Weekly Outlook on Nifty and other indices (August 03, 2015 to August 07, 2015)

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D ATE : 31/07/2015 W EEKLY O UTLOOK FOR N IFTY AND M AJOR I NDICES (03/08/2015 - 07/08/2015) © EquityPandit Financial Services Pvt. Ltd. | www.equitypandit.com | [email protected] Jagrut Shah Darpan Shah Sr. Research Analyst Head - Research EquityPandit Financial Services Pvt. Ltd. 305, Trinity Business Centre, L. P. Savani Road, Surat - 395009 Gujarat An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company www.equitypandit.com

Transcript of Weekly Outlook on Nifty and other indices (August 03, 2015 to August 07, 2015)

DATE: 31/07/2015

WEEKLY OUTLOOK FOR N IFTY AND

MAJOR INDICES

(03/08/2015 - 07/08/2015)

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Jagrut Shah Darpan Shah Sr. Research Analyst Head - Research EquityPandit Financial Services Pvt. Ltd. 305, Trinity Business Centre, L. P. Savani Road, Surat - 395009 Gujarat

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CNX NIFTY PAGE 2

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Nifty ended the week on absolutely flat note. As we have suggested last week that the index has the support around the levels of 8350 and the index hit a low of 8321 and bounced back. On weekly charts the index has formed a Hammer pattern in downtrend indicating the trend reversal. Above the levels of 8550 the index can move to the levels of 8700 where upper end of chan-nel is positioned. On 04/08/2015, RBI is announcing the quarterly policy which will decide the direction of the markets going forward. Technically the index is poised to move forward towards the levels of 8800. Support for the index lies in the zone of 8350 to 8400 where short term & long term moving averages and channel support are positioned. Range of the week is seen from 8350 to 8400 on downside to 8700 to 8750 on upside.

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Bank Nifty ended the week on absolutely flat note. As we have suggested last week that the index has formed a Bearish engulfing pattern on weekly charts and index corrected to the levels of 18187 before recovering to end the week on high around the levels of 18700. This week the index has formed a Hammer pattern in downtrend indicating the trend rever-sal. As seen from the charts above if the index manages to close above the levels of 18850 the in-dex can move to the levels of 19200 where upper end of downward sloping channel is posi-tioned. On 04/08/2015, RBI is announcing the quarterly policy which will decide the direction of the markets going forward. Technically the support for the index lies in the zone of 18400 to 18600 where short term & long term moving averages are positioned. Range for the week is seen from 18300 to 18500 on downside to 19200 to 19500 on upside.

BANK NIFTY

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CNX IT index closed the week on positive note gaining more than 1%. As we have mentioned last week that the index has to sustain above the levels of 11600 to breakout of the channel pattern or else the index can fall to the levels of 11000, the index hit a low of 11300 during the week. The index also fill the gap which was created on the 21/07/2015 when the index opened gap up on back of INFY results. The index closed the week above the strong resistance zone of 11600 where 100 Daily SMA and 200 Daily SMA are positioned. The index has formed a Bullish engulfing pattern on monthly charts. If the index manages to close above the levels of 11800 the index will break-out of the 3 months consolidation. If the index manages to close above the levels of 11800 the index can move to the levels of 12800 to 13000 in 1 to 2 months time frame. Support for the index lies around the levels of 11300 where short term moving averages and trend-line support are lying. Broad range for the index in the coming week is seen from 11200 on downside to 12000 on upside.

CNX IT

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CNX FMCG index closed the week on gaining more than 3%. As we have mentioned last week that if the index cross above the levels of 20300 the index can move towards the levels of 21000. The index hit a high of around 20968 during the week. The index has taken the support around the zone of 20000 to 20100 where 50 Daily EMA, 100 Daily SMA and trend-line support are positioned. Support for the index lies in the range of 20200 to 20500 where short term and long term moving averages are positioned. Resistance for the index lies in the zone of 21100. If the index manages to cross above the resistance zone of 21100 the index can move to the levels of 21600. Broad range for the index in the coming week is seen from 20200 on downside to 21500 on upside.

CNX FMCG

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CNX PHARMA index closed the week on positive note gaining around 1%. As we have suggested last week that the support for the index lies in the zone of 11800 to 12000 where 200 Daily SMA is lying and the index hit a low of 11870 and recovered during the week to close at the high of 12362 levels. The index has formed a Hammer pattern on weekly charts indicating the trend reversal. The index has formed a Shooting star pattern on monthly charts in an uptrend. The index has to sustain above the levels of 13200 on closing basis on monthly charts to ne-gate this pattern. If the index closes below the levels of 11800 the index can drift to the levels of 11200. Support for the index lies in the zone of 11800 to 12000 where 200 Daily SMA is lying. Resistance for the index lies in the zone of 12500 where 100 Daily SMA is lying. Above the levels of 12500 the index can move to the levels of 12800. Broad range for the index is seen from 11800 to 12000 on downside to 12800 to 13000 on upside.

CNX PHARMA

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CNX AUTO index closed the week on positive note gaining around 1%. As we have mentioned last week that the index has formed a Evening Star pattern in an up-trend indicating the trend reversal and the index corrected to the levels of 8236 during the week. The index recovered during the week to close the week on high around the strong re-sistance zone of 8550 to 8600. The index is approaching towards the strong resistance zone of 8600 where upper end of channel is positioned. If the index manages to close above the levels of 8650, in index will break-out of the 3 months consolidation and the index can move to the levels of 8800. Support for the index lies in the zone of 8300 to 8400 where short term and long term mov-ing averages are positioned. Resistance for the index lies in the zone of 8550 to 8600 where trend-line resistance is lying. Broad range for the index is seen from 8300 to 8350 on downside to 8600 to 8650 on upside.

CNX AUTO

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CNX ENERGY index closed the week on negative note losing more than 2%. The index has formed a Evening star pattern on weekly charts in an uptrend indicating the trend reversal. If the index closes below the levels of 8650 the index can move to the levels of 8400. The index has formed a Shooting Star pattern on monthly charts in an uptrend indicating the trend reversal. If the index closes below the levels of 8650 the index can move to the levels of 8400. The index has to close above the levels of 9000 to negate bearish pattern on weekly and monthly charts. Support for the index lies in the zone of 8600 to 8650 where 100 Daily SMA and 500 Daily SMA are positioned. Resistance for the index is lying in the zone of 8700 to 8800 where 200 Daily SMA and trend-line are positioned. Broad range for the index is seen between 8500 to 8550 on downside to 8900 to 8950 on up-side.

CNX ENERGY

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