Welsh Assembly Elections Opinion Poll Report

WELSH ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS OPINION POLL 2011

APRIL 2011

Presented by: John Hurst, Director of RMG:Clarity, Trefor House, Ocean Park, Cardiff, CF24 5RE

Tel: 02920 435800

E-mail: [email protected]

Web: www.rmg-uk.co.uk

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.rmg-uk.co.uk/

INTRODUCTION

This opinion poll was designed to gauge the views of those living in Wales of the forthcoming Welsh Assembly on 5th May 2011.

METHODOLOGY

The opinion poll consisted of 1005 structured telephone interviews, conducted with Welsh voters between 4th April and 5th April 2011 and 44 surveys completed online within the same timeframe. This totals 1049 surveys.

The telephone interviews were conducted at RMG:Clarity’s in-house CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) Unit. Respondents were contacted during the day and in the evening.

For the telephone survey target numbers of interviews were set according to parliamentary constituency population. After interviewing, the online data was merged with the telephone data and the survey was weighted by parliamentary constituency, socio-economic group, gender, age group, household tenure and Welsh language skills in order to provide the most representative result possible.

The overall election prediction is calculated from question Q2a and Q2b. The results have also been weighted by likelihood to vote (Q1). Those who stated they were certain to vote are weighted 1, those who said ‘9’, 0.9 and so on. Only those who gave an answer of 5 or more have been included in the overall prediction. Those who said ‘don’t know/refused’ at both Q2a and Q2b were not included in the prediction.

Full weighted and unweighted tabulations are included in this report.

The following discussion uses the weighted results.

DISCUSSION

Table 1 (Q2c)

Q2c. Aggregated voting intention %

Labour 50.8%

Conservative 20.3%

Plaid Cymru 16.7%

Liberal Democrat 7.6%

Other 1.5%

Green 1.4%

UKIP 1.2%

BNP .4%

Base: Those likely to vote and who specified a party (748)

Table 2 (Q3)

Q3. If no party wins an overall majority in the Assembly would you like the next Government to be ...?

%

A Labour minority government 16.7%

A Labour-Plaid Cymru coalition 28.5%

A Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition 8.4%

A Labour- Conservative coalition 7.4%

A Plaid Cymru-Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition 12.4%

Don't know 26.6%

Base: All respondents (1040)

The table to the left shows the aggregated, weighted overall voting intention. It shows that Labour have fractionally over half of the vote share (50.8%), whilst the Conservatives have just over a fifth (20.3%). Plaid Cymru are the third party at 16.7%, whilst the Liberal Democrats have 7.6% of the vote share. Table 2 shows that the respondents would prefer a Labour-Plaid coalition if no party wins an overall majority in the Assembly. A Labour minority government is the second favourite option, although over a quarter did not know what they would prefer in this situation.

Table 3

Q4. Would you like to see the Assembly gain responsibility for police and the criminal justice system?

%

Yes 56.2%

No 30.9%

Don't know 12.9%


Table 4

Q5. Would you like to see the Assembly have the power to raise and lower taxes?

%

Yes 55.8%

No 36.2%

Don't know 8.0%


Table 5

Q6. Do you think you will ever see the Assembly led by a party other than Labour in your lifetime?

%

Yes 40.2%

No 41.6%

Don't know 18.2%


Table 3 shows that over half of the respondents (56.2%) would like to see the Assembly gaining responsibility for the Police and the criminal justice system, whilst 30.9% do not. Similarly, over half of respondents (55.8%) would like the Assembly to have the power to raise and lower taxes, whilst 36.2% do not. Two fifths of respondents (40.2%) do think that they will see a non Labour-led Assembly in their lifetime, although slightly more (41.6%) do not think they will see this.

Table 6

Q7. Does this make you feel? %

Happy 21.1%

Frustrated 20.3%

Neither 58.6%


Table 7 Q8. Do you think you will ever see the Conservatives be part of the Assembly Government in your lifetime?

%

Yes 25.1%

No 60.2%

Don't know 14.7%


Table 8

Q9. Does this make you feel? %

Happy 27.6%

Frustrated 17.9%

Neither 54.5%


According to Table 6, most people are neither happy nor frustrated by the likelihood of Labour remaining in power in the Assembly (58.6%). Three-fifths of respondents do not think that they will ever see the Conservatives as part of the Assembly Government (60.2%), although a quarter (25.1%) think it is possible. Over half of respondents are neither happy nor frustrated by the likelihood of the Conservatives gaining power in Wales.

WEIGHTED TABULATIONS

Base: All respondents RefusedD/EC2C1A/B FemaleMale

GenderSEG

Base: All respondents

1 - Not going to vote

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10 - Certain to vote

Don't know

Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')

1.4%1.4%.0%2.5%2.0%.8%.5%1.4%

770643114

64.2%64.7%65.7%57.5%68.4%67.3%63.6%64.4%

35331620145141243121670

3.8%4.1%6.4%5.7%2.2%2.8%5.0%3.9%

21202145101041

8.4%9.8%6.3%11.7%5.6%10.0%8.1%9.1%

464822911361594

3.8%2.6%.0%2.7%2.7%3.4%4.5%3.2%

211307612933

3.3%2.9%3.5%2.8%5.3%1.2%4.9%3.2%

181417114933

7.8%3.8%8.7%9.0%2.6%5.8%5.3%6.0%

43193235211062

.7%1.7%3.4%.4%2.2%1.1%.9%1.2%

481144212

1.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%1.3%2.2%.9%

63000549

.3%2.4%.0%1.1%3.0%.5%1.4%1.3%

2120362313

5.3%5.9%6.1%6.6%6.0%5.7%3.5%5.6%

29292171221758

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

551489302522063611911040

Q1. At the forthcoming election, how likely are you to vote on a scale of 1 to 10 where 1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote'?

(c…

Welsh Assembly Election Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

Refused65 years or above55 - 64 years45 - 54 years35 - 44 years25 - 34 years18 - 24 years

Age



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%2.8%.4%.0%1.1%.0%.0%

01210100

81.2%73.4%66.4%58.6%52.8%46.0%10.3%

173151579460243

9.6%3.2%5.2%4.9%4.1%.0%.0%

214128500

9.2%9.3%8.8%6.9%8.9%5.6%28.4%

24021111038

.0%1.8%2.5%6.0%5.4%2.9%9.3%

08610622

.0%1.8%3.1%4.8%6.0%6.3%.0%

0878730

.0%4.0%4.2%7.7%12.6%15.4%.0%

01710121480

.0%.0%1.5%1.2%.9%.0%21.1%

0042106

.0%.0%1.9%1.1%1.0%3.0%.0%

0042120

.0%.6%.8%1.1%.0%3.2%20.4%

0322025

.0%3.1%5.2%7.6%7.1%17.7%10.5%

0131212893

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

214292361611135327


(c…


Other

Rented from Council or Housing

Association

Rented from private landlordOwner occupied

Tenure



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


2.5%3.2%.0%1.2%

14010

53.0%66.9%42.4%65.9%

197422555

5.6%4.3%7.5%3.6%

25430

10.7%5.9%10.6%9.3%

47579

.0%.9%4.8%3.6%

01230

2.3%2.0%11.3%2.9%

12624

7.3%8.4%8.3%5.4%

39446

.0%.0%6.0%1.1%

0039

.0%.0%.0%1.1%

0009

7.9%.0%.0%1.3%

30011

10.7%8.4%9.2%4.8%

49540

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3611151842


(c…


No skills in Welsh

Other combination of

skills

Speaks reads and writes

Welsh

Speaks and reads but does not write Welsh

Speaks but does not read or write Welsh

Understands spoken Welsh

only

Welsh Language Skills



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


1.4%2.0%1.2%.0%.0%1.8%

1012002

62.1%74.3%69.2%57.1%72.8%68.4%

43130111122165

4.0%2.3%5.7%.0%.0%2.7%

2819003

10.7%3.4%3.4%13.6%11.2%7.6%

7415337

3.8%.0%2.5%.0%3.5%2.1%

2604012

3.1%2.1%2.8%8.4%2.9%3.8%

2114214

5.6%9.3%7.6%.0%3.2%6.6%

39412016

1.3%.0%.0%12.1%.0%.8%

900301

.9%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.6%

700002

1.3%2.2%1.8%.0%3.2%.0%

913010

5.8%4.4%5.9%8.9%3.2%3.7%

4029214

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

69440160212995


(c…


Don't know10 - Certain to vote987654321 - Not going to

vote




2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

140000000000

.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0670000000000

.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

004100000000

.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000940000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000033000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000003300000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000620000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000012000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%

00000000900

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%

000000000130

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%

000000000058

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1467041943333621291358



Base: All respondents CaerphillyBridgendBrecon and

RadnorshireBlaenau GwentArfonAlyn and DeesideAberconwyAberavon

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.4%.0%1.4%

0000001014

56.7%70.4%68.3%78.5%42.5%68.7%58.6%52.2%64.4%

161917199191211670

2.7%6.4%4.0%4.2%14.9%.0%.0%3.8%3.9%

1211300141

15.4%9.8%7.6%8.1%16.5%10.4%4.2%19.9%9.1%

4322431494

.0%6.8%.0%.0%5.5%7.0%15.2%.0%3.2%

0200123033

3.3%3.0%3.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%12.1%3.2%

1110000333

8.9%.0%4.7%9.2%8.0%.0%13.1%7.9%6.0%

3012203262

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.1%1.2%

0000000112

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.5%.0%.0%.9%

000001009

6.1%.0%.0%.0%12.6%.0%.0%.0%1.3%

2000300013

6.8%3.7%12.0%.0%.0%10.4%4.6%.0%5.6%

2130031058

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

29272524222820221040


(c…


Clwyd SouthCeredigionCarmarthen

West and South Pembrokeshire

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Cardiff WestCardiff South and PenarthCardiff NorthCardiff Central

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000

53.7%66.3%52.5%71.2%74.6%71.2%64.7%65.5%

1417142121251918

.0%3.9%7.1%2.9%3.1%.0%.0%3.9%

01211001

27.4%7.9%3.9%2.9%3.5%8.1%11.5%10.9%

72111333

4.1%11.2%9.6%3.5%6.1%.0%.0%6.7%

13312002

.0%.0%9.6%.0%2.9%2.3%2.8%6.5%

00301112

3.2%6.5%7.5%3.9%6.7%5.9%8.6%3.4%

12212231

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000

3.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

10000000

.0%.0%9.8%.0%.0%2.4%3.0%.0%

00300110

8.2%4.1%.0%15.6%3.1%10.1%9.4%3.1%

21051431

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2625272929363028


(c…


MontgomeryshireMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil

and RhymneyLlanelliIslwynGowerDwyfor MeirionnyddDelynCynon ValleyClwyd West

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%3.2%.0%3.0%.0%3.0%.0%.0%.0%7.0%

0101010002

64.7%68.8%78.1%61.9%66.8%59.9%62.5%66.7%64.5%60.6%

14181917161514171516

5.7%.0%9.6%6.2%8.0%11.8%9.3%.0%4.1%.0%

1022232010

4.0%3.2%3.9%9.5%12.4%18.3%12.5%11.6%14.1%12.5%

1113353333

.0%3.1%.0%.0%.0%3.6%.0%6.2%.0%.0%

0100010200

8.8%.0%.0%11.2%.0%.0%.0%11.9%12.8%10.3%

2003000333

4.7%7.2%8.4%8.1%4.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.1%

1222100001

3.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%12.0%.0%.0%.0%

1000003000

8.3%4.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.7%.0%.0%

2100000100

.0%3.2%.0%.0%.0%3.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100010000

.0%7.2%.0%.0%8.2%.0%3.8%.0%4.4%6.5%

0200201012

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21272528242622252327


(c…


TorfaenSwansea WestSwansea EastRhonddaPreseli PembrokeshirePontypriddOgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeath

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


4.7%3.0%.0%4.0%.0%3.0%3.5%.0%4.3%3.1%

1101011011

60.4%63.1%73.6%65.5%74.2%67.6%62.8%76.3%51.9%36.6%

16212015191816211210

3.3%2.6%3.3%8.8%.0%8.7%.0%.0%8.9%4.1%

1112020021

6.5%5.2%10.4%9.1%3.3%3.5%.0%3.2%7.7%9.2%

2232110123

.0%7.4%7.2%8.1%.0%.0%3.4%3.8%.0%.0%

0222001100

.0%2.5%5.5%.0%.0%10.9%.0%.0%.0%3.3%

0120030001

3.8%8.7%.0%4.5%7.1%6.4%15.3%6.7%14.4%8.9%

1301224233

3.8%.0%.0%.0%11.9%.0%3.9%.0%4.3%6.9%

1000301012

.0%4.7%.0%.0%3.5%.0%.0%.0%3.8%.0%

0200100010

.0%2.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%6.2%.0%.0%

0100000200

17.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%3.7%4.8%28.0%

5000003118

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

27342823262725272329


(c…


Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of Clwyd

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%4.6%.0%4.7%

0101

63.1%61.7%74.6%66.6%

13162117

4.2%3.5%3.0%.0%

1110

10.5%14.9%9.4%3.7%

2431

4.1%7.6%.0%.0%

1200

.0%.0%2.9%.0%

0010

13.4%4.0%3.5%10.6%

3113

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

4.7%3.7%6.6%14.5%

1124

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21262925



Base: Those likely to vote RefusedD/EC2C1A/B FemaleMale

GenderSEG

Base: Those likely to vote

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know

Labour or Conservative

Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

10000101

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.3%.0%.1%

01000101

.2%.0%.0%.4%.0%.0%.0%.1%

10010001

37.7%26.1%31.9%28.7%29.3%34.5%36.3%32.4%

1891129655211363302

.0%.7%.0%.5%1.1%.0%.0%.3%

03012003

.4%1.1%3.2%.5%.5%.6%1.0%.7%

25111226

.9%1.3%.0%.5%.5%1.2%2.3%1.1%

550114410

8.7%11.8%3.3%10.4%9.9%12.8%6.1%10.1%

445112318421194

4.6%4.9%3.4%5.1%4.3%4.7%4.9%4.7%

2321111815944

10.6%12.8%11.2%6.1%9.0%13.6%17.8%11.6%

5355314164431108

31.1%34.7%28.8%41.3%40.5%26.0%27.3%32.8%

156149893728548306

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

50343027225179327174933

Q2a. At the forthcoming election, do you intend to vote Labour, Conservative, Liberal Democrat, Plaid Cymru or some other party?

(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

0100000

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

37.2%32.8%30.6%31.1%38.8%27.8%18.5%

8131654539112

.0%.0%.5%1.4%.0%.0%.0%

0012000

.0%.9%.5%.7%1.0%.0%.0%

0311100

.0%.0%.8%.6%4.2%7.8%.0%

0021430

4.7%7.0%12.0%11.9%11.3%21.8%19.3%

12825171292

.0%5.0%3.4%5.8%4.1%3.9%21.2%

02078423

14.6%12.8%13.5%10.0%4.1%4.5%41.0%

3512914425

24.2%36.2%32.6%32.6%28.4%26.5%.0%

5145694729110

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

214012131431024013


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

0001

.0%.0%.0%.1%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.1%

0001

27.5%18.8%27.4%34.6%

81912264

.0%2.3%.0%.1%

0201

.0%.0%.0%.8%

0006

.0%.0%.0%1.3%

00010

3.5%10.8%9.0%10.3%

111479

3.6%3.4%11.9%4.5%

13534

17.0%3.2%16.3%12.2%

53793

31.3%59.3%26.0%29.8%

95811228

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

289843763


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

001000

.0%.0%.6%.0%.0%.0%

001000

.0%.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%

001000

34.6%29.1%26.5%14.7%28.6%32.1%

21411392828

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

.8%2.4%.0%4.9%.0%.0%

510100

.6%5.9%1.7%5.3%3.2%.0%

422110

5.6%9.6%34.8%4.7%.0%5.2%

35451104

5.0%5.1%4.3%11.7%.0%3.1%

3126203

13.0%9.2%4.3%16.9%18.3%12.1%

80363510

34.0%30.0%20.9%36.8%35.7%44.1%

210113061038

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

61937146172786


(c…


10 - Certain to vote98765



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

100000

.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.0%.0%1.0%.0%.0%.0%

001000

30.4%42.0%32.7%32.1%36.7%44.0%

2041731111227

.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.5%

200001

.6%.0%1.8%3.1%.0%.0%

402100

1.2%.0%1.1%2.7%.0%.0%

801100

10.5%11.6%6.9%13.0%5.8%10.3%

7157426

4.2%11.3%8.1%.0%5.7%3.3%

2858022

10.6%8.6%18.6%19.4%8.6%11.1%

71317637

35.5%22.0%22.8%23.9%40.6%26.9%

23792181317

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

6704194333362


(c…



GenderSEG

Plaid or lib dem

Refused

Socialist Labour Party

Other

.0%.3%.0%.0%.0%.4%.0%.1%

01000101

5.6%6.1%18.1%6.5%5.0%5.7%4.2%5.8%

2826515919754

.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%.0%.1%


(c…


Age

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%1.3%.0%.0%

0000100

19.2%4.8%6.1%5.9%6.7%7.7%.0%

419138730

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%3.1%.0%

0010

17.1%2.2%6.3%5.9%

52345

.0%.0%.0%.1%


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%3.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%

010000

5.9%5.0%5.5%5.0%14.2%3.4%

3728143

.0%.0%.6%.0%.0%.0%


(c…



Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%1.4%.0%.0%.0%

001000

6.4%4.5%5.5%5.9%2.6%3.0%

4325212

.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%


Base: Those likely to vote Cardiff NorthCardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and


Constituency


Labour

Conservative

6206201412108

28.4%21.2%38.9%25.3%17.9%51.6%14.8%20.2%24.9%58.4%32.8%

7610741235412306

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

26272526222420241821933


(c…


GowerDwyfor MeirionnyddDelynCynon ValleyClwyd WestClwyd SouthCeredigion

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire


Cardiff WestCardiff South and Penarth

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

23218421244

50.7%4.7%60.8%38.7%9.4%20.0%13.2%23.8%8.3%33.8%35.8%

12115825362911

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2418242223232424252831


(c…

RhonddaPreseli PembrokeshirePontypriddOgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeathMontgomeryshi

reMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil and RhymneyLlanelliIslwyn

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

063211336210

44.1%36.7%40.8%40.0%43.0%42.8%31.2%5.3%38.0%48.3%48.2%30.5%

10811810861812137

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

222226202419181922252722


(c…

Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of ClwydTorfaenSwansea WestSwansea East

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

3473324

19.1%38.6%26.8%58.8%33.4%39.1%33.3%

497127129

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

20242720203028


(c…




Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%6.5%.1%

00000000011

6.7%7.0%4.0%18.6%.0%3.9%5.1%15.1%4.6%8.4%5.8%

221501141254

.0%.0%.0%.0%4.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00001000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00000010001

30.6%38.8%42.4%34.7%39.3%32.7%30.7%36.4%46.1%14.0%32.4%

810119986983302

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

00000100003

.0%.0%3.9%.0%.0%4.3%4.5%4.3%4.6%.0%.7%

00100111106

.0%5.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.1%

020000000010

13.0%3.1%10.7%.0%14.4%3.7%19.6%4.3%5.1%.0%10.1%

313031411094

.0%17.4%.0%.0%14.5%.0%13.9%4.4%9.9%4.8%4.7%

050030312144

21.3%6.7%.0%21.4%9.8%.0%6.3%15.4%4.9%7.8%11.6%


(c…






Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

3.7%.0%3.8%4.2%.0%3.5%4.6%.0%8.1%7.8%11.5%

10110110224

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.8%

00000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

27.0%28.0%19.5%47.8%29.4%35.9%22.9%48.7%33.6%26.4%23.4%

7551078512877

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.6%3.8%.0%.0%5.7%6.3%

00000110022

11.5%47.8%7.9%.0%24.1%12.9%22.7%20.1%42.4%13.2%2.8%

392063551141

.0%4.9%.0%4.6%3.6%3.9%24.8%3.6%.0%.0%3.3%

01011161001

7.2%14.6%8.0%4.7%33.4%19.2%8.1%3.8%7.5%13.2%14.1%


(c…




Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%3.9%.0%12.0%9.6%5.4%.0%.0%7.5%16.6%4.1%

001032100251

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

39.4%28.7%30.3%32.3%32.8%23.0%32.0%58.9%20.9%28.0%24.7%41.9%

9687846115779

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%6.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.5%.0%4.6%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000001010000

.0%.0%.0%5.6%4.5%.0%.0%4.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000110010000

11.6%4.8%4.2%14.2%.0%.0%5.7%5.3%4.1%4.3%6.8%18.5%

311300111124

4.9%4.2%7.4%.0%4.0%15.4%.0%6.5%8.0%3.6%.0%4.9%

112013012101

.0%25.6%13.5%8.0%3.7%4.8%19.4%14.7%28.9%8.3%3.8%.0%


(c…



Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

6.7%.0%10.5%.0%9.6%7.6%7.2%

1030222

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

36.8%36.3%32.0%18.4%38.5%28.4%32.5%

7994899

.0%4.9%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

20.0%.0%.0%9.2%4.5%11.2%10.0%

4002133

.0%4.2%3.3%.0%.0%8.1%3.7%

0110021

17.5%15.9%27.4%13.6%14.0%5.6%13.4%




and 'don't know' at Q2a

RefusedD/EC2C1A/B FemaleMale

GenderSEG

Base: Those likely to vote and 'don't know' at Q2a

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

1.5%3.3%.0%3.2%.0%1.6%4.3%2.2%

34020237

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.4%.3%

10000011

.4%.0%.0%.0%1.5%.0%.0%.3%

10001001

.0%.8%.0%.0%1.7%.0%.0%.3%

01001001

43.7%40.4%53.4%49.1%40.3%39.9%40.6%42.5%

8345532214526128

.0%2.5%.0%1.5%1.7%.0%1.4%.9%

03011013

11.1%8.7%11.5%11.3%10.8%9.3%10.2%10.2%

211017610631

4.3%4.5%.0%1.7%6.0%7.1%1.4%4.3%

850138113

15.3%12.9%11.6%6.2%11.8%18.9%17.2%14.4%

2914146211143

23.3%26.9%23.6%27.1%26.2%23.2%23.5%24.6%

443021714261574

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1891129655211363302

Q2b. Which party are you most inclined to support?

(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%2.0%3.1%4.2%.0%.0%.0%

0322000

.0%.0%1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010000

.0%.0%1.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010000

.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

62.4%44.7%41.3%38.4%48.4%13.6%.0%

55927171920

.0%1.4%1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0210000

12.9%10.7%10.1%11.3%10.7%.0%.0%

11475400

.0%3.4%4.6%4.6%5.4%13.5%.0%

0432220

24.7%14.4%15.0%6.3%10.6%30.1%100.0%

219103432

.0%22.7%21.8%35.1%25.0%42.9%.0%

03014161050

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

8131654539112


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%.0%2.5%

0007

.0%.0%.0%.3%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.3%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.3%

0001

49.3%52.4%53.8%41.1%

4106108

.0%.0%.0%1.1%

0003

12.8%23.6%10.3%9.2%

14124

.0%.0%10.1%4.5%

00112

24.6%.0%15.2%15.0%

20240

13.3%24.0%10.5%25.6%

14168

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

81912264


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

3.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

700000

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.9%

000001

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

44.1%32.0%42.6%34.2%33.1%37.5%

943171310

1.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

7.7%24.6%20.9%32.2%13.9%6.5%

1638112

4.4%.0%5.5%.0%19.4%.0%

902020

15.0%16.9%13.1%.0%11.4%12.2%

3225013

23.6%26.5%18.0%33.6%22.2%40.8%

51371211

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21411392828


(c…





Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

2.3%.0%2.9%.0%.0%3.4%

501001

.0%.0%2.9%.0%.0%.0%

001000

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

39.4%30.5%38.1%61.0%63.4%61.5%

805127817

.9%.0%3.2%.0%.0%.0%

201000

11.4%11.8%11.4%.0%7.0%4.2%

2324011

4.2%5.7%7.7%11.2%.0%.0%

912100

14.3%15.7%25.2%19.0%.0%6.6%

2938202

26.7%36.2%8.7%8.8%29.6%24.3%

5463147

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2041731111227





Cardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and RadnorshireBlaenau GwentArfonAlyn and

DeesideAberconwyAberavon

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

9.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.2%

1000000007

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

44.7%26.9%68.9%56.5%64.2%62.5%59.2%20.8%41.3%42.5%

536554521128

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.2%.0%.0%.9%

0000001003

10.2%33.9%10.9%11.7%.0%.0%11.8%10.0%.0%10.2%

14110011031

16.7%.0%.0%21.1%.0%.0%.0%14.4%.0%4.3%

20020001013

9.8%7.3%.0%.0%35.8%.0%17.8%32.6%30.5%14.4%

11003023143

8.8%31.9%20.1%10.7%.0%37.5%.0%22.2%28.2%24.6%

13210202174

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

10119986983302


(c…


DelynCynon ValleyClwyd WestClwyd SouthCeredigionCarmarthen



Cardiff WestCardiff South and PenarthCardiff North

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.3%.0%.0%10.9%

0000001001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

22.2%27.9%32.6%50.1%16.0%62.1%21.0%46.0%75.4%56.0%

1324172355

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.2%

0000000001

.0%.0%14.4%.0%18.2%.0%56.2%29.4%.0%.0%

0010105200

.0%.0%13.2%.0%17.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010100000

59.8%17.1%14.7%29.2%16.6%15.2%.0%.0%12.1%10.8%

3212120011

17.9%55.0%25.1%20.7%31.4%22.7%11.5%24.6%12.5%11.1%

1622231211

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

510785128778


(c…


OgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeathMontgomeryshireMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil

and RhymneyLlanelliIslwynGowerDwyfor Meirionnydd

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%11.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.3%.0%.0%

01000000100

.0%.0%20.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00100000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%20.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00100000000

41.6%21.0%60.0%32.3%58.3%21.6%27.8%41.4%11.2%32.3%.0%

32326123120

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%15.6%7.7%.0%.0%30.4%11.1%.0%39.0%

00011002102

.0%.0%.0%.0%9.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%13.7%.0%

00001000010

.0%35.0%.0%15.7%24.3%18.8%30.6%.0%.0%27.3%36.6%

03013120022

58.4%32.6%.0%36.4%.0%59.6%41.7%28.2%66.4%26.7%24.4%

43020332621

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

784611577975


(c…


Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of ClwydTorfaenSwansea WestSwansea EastRhonddaPreseli

PembrokeshirePontypridd

Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%10.3%.0%.0%10.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010010000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%9.2%.0%.0%

0000000100

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

37.9%12.7%67.5%46.9%76.7%54.2%47.8%11.7%41.4%65.6%

3162654135

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%10.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000010000

12.2%13.5%.0%24.4%.0%.0%32.3%9.3%.0%.0%

1101003100

.0%30.0%.0%.0%.0%12.8%.0%.0%14.1%.0%

0300010010

24.4%22.3%10.5%.0%11.9%.0%9.8%.0%14.1%11.9%

2210101011

25.5%21.5%11.7%28.8%11.4%11.8%10.0%69.7%30.4%22.5%

2211111622

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

7994899968




and who specified a

party


GenderSEG

Base: Those likely to vote and who specified a party

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.4%1.7%.0%1.7%.0%1.9%2.5%1.5%

660305412

.0%.9%.0%.7%1.4%.0%.0%.4%

03012003

.5%2.1%4.9%1.1%1.2%.7%1.9%1.2%

27122239

1.2%1.5%.0%.6%.6%1.5%2.9%1.4%

550114410

16.6%16.9%10.8%17.2%15.8%19.8%12.1%16.7%

6560231235217125

8.0%7.3%5.3%7.0%7.4%8.9%6.7%7.6%

31261131123957

21.0%19.4%23.0%9.9%15.2%25.0%29.7%20.3%

8269418226642152

51.3%50.2%56.0%61.8%58.5%42.2%44.2%50.8%

201180101118611162380

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

39135718179147263141748

Q2c. Aggregated voting intention

(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%1.7%1.7%1.6%1.8%.0%.0%

0532100

.0%.0%.7%1.7%.0%.0%.0%

0012000

.0%1.6%1.1%.8%1.4%.0%.0%

0521100

.0%.0%1.0%.8%5.7%8.8%.0%

0021430

16.6%13.1%18.6%18.7%20.7%24.7%19.3%

24232221692

.0%7.6%6.0%8.8%8.3%8.6%21.2%

0241010633

41.4%21.8%22.3%14.5%11.0%14.5%59.5%

5703817858

42.0%54.3%48.6%53.0%51.1%43.4%.0%

5175846239160

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

12322172118763613


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%4.0%1.7%

00110

.0%2.6%.0%.1%

0201

.0%.0%.0%1.5%

0009

.0%.0%.0%1.7%

00010

10.1%17.3%15.0%17.0%

2155103

5.2%3.9%18.5%7.6%

13646

34.2%3.6%25.9%21.9%

739133

50.4%72.5%36.6%48.5%

106313295

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

208634608


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.5%4.3%2.3%.0%.0%.0%

713000

.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

1.6%2.8%.0%5.4%.0%.0%

810100

.8%6.9%2.0%5.9%4.3%.0%

422110

10.5%19.6%48.6%10.5%5.2%8.7%

51659216

8.3%6.0%7.0%13.0%7.3%3.8%

4128223

23.1%16.5%9.4%18.7%28.2%19.2%

1135113614

53.6%44.0%30.8%46.4%55.0%68.4%

261143771149

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

48731122152172


(c…





Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.2%.0%5.3%.0%.0%2.1%

704001

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.1%

200001

1.0%.0%3.4%4.1%.0%.0%

603100

1.5%.0%1.4%3.6%.0%.0%

801100

17.2%20.0%13.0%17.4%11.3%17.4%

94710438

6.7%16.6%13.0%4.8%7.7%4.6%

36610122

18.4%18.4%32.7%34.2%11.6%20.1%

100625939

53.5%45.1%31.2%35.9%69.4%53.7%

292152491723

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

5453477252443



and who specified a

party



Constituency

Base: Those likely to vote and who specified a party 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

202115171815151618748


(c…






Constituency


100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

22182118221721222220


(c…



Constituency

Base: Those likely to vote and who specified a party 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1820141512212120202118


(c…



Constituency


16221818122321201920


(c…



and who specified a

party



Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

5.0%.0%.0%5.3%.0%6.6%.0%.0%7.6%1.5%

10010100112

.0%.0%.0%.0%5.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.4%

0000100003

.0%4.7%.0%.0%5.8%6.0%13.2%5.3%.0%1.2%

0100112109

7.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.4%

20000000010

9.4%29.7%6.6%24.4%5.0%25.9%13.5%11.3%.0%16.7%

261414220125

31.5%.0%.0%29.3%.0%18.4%7.0%19.3%5.6%7.6%

60050313157

13.9%3.7%37.2%12.6%15.6%8.3%34.5%23.2%14.1%20.3%

316231543152

32.6%62.0%56.2%28.4%68.6%34.8%31.8%40.9%72.6%50.8%

713851255613380


(c…






Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.5%.0%4.0%4.4%

0000001011

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.5%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%5.8%4.1%.0%.0%7.1%8.9%.0%

0001100220

8.6%.0%31.4%16.4%29.3%28.8%72.2%26.2%4.0%17.1%

20736515613

.0%5.6%8.3%4.9%31.5%5.2%.0%.0%4.6%.0%

0121710010

21.4%15.6%41.7%37.9%12.9%16.0%8.9%16.5%23.9%32.3%

5397332456

70.0%78.8%18.6%34.9%22.2%50.0%14.4%50.3%54.6%41.7%

15144659311128


(c…




Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%4.6%6.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.2%.0%.0%

01100000100

.0%.0%.0%7.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00010000000

.0%.0%6.2%.0%7.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00101000000

6.4%5.5%.0%.0%7.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

11001000000

16.4%.0%.0%12.7%15.0%4.3%5.0%19.5%25.4%13.1%58.7%

300221145311

.0%4.9%21.4%.0%18.7%8.4%4.3%.0%5.4%4.2%4.9%

01302210111

9.2%18.7%6.7%29.1%44.1%34.4%19.9%5.1%.0%16.6%24.8%

24145741045

68.0%66.3%59.3%50.8%8.0%52.9%70.8%75.4%64.0%66.1%11.6%

121388111151513142


(c…




Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%4.8%.0%.0%4.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010010000

.0%5.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.9%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000010000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

30.8%5.1%.0%15.0%7.3%14.6%26.5%16.6%5.5%5.5%

5103136311

.0%15.9%4.9%.0%.0%15.2%4.8%5.3%9.3%9.8%

0410041122

33.3%25.2%45.2%14.9%30.6%7.3%21.5%.0%33.6%22.4%

5683425064

35.8%48.6%45.0%70.1%62.1%55.1%47.3%78.1%51.5%62.4%

61181371310161012



GenderSEG


A Labour minority government

8885265364426174

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

551489302522063611911040


(c…



Age



267382820136

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

214292361611135327


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure



62510132

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3611151842


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only




1297162515

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

69440160212995


(c…



vote




211651049106059

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1467041943333621291358


(c…


GenderSEG


A Labour-Plaid Cymru coalition

A Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition

A Labour- Conservative coalition

A Plaid Cymru-Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition

Don't know (DO NOT READ OUT)

31.0%21.7%60.5%26.3%26.7%23.4%27.6%26.6%

1711061866558553277

12.2%12.7%.0%8.2%9.9%16.6%14.8%12.4%

6762021206028129

7.0%7.9%3.3%4.8%8.0%8.9%7.8%7.4%

383811217321577

9.4%7.2%3.4%6.8%8.6%9.5%8.9%8.4%

523511718341787

24.4%33.1%26.1%28.1%29.2%29.4%27.0%28.5%

1341628716010652296

16.1%17.4%6.7%25.8%17.5%12.1%13.9%16.7%


(c…



Age







52.4%28.0%27.6%24.0%19.0%28.5%19.9%

11120653922155

.0%10.8%12.4%14.6%16.7%6.5%28.9%

04629241938

9.2%9.7%4.7%2.4%8.6%6.3%20.0%

2421141035

9.5%7.9%7.0%12.3%10.1%5.8%.0%

23417201130

19.3%28.0%32.1%29.7%27.8%27.8%9.3%

4120764831152

9.6%15.5%16.2%17.1%17.7%25.0%22.0%


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure







48.3%27.4%24.1%25.7%

173012217

2.3%5.1%16.0%13.6%

168115

5.3%3.9%11.4%7.7%

24665

2.8%5.8%9.8%8.8%

16574

24.9%35.2%18.7%28.4%

93910239

16.3%22.6%20.0%15.7%


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only








28.1%31.2%21.2%16.7%24.1%25.9%

19513344725

12.2%13.5%16.0%8.2%17.4%7.4%

84526257

8.0%6.5%4.1%20.4%3.5%7.0%

5637417

9.3%.0%6.1%17.6%12.5%5.4%

65010445

23.9%32.4%42.4%28.3%26.1%38.0%

16613686836

18.5%16.4%10.1%8.8%16.5%16.3%


(c…



vote








39.6%22.8%26.2%26.0%22.2%20.1%38.3%8.2%79.9%26.6%58.5%

61521125772417434

8.2%10.9%12.5%24.6%14.6%8.4%18.1%.0%.0%19.8%9.5%

17352353110036

21.2%6.6%11.3%6.9%11.5%11.1%1.5%37.2%10.1%13.5%5.2%

344564415123

.0%8.9%7.6%11.6%8.3%12.9%7.5%.0%.0%6.5%1.6%

0603113450011

18.7%33.6%29.8%20.9%32.6%20.5%19.2%6.5%10.0%.0%10.4%

32251220117121106

12.3%17.3%12.6%10.1%10.8%27.0%15.4%48.1%.0%33.7%14.8%


Base: All respondents Cardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and


Constituency






42422261177

25.8%6.6%6.9%16.6%4.0%4.0%.0%13.6%9.7%8.4%

72241103287

14.5%29.6%10.7%26.8%37.5%23.6%36.5%13.1%27.7%28.5%

4937951036296

12.4%10.1%17.2%20.1%18.2%26.0%.0%9.5%29.7%16.7%

335546026174

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency






2120121113

7.5%4.6%7.3%8.2%15.5%.0%.0%6.9%7.9%20.9%

2122400236

37.3%32.8%24.8%31.5%37.9%27.5%40.4%44.7%15.6%17.8%

977897121365

19.6%27.6%3.4%15.6%3.6%17.8%7.0%10.2%12.5%3.4%

5614152341

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

25232726252729293630


(c…



Constituency






24122030024

3.6%7.2%12.8%10.1%17.9%10.2%4.0%4.3%7.3%10.8%9.9%

12334311232

45.4%33.5%27.1%25.7%25.6%17.6%27.7%23.7%40.2%34.7%40.3%

1196755771099

14.7%17.4%23.6%21.1%9.3%20.5%40.5%38.7%23.2%27.9%4.0%

4566251011671

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2527232921272528242622


(c…




Constituency






3220714032

6.3%4.0%3.1%3.5%7.8%14.2%12.8%.0%11.2%7.1%

1111254032

32.3%23.7%12.9%22.0%13.9%35.1%40.5%27.2%31.1%35.4%

764541211689

8.6%19.1%2.9%25.8%10.2%7.5%9.8%60.8%11.9%21.8%

25163331436

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21262925273428232627


(c…



Constituency




29.6%41.4%31.2%18.7%28.6%25.8%30.4%35.1%21.4%26.6%

8128576975277

3.9%6.2%19.9%9.1%3.8%12.1%13.4%24.0%7.7%12.4%

125213452129

13.7%6.1%14.1%8.6%7.9%8.3%19.7%4.6%3.7%7.4%


(c…






Constituency




15.5%22.2%37.5%14.4%26.8%23.7%27.3%31.4%41.0%32.9%

4510476891510

12.2%8.3%20.6%30.3%12.0%24.2%21.2%3.8%20.6%15.6%

3268376175

7.8%4.5%6.6%.0%4.2%6.8%4.1%3.0%2.4%9.5%


(c…



Constituency




21.9%28.0%24.5%20.6%24.7%41.6%7.4%26.7%16.5%16.9%25.7%

586651128446

7.2%.0%7.8%16.5%14.2%10.2%8.6%6.6%12.8%3.4%.0%

20253322310

7.2%13.8%4.3%6.1%8.3%.0%11.8%.0%.0%6.4%20.1%


(c…



Constituency




31.5%38.8%46.3%25.5%29.4%27.0%14.3%7.3%24.8%15.7%

710136894264

8.8%7.6%28.5%23.2%13.0%13.7%9.8%4.7%10.2%13.3%

2286353134

12.4%6.9%6.2%.0%25.7%2.4%12.8%.0%10.8%6.7%




GenderSEG


Yes

No

Don't know

16.9%8.5%28.1%15.3%12.9%11.0%11.1%12.9%

9342839274021134

25.2%37.3%23.1%19.6%23.9%34.1%48.5%30.9%

1391827494912392321

57.9%54.2%48.8%65.1%63.1%54.9%40.4%56.2%

3192651516413019877584

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

551489302522063611911040


(c…

Refused65 years or above55 - 64 years45 - 54 years35 - 44 years25 - 34 years18 - 24 years Other


Association


TenureAge


Yes

No

Don't know

26.8%11.9%12.7%12.5%14.6%13.7%13.9%15.4%9.5%2.9%10.5%

1013610535933251123

37.3%15.7%12.6%33.7%42.1%31.1%29.8%31.2%32.2%21.6%38.4%

1317628491337050371110

35.9%72.4%74.8%53.8%43.3%55.2%56.3%53.4%58.3%75.5%51.1%

138038453923613386664014

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3611151842214292361611135327


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Yes

No

Don't know

13.0%10.9%13.9%17.9%10.0%11.4%

904224311

34.1%21.2%25.6%32.6%27.7%20.7%

2379417820

52.9%67.9%60.4%49.4%62.3%67.9%

3672797111864

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

69440160212995


(c…


vote



Yes

No

Don't know

25.8%12.6%12.5%10.2%5.3%25.4%11.2%16.9%30.9%6.4%15.4%

4845102872319

28.4%29.8%28.1%43.7%39.3%18.3%22.7%36.2%19.9%53.6%31.4%

420011411361442718

45.8%57.6%59.4%46.1%55.4%56.3%66.1%46.9%49.2%40.0%53.2%

7386244319184164531

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1467041943333621291358



Base: All respondents Cardiff NorthCardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and


Constituency

Base: All respondents 302829272524222820221040


(c…





Constituency



(c…



Constituency



(c…


Constituency



(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

18.9%13.2%14.0%6.9%7.6%11.9%11.6%18.4%8.8%19.4%12.9%

6442233524134

35.7%40.1%31.0%52.0%32.6%41.5%26.7%19.3%31.3%39.6%30.9%

11119148106569321

45.4%46.7%55.0%41.1%59.8%46.6%61.7%62.3%59.9%41.1%56.2%

1413161115111418129584

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…





Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

6.9%4.7%3.7%12.9%10.4%8.9%19.6%10.7%15.4%13.4%18.3%

21133253547

28.0%34.5%36.3%24.9%34.4%27.8%27.6%24.6%21.7%35.2%36.9%

7796977761013

65.0%60.8%59.9%62.3%55.2%63.4%52.8%64.7%62.8%51.4%44.8%

1713151415161318181516

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

13.1%14.4%17.9%6.6%6.6%24.5%15.2%17.2%9.9%4.0%14.6%15.8%

345226443144

25.4%29.1%38.1%22.0%34.2%19.5%29.5%43.0%24.3%20.0%21.9%33.5%

6710595896568

61.5%56.6%44.1%71.4%59.2%56.0%55.3%39.8%65.8%76.0%63.5%50.6%

14151218161316818191812

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…


Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

28.9%3.5%10.4%23.2%10.5%11.1%14.7%

6136344

21.0%31.3%44.9%20.8%42.2%28.7%21.3%

4813511106

50.1%65.2%44.8%56.0%47.4%60.1%64.0%

10171314132018

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%



GenderSEG

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

551489302522063611911040


(c…




Association


TenureAge

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3611151842214292361611135327


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

69440160212995


(c…


vote



1467041943333621291358


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

10.1%5.6%15.2%12.3%8.3%5.0%6.3%8.0%

552853117181283

30.4%42.8%38.6%22.0%26.3%41.5%55.4%36.2%

167209125554150106377

59.5%51.6%46.2%65.7%65.4%53.5%38.3%55.8%

3282521416513519373580


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

7.8%12.2%10.6%7.3%.0%8.1%10.5%9.3%2.8%10.3%.0%

3145610352515350

40.7%13.1%10.1%40.7%52.1%40.1%38.2%34.3%29.4%23.9%8.9%

1515534211172905533132

51.5%74.7%79.3%52.0%47.9%51.8%51.3%56.4%67.8%65.8%91.1%

1883404381022212191773524


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

6.8%15.6%7.3%26.5%6.2%11.1%

476126211

42.3%12.9%26.5%20.2%23.2%25.5%

2945424724

50.9%71.5%66.2%53.2%70.5%63.4%

35329106112060


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

28.4%7.7%7.7%2.8%5.6%5.5%16.1%8.2%20.8%.0%9.0%

4513322101205

27.2%37.5%36.4%47.4%25.5%24.1%22.0%30.7%57.5%45.3%29.7%

42511545981445617

44.5%54.8%55.9%49.8%68.9%70.5%61.9%61.1%21.7%54.7%61.3%

6367234723233882736




Constituency


302829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency


2622252327262527292936


(c…



Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

232627252723292127252824


(c…


Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21262925273428


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

2.9%17.3%16.5%9.9%.0%7.9%4.6%10.2%9.6%8.6%8.0%

155302132283

33.3%43.0%29.2%61.5%36.3%37.7%22.0%34.9%35.4%38.4%36.2%

10128179951078377

63.8%39.7%54.3%28.6%63.7%54.4%73.4%54.8%55.1%53.0%55.8%

1911168161316151111580


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

.0%8.8%.0%5.1%13.3%3.1%11.6%.0%.0%3.3%11.8%

02014130014

35.5%18.1%47.8%29.4%22.8%30.9%34.8%33.5%33.9%34.8%47.7%

941276899101017

64.5%73.1%52.2%65.5%63.9%66.0%53.6%66.5%66.1%61.9%40.5%

1716131517171318191814


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

12.1%7.3%9.9%15.1%12.6%20.5%11.9%8.4%3.3%.0%6.9%4.3%

323435321021

34.0%32.8%34.2%31.1%44.3%27.0%35.5%52.3%55.2%27.7%15.8%41.4%

88981261011157410

53.8%59.9%55.9%53.8%43.1%52.5%52.6%39.3%41.5%72.3%77.3%54.3%

12151513121215811182213


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

9.3%4.0%7.0%22.7%.0%9.0%10.2%

2126033

38.2%31.2%54.3%21.1%56.7%42.0%23.9%

8816515147

52.5%64.8%38.7%56.2%43.3%49.0%65.9%

11171114121618



GenderSEG


551489302522063611911040


(c…




Association


TenureAge


3611151842214292361611135327


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



69440160212995


(c…


vote



1467041943333621291358


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

21.7%14.2%35.7%19.1%22.6%15.1%15.3%18.2%

119701148475429189

38.2%45.4%25.9%41.1%43.2%41.7%42.6%41.6%

21122281048915181432

40.1%40.4%38.4%39.8%34.2%43.2%42.1%40.2%

221198121007115680418


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

26.9%24.2%11.0%17.4%33.3%17.2%19.6%19.9%16.8%15.6%9.7%

1027614777446321983

29.3%44.9%39.6%41.8%23.9%49.3%43.0%40.0%27.4%24.7%21.6%

11502035252111026431136

43.7%30.9%49.4%40.8%42.9%33.5%37.3%40.1%55.8%59.7%68.8%

16342534391438865633218


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

15.9%24.9%22.2%40.6%19.4%19.4%

11110369618

43.6%33.9%33.3%32.7%39.3%47.0%

302145371145

40.5%41.2%44.5%26.7%41.3%33.6%

281177161232


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

25.5%16.6%22.9%12.7%20.9%28.5%30.5%37.9%20.1%13.5%16.7%

4111912791952210

47.1%44.5%41.5%40.4%24.5%30.8%26.9%54.8%41.9%19.8%42.0%

729817388101774324

27.3%38.9%35.7%46.9%54.6%40.8%42.5%7.3%38.0%66.7%41.3%

4261144418132613924




Constituency


302829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency


2622252327262527292936


(c…



Constituency


232627252723292127252824


(c…


Constituency


21262925273428


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

12.7%27.3%26.2%18.0%11.1%16.5%19.1%20.7%36.1%26.9%18.2%

4885344676189

36.0%39.9%20.3%54.7%29.3%67.9%37.3%18.2%44.5%52.3%41.6%

111161571685911432

51.2%32.8%53.5%27.3%59.6%15.5%43.6%61.1%19.5%20.7%40.2%

159157154101744418


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

25.6%16.7%13.7%4.5%20.8%6.5%21.8%27.1%16.8%19.8%22.2%

74316257568

59.5%31.8%34.3%53.8%29.0%50.3%19.3%28.2%22.7%32.7%40.6%

157912813587914

14.9%51.4%52.0%41.7%50.3%43.2%58.9%44.7%60.5%47.5%37.2%

41113913111512181413


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

20.4%18.4%21.5%19.1%13.3%21.7%13.8%8.2%7.2%13.0%25.7%11.8%

556545422373

59.8%46.5%42.8%35.5%51.8%52.7%61.6%24.7%51.7%49.4%40.2%51.8%

1412119141218514121112

19.8%35.2%35.7%45.4%35.0%25.7%24.6%67.1%41.1%37.6%34.1%36.4%

59101196714119109


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

22.8%15.3%9.2%24.6%7.0%26.0%16.7%

5436295

50.4%39.9%55.1%37.9%57.0%38.6%25.3%

111016915137

26.8%44.8%35.7%37.5%36.0%35.4%57.9%

612109101216



GenderSEG


551489302522063611911040

Q7. Does this make you feel?

(c…




Association


TenureAge


3611151842214292361611135327


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



69440160212995


(c…


vote



1467041943333621291358


(c…



GenderSEG

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

62.4%54.3%71.0%65.8%52.7%55.8%58.8%58.6%

34426521166109201112609

19.3%21.4%9.6%13.4%20.1%24.2%23.8%20.3%

106105334418745211

18.3%24.3%19.3%20.8%27.3%20.0%17.4%21.1%

101119652567233220


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

79.0%53.5%77.7%57.2%85.5%51.5%54.3%64.9%66.8%71.8%90.6%

28604048218221128105763824

10.3%16.4%11.1%21.8%4.9%21.3%24.7%21.3%15.5%15.7%.0%

418618319158341880

10.7%30.1%11.2%21.0%9.6%27.2%21.1%13.8%17.7%12.5%9.4%

4336177211750222073


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

59.5%47.7%60.8%42.3%57.1%57.0%

413199791754

20.6%25.8%13.4%53.8%20.0%19.9%

143102212619

19.9%26.5%25.8%3.9%22.9%23.1%

13811411722


(c…


vote


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

61.8%52.7%65.5%61.3%67.5%63.3%73.5%86.2%79.9%80.0%78.8%

935327582321461171146

26.1%21.1%22.0%17.3%18.8%25.1%17.0%6.5%20.1%20.0%18.1%

4141916681112311

12.1%26.2%12.6%21.4%13.7%11.7%9.5%7.3%.0%.0%3.1%

21765205461002




Constituency


302829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency


2622252327262527292936


(c…



Constituency


232627252723292127252824


(c…


Constituency


21262925273428


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

57.5%63.5%59.4%62.4%68.5%60.0%65.8%69.1%74.1%40.4%58.6%

1718171717141519159609

23.5%19.7%21.8%30.8%11.3%23.5%4.0%16.9%12.8%29.9%20.3%

7568361536211

18.9%16.8%18.8%6.8%20.2%16.5%30.3%14.0%13.2%29.7%21.1%

6552547436220


(c…





Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

46.2%73.9%68.0%75.5%70.1%77.5%64.6%65.9%69.6%50.9%48.7%

1216171719201618201517

27.8%17.5%11.1%12.1%13.9%3.4%12.2%23.7%10.2%17.0%26.9%

743341363510

26.0%8.7%20.9%12.4%16.0%19.1%23.2%10.5%20.2%32.1%24.4%

72534563699


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

39.7%57.3%55.9%51.9%50.8%51.4%46.4%42.8%61.9%61.7%49.6%58.6%

9151513141213917151414

24.6%29.0%23.4%24.8%13.8%33.3%26.7%25.0%20.8%16.5%17.2%7.3%

676648856452

35.7%13.7%20.7%23.4%35.4%15.3%26.9%32.2%17.3%21.8%33.2%34.1%

8466104875598


(c…


Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

64.7%61.0%45.2%53.6%43.4%59.5%63.6%

14161313122018

27.1%23.6%34.8%25.1%39.2%15.6%10.2%

661061053

8.2%15.4%20.0%21.3%17.4%25.0%26.2%

2465587



GenderSEG


551489302522063611911040

Q8. Do you think you will ever see the Conservatives be part of the Assembly Government in your lifetime?

(c…




Association


TenureAge


3611151842214292361611135327


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



69440160212995


(c…


vote



1467041943333621291358


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

19.7%9.1%22.7%15.9%15.1%14.1%12.5%14.7%

10844740315124153

54.4%66.7%55.1%62.0%61.9%59.6%58.0%60.2%

30032617156128215111626

25.9%24.2%22.2%22.1%23.0%26.3%29.5%25.1%

143118756479556261


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

21.6%18.4%12.1%14.1%9.7%11.5%15.9%16.1%19.9%18.7%20.2%

8206118249382623105

65.0%66.8%57.1%59.3%66.9%69.0%62.6%49.9%50.1%38.1%42.0%

2374294991429614881572011

13.4%14.8%30.8%26.6%23.4%19.5%21.5%34.0%29.9%43.2%37.8%

516162245845155342310


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

14.8%8.8%16.0%12.1%18.7%13.6%

1024263513

59.0%58.0%64.5%61.9%51.7%64.6%

41023104131561

26.2%33.1%19.4%26.0%29.6%21.8%

18213316921


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

14.1%12.1%14.7%5.4%26.3%44.9%13.6%29.3%43.0%13.5%30.3%

28165915844218

54.1%64.4%62.8%62.6%27.5%33.3%54.7%63.5%47.4%67.3%47.8%

843125599113484928

31.7%23.6%22.5%32.0%46.2%21.8%31.8%7.3%9.6%19.2%21.9%

51589301572011313




Constituency


302829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency


2622252327262527292936


(c…



Constituency


232627252723292127252824


(c…


Constituency


21262925273428


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

21.7%16.8%12.8%23.1%11.1%.0%14.0%22.6%17.6%5.7%14.7%

7546303631153

42.5%67.2%51.4%53.2%72.0%87.7%68.8%38.2%49.3%67.0%60.2%

13191514182115111014626

35.9%16.0%35.8%23.7%16.9%12.3%17.3%39.1%33.0%27.4%25.1%

1141064341176261


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

7.1%16.1%6.2%8.9%29.9%8.9%22.5%27.0%31.9%15.3%7.9%

23228267943

72.8%36.5%81.2%71.6%24.3%64.8%58.1%58.9%49.8%55.3%50.3%

19820167171516151618

20.1%47.5%12.6%19.5%45.7%26.3%19.4%14.1%18.3%29.4%41.8%

51034127545815


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

.0%11.3%21.0%7.4%14.2%16.7%23.6%17.1%14.7%12.4%19.9%3.9%

036244744361

100.0%57.3%63.8%62.5%61.2%60.5%49.3%48.7%57.6%67.1%62.1%81.0%

231517161714141015171819

.0%31.4%15.2%30.1%24.6%22.9%27.1%34.1%27.7%20.5%18.0%15.2%

084875877554


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

5.0%28.8%10.2%13.4%3.3%14.4%12.4%

1733153

81.9%55.6%57.4%71.3%64.5%70.6%37.7%

17141718172410

13.2%15.6%32.5%15.3%32.2%15.0%49.8%

34949514



GenderSEG


551489302522063611911040


(c…




Association


TenureAge


3611151842214292361611135327


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



69440160212995


(c…


vote



1467041943333621291358


(c…



GenderSEG

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

59.2%49.2%66.8%59.8%49.2%53.5%53.0%54.5%

32624020151101193101566

18.4%17.3%20.1%14.8%16.9%20.7%17.5%17.9%

10285637357533186

22.4%33.5%13.1%25.3%33.9%25.9%29.4%27.6%

123164464709356287


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

72.5%44.1%56.5%54.9%66.4%47.7%48.1%60.4%64.0%81.3%80.5%

2649294621420411397734322

13.7%16.9%17.6%18.3%19.6%21.9%17.5%13.9%18.8%6.0%.0%

519915449441222130

13.8%39.0%25.9%26.8%14.0%30.4%34.4%25.6%17.2%12.7%19.5%

54313226313081412075


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

55.3%42.0%58.8%50.8%49.4%48.8%

3831794111446

19.7%9.0%13.3%12.1%16.7%18.4%

1364213517

25.1%49.0%27.9%37.1%33.8%32.7%

174204581031


(c…


vote


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

50.2%47.7%68.3%52.6%72.4%71.9%70.9%84.1%79.9%93.4%70.0%

731928502424441071241

37.7%19.1%13.4%16.4%10.4%16.1%15.6%15.9%20.1%.0%16.8%

5128515351022010

12.1%33.2%18.3%31.0%17.2%12.0%13.4%.0%.0%6.6%13.2%

22227296480018




Constituency


302829272524222820221040


(c…






Constituency


2622252327262527292936


(c…



Constituency


232627252723292127252824


(c…


Constituency


21262925273428


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

50.6%67.0%58.0%50.6%66.1%31.1%47.9%72.2%60.5%40.2%54.5%

151917141671120129566

14.9%2.9%19.7%27.4%19.2%20.0%16.4%6.9%8.6%22.0%17.9%

4167554225186

34.6%30.1%22.3%22.1%14.7%48.9%35.7%20.9%30.9%37.8%27.6%

108664128668287


(c…





Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

42.3%73.9%30.7%42.7%67.6%55.8%60.4%76.0%74.8%41.3%60.2%

111681018141521221221

17.5%12.3%27.4%24.0%3.3%11.2%8.5%6.6%9.7%22.4%23.2%

43751322368

40.3%13.8%41.9%33.3%29.1%33.0%31.1%17.4%15.5%36.3%16.6%

10310888855106


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

48.1%40.6%65.3%45.8%55.4%58.9%62.6%56.6%55.0%61.6%39.1%56.0%

111017111514181215151113

21.0%25.5%10.5%13.6%13.8%21.0%14.7%17.2%20.9%15.9%23.7%23.6%

573345446476

30.9%33.9%24.2%40.6%30.8%20.1%22.7%26.2%24.2%22.5%37.2%20.4%

79610856666115


(c…


Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

54.2%37.2%51.6%40.2%50.6%58.5%60.4%

11101510132017

17.6%23.3%35.3%37.6%25.9%18.8%12.5%

46109763

28.2%39.6%13.1%22.2%23.5%22.7%27.1%

61046688



UNWEIGHTED TABULATIONS


GenderSEG



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


1.4%1.4%.0%2.6%2.3%.8%.5%1.4%

870653115

65.2%66.5%64.5%59.2%69.6%68.4%64.5%65.8%

36332720135151255129690

3.6%4.3%6.5%5.7%2.3%2.9%5.0%3.9%

20212135111041

8.1%10.0%6.5%11.8%6.0%9.4%8.5%9.0%

454922713351794

3.8%2.4%.0%2.2%2.8%3.5%4.5%3.1%

211205613933

3.4%2.8%3.2%3.1%5.1%1.3%4.5%3.1%

191417115933

7.7%3.9%9.7%9.2%2.8%5.9%5.0%5.9%

43193216221062

.7%1.0%3.2%.4%1.4%.5%1.0%.9%

45113229

1.1%.6%.0%.0%.0%1.3%2.0%.9%

63000549

.4%1.6%.0%.4%2.3%.5%1.0%1.0%

280152210

4.7%5.5%6.5%5.3%5.5%5.4%3.5%5.1%

26272121220753

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

557492312282173732001049


(c…

Welsh Assembly Election Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations


Age



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%2.8%.4%.0%1.0%.0%.0%

01310100

81.0%72.9%66.1%58.1%52.9%46.9%10.0%

173411689355151

9.5%3.2%5.1%4.4%3.8%.0%.0%

215137400

9.5%9.4%9.1%6.9%8.7%6.3%30.0%

2442311923

.0%1.9%2.4%6.3%5.8%3.1%10.0%

09610611

.0%1.9%3.1%5.0%5.8%6.3%.0%

0988620

.0%4.1%4.3%8.1%13.5%15.6%.0%

01911131450

.0%.0%1.6%1.3%1.0%.0%20.0%

0042102

.0%.0%2.0%1.3%1.0%3.1%.0%

0052110

.0%.6%.8%1.3%.0%3.1%20.0%

0322012

.0%3.2%5.1%7.5%6.7%15.6%10.0%

0151312751

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

214682541601043210


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


3.0%3.0%.0%1.2%

13011

57.6%69.7%44.1%66.5%

196915587

6.1%4.0%8.8%3.6%

24332

12.1%6.1%8.8%9.2%

46381

.0%1.0%5.9%3.4%

01230

3.0%2.0%11.8%2.9%

12426

9.1%8.1%8.8%5.4%

38348

.0%.0%2.9%.9%

0018

.0%.0%.0%1.0%

0009

3.0%.0%.0%1.0%

1009

6.1%6.1%8.8%4.8%

26342

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

339934883


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only




2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


1.4%2.4%1.3%.0%.0%1.9%

1012002

62.7%76.2%72.5%70.0%73.3%69.5%

43832111142273

4.0%2.4%5.9%.0%.0%2.9%

2819003

10.9%2.4%2.6%15.0%10.0%6.7%

7614337

3.7%.0%2.6%.0%3.3%1.9%

2604012

3.1%2.4%2.6%5.0%3.3%3.8%

2214114

5.7%7.1%7.2%.0%3.3%6.7%

40311017

1.0%.0%.0%5.0%.0%1.0%

700101

1.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.9%

700002

1.0%2.4%.7%.0%3.3%.0%

711010

5.4%4.8%4.6%5.0%3.3%3.8%

3827114

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

699421532030105


(c…



vote




2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

150000000000

.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0690000000000

.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

004100000000

.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000940000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000033000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000003300000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000620000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000009000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%.0%

00000000900

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%.0%

000000000100

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%100.0%

000000000053

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

156904194333362991053



Base: All respondents CaerphillyBridgendBrecon and


Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%.0%1.4%

0000001015

55.2%69.0%69.6%79.2%52.6%66.7%61.9%54.5%65.8%

1620161910181312690

3.4%6.9%4.3%4.2%15.8%.0%.0%4.5%3.9%

1211300141

17.2%10.3%8.7%8.3%10.5%11.1%4.8%18.2%9.0%

5322231494

.0%6.9%.0%.0%5.3%7.4%14.3%.0%3.1%

0200123033

3.4%3.4%4.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%9.1%3.1%

1110000233

6.9%.0%4.3%8.3%10.5%.0%9.5%9.1%5.9%

2012202262

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.5%.9%

000000019

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.7%.0%.0%.9%

000001009

6.9%.0%.0%.0%5.3%.0%.0%.0%1.0%

2000100010

6.9%3.4%8.7%.0%.0%11.1%4.8%.0%5.1%

2120031053

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

29292324192721221049


(c…


Clwyd SouthCeredigionCarmarthen



Cardiff WestCardiff South and PenarthCardiff NorthCardiff Central

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000

56.0%68.0%55.6%72.4%71.4%70.3%66.7%67.9%

1417152120262019

.0%4.0%7.4%3.4%3.6%.0%.0%3.6%

01211001

24.0%8.0%3.7%3.4%3.6%8.1%13.3%10.7%

62111343

4.0%12.0%11.1%3.4%7.1%.0%.0%7.1%

13312002

.0%.0%11.1%.0%3.6%2.7%3.3%3.6%

00301111

4.0%4.0%7.4%3.4%7.1%5.4%10.0%3.6%

11212231

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000

4.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

10000000

.0%.0%3.7%.0%.0%2.7%3.3%.0%

00100110

8.0%4.0%.0%13.8%3.6%10.8%3.3%3.6%

21041411

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2525272928373028


(c…


MontgomeryshireMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil

and RhymneyLlanelliIslwynGowerDwyfor MeirionnyddDelynCynon ValleyClwyd West

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%3.4%.0%3.4%.0%3.6%.0%.0%.0%7.4%

0101010002

65.2%69.0%80.0%62.1%66.7%60.7%65.0%68.0%65.2%63.0%

15202018161713171517

4.3%.0%8.0%6.9%8.3%10.7%10.0%.0%4.3%.0%

1022232010

4.3%3.4%4.0%10.3%12.5%17.9%15.0%12.0%13.0%7.4%

1113353332

.0%3.4%.0%.0%.0%3.6%.0%4.0%.0%.0%

0100010100

8.7%.0%.0%10.3%.0%.0%.0%12.0%13.0%11.1%

2003000333

4.3%6.9%8.0%6.9%4.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.7%

1222100001

4.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%.0%

1000001000

8.7%3.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.0%.0%.0%

2100000100

.0%3.4%.0%.0%.0%3.6%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100010000

.0%6.9%.0%.0%8.3%.0%5.0%.0%4.3%7.4%

0200201012

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

23292529242820252327


(c…


TorfaenSwansea WestSwansea EastRhonddaPreseli PembrokeshirePontypriddOgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeath

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


3.6%3.2%.0%4.2%.0%3.6%3.8%.0%4.2%3.6%

1101011011

60.7%64.5%74.1%66.7%80.0%67.9%65.4%78.6%54.2%39.3%

17202016201917221311

3.6%3.2%3.7%8.3%.0%7.1%.0%.0%8.3%3.6%

1112020021

7.1%6.5%11.1%8.3%4.0%3.6%.0%3.6%8.3%10.7%

2232110123

.0%3.2%7.4%8.3%.0%.0%3.8%3.6%.0%.0%

0122001100

.0%3.2%3.7%.0%.0%10.7%.0%.0%.0%3.6%

0110030001

3.6%9.7%.0%4.2%8.0%7.1%15.4%7.1%12.5%10.7%

1301224233

3.6%.0%.0%.0%4.0%.0%3.8%.0%4.2%7.1%

1000101012

.0%3.2%.0%.0%4.0%.0%.0%.0%4.2%.0%

0100100010

.0%3.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.6%.0%.0%

0100000100

17.9%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%7.7%3.6%4.2%21.4%

5000002116

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

28312724252826282428


(c…


Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of Clwyd

Constituency



2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9


Don't know


.0%4.0%.0%3.8%

0101

63.6%64.0%74.2%69.2%

14162318

4.5%4.0%3.2%.0%

1110

9.1%12.0%9.7%3.8%

2331

4.5%8.0%.0%.0%

1200

.0%.0%3.2%.0%

0010

13.6%4.0%3.2%11.5%

3113

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000

4.5%4.0%6.5%11.5%

1123

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

22253126




GenderSEG


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

10000101

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.3%.0%.1%

01000101

.2%.0%.0%.5%.0%.0%.0%.1%

10010001

38.4%26.5%32.1%29.3%29.2%35.2%36.4%32.8%

1961179615612067313

.0%.7%.0%.5%1.0%.0%.0%.3%

03012003

.4%1.1%3.6%.5%.5%.6%1.1%.7%

25111227

.8%1.1%.0%.5%.5%.9%2.2%.9%

45011349

8.4%11.3%3.6%9.1%9.9%12.6%6.0%9.8%

435011919431193

4.3%4.8%3.6%5.3%4.2%4.1%4.9%4.5%

2221111814943

11.5%12.4%10.7%5.8%8.9%14.1%18.5%12.0%

5955312174834114

30.5%35.3%28.6%41.8%40.6%26.4%26.6%32.7%

156156887789049312

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

51144228208192341184953


(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

0100000

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

38.1%33.0%31.0%31.7%39.4%28.0%20.0%

814471453771

.0%.0%.4%1.4%.0%.0%.0%

0012000

.0%.9%.4%.7%1.1%.0%.0%

0411100

.0%.0%.9%.7%4.3%8.0%.0%

0021420

4.8%7.1%11.8%12.0%11.7%20.0%20.0%

13127171151

.0%4.8%3.5%5.6%4.3%4.0%20.0%

02188411

14.3%13.0%14.0%10.6%4.3%4.0%40.0%

3573215412

23.8%35.7%31.9%31.7%27.7%28.0%.0%

515673452670

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2143722914294255


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

0001

.0%.0%.0%.1%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.1%

0001

27.6%18.9%30.0%34.7%

8179279

.0%2.2%.0%.1%

0201

.0%.0%.0%.9%

0007

.0%.0%.0%1.1%

0009

3.4%11.1%6.7%10.0%

110280

3.4%3.3%10.0%4.5%

13336

17.2%3.3%13.3%12.7%

534102

31.0%58.9%30.0%30.0%

9539241

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

299030804


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

001000

.0%.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%

001000

.0%.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%

001000

35.1%28.9%26.6%16.7%28.6%33.3%

22111383832

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

.8%2.6%.0%5.6%.0%.0%

510100

.5%5.3%1.4%5.6%3.6%.0%

322110

5.4%10.5%34.3%5.6%.0%5.2%

34449105

4.8%5.3%4.2%11.1%.0%3.1%

3026203

13.3%10.5%4.9%11.1%17.9%12.5%

84472512

33.8%28.9%21.0%38.9%35.7%42.7%

213113071041

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

63038143182896


(c…





Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Other

100000

.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.0%.0%1.1%.0%.0%.0%

001000

30.9%41.5%33.0%33.3%39.4%45.2%

2131731111328

.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.6%

200001

.6%.0%2.1%3.0%.0%.0%

402100

1.0%.0%1.1%3.0%.0%.0%

701100

10.1%12.2%7.4%9.1%6.1%9.7%

7057326

4.2%9.8%6.4%.0%6.1%3.2%

2946022

10.9%9.8%19.1%21.2%6.1%12.9%

75418728

35.5%22.0%23.4%24.2%39.4%24.2%

24592281315

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

6904194333362


(c…



GenderSEG

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.3%.0%.1%

01000101

5.3%6.3%17.9%6.7%5.2%5.3%4.3%5.8%

27285141018855

.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%.0%.1%


(c…


Age

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%1.1%.0%.0%

0000100

19.0%4.8%6.1%5.6%6.4%8.0%.0%

421148620

.0%.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%3.3%.0%

0010

17.2%2.2%6.7%5.7%

52246

.0%.0%.0%.1%


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%2.6%.0%.0%.0%.0%

010000

5.9%5.3%5.6%5.6%14.3%3.1%

3728143

.0%.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%


(c…



Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%1.1%.0%.0%.0%

001000

6.2%4.9%5.3%6.1%3.0%3.2%

4325212

.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%




Constituency


Labour

Conservative

6106201412114

28.6%22.2%36.0%25.0%19.0%50.0%16.7%21.7%26.3%57.1%32.7%

869741235512312

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

28272528212418231921953


(c…






Constituency


Labour

Conservative

23217521245

50.0%5.6%58.3%36.4%8.7%22.7%12.5%23.1%8.0%33.3%34.4%

13114825362911

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2618242223222426252732


(c…



Constituency


Labour

Conservative

064211437210

43.5%34.8%40.7%40.9%42.3%40.0%31.6%5.0%37.5%48.0%46.4%31.8%

10811911861912137

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

232327222620192024252822


(c…


Constituency


Labour

Conservative

4483322

19.0%39.1%27.6%59.1%33.3%39.3%37.0%

4981371110

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21232922212827


(c…




Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%.1%

00000000011

7.1%7.4%4.0%17.9%.0%4.2%5.6%13.0%5.3%9.5%5.8%

221501131255

.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00001000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.6%.0%.0%.0%.1%

00000010001

32.1%40.7%44.0%35.7%42.9%33.3%33.3%34.8%42.1%14.3%32.8%

9111110986883313

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

00000100003

.0%.0%4.0%.0%.0%4.2%5.6%4.3%5.3%.0%.7%

00100111107

.0%3.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.9%

01000000009

10.7%3.7%12.0%.0%9.5%4.2%22.2%4.3%5.3%.0%9.8%

313021411093

.0%18.5%.0%.0%14.3%.0%5.6%4.3%10.5%4.8%4.5%

050030112143

21.4%3.7%.0%21.4%9.5%.0%5.6%17.4%5.3%9.5%12.0%


(c…






Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

3.8%.0%4.2%4.5%.0%4.5%4.2%.0%8.0%7.4%9.4%

10110110223

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.1%

00000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

26.9%27.8%20.8%50.0%30.4%27.3%25.0%50.0%36.0%25.9%25.0%

7551176613978

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.5%4.2%.0%.0%3.7%6.3%

00000110012

11.5%44.4%8.3%.0%26.1%13.6%20.8%19.2%40.0%14.8%3.1%

382063551041

.0%5.6%.0%4.5%4.3%4.5%25.0%3.8%.0%.0%3.1%

01011161001

7.7%16.7%8.3%4.5%30.4%22.7%8.3%3.8%8.0%14.8%15.6%


(c…




Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%3.7%.0%11.5%10.0%5.3%.0%.0%8.0%17.9%4.5%

001032100251

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000000000

39.1%30.4%29.6%31.8%34.6%25.0%31.6%60.0%20.8%28.0%25.0%40.9%

9787956125779

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000000100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000001010000

.0%.0%.0%4.5%3.8%.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

000110010000

13.0%4.3%3.7%13.6%.0%.0%5.3%5.0%4.2%4.0%7.1%18.2%

311300111124

4.3%4.3%7.4%.0%3.8%15.0%.0%5.0%8.3%4.0%.0%4.5%

112013012101

.0%26.1%14.8%9.1%3.8%5.0%21.1%15.0%29.2%8.0%3.6%.0%


(c…



Constituency

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Don’t know


Plaid or Labour

Plaid or lib dem

Refused


Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

4.8%.0%10.3%.0%9.5%7.1%7.4%

1030222

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

38.1%34.8%31.0%18.2%38.1%32.1%33.3%

8894899

.0%4.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000

19.0%.0%.0%9.1%4.8%7.1%11.1%

4002123

.0%4.3%3.4%.0%.0%7.1%3.7%

0110021

19.0%17.4%27.6%13.6%14.3%7.1%7.4%






GenderSEG


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

1.5%3.4%.0%3.3%.0%1.7%4.5%2.2%

34020237

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.5%.3%

10000011

.5%.0%.0%.0%1.8%.0%.0%.3%

10001001

.0%.9%.0%.0%1.8%.0%.0%.3%

01001001

43.4%41.9%55.6%49.2%41.1%40.8%40.3%42.8%

8549530234927134

.0%2.6%.0%1.6%1.8%.0%1.5%1.0%

03011013

11.2%8.5%11.1%11.5%10.7%9.2%10.4%10.2%

221017611732

4.1%4.3%.0%1.6%5.4%6.7%1.5%4.2%

850138113

15.3%12.0%11.1%6.6%10.7%18.3%16.4%14.1%

3014146221144

23.5%26.5%22.2%26.2%26.8%23.3%23.9%24.6%

463121615281677

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1961179615612067313


(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%2.1%2.8%4.4%.0%.0%.0%

0322000

.0%.0%1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010000

.0%.0%1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010000

.0%.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000

62.5%44.4%40.8%37.8%48.6%14.3%.0%

56429171810

.0%1.4%1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0210000

12.5%10.4%9.9%11.1%10.8%.0%.0%

11575400

.0%3.5%4.2%4.4%5.4%14.3%.0%

0532210

25.0%14.6%15.5%6.7%10.8%28.6%100.0%

221113421

.0%22.9%22.5%35.6%24.3%42.9%.0%

0331616930

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

814471453771


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%.0%2.5%

0007

.0%.0%.0%.4%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.4%

0001

.0%.0%.0%.4%

0001

50.0%52.9%55.6%41.6%

495116

.0%.0%.0%1.1%

0003

12.5%23.5%11.1%9.3%

14126

.0%.0%11.1%4.3%

00112

25.0%.0%11.1%14.7%

20141

12.5%23.5%11.1%25.4%

14171

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

8179279


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

3.2%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

700000

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%3.1%

000001

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

43.9%36.4%44.7%33.3%37.5%37.5%

974171312

1.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

7.7%27.3%21.1%33.3%12.5%6.3%

1738112

4.5%.0%5.3%.0%12.5%.0%

1002010

15.4%9.1%10.5%.0%12.5%12.5%

3414014

23.1%27.3%18.4%33.3%25.0%40.6%

51371213

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

22111383832


(c…





Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

2.3%.0%3.2%.0%.0%3.6%

501001

.0%.0%3.2%.0%.0%.0%

001000

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

100000

39.4%29.4%38.7%63.6%61.5%64.3%

845127818

.9%.0%3.2%.0%.0%.0%

201000

11.3%11.8%12.9%.0%7.7%3.6%

2424011

4.2%5.9%6.5%9.1%.0%.0%

912100

14.6%17.6%22.6%18.2%.0%3.6%

3137201

26.3%35.3%9.7%9.1%30.8%25.0%

5663147

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2131731111328







Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

9.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.2%

1000000007

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.3%

0000000001

45.5%27.3%70.0%55.6%62.5%66.7%62.5%25.0%33.3%42.8%

537554521134

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%12.5%.0%.0%1.0%

0000001003

9.1%36.4%10.0%11.1%.0%.0%12.5%12.5%.0%10.2%

14110011032

18.2%.0%.0%22.2%.0%.0%.0%12.5%.0%4.2%

20020001013

9.1%9.1%.0%.0%37.5%.0%12.5%25.0%33.3%14.1%

11003012144

9.1%27.3%20.0%11.1%.0%33.3%.0%25.0%33.3%24.6%

13210202177

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

111110986883313


(c…






Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%11.1%

0000001001

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

20.0%27.3%28.6%66.7%16.7%61.5%22.2%42.9%75.0%55.6%

1324182365

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%

0000000001

.0%.0%14.3%.0%16.7%.0%55.6%28.6%.0%.0%

0010105200

.0%.0%14.3%.0%16.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010100000

60.0%18.2%14.3%16.7%16.7%15.4%.0%.0%12.5%11.1%

3211120011

20.0%54.5%28.6%16.7%33.3%23.1%11.1%28.6%12.5%11.1%

1621231211

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

511766139789


(c…




Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%11.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%

01000000100

.0%.0%20.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00100000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%20.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00100000000

42.9%22.2%60.0%33.3%58.3%20.0%28.6%42.9%11.1%28.6%.0%

32327123120

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00000000000

.0%.0%.0%16.7%8.3%.0%.0%28.6%11.1%.0%40.0%

00011002102

.0%.0%.0%.0%8.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%14.3%.0%

00001000010

.0%33.3%.0%16.7%25.0%20.0%28.6%.0%.0%28.6%40.0%

03013120022

57.1%33.3%.0%33.3%.0%60.0%42.9%28.6%66.7%28.6%20.0%

43020332621

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

795612577975


(c…




Constituency


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

UKIP

Don’t know

None

None of them

Socialist Labour

Undecided

Other

.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010010000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%

0000000100

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

37.5%12.5%66.7%50.0%75.0%55.6%44.4%11.1%42.9%62.5%

3162654135

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000010000

12.5%12.5%.0%25.0%.0%.0%33.3%11.1%.0%.0%

1101003100

.0%25.0%.0%.0%.0%11.1%.0%.0%14.3%.0%

0200010010

25.0%25.0%11.1%.0%12.5%.0%11.1%.0%14.3%12.5%

2210101011

25.0%25.0%11.1%25.0%12.5%11.1%11.1%66.7%28.6%25.0%

2211111622

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

8894899978




and who specified a

party


GenderSEG


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.5%1.6%.0%1.8%.0%1.8%2.7%1.6%

660305412

.0%.8%.0%.6%1.3%.0%.0%.4%

03012003

.5%2.2%5.6%1.2%1.3%.7%2.0%1.3%

281222310

1.0%1.4%.0%.6%.6%1.1%2.7%1.2%

45011349

16.3%16.5%11.1%15.9%15.9%19.7%12.1%16.4%

6560226255418125

7.5%7.1%5.6%7.3%7.0%8.0%6.7%7.3%

302611211221056

22.4%19.0%22.2%9.8%14.6%25.5%30.2%20.7%

8969416237045158

50.8%51.4%55.6%62.8%59.2%43.1%43.6%51.0%

202187101039311865389

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

39836418164157274149762


(c…



Age


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%1.7%1.6%1.7%1.4%.0%.0%

0632100

.0%.0%.5%1.7%.0%.0%.0%

0012000

.0%1.7%1.1%.9%1.4%.0%.0%

0621100

.0%.0%1.1%.9%5.7%9.1%.0%

0021420

16.7%13.1%18.4%18.8%21.4%22.7%20.0%

24634221551

.0%7.4%5.9%8.5%8.6%9.1%20.0%

0261110621

41.7%22.2%23.2%15.4%11.4%13.6%60.0%

5784318833

41.7%53.8%48.1%52.1%50.0%45.5%.0%

5189896135100

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1235118511770225


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure


Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%4.3%1.7%

00111

.0%2.5%.0%.2%

0201

.0%.0%.0%1.6%

00010

.0%.0%.0%1.4%

0009

10.0%17.7%13.0%16.6%

2143106

5.0%3.8%17.4%7.5%

13448

35.0%3.8%21.7%22.3%

735143

50.0%72.2%43.5%48.8%

105710312

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

207923640


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.6%3.1%2.5%.0%.0%.0%

813000

.6%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

300000

1.6%3.1%.0%6.3%.0%.0%

810100

.6%6.3%1.7%6.3%4.8%.0%

322110

10.3%21.9%48.3%12.5%4.8%8.8%

51757217

8.1%6.3%6.8%12.5%4.8%3.8%

4028213

23.8%15.6%9.3%12.5%28.6%20.0%

1185112616

53.3%43.8%31.4%50.0%57.1%67.5%

264143781254

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

49532118162180


(c…





Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

1.2%.0%5.2%.0%.0%2.4%

704001

.4%.0%.0%.0%.0%2.4%

200001

1.1%.0%3.9%4.2%.0%.0%

603100

1.2%.0%1.3%4.2%.0%.0%

701100

16.8%20.6%14.3%12.5%12.5%16.7%

94711337

6.8%14.7%10.4%4.2%8.3%4.8%

3858122

18.9%20.6%32.5%37.5%8.3%21.4%

106725929

53.7%44.1%32.5%37.5%70.8%52.4%

301152591722

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

5613477242442



and who specified a

party



Constituency


202116161813151618762


(c…






Constituency


100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

22182117221821222321


(c…



Constituency

Base: Those likely to vote and who specified a party 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1921141613232120202318


(c…



Constituency


17222020132121212021


(c…



and who specified a

party



Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

5.0%.0%.0%6.3%.0%7.7%.0%.0%5.6%1.6%

10010100112

.0%.0%.0%.0%5.6%.0%.0%.0%.0%.4%

0000100003

.0%4.8%.0%.0%5.6%7.7%13.3%6.3%.0%1.3%

01001121010

5.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%1.2%

1000000009

10.0%33.3%6.3%18.8%5.6%30.8%13.3%12.5%.0%16.4%

271314220125

35.0%.0%.0%31.3%.0%7.7%6.7%18.8%5.6%7.3%

70050113156

10.0%4.8%37.5%12.5%16.7%7.7%33.3%18.8%16.7%20.7%

216231533158

35.0%57.1%56.3%31.3%66.7%38.5%33.3%43.8%72.2%51.0%

712951255713389


(c…






Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%.0%4.3%4.8%

0000001011

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%

0000000001

.0%.0%.0%5.9%4.5%.0%.0%4.5%8.7%.0%

0001100120

9.1%.0%33.3%17.6%27.3%27.8%71.4%27.3%4.3%14.3%

20736515613

.0%5.6%9.5%5.9%31.8%5.6%.0%.0%4.3%.0%

0121710010

22.7%16.7%38.1%35.3%13.6%16.7%9.5%18.2%26.1%33.3%

5386332467

68.2%77.8%19.0%35.3%22.7%50.0%14.3%50.0%52.2%42.9%

15144659311129


(c…




Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%4.8%7.1%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%

01100000100

.0%.0%.0%6.3%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00010000000

.0%.0%7.1%.0%7.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

00101000000

5.3%4.8%.0%.0%7.7%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

11001000000

15.8%.0%.0%12.5%15.4%4.3%4.8%20.0%25.0%13.0%55.6%

300221145310

.0%4.8%21.4%.0%15.4%8.7%4.8%.0%5.0%4.3%5.6%

01302210111

10.5%19.0%7.1%31.3%46.2%34.8%19.0%5.0%.0%17.4%27.8%

24156841045

68.4%66.7%57.1%50.0%7.7%52.2%71.4%75.0%65.0%65.2%11.1%

131488112151513152


(c…




Constituency

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Plaid Cymru

Green

UKIP

BNP

Other

.0%.0%5.0%.0%.0%4.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0010010000

.0%4.5%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0100000000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%4.8%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000010000

.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%.0%

0000000000

29.4%4.5%.0%15.0%7.7%9.5%28.6%19.0%5.0%4.8%

5103126411

.0%13.6%5.0%.0%.0%14.3%4.8%4.8%10.0%9.5%

0310031122

35.3%27.3%45.0%15.0%30.8%9.5%14.3%.0%35.0%23.8%

6693423075

35.3%50.0%45.0%70.0%61.5%57.1%52.4%76.2%50.0%61.9%

61191481211161013



GenderSEG



8682259384326168

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

557492312282173732001049


(c…



Age



27140271882

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

214682541601043210


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure



4226136

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

339934883


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only




1227152517

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

699421532030105


(c…



vote




21185103984027

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

156904194333362991053


(c…


GenderSEG







31.2%22.0%61.3%25.4%27.6%23.9%28.0%26.9%

1741081958608956282

11.8%13.0%.0%8.8%9.2%16.1%15.0%12.4%

6664020206030130

7.4%7.3%3.2%5.3%6.9%8.8%8.0%7.3%

413611215331677

9.5%7.3%3.2%7.0%8.8%9.7%8.5%8.5%

533611619361789

24.6%33.7%25.8%27.6%30.0%30.0%27.5%28.9%

1371668636511255303

15.4%16.7%6.5%25.9%17.5%11.5%13.0%16.0%


(c…



Age







52.4%28.0%28.0%24.4%18.3%28.1%20.0%

1113171391992

.0%10.9%12.6%15.0%17.3%6.3%30.0%

05132241823

9.5%9.8%4.7%2.5%8.7%6.3%20.0%

246124922

9.5%7.9%7.1%11.9%10.6%6.3%.0%

23718191120

19.0%28.2%31.9%29.4%27.9%28.1%10.0%

413281472991

9.5%15.2%15.7%16.9%17.3%25.0%20.0%


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure







48.5%26.3%26.5%26.2%

16269231

3.0%5.1%14.7%13.5%

155119

6.1%4.0%8.8%7.7%

24368

3.0%6.1%11.8%8.8%

16478

27.3%36.4%20.6%28.4%

9367251

12.1%22.2%17.6%15.4%


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only








28.8%31.0%20.3%15.0%23.3%25.7%

20113313727

12.3%14.3%15.0%10.0%16.7%7.6%

86623258

8.0%7.1%4.6%10.0%3.3%7.6%

5637218

9.4%.0%6.5%20.0%13.3%4.8%

66010445

24.0%31.0%43.8%35.0%26.7%38.1%

16813677840

17.5%16.7%9.8%10.0%16.7%16.2%


(c…



vote








40.0%23.2%26.8%25.5%24.2%21.2%38.7%11.1%77.8%40.0%56.6%

61601124872417430

6.7%10.9%12.2%23.4%15.2%9.1%19.4%.0%.0%10.0%11.3%

17552253120016

20.0%6.5%12.2%7.4%12.1%9.1%1.6%33.3%11.1%20.0%5.7%

345574313123

.0%8.8%7.3%11.7%9.1%12.1%8.1%.0%.0%10.0%1.9%

0613113450011

20.0%33.5%29.3%21.3%30.3%21.2%19.4%11.1%11.1%.0%11.3%

32311220107121106

13.3%17.1%12.2%10.6%9.1%27.3%12.9%44.4%.0%20.0%13.2%




Constituency






32422251177

25.0%6.9%6.9%17.4%4.2%5.3%.0%14.3%9.1%8.5%

72241103289

14.3%27.6%10.3%26.1%37.5%26.3%37.0%14.3%27.3%28.9%

4836951036303

14.3%10.3%17.2%17.4%16.7%21.1%.0%9.5%27.3%16.0%

435444026168

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency






2120121113

8.0%4.3%7.4%8.0%16.0%.0%.0%7.1%8.1%23.3%

2122400237

40.0%34.8%25.9%32.0%36.0%29.6%44.8%42.9%16.2%16.7%

1087898131265

16.0%26.1%3.7%16.0%4.0%18.5%6.9%10.7%10.8%3.3%

4614152341

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

25232725252729283730


(c…



Constituency






24122030023

3.8%7.1%12.5%10.7%17.4%10.3%4.0%3.4%8.3%10.7%10.0%

12334311232

46.2%35.7%29.2%28.6%26.1%17.2%28.0%24.1%41.7%32.1%40.0%

12107865771098

15.4%14.3%20.8%17.9%8.7%20.7%40.0%37.9%20.8%28.6%5.0%

4455261011581

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2628242823292529242820


(c…




Constituency






3220712032

4.5%4.0%3.2%3.8%7.1%16.1%11.1%.0%12.0%7.1%

1111253032

31.8%24.0%12.9%23.1%14.3%32.3%44.4%29.2%32.0%35.7%

7646410127810

9.1%20.0%3.2%26.9%10.7%6.5%11.1%58.3%4.0%21.4%

25173231416

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

22253126283127242528


(c…



Constituency




32.1%41.4%31.0%21.7%29.2%31.6%29.6%33.3%22.7%26.9%

9129576875282

3.6%6.9%20.7%8.7%4.2%5.3%14.8%23.8%9.1%12.4%

126211452130

10.7%6.9%13.8%8.7%8.3%10.5%18.5%4.8%4.5%7.3%


(c…






Constituency




16.0%21.7%33.3%16.0%28.0%25.9%27.6%32.1%43.2%30.0%

45947789169

12.0%8.7%22.2%28.0%12.0%18.5%17.2%3.6%18.9%16.7%

3267355175

8.0%4.3%7.4%.0%4.0%7.4%3.4%3.6%2.7%10.0%


(c…



Constituency




19.2%28.6%25.0%17.9%26.1%41.4%8.0%27.6%16.7%17.9%30.0%

586561228456

7.7%.0%8.3%17.9%13.0%10.3%8.0%6.9%12.5%3.6%.0%

20253322310

7.7%14.3%4.2%7.1%8.7%.0%12.0%.0%.0%7.1%15.0%


(c…



Constituency




31.8%36.0%45.2%23.1%28.6%25.8%14.8%8.3%28.0%14.3%

79146884274

9.1%8.0%29.0%23.1%14.3%16.1%11.1%4.2%12.0%14.3%

2296453134

13.6%8.0%6.5%.0%25.0%3.2%7.4%.0%12.0%7.1%




GenderSEG


Yes

No

Don't know

16.9%8.9%29.0%15.4%13.4%11.5%11.0%13.2%

9444935294322138

26.0%37.6%22.6%18.9%23.5%35.4%48.5%31.5%

1451857435113297330

57.1%53.5%48.4%65.8%63.1%53.1%40.5%55.4%

3182631515013719881581

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

557492312282173732001049


(c…



Association


TenureAge


Yes

No

Don't know

24.2%12.1%14.7%12.8%14.3%13.7%13.8%15.0%9.6%3.1%10.0%

812511336435241011

36.4%15.2%14.7%33.7%42.9%31.6%30.3%31.9%32.7%21.9%40.0%

12155298914877513474

39.4%72.7%70.6%53.5%42.9%54.7%55.9%53.1%57.7%75.0%50.0%

13722447292561428560245

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

339934883214682541601043210


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Yes

No

Don't know

13.3%11.9%13.7%20.0%10.0%11.4%

935214312

35.1%21.4%26.1%25.0%26.7%21.9%

2459405823

51.6%66.7%60.1%55.0%63.3%66.7%

3612892111970

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

699421532030105


(c…


vote



Yes

No

Don't know

26.7%12.8%12.2%10.6%6.1%24.2%12.9%22.2%33.3%10.0%13.2%

4885102882317

26.7%30.3%29.3%45.7%36.4%21.2%24.2%33.3%22.2%50.0%34.0%

420912431271532518

46.7%57.0%58.5%43.6%57.6%54.5%62.9%44.4%44.4%40.0%52.8%

7393244119183944428

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

156904194333362991053





Constituency



(c…





Constituency



(c…



Constituency



(c…


Constituency



(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

13.3%14.3%13.8%6.9%8.7%12.5%15.8%18.5%9.5%18.2%13.2%

4442233524138

40.0%42.9%31.0%51.7%34.8%41.7%21.1%18.5%33.3%40.9%31.5%

12129158104579330

46.7%42.9%55.2%41.4%56.5%45.8%63.2%63.0%57.1%40.9%55.4%

1412161213111217129581

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…





Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

7.1%5.0%4.0%13.0%11.1%8.0%20.0%11.1%17.2%14.3%18.9%

21133253547

28.6%30.0%36.0%26.1%37.0%24.0%28.0%25.9%20.7%35.7%37.8%

86961067761014

64.3%65.0%60.0%60.9%51.9%68.0%52.0%63.0%62.1%50.0%43.2%

1813151414171317181416

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

12.5%16.0%17.9%7.7%7.1%25.0%14.3%17.4%10.3%4.0%13.8%16.7%

345226443144

25.0%32.0%39.3%19.2%32.1%20.8%32.1%43.5%24.1%20.0%24.1%33.3%

68115959107578

62.5%52.0%42.9%73.1%60.7%54.2%53.6%39.1%65.5%76.0%62.1%50.0%

15131219171315919191812

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…


Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

27.3%4.0%9.7%23.1%10.7%12.9%14.8%

6136344

22.7%32.0%45.2%23.1%42.9%29.0%22.2%

581461296

50.0%64.0%45.2%53.8%46.4%58.1%63.0%

11161414131817

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%



GenderSEG


557492312282173732001049


(c…




Association


TenureAge


339934883214682541601043210


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



699421532030105


(c…


vote



156904194333362991053


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

10.2%5.5%16.1%12.7%7.8%5.4%6.5%8.0%

572752917201384

31.4%45.1%38.7%23.2%27.2%43.4%55.5%37.8%

175222125359162111397

58.3%49.4%45.2%64.0%65.0%51.2%38.0%54.1%

3252431414614119176568


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

9.1%11.1%11.8%7.5%.0%7.9%10.2%9.4%2.9%9.4%.0%

3114660372615330

45.5%13.1%11.8%41.3%52.4%40.8%39.0%35.0%29.8%25.0%10.0%

151343651119199563181

45.5%75.8%76.5%51.2%47.6%51.3%50.8%55.6%67.3%65.6%90.0%

157526452102401298970219


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

6.9%16.7%7.2%20.0%6.7%11.4%

487114212

44.1%14.3%28.1%25.0%23.3%26.7%

3086435728

49.1%69.0%64.7%55.0%70.0%61.9%

3432999112165


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

26.7%7.8%7.3%3.2%6.1%3.0%16.1%11.1%22.2%.0%7.5%

4543321101204

26.7%38.3%39.0%50.0%27.3%27.3%24.2%44.4%55.6%60.0%34.0%

42641647991545618

46.7%53.9%53.7%46.8%66.7%69.7%59.7%44.4%22.2%40.0%58.5%

7372224422233742431




Constituency


302829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency


2820252327252527292837


(c…



Constituency


242528262824282329252924


(c…


Constituency


22253126283127


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

3.3%14.3%13.8%10.3%.0%8.3%5.3%11.1%9.5%9.1%8.0%

144302132284

36.7%46.4%31.0%62.1%39.1%37.5%26.3%33.3%38.1%40.9%37.8%

1113918995989397

60.0%39.3%55.2%27.6%60.9%54.2%68.4%55.6%52.4%50.0%54.1%

1811168141313151111568


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

.0%10.0%.0%4.3%14.8%4.0%12.0%.0%.0%3.6%10.8%

02014130014

35.7%20.0%48.0%30.4%25.9%28.0%36.0%37.0%34.5%35.7%48.6%

10412777910101018

64.3%70.0%52.0%65.2%59.3%68.0%52.0%63.0%65.5%60.7%40.5%

1814131516171317191715


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

12.5%8.0%10.7%11.5%14.3%20.8%10.7%8.7%3.4%.0%6.9%4.2%

323345321021

33.3%36.0%35.7%34.6%42.9%29.2%39.3%52.2%55.2%28.0%17.2%41.7%

891091271112167510

54.2%56.0%53.6%53.8%42.9%50.0%50.0%39.1%41.4%72.0%75.9%54.2%

13141514121214912182213


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

9.1%4.0%6.5%23.1%.0%9.7%11.1%

2126033

40.9%32.0%54.8%23.1%57.1%45.2%25.9%

9817616147

50.0%64.0%38.7%53.8%42.9%45.2%63.0%

11161214121417



GenderSEG


557492312282173732001049


(c…




Association


TenureAge


339934883214682541601043210


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



699421532030105


(c…


vote



156904194333362991053


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

22.1%14.2%35.5%20.2%23.0%15.3%14.5%18.4%

123701146505729193

39.0%46.7%25.8%42.5%43.8%42.6%44.0%42.6%

2172308979515988447

39.0%39.0%38.7%37.3%33.2%42.1%41.5%39.0%

21719212857215783409


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

30.3%24.2%11.8%17.6%33.3%17.3%19.7%19.4%17.3%15.6%10.0%

1024415578150311851

33.3%45.5%38.2%42.8%23.8%49.4%43.3%39.4%26.9%25.0%20.0%

1145133785231110632882

36.4%30.3%50.0%39.6%42.9%33.3%37.0%41.3%55.8%59.4%70.0%

1230173509156946658197


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

16.3%23.8%22.9%40.0%20.0%19.0%

11410358620

44.2%35.7%35.3%35.0%40.0%47.6%

309155471250

39.5%40.5%41.8%25.0%40.0%33.3%

276176451235


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

26.7%17.0%22.0%12.8%21.2%30.3%29.0%33.3%22.2%20.0%17.0%

4117912710183229

46.7%45.2%41.5%41.5%27.3%27.3%29.0%55.6%44.4%30.0%45.3%

73121739991854324

26.7%37.8%36.6%45.7%51.5%42.4%41.9%11.1%33.3%50.0%37.7%

4261154317142613520




Constituency


302829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency


2820252327252527292837


(c…



Constituency


242528262824282329252924


(c…


Constituency


22253126283127


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

13.3%28.6%27.6%17.2%13.0%16.7%21.1%22.2%33.3%27.3%18.4%

4885344676193

36.7%39.3%20.7%55.2%30.4%66.7%36.8%18.5%47.6%54.5%42.6%

1111616716751012447

50.0%32.1%51.7%27.6%56.5%16.7%42.1%59.3%19.0%18.2%39.0%

15915813481644409


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

25.0%10.0%12.0%4.3%22.2%8.0%20.0%29.6%17.2%21.4%21.6%

72316258568

60.7%35.0%36.0%56.5%29.6%52.0%20.0%29.6%24.1%35.7%40.5%

1779138135871015

14.3%55.0%52.0%39.1%48.1%40.0%60.0%40.7%58.6%42.9%37.8%

41113913101511171214


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

20.8%20.0%21.4%19.2%14.3%20.8%10.7%8.7%6.9%12.0%27.6%12.5%

556545322383

58.3%40.0%42.9%38.5%53.6%54.2%64.3%26.1%51.7%52.0%41.4%54.2%

14101210151318615131213

20.8%40.0%35.7%42.3%32.1%25.0%25.0%65.2%41.4%36.0%31.0%33.3%

51010119671512998


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

22.7%16.0%9.7%23.1%7.1%29.0%18.5%

5436295

50.0%40.0%54.8%38.5%57.1%38.7%25.9%

1110171016127

27.3%44.0%35.5%38.5%35.7%32.3%55.6%

6111110101015



GenderSEG


557492312282173732001049


(c…




Association


TenureAge


339934883214682541601043210


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



699421532030105


(c…


vote



156904194333362991053


(c…



GenderSEG

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

61.4%52.2%71.0%64.9%51.6%54.4%57.0%57.1%

34225722148112203114599

20.3%22.4%9.7%14.0%20.3%25.2%25.0%21.3%

113110332449450223

18.3%25.4%19.4%21.1%28.1%20.4%18.0%21.6%

102125648617636227


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

75.8%51.5%76.5%56.3%85.7%51.3%53.9%64.4%66.3%71.9%90.0%

2551264971824013710369239

12.1%16.2%11.8%22.5%4.8%21.8%25.2%21.9%15.4%15.6%.0%

4164199110264351650

12.1%32.3%11.8%21.2%9.5%26.9%20.9%13.8%18.3%12.5%10.0%

4324187212653221941


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

58.2%45.2%58.2%40.0%56.7%56.2%

407198981759

21.5%28.6%14.4%55.0%20.0%21.0%

150122211622

20.3%26.2%27.5%5.0%23.3%22.9%

14211421724


(c…


vote


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

60.0%51.9%65.9%59.6%63.6%63.6%72.6%77.8%77.8%70.0%77.4%

9358275621214577741

26.7%21.7%22.0%19.1%21.2%24.2%17.7%11.1%22.2%30.0%18.9%

4150918781112310

13.3%26.4%12.2%21.3%15.2%12.1%9.7%11.1%.0%.0%3.8%

21825205461002




Constituency


302829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency


2820252327252527292837


(c…



Constituency


242528262824282329252924


(c…


Constituency


22253126283127


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

56.7%64.3%58.6%62.1%69.6%58.3%57.9%66.7%71.4%36.4%57.1%

1718171816141118158599

23.3%17.9%24.1%31.0%13.0%25.0%5.3%18.5%14.3%31.8%21.3%

7579361537223

20.0%17.9%17.2%6.9%17.4%16.7%36.8%14.8%14.3%31.8%21.6%

6552447437227


(c…





Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

46.4%70.0%68.0%73.9%74.1%76.0%64.0%63.0%69.0%50.0%48.6%

1314171720191617201418

28.6%20.0%12.0%13.0%14.8%4.0%12.0%25.9%10.3%17.9%27.0%

843341373510

25.0%10.0%20.0%13.0%11.1%20.0%24.0%11.1%20.7%32.1%24.3%

72533563699


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

37.5%52.0%53.6%53.8%50.0%50.0%42.9%43.5%62.1%60.0%48.3%58.3%

91315141412121018151414

25.0%32.0%25.0%23.1%14.3%33.3%28.6%26.1%20.7%16.0%17.2%8.3%

687648866452

37.5%16.0%21.4%23.1%35.7%16.7%28.6%30.4%17.2%24.0%34.5%33.3%

94661048756108


(c…


Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

63.6%60.0%45.2%50.0%42.9%58.1%59.3%

14151413121816

27.3%24.0%35.5%26.9%39.3%16.1%11.1%

661171153

9.1%16.0%19.4%23.1%17.9%25.8%29.6%

2466588



GenderSEG


557492312282173732001049


(c…




Association


TenureAge


339934883214682541601043210


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



699421532030105


(c…


vote



156904194333362991053


(c…



GenderSEG

Yes

No

Don't know

19.2%8.7%22.6%15.4%14.7%13.9%12.0%14.3%

10743735325224150

55.3%67.9%54.8%63.6%62.7%60.3%59.5%61.2%

30833417145136225119642

25.5%23.4%22.6%21.1%22.6%25.7%28.5%24.5%

142115748499657257


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Yes

No

Don't know

18.2%17.2%14.7%13.8%9.5%11.3%15.7%16.3%20.2%18.8%20.0%

617512225340262162

66.7%68.7%55.9%60.4%66.7%68.8%62.6%49.4%50.0%37.5%40.0%

226819533143221597952124

15.2%14.1%29.4%25.8%23.8%19.9%21.7%34.4%29.8%43.8%40.0%

51410228593555531144


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Yes

No

Don't know

14.6%9.5%15.7%5.0%20.0%12.4%

1024241613

59.9%59.5%66.0%65.0%50.0%65.7%

41925101131569

25.5%31.0%18.3%30.0%30.0%21.9%

17813286923


(c…


vote


Yes

No

Don't know

13.3%12.0%14.6%5.3%27.3%45.5%14.5%22.2%44.4%20.0%24.5%

28365915924213

53.3%64.9%63.4%63.8%30.3%33.3%56.5%66.7%44.4%60.0%52.8%

8448266010113564628

33.3%23.0%22.0%30.9%42.4%21.2%29.0%11.1%11.1%20.0%22.6%

51599291471811212




Constituency


302829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency


2820252327252527292837


(c…



Constituency


242528262824282329252924


(c…


Constituency


22253126283127


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

16.7%17.9%13.8%24.1%13.0%.0%15.8%22.2%19.0%4.5%14.3%

5547303641150

46.7%67.9%51.7%51.7%73.9%87.5%63.2%40.7%52.4%68.2%61.2%

14191515172112111115642

36.7%14.3%34.5%24.1%13.0%12.5%21.1%37.0%28.6%27.3%24.5%

1141073341066257


(c…





Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

7.1%10.0%4.0%8.7%29.6%8.0%24.0%29.6%31.0%14.3%8.1%

22128268943

71.4%40.0%84.0%73.9%25.9%68.0%56.0%55.6%51.7%57.1%51.4%

20821177171415151619

21.4%50.0%12.0%17.4%44.4%24.0%20.0%14.8%17.2%28.6%40.5%

61034126545815


(c…




Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

.0%12.0%21.4%7.7%14.3%16.7%17.9%17.4%13.8%12.0%20.7%4.2%

036244544361

100.0%52.0%64.3%61.5%64.3%62.5%53.6%47.8%58.6%68.0%65.5%83.3%

241318161815151117171920

.0%36.0%14.3%30.8%21.4%20.8%28.6%34.8%27.6%20.0%13.8%12.5%

094865888543


(c…


Constituency

Yes

No

Don't know

4.5%28.0%9.7%11.5%3.6%16.1%11.1%

1733153

81.8%56.0%58.1%73.1%64.3%71.0%40.7%

18141819182211

13.6%16.0%32.3%15.4%32.1%12.9%48.1%

341049413



GenderSEG


557492312282173732001049


(c…




Association


TenureAge


339934883214682541601043210


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



699421532030105


(c…


vote



156904194333362991053


(c…



GenderSEG

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

58.3%47.4%67.7%58.8%47.9%52.3%52.0%53.2%

32523321134104195104558

18.9%18.3%19.4%15.4%17.1%21.7%18.0%18.6%

10590635378136195

22.8%34.3%12.9%25.9%35.0%26.0%30.0%28.2%

127169459769760296


(c…



Association


TenureAge

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

69.7%42.4%52.9%53.8%66.7%47.9%48.4%60.0%64.4%81.3%80.0%

234218475142241239667268

15.2%17.2%20.6%18.8%19.0%21.8%17.7%14.4%18.3%6.3%.0%

5177166410245231920

15.2%40.4%26.5%27.4%14.3%30.3%33.9%25.6%17.3%12.5%20.0%

5409242314286411842


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

54.4%42.9%55.6%45.0%50.0%48.6%

380188591551

20.2%9.5%14.4%15.0%16.7%19.0%

1414223520

25.5%47.6%30.1%40.0%33.3%32.4%

178204681034


(c…


vote


Happy

Frustrated

Neither

53.3%46.8%65.9%53.2%69.7%72.7%71.0%77.8%77.8%90.0%67.9%

8323275023244477936

33.3%19.4%14.6%18.1%12.1%15.2%16.1%22.2%22.2%.0%18.9%

5134617451022010

13.3%33.8%19.5%28.7%18.2%12.1%12.9%.0%.0%10.0%13.2%

22338276480017




Constituency


302829292324192721221049


(c…






Constituency


2820252327252527292837


(c…



Constituency


242528262824282329252924


(c…


Constituency


22253126283127


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

46.7%64.3%58.6%51.7%60.9%29.2%47.4%70.4%61.9%40.9%53.2%

14181715147919139558

16.7%3.6%20.7%27.6%21.7%20.8%21.1%7.4%9.5%22.7%18.6%

5168554225195

36.7%32.1%20.7%20.7%17.4%50.0%31.6%22.2%28.6%36.4%28.2%

119664126668296


(c…





Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

42.9%75.0%28.0%43.5%70.4%52.0%60.0%74.1%72.4%39.3%59.5%

121571019131520211122

17.9%10.0%28.0%21.7%3.7%12.0%8.0%7.4%10.3%21.4%24.3%

52751322369

39.3%15.0%44.0%34.8%25.9%36.0%32.0%18.5%17.2%39.3%16.2%

11311879855116


(c…




Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

45.8%36.0%64.3%46.2%53.6%58.3%60.7%56.5%55.2%60.0%37.9%54.2%

11918121514171316151113

20.8%28.0%10.7%15.4%14.3%20.8%14.3%17.4%20.7%16.0%24.1%25.0%

573445446476

33.3%36.0%25.0%38.5%32.1%20.8%25.0%26.1%24.1%24.0%37.9%20.8%

89710957676115


(c…


Constituency

Happy

Frustrated

Neither

54.5%36.0%51.6%38.5%50.0%58.1%55.6%

1291610141815

18.2%24.0%35.5%38.5%25.0%19.4%14.8%

461110764

27.3%40.0%12.9%23.1%25.0%22.6%29.6%

61046778



RMG BACKGROUND

RMG has been in business since 1968 and consists of 35 full time staff and over 60 casual staff. RMG is wholly owned by its Directors following a management buy-out in October 2009.

QUALITY

We pride ourselves on the quality of work that we deliver. To maintain the highest standards we are Market Research Society (MRS) Company Partners and members of the British Polling Council upholding their codes of practice. We are an Investors in People company and believe that our competitive advantage is founded upon the superior expertise of our staff.

Emphasising our commitment to quality, all our market research projects are delivered to the ISO20252 and Interviewer Quality Control Scheme (IQCS) standards.

OUR VISION AND MISSION STATEMENT

‘Our vision is to be a vibrant and profitable brand by securing the place of ‘first choice’ through the consistent delivery of exceptional services by extraordinary people who take pride in their work.’

OUR VALUES

Integral: We are part of our customers business

Commercial: Brain power comes before manpower

Quality: We take pride in everything we do

Friendly: We always make our clients happy

Secure: Our clients reputation is our reputation

Sustainable: We think about the future of our planet, as well as the future of our business.

Welsh Assembly Elections Opinion Poll Report

Documents

Transcript of Welsh Assembly Elections Opinion Poll Report