Why we miss the future
-
Upload
john-pisapia -
Category
Business
-
view
154 -
download
1
description
Transcript of Why we miss the future
Why companies Miss or Find the Future: Minds, Mindsets, and Thinking Differently!
1st DUBROVNIK INTERNATIONAL DIEM 2013
SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE OF INNOVATIVE APPROACHES TO THE CONTEMPORARY
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
John PisapiaFlorida Atlantic University
September 27, 2013
Themes for the Day
Target #1: Understanding WHY and how to Overcome WHY
Theme 1 Can you recognize the future?
Theme 2: What causes us to accept or reject the
future?
Theme 3: How do overcome my limitations?
The Strategic Leader Network 204/10/2023
The Power of the Curve
Finding the Future
How would you explain these facts?• 1
• On June 28, 2007, Nokia was the top selling mobile-phone company in the world, people stopped working when they left their computers, Android phones didn't exist, and executives of all echelons were thumbing on their BlackBerrys.
• The next day, Apple's first iPhone went on sale. • On April 19, 2012, Nokia reported 1.7 billion dollar loss in the
first quarter.
• On July 1, 2012 - BlackBerry maker Research in Motion announced it was laying off 5,000 people -- and reported a first-quarter loss of $518 million. Sales were down 40% from the previous year.
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 4
A T h e o r y o f S t r a t e g i c C h a n g e !
The Power of the Curve
504/10/2023
Expl
oita
tion
The Strategic Leader Network
Pred
iction
- An
alytic
The History of the Cell Phone
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 6
A T h e o r y o f S t r a t e g i c C h a n g e !
The Power of the Curve
704/10/2023
Expl
oita
tion
Expl
orati
on
Disruptive Innovation
The Strategic Leader Network
Pred
iction
- An
alytic
Synthesis & Analytic
Uncertainty
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 8
The Lessons of the Curve
The Lessons of the Curve
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 9
The Change Lesson
The Thinking LessonSynthetically as well as Analytically;
Creatively as well as Critically
Implicitly as well as Explicitly.
Leaders must have the capability to understand and rapidly adapt to changes in their environment.
In the Gap!
The Minds we Need
10
Unfortunately, “We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.”
“Think Different”The innovative mind takes the creative idea and successfully implements it
“Think Differently”04/10/2023
The Strategic Leader Network (SLN)
Here is what is Stopping Us from Thinking Differently
1104/10/2023
Recognize the Blinders! – Those unconscious
Assumptions Cognitive Biases, (Salience, Confirmation Bias, Frame
Dominance)and Competing Commitments
which control how you think and interpret information and circumstances!
Well – it starts with understanding your mindset and how you think…
If mindset is that powerful,
I Need to know how I can adjust, if necessary?
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 13
In the Gap we need :A mind that is curious, flexible, and wise AND
The Thinking skills that make it possible to recognize
• Patterns,
• Make sense out of seemingly unrelated information.
• Enable us to switch from a strategic mindset -“Why and What” - to a tactical mindset -“How and When” - in a rapid and iterative process when appropriate.
14Pisapia, J. (2009). The Strategic Leader. Charlotte, NC: IAP
T
The Skills we need to Think like a
LeaderIn the Gap
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 15
The How?
The Strategic Thinking Skills
Reflection
ReframingSystems Thinking
16
Analytical
Creative
Divergent
Synthesis
Intuitive
Critical
Evaluative
Integrative
Pragmatic
Tactical
Reasoning
Practical
StrategicSolutions
Future
Forward
Convergent
Deductive
Inductive
Holistic
Linear Non Linear
Agility
S y s t e m s T h i n k i n g
Pisapia, J. (2009). The Strategic Leader. Charlotte, NC: IAP
Helicopter Thinking
…Do you tend to see the trees or the forest?
Do you see the Parts? Do you see the System?
People only see what they are prepared to see. Ralph Waldo Emerson
and use these perspectives to map out different strategies, and identify trends before others see them
Reframing The skill that enables you to gain
perspective;
The Strategic Leader Network 20
•
In the 1960s Swiss watchmakers controlled 50% of the world market for watches and employed approximately 90,000 People
In 1968 a Switzerland research institute made the first electronic quartz wristwatch. But dismissed it.
In 1970, the Japanese began making electronic quartz wristwatches
By 1978 the Swiss laid off 60,000 of their 90,000 employees.
Why?
Frame DominanceThe Quartz Crisis
Wait there is more to the story!
In March 1983 the Swiss introduced the Swatch
by 1997, the Swiss reclaimed its position as the world’s leading watch exporter
Leadership is always situated within a context !
Frame Dominance!
“You need to understand what sandbox you are playing in."
Ferdinand de Lessups
“The greatest sin in times of turbulence is not the turbulence; it is to act with yesterday’s logic.”
— Peter Drucker
Exercise Your Mental Muscles!
Want [email protected]
• Pisapia, J. (2009). The strategic Leader: New tactics for a globalizing world. Charlotte: NC.
Information Age Publishing • Join one of SLN's Global Learning
Communities!
04/10/2023 The Strategic Leader Network 25