 ) Se (br)T N(d 1 ), where d 1 = ln(S/X) + (b + σ 2 /2)T σ T , d 2 = d 1 σ T, and S = Stock price. X = Strike price of option . r = Risk-free interest rate. b = Cost-of-carry rate of holding the underlying security . T = Time to expiration in years . T rading options is War! For an option trader a pricing or hedging formula is just like a weapon. A solider who has perfected her pis- tol shooting 1 can beat a guy with a machine gun that doesn’t know how to handle it. Similarly, an option trader knowing the ins and outs of the Black-Scholes- Merton (BSM) formula can beat a trader using a state-of-the-art stochastic volatility model. It comes down to two rules, just as in war. Rule number one: Know your weapon. Rule number two: Don’t forget rule number one. In my ten+ year as a trader I have seen many a BSD 2 option trader getting confused with what the computer was spitting out. They often thought something was wrong with their computer system/imple- mentation. Nothing was wrong, however, except their knowledge of their weapon. Before you move on to a more complex weapon (like a sto- chastic volatility model) you should make sure you know conventional equipment inside-out. In this installment I will not show the nerdy quants how to come up with the BSM formula using some new fancy mathematics—you don’t need to know how to melt metal to use a gun. Neither is it a guideline on how to trade. It is meant rather like a short manual of how your weapon works in extreme situations. Real war (trading)—-the pain, the pleasure, the adrenaline of winning and loos- THE COLLECTOR: To this article I got a lot of ideas from the Wilmott forum. Thanks! And especially thanks to Jørgen Haug and James Ward for useful comments on this paper. Know Your Weapon Part 1 ^ Espen Gaarder Haug

description

The Collector: Know Your Weapon 1

Transcript of Wilmott on Delta

  • Wilmott magazine 49

    ing millions of dollars-can only be learnedthrough real action. Now, the manual:

    BSD trader Solider, welcome to our tradingteam, this is your first day and I will instructyou about the Black-Scholes weapon.

    New hired Trader Hah, my Professortaught me probability theory, It calculus,and Malliavin calculus! I know everythingabout stochastic calculus and how to comeup with the Black-Scholes formula.

    BSD trader Solider, you may know how toconstruct it, but that doesnt mean you knowa shit about how it operates!

    New hired Trader I have used it for real trad-ing. Before my Ph.D. I was a market maker instock options for a year. Besides, why do you callme solider? I was hired as an option trader.

    BSD trader Solider, you have not been inreal war. In real war you often end up inextreme situations. Thats when you need toknow your weapon.

    New hired Trader I have read Liars Poker,Hulls book, Wilmott on Wilmott, TalebsDynamic Hedging, Haugs formula collec-tion. I know about Delta Bleed and all thatstuff. I dont think you can tell me muchmore. I have even read Fooled by Ran . . .

    BSD trader SHUT UP SOLIDER! If you wantto survive the first six months on this trading

    floor you better listen to me. On this team wedont allow any mistakes. We are warriors,trained in war!

    New hired Trader Yes Sir!

    BSD trader Good, lets move on to our busi-ness. today I will teach you the basics of theBlack-Scholes weapon.

    1 Background on the BSM formulaLet me shortly refresh your memory of the BSMformula

    c = Se(br)T N(d1) XerT N(d2)p = XerT N(d2) Se(br)T N(d1),

    where

    d1 = ln(S/X) + (b + 2/2)T

    T,

    d2 = d1

    T,

    and

    S = Stock price.X = Strike price of option.r = Risk-free interest rate.b = Cost-of-carry rate of holding the underlying

    security .

    T = Time to expiration in years.

    Trading options is War! For anoption trader a pricing or hedgingformula is just like a weapon. Asolider who has perfected her pis-tol shooting1 can beat a guy with amachine gun that doesnt know

    how to handle it. Similarly, an option traderknowing the ins and outs of the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) formula can beat a trader using astate-of-the-art stochastic volatility model. Itcomes down to two rules, just as in war. Rulenumber one: Know your weapon. Rule numbertwo: Dont forget rule number one. In my ten+year as a trader I have seen many a BSD2 optiontrader getting confused with what the computerwas spitting out. They often thought somethingwas wrong with their computer system/imple-mentation. Nothing was wrong, however, excepttheir knowledge of their weapon. Before youmove on to a more complex weapon (like a sto-chastic volatility model) you should make sureyou know conventional equipment inside-out. Inthis installment I will not show the nerdy quantshow to come up with the BSM formula using somenew fancy mathematicsyou dont need to knowhow to melt metal to use a gun. Neither is it aguideline on how to trade. It is meant rather likea short manual of how your weapon works inextreme situations. Real war (trading)-the pain,the pleasure, the adrenaline of winning and loos-

    THE COLLECTOR:

    To this article I got a lot of ideas from the Wilmott forum. Thanks! And especially thanks to Jrgen Haug and James Ward for useful comments on this paper.

    Know Your

    Weapon Part 1

    ^

    Espen Gaarder Haug

  • ESPEN GAARDER HAUG

    50 Wilmott magazine

    = Volatility of the relative price changeof the underlying stock price.

    N(x) = The cumulative normal distributionfunction .

    2 Delta Greeks

    2.1 Delta

    As you know, the delta is the options sensitivityto small movements in the underlying assetprice.

    call = cS

    = e(br)T N(d1) > 0

    put = pS

    = e(br)T N(d1) < 0

    Delta higher than unity I have many times overthe years been contacted by confused commodi-ty traders claiming something is wrong withtheir BSM implementation. What they observedwas a spot delta higher than one.

    As we get deep-in-the-money N(d1) approach-es one, but it never gets higher than one (sinceits a cumulative probability function). For aEuropean call option on a non-dividend-payingstock the delta is equal to N(d1), so the delta cannever go higher than one. For other options thedelta term will be multiplied by e(br)T . If thisterm is larger than one and we are deep-in-the-money we can get deltas considerable higherthan one. This occurs if the cost-of-carry is largerthan the interest rate, or if interest rates are neg-ative. Figure 1 illustrates the delta of a calloption. As expected the delta reaches aboveunity when time to maturity is large and theoption is deep-in-the-money.

    2.2 Delta mirror strikes and assetFor a put and call to have the same absolute deltavalue we can find the delta symmetric strikes as

    Xp = S2

    Xce(2b+

    2 )T , Xc = S2

    Xpe(2b+

    2 )T .

    That is

    c(S, Xc, T, r, b, ) = p(S, S2

    Xce(2b+

    2 )T , T, r, b, ).

    where Xc is the strike of the call and Xp is thestrike of a put. These relationships are useful to

    determine strikes for delta neutral option strate-gies, especially for strangles, straddles, and but-terflies. The weakness of this approach is that itworks only for a symmetric volatility smile. Inpractice, however, you often only need an approx-imately delta neutral strangle. Moreover, volatili-ty smiles often are more or less symmetric in thecurrency markets.

    In the special case of a straddle-symmetric-delta-strike, described by Wystrup (1999), the for-mulas above can be simplified further to

    Xc = Xp = Se(b+ 2/2)T .

    Related to this relationship is the straddle-symmetric-asset-price. Given the identical strikesfor a put and call, for what asset price will theyhave the same absolute delta value? The answer is

    S = Xe(b 2/2)T .

    At this strike and delta-symmetric-asset-price thedelta is e

    (br)T

    2 for a call, and e(br)T

    2 for a put. Onlyfor options on non-dividend paying stocks3 (b = r)can we simultaneously have an absolute delta of

    0.5 (50%) for a put and a call. Interestingly, thedelta symmetric strike also is the strike given theasset price where the gamma and vega are at theirmaximums, ceteris paribus. The maximal gammaand vega,4 as well as the delta neutral strikes, arenot at-the-money forward as I have noticedassumed by many traders. Moreover, an in-the-money put can naturally have absolute deltalower than 50% while an out-of-the-money callcan have delta higher than 50%.

    For an option that is at the straddle-symmetric-delta-strike the generalized BSM formula can besimplified to

    c = Se(br)T

    2 XerT N(T),

    and

    p = XerT N(T) Se(br)T

    2.

    At this point the option value will not changebased on changes in cost of carry (dividend yieldetc). This is as expected as we have to adjust thestrike accordingly.

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    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 30%, = 25%,

    Figure 1. Spot Delta

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    ^

    2.3 Strike from delta

    In several OTC (over-the-counter) markets optionsare quoted by delta rather than strike. This is acommon quotation method in, for example, theOTC currency options market, where one typicallyasks for a delta and expects the sales person toreturn a price (in terms of volatility or pips) as wellas the strike, given a spot reference. In these casesone needs to find the strike that corresponds to agiven delta. Several option software systems solvesthis numerically using Newton-Raphson or bisec-tion. This is actually not necessary, however. Usingan inverted cumulative normal distribution N1()the strike can be derived from the delta analytical-ly as described by Wystrup (1999). For a call option

    Xc = S exp[N1(ce(rb)T)

    T + (b + 2/2)T],

    and for a put we have

    Xp = S exp[N1(pe(rb)T)

    T + (b + 2/2)T].

    To get a robust and accurate implementation ofthis formula it is necessary to use an accurateapproximation of the inverse cumulative nor-mal distribution. I have used the algorithm ofMoro (1995) with good results.

    2.4 DdeltaDvol and DvegaDvol

    DdeltaDvol:

    which mathematically is thesame as DvegaDspot: vega

    S , a.k.a. Vanna,5 shows

    approximately how much your delta will changefor a small change in the volatility, as well ashow much your vega will change with a smallchange in the asset price:

    DdeltaDvol = cS

    = pS

    = e(br)T d2

    n(d1),

    where n(x) is the standard normal density

    n(x) = 12

    ex2/2.

    One fine day in the dealing room my risk manag-er asked me to get into his office. He asked mewhy I had a big outright position in some stockindex futures-I was supposed to do arbitragetrading. That was strange as I believed I was deltaneutral: long call options hedged with short

    index futures. I knew the options I had were farout-of-the-money and that their DdeltaDvol wasvery high. So I immediately asked what volatili-ty the risk management used to calculate theirdelta. As expected, the volatility in the risk-man-agement-system was considerable below the mar-ket and again was leading to a very low delta forthe options. This example is just to illustrate howa feeling of your DdeltaDvol can be useful. If youhave a high DdeltaDvol the volatility you use tocompute your deltas becomes very important.6

    Figure 2 illustrates the DdeltaDvol. As we cansee the DdeltaDvol can assume positive and neg-ative values. DdeltaDvol attains its maximalvalue at

    SL = XebT

    T

    4+T 2/2,

    and attains its minimal value when

    SU = XebT+

    T

    4+T 2/2.

    Similarly, given the asset price, options withstrikes XL have maximum negative DdeltaDvol at

    XL = SebT

    T

    4+T 2/2,

    and options with strike XU have maximum posi-tive DdeltaDvol when

    XU = SebT+

    T

    4+T 2/2.

    One naturally can ask if these measures have anymeaning? Black and Scholes assumed constantvolatility, or at most deterministic volatility.Despite being theoretically inconsistent it mightwell be a good approximation. How good anapproximation it is I leave up to you to find out ordiscuss at the Wilmott forum, www.wilmott.com. Formore practical information about DvegaDspot orVanna see Webb (1999).

    2.5 DdeltaDtime, Charm

    DdeltatDtime, a.k.a. Charm (Garman 1992) orDelta Bleed (a term used in the excellent book byTaleb 1997), is deltas sensitivity to changes intime,

    cT

    = e(br)T[

    n(d1)

    (b

    T d2

    2T

    )

    + (b r)N(d1)] 0,

    0

    110

    220

    330

    50658095

    110

    125

    140

    0.015

    0.01

    0.005

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    0.005

    0.01

    0.015

    Days to maturity

    Asset price

    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, = 20%,

    Figure 2. DdeltaDvol

  • ESPEN GAARDER HAUG

    52 Wilmott magazine

    and

    pT

    = e(br)T[

    n(d1)

    (b

    T d2

    2T

    )

    (b r)N(d1)] 0.

    This Greek gives an indication of what happenswith delta when we move closer to maturity.Figure 3 illustrates the Charm value for differentvalues of the underlying asset and different timeto maturity.

    As Nassim Taleb points out one can have bothforward and backward bleed. He also points outthe importance of taking into account howexpected changes in volatility over the giventime period will affect delta. I am sure most read-ers already have his book in their collection (ifnot, order it now!). I will therefore not repeat allhis excellent points here.

    All partial derivatives with respect to timehave the advantage over other Greeks in that weknow which direction time will move. Moreover,we know that time moves at a constant rate. Thisis in contrast, for example, to the spot price,volatility, or interest rate.7

    2.6 Elasticity

    The elasticity of an option, a.k.a. the option lever-age, omega, or lambda, is the sensitivity in per-cent to a percent movement in the underlyingasset price. It is given by

    call = call Scall

    = e(br)T N(d1) Scall

    > 1

    put = put Sput

    = e(br)T N(d1) Sput

    < 0

    The options elasticity is a useful measure on itsown, as well as to estimate the volatility, beta,and expected return from an option.

    Option volatility The option volatility o can beapproximated using the option elasticity. Thevolatility of an option over a short period of timeis approximately equal to the elasticity of theoption multiplied by the stock volatility ..8

    o ||.

    Option Beta The elasticity also is useful to com-pute the options beta. If asset prices follow geo-metric Brownian motions the continuous-time

    capital asset pricing model of Merton (1971)holds. Expected asset returns then satisfy theCAPM equation

    E[return] = r + E[rm r]i

    where r is the risk free rate, rm is the return on themarket portfolio, and i is the beta of the asset. Todetermine the expected return of an option weneed the options beta. The beta of a call is givenby (see for instance Jarrow and Rudd 1983)

    c = Scall

    cS,

    where S is the underlying stock beta. For a putthe beta is

    p = Sput

    pS.

    For a beta neutral option strategy the expectedreturn should be the same as the risk-free-rate (atleast in theory).

    Option Sharpe ratios As the leverage does notchange the Sharp (1966) ratio, the Sharpe ratioof an option will be the same as that of theunderlying stock,

    o ro

    = S r

    .

    where o is the return of the option, and S isthe return of the underlying stock. This rela-tionship indicates the limited usefulness of theSharpe ratio as a risk-return measure foroptions (?). Shorting a lot of deep out-of-the-money options will likely give you a niceSharpe ratio, but you are almost guaranteed toblow up one day (with probability one if youlive long enough). An interesting question hereis if you should use the same volatility for allstrikes. For instance deep-out-of-the-moneystock options typically trade for much higherimplied volatility than at-the-money options.Using the volatility smile when computingSharpe ratios for deep out-of-the-moneyoptions also possibly can make the Sharperatio work better for options. McDonald (2002)offers a more detailed discussion of optionSharpe ratios.

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    Days to maturityAsset price

    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, = 30%,

    h

    Figure 3. Charm

  • Wilmott magazine 53

    ^

    3 Gamma Greeks3.1 Gamma

    Gamma is the deltas sensitivity to small move-ments in the underlying asset price. Gamma isidentical for put and call options, ceteris paribus,and is given by

    call ,put = 2c

    S2=

    2p

    S2= n(d1)e

    (br)T

    S

    T> 0

    This is the standard gamma measure given inmost text books (Haug 1997, Hull 2000, Wilmott2000).

    3.2 Maximal gamma and the illu-sions of risk

    One day in the trading room of a former employ-er of mine, one of the BSD traders suddenly gotworried over his gamma. He had a long dateddeep-out-of-the money call. The stock price hadbeen falling, and the further the out-of-the-money the option went the lower the gamma heexpected. As with many option traders hebelieved the gamma was largest approximatelyat-the-money-forward. Looking at his Bloombergscreen, however, the further out of the moneythe call went the higher his gamma got. AnotherBSD was coming over, and they both tried tocome up with an explanation for this. Was theresomething wrong with Bloomberg?

    In my own home-built system I often wasplaying around with 3 and 4-dimensionalcharts of the option Greeks, and I already knewthat gamma doesnt attain its maximum at-the-money forward (4 dimensions? a dynamic 3-dimensional graph). I didnt know exactlywhere it attained its maximum, however.Instead of joining the BSD discussion, I did afew computations in Mathematica. A few min-utes later, after double checking my calcula-tions, I handed over an equation to the BSDtraders showing exactly where the BSM gammawould be at its maximum.

    How good is the rule of thumb that gamma islargest for at-the-money or at-the-money-forwardoptions? Given a strike price and time to maturi-ty, the gamma is at maximum when the assetprice is9

    S = Xe(b32/2)T .

    Given the asset price and time to maturity,gamma is maximal when the strike is

    X = Se(b+2/2)T .

    Confused option traders are bad enough, con-fused risk-management is a pain in the behind.Several large investment firms impose risk limitson how much gamma you can have. In the equitymarket it is common to use the standard text-book approach to compute gamma, as shownabove. Putting on a long term call (put) optionthat later is deep-out-of-the money (in-the-money) can blow up the gamma risk limits, evenif you actually have close to zero gamma risk.The high gamma risk for long dated deep-out-of-the-money options typically is only an illusion.This illusion of risk can be avoided by looking atpercentage changes in the underlying asset(gammaP), as is typically done for FX options.

    Saddle Gamma Alexander (Sasha) Adamchukwas the first to make me aware of the fact thatgamma has a saddle point.10 The saddle point isattained for the time

    TS = 12( 2 + b) ,

    and at asset price

    S = Xe(b32/2)TS .

    The gamma at this point is given by

    S = (S , TS) =e(br)T

    e

    b 2+ 1

    X

    Many traders get surprised by this feature ofgamma-that gamma is not necessary decreas-ing with longer time to maturity. The maximumgamma for a given strike price is first decreasinguntil the saddle gamma point, then increasingagain, given that we follow the edge of the maxi-mal gamma asset price.

    Figure 4 shows the saddle gamma. The saddlepoint is between the two gamma mountaintops. This graph also illustrates one of the biglimitations in the textbook gamma definition,which is actually in use by many option systemsand traders. The gamma increases dramaticallywhen we have long time to maturity and theasset price is close to zero. How can the gammabe larger than for an option closer to at-the-money? Is the real gamma risk that big? No, thisis in most cases simply an illusion, due to the

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    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 5%, = 80%,

    Figure 4. SaddleGamma

  • ESPEN GAARDER HAUG

    54 Wilmott magazine

    above unmotivated definition of gamma.Gamma is typically defined as the change indelta for a one unit change in the asset price.When the asset price is close to zero a one unitchange is naturally enormous in percent of theasset price. In this case it is also highly unlikelythat the asset price will increase by one dollar inan instant. In other words, the gamma measure-ment should be reformulated, as many optionsystems already have done. It makes far moresense to look at percentage moves in the under-lying than unit moves. To compare gamma riskfrom different underlyings one should alsoadjust for the volatility in the underlying.

    3.3 GammaP

    As already mentioned, there are several prob-lems with the traditional gamma definition. Abetter measure is to look at percentage changesin delta for percentage changes in the underly-ing,11 for example: a one percent point change inunderlying. With this definition we get for bothputs and calls (gamma Percent)

    P = S100

    > 0 (1)

    GammaP attains a maximum at an asset price of

    SP = Xe(b2/2)T

    Alternatively, given the asset price the maximalP occurs at strike

    XP = Se(b+2/2)T .

    Interestingly, this also is where we have a strad-dle symmetric asset price as well as maximalgamma. This implies that a delta neutral strad-dle has maximal P . In most circumstancesgoing from measuring the gamma risk as Pinstead of gamma we avoid the illusion of a highgamma risk when the option is far out-of-the-money and the asset price is low. Figure 5 is anillustration of this, using the same parameters asin Figure 4.

    If the cost-of-carry is very high it is still possi-ble to experience high P for deep-out-of-the-money call options with a low asset price and along time to maturity. This is because a high cost-of-carry can make the ratio of a deep-out-of-the

    money call to the spot close to the at-the-money-forward. At this point the spot-delta will be closeto 50% and so the P will be large. This is not anillusion of gamma risk, but a reality. Figure 6shows P with the same parameters as in Figure 5,with cost-of-carry of 60%.

    To makes things even more complicated thehigh P we can have for deep-out-of-the-money

    calls (in-the-money puts) is only the case whenwe are dealing with spot gammaP (change inspot delta). We can avoid this by looking atfuture/forward gammaP. However if you hedgewith spot, then spot gammaP is the relevantmetric. Only if you hedge with the future/for-ward the forward gammaP is the relevant met-ric. The forward gammaP we have when the

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    Figure 5. GammaP

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    Figure 6. SaddleGammaP

  • Wilmott magazine 55

    ^

    cost-of-carry is set to zero, and the underlyingasset is the futures price.

    3.4 Gamma-symmetry

    Given the same strike the gamma is identical forboth put and call options. Although this equalitybreaks down when the strikes differ, there is auseful put and call gamma symmetry. The put-call symmetry of Bates (1991) and Carr and Bowie(1994) is given by

    c(S, X, T, r, b, ) = XSebT

    p(S,(SebT )2

    X, T, r, b, )

    This put-call value symmetry yields the gammasymmetry, however the gamma symmetry is moregeneral as it is independent of wether the optionis a put or call, for example, it could be two calls,two puts, or a put and a call.

    (S, X, T, r, b, ) = XSebT

    (S,(SebT )2

    X, T, r, b, ).

    Interestingly, the put-call symmetry also gives usvega and cost-of-carry symmetries, and in thecase of zero cost-of-carry also theta and rho sym-metry. Delta symmetry, however, is not obtained.

    3.5 DgammaDvol, Zomma

    DgammaDvol, a.k.a. Zomma, is the sensitivity ofgamma with respect to changes in impliedvolatility. In my view, DgammaDvol is one of themore important Greeks for options trading. It isgiven by

    DgammaDvol call ,put =

    = (

    d1d2 1

    ) 0.

    For the gammaP we have DgammaPDvol

    DgammaPDvol call ,put = P(

    d1d2 1

    ) 0

    where is the text book Gamma of the option.For practical purposes, where one typically

    wants to look at DgammaDvol for a one unitvolatility change, for example from 30% to 31%,one should divide the DGammaDVol by 100.Moreover, DgammaDvol and DgammaPDvol arenegative for asset prices between SL and SU and

    positive outside this interval, where

    SL = XebT

    T

    4+T 2/2,

    SU = XebT+

    T

    4+T 2/2

    For a given asset price the DgammaDvol andDgammaPDvol are negative for strikes between

    XL = SebT

    T

    4+T 2/2,

    XU = SebT+

    T

    4+T 2/2,

    and positive for strikes above XU or below XL ,ceteris paribus. In practice, these points willchange with other variables and parameters.These levels should, therefore, be consideredgood approximations at best.

    In general you want positive DgammaDvol-especially if you dont need to pay for it (f latvolatility smile). In this respect DgammaDvolactually offers a lot of intuition for how stochas-tic volatility should affect the BSM values (?).Figure 7 illustrates this point. The DgammaDvolis positive for deep-out-of-the-money options,outside the SL and SU interval. For at-the moneyoptions and slightly in- or out-of the moneyoptions the DgammaDvol is negative. If thevolatility is stochastic and uncorrelated with theasset price then this offers a good indication forwhich strikes you should use higher/lowervolatility when deciding on your volatility smile.

    In the case of volatility correlated with the assetprice this naturally becomes more complicated.

    3.6 DgammaDspot, Speed

    I have heard rumors about how being on speedcan help see higher dimensions that are ignoredor hidden for most people. It should be of littlesurprise that in the world of options the thirdderivative of the option price with respect tospot, known as Speed, is ignored by most people.Judging from his book, Nassim Taleb is also a fanof higher order Greeks. There he mentionsGreeks of up to seventh order.

    Speed was probably first mentioned by Garman(1992),12 for the generalized BSM formula we get

    3c

    S3=

    (1 + d1

    T

    )S

    A high Speed value indicates that the gamma isvery sensitive to moves in the underlying asset.Academics typically claim that third or higherorder Greeks are of no use. For an optiontrader, on the other hand, it can definitelymake sense to have a sense of an optionsSpeed. Interestingly, Speed is used by Fouque,Papanicolaou, and Sircar (2000) as a part of astochastic volatility model adjustment. More tothe point, Speed is useful when gamma is at its

    10

    133

    255

    5065809

    5

    110125140

    0.3

    0.25

    0.2

    0.15

    0.1

    0.05

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    Days to maturity

    Asset price

    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, = 30%,

    Figure 7. DgammaDvol

  • ESPEN GAARDER HAUG

    56 Wilmott magazine

    maximum with respect to the asset price.Figure 8 shows the graph of Speed with respectto the asset price and time to maturity.

    For P we have an even simpler expression forSpeed, that is SpeedP (Speed for percentagegamma)

    SpeedP = d1100

    T.

    3.7 DgammaDtime, Colour

    The change in gamma with respect to smallchanges in time to maturity, DGammaDtimea.k.a. GammaTheta or Colour (Garman 1992), isgiven by (assuming we get closer to maturity):

    T

    = e(br)T n(d1)

    S

    T

    (r b + bd1

    T+ 1 d1d2

    2T

    )

    = (

    r b + bd1

    T+ 1 d1d2

    2T

    ) 0

    Divide by 365 to get the sensitivity for a one daymove. In practice one typically also takes intoaccount the expected change in volatility withrespect to time. If you, for example, on Friday arewondering how your gamma will be on Mondayyou typically also will assume a higher impliedvolatility on Monday morning. For P we haveDgammaPDtime

    PT

    = P(

    r b + bd1

    T+ 1 d1d2

    2T

    ) 0

    Figure 9 illustrates the DgammaDtime of anoption with respect to varying asset price andtime to maturity.

    4 Numerical GreeksSo far we have looked only at analytical Greeks. Afrequently used alternative is to use numericalGreeks. Most first order partial derivatives canbe computed by the two-sided finite differencemethod

    c(S + S, X, T, r, b, ) c(S S, X, T, r, b, )2S

    In the case of derivatives with respect to time, weknow what direction time will move and it ismore accurate (for what is happening in thereal world) to use a backward derivative

    c(S, X, T, r, b, ) c(S, X, T T, r, b, )T

    .

    Numerical Greeks have several advantages overanalytical ones. If for instance we have a stickydelta volatility smile then we also can changethe volatilities accordingly when calculating thenumerical delta. (We have a sticky delta volatilitysmile when the shape of the volatility smile

    10

    115

    220

    325

    5065809

    5

    11012

    5140

    0.0006

    0.0004

    0.0002

    0

    0.0002

    0.0004

    0.0006

    Days to maturity

    Asset price

    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, = 30%,

    Figure 8. Speed

    1035

    6084

    109

    50556065707580859095100

    105

    110

    115

    120

    125

    130

    135

    140

    145

    150

    1

    0.5

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    Days to maturity

    Asset price

    X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, = 30%,

    Figure 9. DgammaDtime

  • Wilmott magazine 57

    ESPEN GAARDER HAUG

    sticks to the deltas but not to the strike; in otherwords the volatility for a given strike will moveas the underlying moves.)

    c c(S+S, X, T, r, b, 1)c(SS, X, T, r, b, 2)2S

    Numerical Greeks are moreover model inde-pendent, while the analytical Greeks presentedabove are specific to the BSM model.

    For gamma and other second derivatives, 2 f

    x2 ,(for example DvegaDvol) we can use the centralfinite difference method

    c(S + S, . . .) 2c(S, . . .) + c(S S, . . .)S2

    If you are very close to maturity (a few hours) andyou are approximately at-the-money the analyticalgamma can approach infinity, which is naturallyan illusion of your real risk. The reason is simplythat analytical partial derivatives are accurateonly for infinite changes, while in practice onesees only discrete changes. The numerical gammasolves this problem and offers a more accurategamma in these cases. This is particularly truewhen it comes to barrier options (Taleb 1997).

    For Speed and other third order derivatives, 3 fx3 , we can for example use the followingapproximation

    Speed 1S3

    [c(S + 2S, . . .) 3c(S + S, . . .)+ 3c(S, . . .) c(S S, . . .)].

    What about mixed derivatives, fxy , for example

    DdeltaDvol and Charm, this can be calculatednumerical by

    DdeltaDvol

    14S

    [c(S + S, . . . , + )c(S + S, . . . , )c(SS, . . . , + )+c(S S, . . . , )]

    In the case of DdeltaDvol one would typicallydivide it by 100 to get the right notation.

    End Part 1BSD trader That is enough for today solider.

    New Hired Trader Sir, I learned a few thingstoday. Can I start trading now?

    BSD trader We dont let fresh soldiers playaround with ammunition (capital) before

    they know the basics of a conventionalweapon like the Black-Scholes formula.New Hired Trader Understood Sir!BSD trader Next time I will tell you aboutvega-kappa, probability Greeks and someother stuff. Until then you are Dismissed!Now bring me a double cheeseburger with alot of fries!New Hired Trader Yes Sir!

    1. The author was among the best pistol shooters inNorway.2. If you dont know the meaning of this expression, BSD,then its high time you read Michael Lewis Liars Poker.3. And naturally also for commodity options in the specialcase where cost-of-carry equals r.4. You have to wait for the next issue of Wilmott Magazinefor the details on vega.5. I wrote about the importance of this Greek variable backin 1992. It was my second paper about options, and myfirst written in English. Well, it got rejected. What could Iexpect? Most people totally ignored DdeltaDvol at thattime and the paper has collected dust since then.6. An important question naturally is what volatility youshould use to compute your deltas. I will not give you ananswer to that here, but there has been discussions on thistopic at www.wilmott.com.7. This is true only because everybody trading options atMother Earth moves at about the same speed, and areaffected by approximately the same gravity. In the future,with huge space stations moving with speeds significantto that of the speed of light, this will no longer hold true.See Haug (2003a) and Haug (2003b) for some possibleconsequences.8. This approximation is used by Bensoussan, Crouhy, andGalai (1995) for an approximate valuation of compoundoptions.9. Rubinstein (1990) indicates in a footnote that this maxi-mum curvature point possibly can explain why the greatestdemand for calls tend to be just slightly out-of-the money.10. Described by Adamchuck at the Wilmott forumwww.wilmott.com February 6, 2002, http://www.wilmott.com/310/messageview.cfm?catid=4&threa-did=664&highlight_key=y&keyword1=vanna and evenearlier on his page http://finmath.com/Chicago/NAFTCORP/Saddle_Gamma.html11. Wystrup (1999) also describes how this redefinition ofgamma removes the dependence on the spot level S. Hecalls it traders gamma. This measure of gamma has for along time been popular, particularly in the FX market, butis still absent in options text books.12. However he was too lazy to give us the formula so Ihad to do the boring derivation myself.

    FOOTNOTES & REFERENCES

    BATES, D. S. (1991): The Crash of 87: Was It Expected?The Evidence from Options Markets, Journal of Finance,46(3), 10091044. BENSOUSSAN, A., M. CROUHY, AND D. GALAI (1995):Black-Scholes Approximation of Warrant Prices,Advances in Futures and Options Research, 8, 114. BLACK, F. (1976): The Pricing of CommodityContracts, Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 167179. BLACK, F., AND M. SCHOLES (1973): The Pricing ofOptions and Corporate Liabilities, Journal of PoliticalEconomy, 81, 637654. CARR, P., AND J. BOWIE (1994): Static Simplicity, RiskMagazine, 7(8). FOUQUE, J., G. PAPANICOLAOU, AND K. R. SIRCAR (2000):Derivatives in Financial Markets with StochasticVolatility. Cambridge University Press. GARMAN, M. (1992): Charm School, Risk Magazine,5(7), 5356. HAUG, E. G. (1997): The Complete Guide To OptionPricing Formulas. McGraw-Hill, New York. (2003a): Frozen Time Arbitrage, WilmottMagazine, January. (2003b): The Special and GeneralRelativitys Implications on Mathematical Finance.,Working paper, January. HULL, J. (2000): Option, Futures, and OtherDerivatives. Prentice Hall. JARROW, R., AND A. RUDD (1983): Option Pricing. Irwin. LEWIS, M. (1992): Liars Poker. Penguin. MCDONALD, R. L. (2002): Derivatives Markets. AddisonWesley. MERTON, R. C. (1971): Optimum Consumption andPortfolio Rules in a Continuous-Time Model, Journal ofEconomic Theory, 3, 373413. (1973): Theory of Rational OptionPricing, Bell Journal of Economics and ManagementScience, 4, 141183. MORO, B. (1995): The Full Monte, Risk Magazine,February. RUBINSTEIN, M. (1990): The Super Trust, WorkingPaper, www.in-the-money.com. SHARP, W. (1966): Mutual Fund Performance, Journalof Business, pp. 119138. TALEB, N. (1997): Dynamic Hedging. Wiley. WEBB, A. (1999): The Sensitivity of Vega, DerivativesStrategy, http://www.derivativesstrategy.com/maga-zine/archive/1999/1199fea1.asp, November, 1619. WILMOTT, P. (2000): Paul Wilmott on QuantiativeFinance. Wiley. WYSTRUP, U. (1999): Aspects of Symmetry andDuality of the Black-Scholes Pricing Formula forEuropean Style Put and Call Options, Working Paper,Sal. Oppenhim jr. & Cie. W