Vol.3, No.4(통권 제12호) · Vol.3, No.4(통권 제12호) 2010년 12월 17일 칼럼...

141
Vol.3, No.4(통권 제12호) 20101217칼럼 정책초점 논단 시대의 요구에 부응하는 기상·기후서비스 기상정보의 축적과 유통 활성화를 통한 국부 창출 날씨의 심리학 기상학의 역사 지질학에서 본 기후변동의 과거, 현재, 그리고 미래 예보기술의 성장 촉진을 위한 광각렌즈 전쟁과 기상 날씨와 선거 기후변화와 문학 기후 변화와 문화 I (문명의 시작과 유럽문명을 중심으로) 비타민 D의 새로운 조명 G20서울정상회담과 경호기상정보 생산을 위한 기상청의 역할 "사회가 요구하는 미래기상서비스의 모습" ISSN 2092-5336 ( ) 해외기술동향 기상정보의 사회·경제적 평가에 관한 해외동향 2010. 12

Transcript of Vol.3, No.4(통권 제12호) · Vol.3, No.4(통권 제12호) 2010년 12월 17일 칼럼...











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.
V.
( )
. 21

.
.

, 2007 : (6 )-
. , 265 pp.
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Thomas Yoseloff, P. 38.
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Aristotle. BAMS, 52(11), 1078-1080.
Philosopheres. 3rd ed., Oxford, Basel Blackwell,
p. 51.
London, Macmillan and Co., Ltd., 1910, p. 195.
Shaw, William Napier, 1926 : Manual of Meteorology.
Cambridge, The University Press, I. p. 76.
Smith, David E., 1958 : History of Mathematics, New
York, Dover Publication, Inc., p. 63-69.



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et al.,, 1989; Murton et al., 2010; Teller et
al., 2002).

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.

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.

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2010: Atmospheric CO2 concentrations during
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.

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Byun, H. R., S. J. Lee, S. Morid, K. S. Choi, S.
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2007, 431pp.
, 952pp.
Fuller, John F.C. 1954 : A military History of the Western
World(Vol. ). Funk & Wagnalls Co., 772pp.
John. F. Fuller, 1997 : Thor's Legions : Weather
Support to the U.S. Air Force and Army/1937-
1987. AMS, 443pp.
Johns Hopkins, 362pp.
2009 : At War with the Weather. Massachusets
Institute or Tech. 462pp.
,

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(2002.12.19.) 70.8
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(2000.4.13.) 57.2
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(2006.5.31.) 51.6
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1971-04-27 7 79.8 8-24
1972-12-23 8 100 3-8
1978-07-06 9 99.9 22-26
1979-12-06 10 99.6 2-6
1980-08-27 11 99.4 19-24
1981-02-25 12 99.9 6-13
1987-12-16 13 89.2 4-4
1992-12-18 14 81.9 4-4
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1967-06-08 7 76.1 15-23
1971-05-25 8 73.2 13-23
1973-02-27 9 71.4 2-7
1978-12-12 10 77.1 0-8
1981-03-25 11 78.4 1-7
1985-02-25 12 84.6 9-1
1988-04-26 13 75.8 8-20
1992-03-24 14 71.9 5-8
1996-04-11 15 63.9 1-10
2000-04-13 16 57.2 9-18
2004-04-15 17 60.6 10-21
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,



, (compulsory

.
40 2. 51-74.
American Voter, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Converse, Philip, (1964), The Nature of Belief System
in Mass Publics, In Ideology and Discontent, (ed.)
David E. Apter. London: Collier-MacMillan.
Downs, Anthony, (1957), An Economic Theory of
Democracy, New York: Harper & Row.
Knack. (1994). Does Help the Republicans? Theory
and Evidence on Turnout and the Vote. Public
Choice, Vol. 79(1/2):187-209.
(1944), The People's Choice, New York: Duell,
Sloan, and Pearce.
Canada. Toronto: Macmillan of Canada.
Riker, William H. and Peter Ordeshook, (1968), A
Theory of the Calculus of Voting, American
Political Science Review 62, March, p. 25-42.

,
!
,
! ,
!
- , III. 2. 1-7

.
( 1300~1850)
150
. 1880
10 1998
, 21 10
500 5
1980
2 .
. 1916

2001 .1)


.



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1) , Revisited 1-4 .




.


.


.
,
,

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(1949) , ,
,

‘(land ethic)’
(Leopold 1949),

.


.
.

.



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. ,
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, 2006)’ .
(2006)


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? ,

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2) 26; 31 .

.


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,
,


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, ,
(local color)
.

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(D. H. Lawrence)
(Thomas Hardy)

, (Egdon Heath)
.
. (William Butler
Yeats)
(James Joyce)
.

. (Mark
Twain) , (William Faulkner)
, (Willa Cather)
,

.

.

. -
, ‘
(carpentered world)’

. ‘
(Sander Parallelogram
Illusion)’
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, B A
.
[ 1]

. -
,
,


.
,
.3)
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, , , ,
.
.

.


(Luke Howard)
. 1801 1841


, , ,
.
(John Constable)
,
3) Topophilia 7, “Environment, Perception, and
World Views” .
of Clouds) 1820

, (John Ruskin)
(Novak
1980).
Shelley) 1820 (The Cloud)
.


.
,

.

.

From the seas and the streams; I bear light
shade for the leaves when laid
In their noonday dreams.
The sweet buds every one,
When rocked to rest on their mother's breast,
As she dances about the sun.
I wield the flail of the lashing hail,
And whiten the green plains under,
And then again I dissolve it in rain,
And laugh as I pass in thunder.

. (Humphry
Davy), (Erasmus Darwin)
(Luigi Galvani)
.


. 6

‘ ’
‘’



.

.
1986 (Michael
Foot)
1816 (Darkness)
.

,

‘(nuclear winter)’

.
, , , ,
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.
The world was void,
Seasonless, herbless, treeless, manless,
And nothing stirred within their silent depths;



.

. (1997)


‘’ ,

.


‘’ .


.

.


? 1816 ,



.

,
(Cousin de Grainville)
(The Last Man), (M. G. Lewis)
(The Monk), (Buffon)
(Fontenelle) ,
(Lucretius)
(De rerum natura)
(Bate, 2000).
Bate) ‘ ’


: “1816
4 9 183 130
. 7 1807~1824
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. 7 18
, 21 .
3 , 21
19. 1816 8 21
2 (Bate, 2000).


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.
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(Bate, 2000). 3
1819 .
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85
. 1816 1815
8% , 1817 56%
.
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.


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?
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(William J. Humphreys)
.


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1815

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.
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, 1980
100 .
1814 , 1812


(, 2002 ).
.
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
.
Season of mists and mellow fruitfulness,
Close bosom-friend of the maturing sun;
Conspiring with him how to load and bless
With fruit the vines that round the thatch-eves run;
To bend with apples the moss'd cottage-trees,
And fill all fruit with ripeness to the core;
To swell the gourd, and plump the hazel shells
With a sweet kernel; to set budding more,
And still more, later flowers for the bees,
Until they think warm days will never cease,
For summer has o'er-brimm'd their clammy cells.
1819 9 21,
(J. H. Reynolds) “
, ”
.
,
. 11
1821
2 23 .

.

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1810
(Regency Era)
.

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' ' .
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.

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.

.



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.


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,



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.


.


.


.
12 , 27-51.
, 315pp. [David Arnold. The Problem of
Nature: Environment, Culture and European
Expansion. Cambridge: Blackwell, 1996].
24pp.
The Little Ice Age: How Climate Change Made
History 1300-1850. New York: Basic Books,
2001].
. , 424pp [Alfred W. Crosby. The
Columbian Exchange. Westport: Praeger, 2nd
Ed. 2003].
Moderne. Frankfurt: Suhrkamp, 1986].
Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 335pp.

1816: Mary Shelley's Frankenstein." The Byron
Journal 19: 26-40.
Sketches Here and There. Oxford University
Press, 226pp.
Landscape Painting 1825-1875. New York:
Oxford University Press, 329pp.
Environmental Perception, Attitudes, and

I.


.
60
1% 5,500
.

.
, ,
,
.

.


.

.

.



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II.
,

.

(, 2009).
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, 11,000BP
.
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.
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BC() AD() .

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.
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Age)
. 900AD 1,300AD
400

.
(2004) 20
40~50%
. , ‘
’.
, , ,
,

(, 2009).
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“ ( global
warming)”
. , 20
1.0/100 1
42 ,
. 1000 “ ”
, 42
“”
. 100

.


?


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. (blog.aladdin.
co.kr).

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. ‘

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()
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BP) ()


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)
.


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. 5 BP
.
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).
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(www.sciencetime.
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BP- )
( , 2005).
(Holocene) .
, 4 .



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(Roberts, et. al., 2006).

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[ 2] (Lautenbacher, Conrad C., 2004)

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(1952 12)
[ 5] (1836)

10%
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.

(Fred Singer
& Dennis Avery, 2009).

”, “ ”, “”
“” 4 “ ” .


. 30

.

.
.

2009
(NOAA) .
,
, ,
.

.

,



.
,

.


.


.

.
, 2005: ,
, 2004: , . ,
398pp
, 2005: ,
Anthes, Richard A., 1993: The Global Trajectory.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
74, No. 6. 1121-1130.
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Fred Singer & Dennis Avery, 2009: Unstoppable
global warming, , 147-169.
Pater, Walter, 1998: .
Robert, F., and M. Chaussidon, 2006: A
palaeotemperature curve for the Precambrian
oceans based on silicon isotopes in cherts.
Nature, 443, 969-972.
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Oxford University Press, New York, 539pp.
http://www.sciencetimes.co.kr/article.do?todo=v

.

. 19

. ,

. , “The England disease”
. Mellanby


A
McCollum , D
.
D
.
II. D
D 2
, 80% D
20%
.
D
25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D]
D . 25(OH)D

() [ 1].
. D
1,25(OH)D
D
. D

. D



[ 2]
1. D
.
290-315 nm
UVB 7-dehydrocholesterol
[ 1] D
: (Feldman, 2005)
(Holick, 2007)
. D
.
D
UVB D
D D
D
.
1) ,
D
, , D
. 20

.
D
35
(10 3) D
.

TEMIS(Tropospheric Emission Monitoring
D UVB
[ 3].
, [ 4]
( 42) D
previtamin D3 6,7
11
3
. ( 34)
( 18) previtamin
D3 .
[ 3] D UV
(http://www.temis.nl/index.php)

D
.
D
. D
7 5
D
9 4
.
D 3
1 .

D
.
3)
.
UVB
UVB
UVB
D
. SPF 8
D

[ 5].
[ 4] previtamin D3
(Webb, 1988)
D

D 7-dehydrocholesterol
.
IV. D
.
D

D
. D
.
D
.

D .
D

.

.
. 2005 18

60% D

[ 6].
[ 5] D
(Matsuoka, 1987)
D

D ,
.
800IU

D .
700IU D
.
2. D
1990

[ 7].
D , ,

.
D
D
1 .
, ,
D

.
,

[ 8].
[ 6] D
(Lips, 2006)
(Hanchette, 1992)
[ 8] D
(Holick, 2008)
D


D .
3. UVB
.
D

.
(melanoma)
.
1200 D

15 .
, 1 D

D
.
20-49 400
IU , 600 IU ,
600-800 IU . D
,
[ 1].
D
.
D D
. 100U
D 25(OH)D 1ng/ml
30
ng/ml
1000-2000IU D
.
food IU per serving
, 85g 794
, 85g 388
, 85g 154
Vitamin D , 1 100
Vitamin D , 170g 80
, 60g 46
, 1() 25
, , ,


,
. D
,
.
D
D
25(OH)D
D . D
, UVB

.
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44.
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.
. 2010 12 G20


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^ A New Generation of Heat Health Warning Systems for Seoul and
Other Major Korean Cities
L.S. Kalkstein, S.C. Sheridan,
^

^
^






5-13
14-22
23-33
34-45
46-54
55-64
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^[]
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100-109

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^ 1-2

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^
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6-16
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1.
, .
2. 5 .
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
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(hwp doc) , . E-mail
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Sutton, O.G., 1953: Micrometeorology. McGraw-Hill Book Co.,
333pp.
: , : . ( ), (), .
() , 2006: 1954-2005
. , 16(1), 49-53.
Seinfeld, J., et al., 2004: ACE-Asia: Regional climatic and