Virtual University

V.S. EfimovCenter of Strategic Research and Development, Siberian Federal University,

www.foresight.sfu-kras.ruexpert.sfu@gmail.com

The main questions:

1. What are the features of the situation of higher education in Russia and in the world?

2. Vision of the future of Russian universities.

3. What are new risks for high school?

4. Why do we need Virtual University?

5. How can we think about Virtual University?

6. Who and how will build a Virtual University?

In the report uses results of the project “The forecast and scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030 (Foresight research)”

The forecast and scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030

• 730 experts• 96 universities• 28 organizations

The best foreign practices

Contexts, trends, possible critical situations, the necessary management decisions

The field of scenarios development of higher education in Russia

THE BASELINE scenario of higher

education

Organized register of documents that define the state policy

Road map for development of higher education of the Russia

Recommendations for public policy measures

The industrial phase (XVIII-XX centuries)

COGNITIVISATION (knowledge economy and other)

GLOBALISATION(production of labor, markets, capital)

Phase transition: the industrial phase and the postindustrial society

The project "Enlightenment“(mass education, universal

literacy)

Industrialization(industrial production)

URBANIZATION(creation of cities and urban

lifestyle)

DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION

(hygiene, medicine, reducing of child mortality)

Post-industrial phase (XX-XXI centuries)

The project «Enlightenment-2»

(massive cognitive competences)

DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION-2

(reduce of mortality, increase of life expectancy)

ENLIGHTENMENT - 2

ENLIGHTENMENT-1

Social-anthropological project's “Knowing Man”,

“Industrial Man”

Mass school, mass profession - "teacher", universal literacy

Mass engineering and technical education (HTEI,

technical schools)

Universities, the Academy of Sciences (knowledge production,

reproduction of  scientists and elite)

Social-anthropological projects “Creative Man”, “Mobile Man”

and other

Mass Baccalaureate (cognitive competences:

navigation, research, design, management)

"Corporate Universities"(dotted engineering training)

VIRTUAL (OPEN) UNIVERSITY:

- free education - networking and cloud R&D, - all social groups

Situation in Russia

Enlightenment-2ЕU

Japan

USA

KEY FACTORS AND CHALLENGES OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN RUSSIA1.imitation and falsification in higher education and innovation2.the absence of a clear socio-anthropological project, a framework for higher education3.«Intellectual offshore» and «skill drain»4.the gap between objectives, content, format and the interests of education, socio-economic life and business5.domination of the educational bureaucracy, conservatism, research and education community6.shortage of subjects in high school

Countries of Africa

China, India

Enlightenment-1

SIMULATION OF THE EDUCATION

Russia

The future of higher education - expert opinion

1. Optimization of high school to the needs of the "resource economy“

2. Formation of a new perspective, in which higher education is the engine of development in country

3. OBJECTIVE OF SCIENTIFIC AND EDUCATIONAL COMMUNITY

Scenarios for the future of Russia: socio-economic situation and high school years, 2010-2030

cognitive societycatching up modernization

local leadershipraw future

The Future of higher education - group of experts

GROUP OF EXPERTS:

•«Innovators»

•«All the experts»

•«Conservatives»

Socio-economic scenarios - a contribution to the situation in Russia, 2030

cognitive societycatching up modernization

local leadershipraw future

Innovators Conservatives

9

Digital Revolution:transition from "paper, direct" education to "digital, distant" education

• Contribution of the Internet economy in Russia's GDP in 2015 will increase more than twice: from 1,6% percent of GDP in 2009 to 3,7% of GDP in 2015 (Boston Consulting Group).

• The number of Internet users in Russia in 2011reached 70 mln. people, growth during the year 5,4% (Ministry of Communications of the Russian Federation)

• In 2009 the world market for distance education was $27,1 billion. Forecast for 2014 - $49,6 billion in growth rate - 12% per year (Ambient Insight).

• In 2007 77% of European universities were ready for of electronic learning, for 65% of high schools development of e-learning is a key priority (European Commission for Education and Culture)

10

REPERCUSSION:

Russian law - implementation of the Federal Law from May 8, 2010, N 83-FL

The introduction “normative per capita” financing - implementation of elements of market selection in the budget process

Funding for universities will be carried out in accordance with the state task to fulfill the basic types of work and rendering educational services.Calculated base capitation - the minimum value of the budget of educational services to the reference numbers of students taking the next academic year.Deteriorating situation of the leading

universities that receive funding per student is twice more than an average in Russia

The complexity of budget planning. The state does not know how many students come to the leading and technical colleges, and, respectively, can not accurately plan for the education budget

Weak regional universities would not be able to attract a stable government funding

Significantly reduced range of fee-paying students at  natural science  and engineering areas

Digital Revolution - Virtual University

CONTENT OF EDUCATION

FORMAT OF EDUCATION

INSTITUTIONAL FORMAT

INDUSTRIAL PHASE – A “PAPER, DIRECT EDUCATION”

- knowledge, competencies, skills- scientific world picture- action based on the norm

"EDUCATIONAL  CONVEYOR ":- curriculum- lectures and seminars,- outside control

MATERIAL UNIVERSITY- university building (Campus)- administration (rector, dean's office)- government financing

POST-INDUSTRIAL PHASE - A "DIGITAL, DISTANT EDUCATION"

- cognitive competences

- multiontologics, multiculturalism;

- self-determination, self-organization

"INDIVIDUAL EDUCATIONAL TRAJECTORY"- open educational space- tutor, counseling, expert support,- reflexive self-control

VIRTUAL UNIVERSITY- an educational portal, e-library- education network, an electronic office (chair)- state and public financing

12

Structure of the virtual universityB

asic

pro

cess

es

Education

Research and

development

Public discourse,

audit, consulting,

enlightenment

Multimedia content, 

educational space, individual

educational trajectories

Network projects, 

technology platforms

Content Participants Institutions

Children and young people, adults, older

people

Research and project groups 

(students, aspirants, employees)

Educational Portal, private

office, school office, management

R&D Portal, E-library,

project Office

2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017 13

Virtual University (Education) - a road map(layout)

OBJECTIVES, indicators

1.Approval of the concept of virtual university

2.Establishment of the Directorate of VU

PROJECTS, activities

1.Elaboration of the concept of VU2.Elaboration of educational

models VU3.Creation of a package of

technical specifications for the preparation of content for of VU

4.Concept development and creation of e-library VU

RESEARCH and development

1.Market research2.Realization series of

workshops (games) to create Virtual University

SOLUTIONS1.Formation of a VU working

group

1.Confirmation  of program of development of VU

2. Activities of VU

1. Elaboration of development program of VU

2. create the regulatory framework of VU

3. the creation and launch of the portal of VU

4. Preparation of digital content of VU («best lectures» and other)

5. conduct a marketing campaign of VU

1. The study of foreign markets VU

2. A series of design workshops of VU

1. Members agreement of investment and management in VU

14

Experts

Universities

ROAD MAPS

• Concept of VU

• Road map for creating VU

• Program of development of VU

• …

Research and project groups

Ministry of Investment

and Innovation

Government of Krasnoyarsk

region

Ministry of Education and

Science

Science Foundation

of region

Students, users

Creation virtual university

Goals and objectives of the

Krasnoyarsk region’s

development

Future - is competition of collective intelligence, living in communication-knowledge environment, based on different cultural and language platforms