Why Viggle (VGGL) Is A Short: Up To 66% Downside
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Transcript of Why Viggle (VGGL) Is A Short: Up To 66% Downside
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8/12/2019 Why Viggle (VGGL) Is A Short: Up To 66% Downside
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Why Viggle is a Short: Up To
66% DownsideBleecker Street Research
June 3rd, 2014
Disclosure: We are short shares of Viggle, Inc (VGGL)
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Robert Sillermans Public Track Record
RobertSillerman
Viggle
SFX
Entertainment
CKXEntertainment
Riviera
Holdings
CircleEntertainment
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Circle Entertainment
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SFX Entertainment
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Declining User Growth
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Declining User Engagement
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Decreased Transparency
(Metric) 6/30/2014 12/31/2014 3/31/2014
MAUs
Time w/in App Persession
Engagements/Day
Average Days
Active
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What Do Employees Say?
Smart and vibrant team, shamefully wasted
The product no long works well, and is anoutright embarrassment (see the reviews) the
user base is plummeting. Misery and frustration is rampant among
staff
Im not optimistic about the outlook for thiscompany
Source: Glassdoor
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What Do Employees Say? (contd)
Sinking Ship
Pros: You work in a great neighborhood.
Cons: You work for Viggle, the worst companyof all time.
Advice to Senior Management: Respect
human beings.Source: Glassdoor
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What Do Employees Say? (contd)
Development team is poorly managed and
developers are not respected or trusted by
their own management (treated more as
resources than as people.
Management creates unrealistic schedules
and timelines and promotes them as accurate
throughout the company, then blamesdevelopers when dates arent met.
Source: Glassdoor
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Valuation
Viggle currently trades at $5.73
Market cap is $79 million
This puts Viggles P/S ratio at 4.59
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Valuation
Base Case
Base Case (Viggle trade in-
line with entertainment
stock peers) Viggle P/S: 2.48
Implied Share Price: $3.09
Downside: -46%
Bear Case
Bear Case (Viggle trades in-
line with S&P500 P/S)
Viggle P/S: 1.56 Implied Share Price: $1.95
Downside: -66%
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The End