Welcome Navy Tropical Information FAQs Climo /History 2012/13 Season 2014 Summary Preparedness
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Transcript of Welcome Navy Tropical Information FAQs Climo /History 2012/13 Season 2014 Summary Preparedness
WelcomeNavy Tropical InformationFAQsClimo/History2012/13 Season2014 SummaryPreparedness
2014 Annual Department/Tenant Command Hurricane
Preparedness
Duncan St - Sep 2004(looking south from front gate)
5 ingredients for hurricane development
1. atmosphere Instability
2. Coriolis effect
4. Triggering mechanism
3. Sea surface Temp of 80 Deg w/150 ft depth
5 ingredients for hurricane development
Tropical Warnings Issued for DOD
Staff CoordinationNational Hurricane CenterUS Fleet Forces Command2nd & 4th Fleet SORTIECNIC TC-CORsACFT HURREVAC
TC WarningsNHC-ATCFUpdated every 6 hoursText & graphics
AlertsTCFA
X
Y
100nm
{
Possible TCF between position X and Y in the next
24 hrs
TC CORs and Sortie Conditions
HURREVAC CONOPS(Per CNAL/CNATRA Instructions)
Preparations tied to TC Conditions of Readiness
Aircraft out or hangared 12 hrs prior to onset of destructive winds (COR 1)
Tropical Cyclone Conditions (TCC) of Readiness (ASHORE)
COR 5: Destructive winds of > 50 kts are possible w/in 96 hrsCOR 4: possible w/in 72 hrsCOR 3: possible w/in 48 hrsCOR 2: anticipated w/in 24 hrs COR 1: anticipated w/in 12 hrs
Increasing readiness
Tropical Cyclone Conditions of Readiness *
96
72
48
24
12
COR 5 COR 4 COR 3 COR 2 COR1
Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness
Hou
rs t
o o
nse
t of
50 k
t w
ind
s
80
60
40
20
0
Sortie Criteria(per USFF OPORD 2000-07)
Sortie if winds > 50 kts Sortie early to avoid 12 ft seas Consider local storm surge
Ship Sortie Conditions of Readiness
Charlie Bravo Alpha(Sortie)
Hou
rs t
o S
ort
ie48 Hrs
24 Hrs0 Hr
Increasing readiness
Hurricane Season: June 1st – November 30th
Set June 1st
NamingBegins
NumberedWrngs begin
Tropical Season FAQs
Saffir-Simpson Scale
Cat Wind (kts) Damage 1 64-82 Minimal
2 83-95
Moderate 3 96-112 Extensive 4 113-136
Extreme 5 > 136
Catastrophic2014 Tropical Cyclone Names
Tropical Disturbance
Tropical Depression
Tropical Storm
Hurricane
Stages of Development > 64 kts
34-63 kts
25-33 kts
< 25 kts
(Tropical Cyclone
Symbols
Cat 3/4/5 systems are “Major hurricanes”
ArthurBerthaCristobalDollyEdouardFayGonzalo
OmarPauletteReneSallyTeddyVickyWilfred
HannaIsaiasJosephineKyleLauraMarcoNana
Track Climatology
JUN JUL
AUG SEP
OCT NOV
Peak season: 10 SEP
GOMEX/CARIB water temps
Track Climatology
Tropical Cyclone History
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
5
10
15
20
25
30
96
13
59 8 6 7
11 9 11
4
3
8
3
43
1
73 8 2
36
7
2
2 5
2
5 42
0
MAJOR HUR-RICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000)
9.6 Tropical Storms5.9 Hurricanes2.3 Major Hurricanes
11
Ike
Hanna
Gustav
Fay
2012 season
12
2013 season
13
Colorado State SummaryApril 2014
“We anticipate that the 2014 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have “below average” activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatological average”
“The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months”
“it appears quite likely that an El Niño of at
least moderate strength will develop this summer and fall ”
Radford Blvd in front of Bldg 1500
Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one
hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded
to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little
activity is predicted.
April 2014 Tropical Cyclone Forecast
Average 2014 Forecast0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
9.6 9
5.9
3
2.3
1
MAJOR HURRICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Source: Colorado State University
1992 – slow year
Do you remember this one?
New for 2014 from NHC
16
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
New for 2014 from NHC
17
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
EVACUATION
Voluntary* Issued by County EMO
- You will not be paid- may have to take leave
* Know your area! -Are you in a storm surge
area or flood plain?-Have a plan!
2 Types
Radford Blvd @ Sherman Cove
Mandatory County EM will
determine which areas will evacuate; usually coastal and low-lying areas.
Installation Commanding Officer determines for NAS Whiting Field
Evacuation Routes(Escambia)
Evacuation Routes(Santa Rosa)
Secure your home
Have a family pet plan
Even Renters need insurance
Be prepared BEFORE it’s an EMERGENCY!!
Develop a Family Plan
Create a Disaster Supply Kit
Have a place to go
Don’t get caught in a “PILUP”
FAMILY DISASTER PLAN
* Have an out-of-state family or friendcontact point-
* Make a plan NOW for what to do withyour pets if you evacuate. - Most shelters/hotels do not allow pets!
* Prepare a disaster supply kit
* Use a NOAA weather radio. Rememberto check batteries!!
Radford Blvd @ Lake Fredrick
Safe haven designated for NAS Whiting Field is a 300 NM radius from NASP (why 300?)
Designated safe haven location - Atlanta, Ga
POST STORM RETURN
* When all Clear is issued by ICO
* Bring essentials back with you(milk, cash, eggs, etc)
* Prepare for slow inflow returning
* Fuel up over 100 miles out; stop to top off frequently
* Be prepared to live without power for periods of time
Gulf Bch Hwy @ Snug Harbor
Disaster Supply Kit/Supplies
– Heavy duty trash bags– Bleach– Water purification tablets– Non-perishable food (pre-packaged or canned)– Manual can opener– Emergency / Camping equipment and fuel– Matches / Lighters– Portable Cooler– Rope / Duct tape– Tarp– Portable fire extinguisher– Pet carrier and supplies
Home Preparations (COR 3 – COR 1)
– Clean w/bleach then fill bathtubs with water– Set refrigerator to coldest settings– Freeze water in jugs– Fill fuel tanks (car, propane)– Begin boarding up house– Get extra cash– Place valuables in water tight bags / containers– Secure yard equipment (grills, swings, etc.)– Protect electronics
*Bag them*Move to interior locations off the floor if possible
Some Information Sources
www.bereadyescambia.com
www.bereadyescambia.com
Communication
• AtHoc (power and NMCI permitting)• Email• Press Release through Escambia, Santa Rosa
and Okaloosa Co PIO• Information Line• Social Media (facebook, twitter)
Emergency Card (front)
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASP UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-5007Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445Regional Operations Center: 904-542-3118
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASP UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-5007Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445Regional Operations Center: 904-542-3118
Emergency Card (back)
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an
evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):
1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASP Muster Line 4. ROC
Contact your Chain of Command POC
POC is:
Command UIC:
Muster Tel #:
NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an
evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):
1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASP Muster Line 4. ROC
Contact your Chain of Command POC
POC is:
Command UIC:
Muster Tel #:
NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil
Emergency Manager
NAS Whiting Field EM
ABHC Jeff Richardson(W) 623-7038
(C)(757)778-7954Jeffrey.l.richardson@navy
.mil