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NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY

Heavy Rain and High Wind

Briefing #1April 29th, 2014 10:45 AM

Dave Nicosia, Warning Coordination Meteorologist

FOR CENTRAL NYThis area includes but is

not limited to cities such

as Syracuse, Utica,

Ithaca, Elmira,

Binghamton, andOneonta.

FOR NORTHEAST PA

This area includes but

is not limited to cities

such as Towanda,

Montrose, Scranton,

and Wilkes-Barre.

This Briefing applies to

the NWS Binghamton

Service Area only:

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Executive Summary

Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected from thisafternoon to Thursday morning. Heaviest Poconos/Catskills

Least Finger Lakes.

Most areas see 1 to 2 inches.

Potential for urban, poor drainage, low-lying andminor small stream flooding, road washouts.

Rivers will see to bankful with this rainfall.

Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts between30 and 40 mph. Higher terrain could see gusts over 40 mph.

Winds increase this afternoon and last throughWednesday and subside Wednesday night/earlyThursday.

Potential for sporadic power outages, small treesand branches blown down.

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Official Rainfall ForecastThis Afternoon to Thursday morning

3.00

2.50

2.00

1.50

1.25

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Official River Forecasts to bankful most points, a few points reach caution stage

(yellow dots below)

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/region_forecast_iframe.php?wfo=bgm

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/region_forecast_iframe.php?wfo=bgmhttp://water.weather.gov/ahps/region_forecast_iframe.php?wfo=bgm

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Flood Impacts and

Probabilities

Widespread 1 to 2 of rain expect:

minor poor drainage, urban and low-lying flooding.

most likely scenario in central NY

Widespread 2 to 3 of rain expect: to bankful on the larger rivers in northeast PA,

smaller rivers and streams could see minor flooding.

Minor river flooding in central NY with moderateflooding possible on a few smaller river points.

Flash flood potential increases.

10 to 20% chance in central NY for 2- 3 of rain.

30 to 50% chance in northeast PA for 2- 3 of rain. Widespread 3 of rain or more is when significant

flood issues would begin. Probability of this is around 5 to 10%.

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Winds Southeast winds will increase to 20 to

25 mph this afternoon and last throughWednesday. Winds subside Wednesday night/early

Thursday.

Gusts between 30 and 40 mph by

tonight and especially Wednesday. Gusts over 40 mph possible higher

terrain areas including Catskills,Poconos, highlands of central NY andUpper Mohawk Valley.

Sporadic power outages possible fromfallen trees and large branches.

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Monitor Conditions!

Continuous updates:

http:weather.gov/bgm

Or on Social Media at:Facebook: US National Weather Service Binghamton

Twitter: @NWSBinghamton

http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.gov

https://twitter.com/NWSBinghamton

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