What-If Analysis Template
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Transcript of What-If Analysis Template
What-If Model – Users Guide
Input Template:
Project CostsSegregate Capitalized and Expensed Project Costs based on the expenditure characteristics.Include project feesHistorical Financial InformationIncome Statement - Based on audited financial report data, categorize revenues and expenses into the broad categories provided.Balance Sheet - Further, categorize assets, liabilities and equity into the appropriate balance sheet line items provided.Operating AssumptionsPre-Implementation and Base Year: these are darkened to illustrate that they are not inputs, but calculations for information purposes.Income Statement Assumptions are percentage changes in the current year from the prior year.Balance Sheet Assumptions are the assumption’s percentage of total assets.Post-Implementation:
The What-If Model will allow a team the ability to model the potential financial impact of a variety of initiatives upon a company’s financial statements. This scenario, or “what-if”, modeling will incorporate the company’s historical financial statements and five-year projections in conjunction with inputs provided by the Quantitative Model. The historical and projected financial statements provided by the client will serve as the models “base” or “null” state. The inputs provided by the Quantitative Model provide the variables to be modeled with the client projections. The What-If Model will then provide expected changes in financial statements and financial statement metrics from the base assumptions. These expected changes allow the team to target and prioritize the scenarios with the greatest expected benefits. This prioritization will aid further discussions with management when determining further work to be performed.
The model is segregated into four sections: inputs, calculations, statements, and analysis. Only the input section is editable. All other sections are protected and read only. The model’s format does have the capacity to be modified quickly. For example, if a subject business’s financial statements cannot be fit into the current format, the current format can be appended or changed to accommodate the different format. Additionally, if the operating assumptions are inaccurate, they can also be altered to accommodate company-specific assumptions. Outlined below is a description of Section One, and how particular areas operate within the section. Sections Two – Four are protected and therefore have no operational details.
Sales revenue growth percentages are used for all projected years. The financial statements use these percentages by multiplying the prior year sales dollars by one plus the growth rate for each year (compounding).The following items’ projected years’ costs are constant (i.e. equal to the base year) and are direct inputs from historical data: other controllable expenses, other accrued expenses, taxes payable, other current liabilities, long-term notes payable, deferred taxes payable, preferred stock, treasury stock, and dividend distribution to common shareholders.
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: R&D expenses, G&A expenses, interest expense, interest payable, notes payable, and distributions payable. The financial statements use these percentages by multiplying the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input for each year. Growth is not proportionate to sales.
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: selling expenses, accounts receivable, inventory, prepaid expenses, other current assets, other noncurrent assets, accounts payable, unearned revenue, and current portion of long-term debt. The financial statements multiply the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input. Further, this product is multiplied by one plus the sales growth input for each year to vary these items proportionally with sales.
Machinery & Equipment and Building and Plant, for all projected years, are estimated capital expenditures in whole dollars.
Intangible Asset AmortizationAdditional AssumptionsClient should provide their applicable tax rates, weighted average cost of capital, and interest rate on excess cash.Further, Asset lives and additional asset information should be captured.
Section Two – CalculationsProtected Sheet, Read-only AccessSection Three – Financial StatementsProtected Sheet, Read-only AccessSection Four - AnalysisProtected Sheet, Read-only Access
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: selling expenses, accounts receivable, inventory, prepaid expenses, other current assets, other noncurrent assets, accounts payable, unearned revenue, and current portion of long-term debt. The financial statements multiply the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input. Further, this product is multiplied by one plus the sales growth input for each year to vary these items proportionally with sales.
Income Statement - Based on audited financial report data, categorize revenues and expenses into the broad categories provided.Balance Sheet - Further, categorize assets, liabilities and equity into the appropriate balance sheet line items provided.
Pre-Implementation and Base Year: these are darkened to illustrate that they are not inputs, but calculations for information purposes.
The What-If Model will allow a team the ability to model the potential financial impact of a variety of initiatives upon a company’s financial statements. This scenario, or “what-if”, modeling will incorporate the company’s historical financial statements and five-year projections in conjunction with inputs provided by the Quantitative Model. The historical and projected financial statements provided by the client will serve as the models “base” or “null” state. The inputs provided by the Quantitative Model provide the variables to be modeled with the client projections. The What-If Model will then provide expected changes in financial statements and financial statement metrics from the base assumptions. These expected changes allow the team to target and prioritize the scenarios with the greatest expected benefits. This prioritization will aid further discussions with management when determining
The model is segregated into four sections: inputs, calculations, statements, and analysis. Only the input section is editable. All other sections are protected and read only. The model’s format does have the capacity to be modified quickly. For example, if a subject business’s financial statements cannot be fit into the current format, the current format can be appended or changed to accommodate the different format. Additionally, if the operating assumptions are inaccurate, they can also be altered to accommodate company-specific assumptions. Outlined below is a description of Section One, and how particular areas operate within the section. Sections Two – Four are protected and therefore have no operational details.
Sales revenue growth percentages are used for all projected years. The financial statements use these percentages by multiplying the prior year sales
The following items’ projected years’ costs are constant (i.e. equal to the base year) and are direct inputs from historical data: other controllable expenses, other accrued expenses, taxes payable, other current liabilities, long-term notes payable, deferred taxes payable, preferred stock, treasury stock, and
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: R&D expenses, G&A expenses, interest expense, interest payable, notes payable, and distributions payable. The financial statements use these percentages by multiplying the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: selling expenses, accounts receivable, inventory, prepaid expenses, other current assets, other noncurrent assets, accounts payable, unearned revenue, and current portion of long-term debt. The financial statements multiply the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input. Further, this product is multiplied by one plus the sales growth input for each year to vary these items
Machinery & Equipment and Building and Plant, for all projected years, are estimated capital expenditures in whole dollars.
Client should provide their applicable tax rates, weighted average cost of capital, and interest rate on excess cash.
The following items use growth percentage changes for all projected years: selling expenses, accounts receivable, inventory, prepaid expenses, other current assets, other noncurrent assets, accounts payable, unearned revenue, and current portion of long-term debt. The financial statements multiply the prior year dollars by one plus the growth rate input. Further, this product is multiplied by one plus the sales growth input for each year to vary these items
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MODEL INPUTI
Project 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Project Costs-Capitalized 5 0 0 0 0
Project Costs-Expensed 1 1 1 1 1
Project Fees 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Date (MM/DD/YYYY) 7/1/1999
II
Historical Financial Information Pre-Implementation Base Year*
Income Statement 1996 1997 1998 1999
Sales Revenue 111,211 Net Sales Revenue 111,211 Cost of Sales 60,001 Selling Expenses 0 R&D Expenses 0 General and Administrative 7,518 Total Non-Sales Expenses 7,518 Depreciation 4,884 Amortization 0 Other Controllable Expenses 250 Interest Expense 647 Interest Income 0 Miscellaneous Income 0 Income Tax 32,631
Preferred Dividends 0
* Current or Post-Implementation Year
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MODEL INPUTHistorical Financial Information Pre-Implementation Base Year*
Balance Sheet 1996 1997 1998 1999Current Assets
Cash 1,652 Accounts Receivable 6,860 Inventory 5,472 Prepaid Expenses 875 Other Current Assets 4,790
Noncurrent AssetsMachinery and Equipment 0 Building and Plant 61,962 Accumulated Depreciation 0 Deferred Income Tax Asset 0 Other Noncurrent Assets 2,534
Intangible AssetsDeferred Fin./ License/Startup 0 Goodwill 0 Other Intangibles 0 Accumulated Amortization 0
Current LiabilitiesInterest Payable 0 Accounts Payable 0 7,677 Other Accrued Expenses 4,445 Unearned Revenue 0 Notes Payable 4,109 Current Portion of Long Term Debt 0 Taxes Payable 2,359 Distributions Payable 0 Other Current Liabilities 8,153
Noncurrent LiabilitiesLong-Term Notes 10,901 Deferred Income Tax Liability 10,939 Deferred Taxes Payable 770
Shareholder EquityRetained Earnings 49,365 Common Equity 2,822 Additional Paid-in Capital 0 Preferred Stock 668 Treasury Stock (16,977)Other Equity (1,086)Number of Shares - Common Stock 2,428
* Current or Post-Implementation Year
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MODEL INPUTIII Pre-Implementation Base Year* Post-Implementation Growth
Operating Assumptions 1996 1997 1998 1999 Benchmark 2000 2001 2002 2003
Income Statement Assumptions
Sales Revenue #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%Other Controllable Expenses 0.00% 250 250 250 250 250 R&D Expenses #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%Selling Expenses #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%General and Administrative #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Projected Expenses
Interest Expense 0 0 0 647 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation PercentagesGross Margin Percentage N/A N/A N/A 46.0% 46.0% 46.0% 46.0% 46.0%Cost of Sales (% Rev) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 54% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0% 54.0%
* Current or Post-Implementation Year
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2004
5.00%250
0.00%0.00%0.00%
0.0%
Post-Implementation Percentages46.0%54.0%
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MODEL INPUTPre-Implementation Base Year* Post-Implementation Growth
Operating Assumptions 1996 1997 1998 1999 Benchmark 2000 2001 2002 2003
Balance Sheet Items
Current AssetsAccounts Receivable #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 8% 0% 0% 0% 0%Inventory #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 7% 0% 0% 0% 0%Prepaid Expenses #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%Other Current Assets #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 6% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Noncurrent AssetsCapital Expenditures:
Machinery and Equipment 0 0 #DIV/0! 0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Building and Plant 0 0 0 74% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Other Noncurrent Assets #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Current LiabilitiesInterest Payable 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0%Accounts Payable #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 7% 0% 0% 0% 0%Other Accrued Expenses 0 0 0 4,445 0% 0% 0% 0%Unearned Revenue #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Notes Payable 0 0 0 4,109 0% 0% 0% 0%Current Portion of Long Term Debt #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%Taxes Payable 0 0 0 2,359 0% 0% 0% 0%Distributions Payable 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0%Other Current Liabilities 0 0 0 8,153 0% 0% 0% 0%
Noncurrent LiabilitiesLong-Term Notes Payable 0 0 0 10,901 0% 0% 0% 0%Deferred Taxes Payable 0 0 0 770 0% 0% 0% 0%
Equity AssumptionsPreferred Stock 0 0 0 668 668 668 668 668 Treasury Stock 0 0 0 (16,977) (16,977) (16,977) (16,977) (16,977)
Cash Flow AssumptionsPreferred Stock Dividends 6%Dividend Distributions to Common Shareholders
Days in Year 365
* Current or Post-Implementation Year
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2004
0%0%0%0%
$0.00 $0.00
0%
0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
0%0%
668 (16,977)
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MODEL INPUTIV
Intangible Assets Amortization PercentPeriod Amortizable
Deferred Fin./ License/Startup 10
Goodwill 40
Other Intangibles 5
Project Costs-Capitalized 10
Project Fees 10 100.00%
V
Additional Assumptions
Effective Federal Income Tax Rate 86.07%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital 10.00%
Effective State Income Tax Rate 0.00%
Interest Income Rate on Excess Cash Balances 0.00%
Asset LivesMachinery and Equipment 7
Building and Plant 15
Fair Market Value of Assets in Excess of Book:Inventory 0 Fixed Assets 0
Current Liabilities Assumed 0
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CALCULATIONSBook Depreciation Existing 2000 2001 2002
Existing Basis Life BasisMachinery and Equipment 7 0 0 0 0 Building and Plant 12.70 61,962 4,879 4,879 4,879
Total 4,879 4,879 4,879
Incremental Capital Expenditures2000 Machinery and Equipment 0 0 0 2000 Building and Plant 0 0 0
0 0 0 2001 Machinery and Equipment 0 0 2001 Building and Plant 0 0
0 0 2002 Machinery and Equipment 0 2002 Building and Plant 0
0 2003 Machinery and Equipment2003 Building and Plant
2004 Machinery and Equipment2004 Building and Plant
Total Book Depreciation 4,879 4,879 4,879
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2003 2004
0 0 ###4,879 4,879 4,879 4,879
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
4,879 4,879
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CALCULATIONSIncome Taxes 2000 2001 2002
Income from Continuing Operations 40,475 43,164 45,986
Taxable Income Before NOL 40,475 43,164 45,986
Less: NOL Utilized 0 0 0
Taxable Income 40,475 43,164 45,986
Blended
Cash Income Taxes State @ 0.00% Federal @ 86.07% 86.07% 34,837 37,151 39,581
Income Taxes, per Books 34,837 37,151 39,581
Current Year Deferred Income Tax Benefit (Expense) - Temporary Difference 0 0 0
Cumulative Deferred Income Tax Asset (Liability) 0 0 0
Net Operating Loss (“NOL”), Beginning Balance 0 0 0 Additional NOL Created 0 0 0 NOL Utilized 0 0 0 NOL, Ending Balance 0 0 0
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2003 2004
48,951 52,063
48,951 52,063
0 0
48,951 52,063
42,132 44,810
42,132 44,810
0 0
0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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CALCULATIONSIntangible Asset Amortization Existing 2000 2001 2002
Life Basis
Lic. Agr. / Def. Fin. 10 Beginning Balance 0 0 0 Amortization 0 0 0
Ending Balance 0 0 0
Goodwill 40 Beginning Balance 0 0 0 Amortization 0 0 0
Ending Balance 0 0 0
Incremental Project Expenditures
Project Costs-Capitalized 10
Project Fees 10
2000 Project Costs-Capitalized 0 1 1 2000 Project Fees 0 0 0
0 1 1 2001 Project Costs-Capitalized 0 0 2001 Project Fees 0 0
0 0
2002 Project Costs-Capitalized 0
2002 Project Fees 0
0
2003 Project Costs-Capitalized
2003 Project Fees
2004 Project Costs-Capitalized2004 Project Fees
Other Intangibles 5 Beginning Balance 0 0 0 Amortization 0 0 0
Ending Balance 0 0 0
Total Amortization 0 1 1
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2003 2004
0 0 0 0 0 0 ###
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 ###0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1
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CALCULATIONSPre-Implementation Post-Implementation
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
SVA Income From Continuing Operations 0 0 0 37,911 40,475 43,164 45,986 Less: W.A.C.C. x (Total Noncurrent Assets + Working Capital) 0 0 0 5,740 6,300 6,897 7,534
SVA 0 0 0 32,171 34,175 36,266 38,453
NPV & IRRNet Cash Flow 9,829 10,177 10,536 Less: Total Project Costs 7 2 2
Cash Outflow/Inflow 9,823 10,175 10,535
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Post-Implementation
2003 2004###
48,951 52,063 8,212 8,933
40,739 43,130
10,914 11,310 2 2
10,912 11,309
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BALANCE SHEET (Million of Dollars)
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation
ASSETS 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Current AssetsCash 0 0 0 1,652 11,481 21,658 32,194 43,108 Accounts Receivable 0 0 0 6,860 7,203 7,563 7,941 8,338 Inventory 0 0 0 5,472 5,746 6,033 6,335 6,651 Prepaid Expenses 0 0 0 875 919 965 1,013 1,064 Other Current Assets 0 0 0 4,790 5,030 5,281 5,545 5,822
Total Current Assets 0 0 0 19,649 30,378 41,500 53,028 64,983
Noncurrent AssetsMachinery and Equipment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Building and Plant 0 0 0 61,962 61,962 61,962 61,962 61,962 Less: Accumulated Depreciation 0 0 0 0 (4,879) (9,758) (14,637) (19,516)
Net Fixed Assets 0 0 0 61,962 57,083 52,204 47,325 42,446
Deferred Income Tax Asset 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other Noncurrent Assets 0 0 0 2,534 2,661 2,794 2,933 3,080
Intangible AssetsDeferred Fin./ License/Startup 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Goodwill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Project Costs-Capitalized 5 5 5 5 Project Fees 1 1 2 2 Other Intangibles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Accumulated Amortization (0) (1) (1) (2)
Total Intangible Assets 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5
Total Noncurrent Assets 0 0 0 64,496 59,749 55,003 50,264 45,531
Total Assets 0 0 0 84,145 90,127 96,503 103,292 110,515
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Post-Implementation
2004
54,418 8,755 6,984 1,117 ###6,113
77,387
0 61,962
(24,394)37,568
0 3,234
0 0 5 ###3 ###0
(3)5
40,806
118,194
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BALANCE SHEET (Million of Dollars)
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation
LIABILITIES 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003Current Liabilities
Interest Payable 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Accounts Payable 0 0 0 7,677 8,061 8,464 8,887 9,331 Other Accrued Expenses 0 0 0 4,445 4,445 4,445 4,445 4,445 Unearned Revenue 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Notes Payable 0 0 0 4,109 4,109 4,109 4,109 4,109 Current Portion of Long Term Debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Taxes Payable 0 0 0 2,359 2,359 2,359 2,359 2,359 Distributions Payable 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other Current Liabilities 0 0 0 8,153 8,153 8,153 8,153 8,153
Total Current Liabilities 0 0 0 26,743 27,127 27,530 27,953 28,397
Noncurrent LiabilitiesLong-Term Notes 0 0 0 10,901 10,901 10,901 10,901 10,901 Deferred Income Tax Liability 0 0 0 10,939 10,939 10,939 10,939 10,939 Deferred Taxes Payable 0 0 0 770 770 770 770 770
Total Noncurrent Liabilities 0 0 0 22,610 22,610 22,610 22,610 22,610
Total Liabilities 0 0 0 49,353 49,737 50,140 50,563 51,007
SHAREHOLDER’S EQUITY
Retained Earnings 0 0 0 49,365 54,963 60,936 67,302 74,080 Common Equity 0 0 0 1,736 1,736 1,736 1,736 1,736 Additional Paid in Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Preferred Stock 0 0 0 668 668 668 668 668 Treasury Stock 0 0 0 (16,977) (16,977) (16,977) (16,977) (16,977)Total Shareholder’s Equity 0 0 0 34,792 40,390 46,363 52,729 59,507
Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity 0 0 0 84,145 90,127 96,503 103,292 110,515
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Post-Implementation
2004
0 ###9,798 4,445
0 4,109 ###
0 2,359 ###
0 ###8,153
28,864
10,901 10,939
770 22,610
51,474
81,293 1,736
0 668 ###
(16,977)###66,720
118,194
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STATEMENT OF INCOME AND RETAINED EARNINGS (Million of Dollars)
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sales Revenue 0 0 0 111,211 116,772 122,610 128,741 135,178 Net Sales Revenue 0 0 0 111,211 116,772 122,610 128,741 135,178 Cost of Sales 0 0 0 60,001 63,001 66,151 69,459 72,932 Gross Margin on Sales 0 0 0 51,210 53,771 56,459 59,282 62,246
Gross Margin Percentage N/A 46.05% 46.05% 46.05% 46.05% 46.05%
Expense Projections '99 ForwardProject Costs-Expensed 1 1 1 1 R&D Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other Controllable Expenses 250 250 250 250 250 Selling Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 General and Admin Expenses 0 0 0 7,518 7,518 7,518 7,518 7,518
Total Non-Sales Expenses 0 0 0 7,768 7,769 7,769 7,769 7,769 Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depr. and Amort. 0 0 0 43,442 46,002 48,690 51,513 54,477
Depreciation 0 0 0 4,884 4,879 4,879 4,879 4,879 Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Total Operating Expenses 0 0 0 12,652 12,648 12,648 12,649 12,649
Earnings Before Interest and Tax (“EBIT”) 0 0 0 38,558 41,122 43,811 46,633 49,598
Total Interest Expense 0 0 0 647 647 647 647 647
Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Income from Continuing Operations 0 0 0 37,911 40,475 43,164 45,986 48,951
Provision for State & Federal Tax 0 0 0 32,631 34,837 37,151 39,581 42,132 Net Income Before Dividends 0 0 0 5,280 5,638 6,013 6,406 6,819
Preferred Dividends 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 Net Income Available to Common Shareholders 0 0 0 5,280 5,598 5,973 6,366 6,779
Retained Earnings, Beginning of Period 0 49,365 54,963 60,936 67,302 Less: Dividends (40) (40) (40) (40)Retained Earnings, End of Period 0 0 0 5,280 54,963 60,936 67,302 74,080
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Post-Implementation2004
141,937 ###141,937
76,578 65,358
46.05%
1 ###0
250 0
7,518 7,769 ###
57,589 ###
4,879 1
12,649
52,710
647 ###
0 0 ###
52,063
44,810 7,252
40 7,212
74,080 (40)
81,293
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CASH FLOW STATEMENT (Million of Dollars)
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Net Income Before Dividends 5,638 6,013 6,406 6,819
Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Cash from Operations
Project Costs-Capitalized (5) 0 0 0
Project Fees (1) (1) (1) (1)Depreciation and Amortization 4,879 4,879 4,880 4,880 Change in Accounts Receivable (343) (360) (378) (397)Change in Inventory (274) (287) (302) (317)Change in Prepaid Expenses (44) (46) (48) (51)Change in Other Current Assets (240) (251) (264) (277)
Change in Total Current Assets 0 0 0 0 (900) (945) (992) (1,042)Change in Interest Payable 0 0 0 0 Change in Accounts Payable 384 403 423 444 Change in Current Portion of Long Term Debt 0 0 0 0 Accrued Expenses and Bonuses 0 0 0 0 Change in Customer Deposits 0 0 0 0
Change in Total Current Liabilities 0 0 0 0 384 403 423 444 Change in Other Noncurrent Assets (127) (133) (140) (147)Change in Deferred Income Tax 0 0 0 0 Change in Deferred Taxes Payable 0 0 0 0
Cash Provided (Used) by Operating Activities 0 0 0 0 9,869 10,217 10,576 10,954
Investing ActivitiesCapital Expenditures: 0 0 0 0
Cash Provided (Used) by Investing Activities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Financing Activities
Change in Long-Term Notes 0 0 0 0 Change in Notes Payable 0 0 0 0 Preferred Dividends (40) (40) (40) (40)
Cash Provided (Used) by Financing Activities (40) (40) (40) (40)Net Cash Flow Available to Common Shareholders 0 0 0 0 9,829 10,177 10,536 10,914
Dividend Distributions to Common Shareholders 0 0 0 0 Net Cash Flow 0 0 0 0 9,829 10,177 10,536 10,914
Cash, Beginning Balance 1,652 11,481 21,658 32,194 Cash, Ending Balance 0 0 0 0 11,481 21,658 32,194 43,108
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Post-Implementation2004
7,252
0
(1)###4,880 (417)(333)
(53)(291)
(1,094)0 ###
467 0 0 0
467 ###(154)
0 0
11,350 ###
0 0
0 0
(40)(40)
11,310
0 11,310
43,108 54,418
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ANALYSIS
Pre-Implementation Post-Implementation
Financial and Operating Ratios 1996 1997 1998 1999 Benchmark 2000 2001 2002
Liquidity RatiosCurrent Ratio (Current Assets/Current Liabilities) 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 Quick Ratio (Cash, Equivalents and Accounts Receivable/Current Liabilities) 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 Working Capital (Current Assets Less Current Liabilities) (7,094) 3,251 13,970 25,075
Activity RatiosSales/Average Receivables 32.4 16.6 16.6 16.6
Days in Average Receivables 11.3 22.0 22.0 22.0 Cost of Sales/Average Inventory 21.9 11.2 11.2 11.2
Days in Average Inventory 16.6 32.5 32.5 32.5 Cost of Sales/Average Accounts Payable 15.6 8.0 8.0 8.0
Days in Average Accounts Payable 23.4 45.6 45.6 45.6 Working Capital Turnover (Net Sales Revenue/(Average Working Capital) (15.7) 35.9 14.2 6.6 Fixed Asset Turnover (Net Sales Revenue/Average Net Fixed Assets) 3.6 2.0 2.2 2.6 Asset Turnover (Net Sales Revenue/Average Total Assets) 2.6 1.3 1.3 1.3
Profitability RatiosNet Income/Average Shareholder’s Equity 0.30 0.15 0.14 0.13
Growth Sales Growth 5% 5% 5%EPS 2.17 2.32 2.48 2.64
CostNI/Sales (Profit Margin) 5% 5% 5% 5%Gross Margin 46% 46% 46% 46%SG&A as a % of Sales 7% 7% 6% 6%
Capital
Assets/Sales #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 76% 77% 79% 80%
SVA 0 0 0 32,171 34,175 36,266 38,453
ProjectROI #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 15% 14% 13% 12%NPV $39,729 IRR Err:523
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Post-Implementation
2003 2004
2.3 2.7 1.8 2.2
36,586 48,523
16.6 16.6 22.0 22.0 11.2 11.2 32.5 32.5
8.0 8.0 45.6 45.6
4.4 3.3 3.0 3.5 1.3 1.2
0.12 0.11
5% 5%###2.81 2.99 ###
5% 5%###46% 46%###
6% 5%###
82% 83%
40,739 43,130
11% 11%