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    Violence, Governance, and Economic Development at the US-Mexico

    Border: The Case of Nuevo Laredo and its Lessons

    Paper to be Presented at thePuentes Consortiums 2nd Annual Symposium

    on US-Mexico Border Security

    February 2011

    Freddy Mariez Leonardo VivasEscuela de Graduados en Carr Center for Human Rights PolicyAdministracion y Politicas Publicas Harvard Kennedy SchoolInstituto Tecnologico de Monterrey

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    Contents

    Introduction

    Comparative Advantage of Nuevo Laredo as a Border City

    Shape and Strength of Drug Traffic Organizations (DTOs): The Mexican Logic

    The Growing Influence of DTOs in Nuevo Laredo

    Like Santa Claus, Violence always shows up

    Sister Cities and its Impact on NLs Elite

    The Big Push to Modernize Local Institutions

    Conclusions

    Annexes

    The Michael Porter Diamond Model

    Maps

    Tables

    Figures

    Graphs

    References

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    Introduction1

    This chapter is an attempt to make sense of the impacts and responses to the current war on

    drugs in Nuevo Laredo, a border city with the U.S. that has been on and off at the center of

    the mayhem of violence confronting Mexico during the last decade. Most analyses about the

    narcotics wars in Mexico tend to center either on the business logic of the narcotics traffic

    and its corollary: the best security strategies to deal with it 2or in the daily narrative of the

    violence and its deadly body count3, usually provided by journalists with enough guts to bear

    directly with the human tragedies it causes. Our angle is different. We look at the impacts the

    Drug Trafficking Organizations (DTOs) have had in Nuevo Laredo as well as the prospects

    for recovery in a city that, like many others in Mexico has fallen under a nefarious spell, but

    that for decades has been consistently building for the future. As with any other type of

    business, narcotics production and distribution take place in specific geographical and human

    locations. Though drug trafficking in Nuevo Laredo has always been part of its economic and

    social landscape, until only recently the role narcotics played was relatively marginal in a city

    whose people have mainly devoted their lives to the different facets of international trade to

    1Many thanks and appreciation for three great partners: Mary Hilderbrandt, Executive Director of the MexicoProgram at the Harvard Kennedy School. Mary has provided ample support to complete a broader research on

    how Mexican border cities are responding to the impacts of the war on drugs. Jos Gerardo Pepe Rodrguez

    Herrera from Universidad Autnoma de Tamaulipas granted one of the authors guidance in the meanders of

    Nuevo Laredos life, logistic support and contacts without which most probably the study would have never

    taken place. Finally Federico Schaffler from the local municipality graciously handled a tight agenda and

    maximized contacts with very busy people. Thanks to Sylvia Longmire, who reviewed the first draft, as well as

    two anonymous reviewers from the organizers.2See for instance John Baylor and Roy Godson, Organized Crime & Democratic Governability, Mexico and theU.S.Mexican Borderline (Pittsburgh, University of Pittsburgh Press, 2000), or Robert J. Bunker, Strategic

    threat: narcos and narcotics overview, Small Wars & Insurgencies, Volume 21, Issue 1 March 2010 , pages 8

    29. Also specialized consulting organizations have devoted extensive research efforts to analyze the changes in

    the narcotics industry and traffic in Mexico on more global terms. See Stratfor,

    http://web.stratfor.com/images/writers/MEXICAN_DRUG_CARTELS_UPDATE.pdf?fn=9616243265. Checked on

    January 2, 2011.3

    Perhaps the best example is the Frontera List, a follow up Google Group composed by a long list of

    journalists, scholars, and others about violence in Mexico.

    http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636778http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636778~tab=issueslist~branches=21#v21http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=g919842612http://web.stratfor.com/images/writers/MEXICAN_DRUG_CARTELS_UPDATE.pdf?fn=9616243265http://web.stratfor.com/images/writers/MEXICAN_DRUG_CARTELS_UPDATE.pdf?fn=9616243265http://web.stratfor.com/images/writers/MEXICAN_DRUG_CARTELS_UPDATE.pdf?fn=9616243265http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=g919842612http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636778~tab=issueslist~branches=21#v21http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636778
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    nurture and derive advantages from their location at a strategic point in the border with the

    U.S.

    The chapter is intended as an exploration of the assets and specific circumstances

    both negative and positive the city and its leaders have at their disposal to overcome the

    narcotics spell once (and if, a huge if) the influence of the narcotics is bound to diminish. In

    this sense, it draws from different perspectives. One is a particular understanding of local

    competitiveness by tackling both economic and noneconomic factors. In this regard we

    explore the nature of the economic advantages, such as location and specialization but also

    the role of the local elite in providing leadership or the importance of sharing a common

    destiny with Laredo, its sister city across the border. If we were to define it in broad terms we

    could call it an exploration into the political economy of competitiveness in a border city.

    Sections one and four of the paper argue in that direction.

    A second angle examines the specifics of both drug trafficking organizations (DTOs)

    involved in Nuevo Laredo and their impact on the citys life over the last 10 to 15 years. We

    explore those aspects of the Mexican and the local context in three sections that allow us to

    understand the kind of impacts NL has been subject to, especially after President Caldern

    declared the current war on drugs. We shed some light on the structure of the narcotics

    business and its actors by looking at Colombia, in order to make sense of the overall rationale

    moving the narcotics business in that country and why circumstances have been different in

    Mexico. Though not intended as a systematic comparison, in the sense of considering a set of

    common factors, it seeks to understand the specific impacts the city has been experiencing

    with other examples in mind. In order to look at the narcotics industry both in Colombia and

    Mexico we draw on the Competitiveness Diamond developed by Michael Porter and used

    by many followers around the world to examine why some industries achieve sound growth

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    in particular locations and under a given set of circumstances. As a result of examining the

    main DTOs involved in Nuevo Laredo we end up arguing that, for reasons that will be

    explored in sections 2, 3, and 4, the main difference between Nuevo Laredo and other border

    cities in Mexico is the way how social capital has played out. It seems that in the city focus of

    our analysis the positive side of social capital has been stronger than the negative one.

    A third and final angle of examination looks into local government as an actor. As

    part of the broader process of democratization in Mexico in the last 10 years, a quiet and

    modest revolution has been taking place throughout the nation at the local level. For reasons

    that are explored in the last section of the paper, Nuevo Laredo seems to be living its own

    peaceful revolution in government. We argue that no matter how much political will power is

    displayed to make things happen, the shift in governance policies taking place in NL occur

    against the backdrop of the narcotics drama and as a direct response to it. To what extent it

    will prove successful is still a pending matter and we address that and other issues in the

    conclusions.

    A short digression on method and analysis is warranted at this point. When we argue

    about the exploratory nature of this research, what we imply is that no given set of hypothesis

    are subject to testing. It is neither strictly a historical account of the impacts of the narcotics

    in a border city nor it is a theoretical interpretation. Given the political economy complexities

    of a city under the stress of violence, it brings together data about performance, as well as the

    peculiar commercial ethos created by international trade and its influence over both elite and

    government. Last but not least, it looks into the specific actions and strategies by the local

    government regarding decentralization, at times when Mexico has been undergoing very

    important political changes.

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    The same holds true for the use of evidence. We use an array of evidence: historical,

    economic and sociological, as well as that deriving from 20 interviews made to a selected

    group of actors (businessmen and economic organizations, government and parastatal

    organizations, academic both in Nuevo Laredo and Laredo, the media, religious, civil society

    leaders, law enforcement officers, and politicians). All interviews were made under a

    confidentiality agreement; thus names are not provided. As a result of this methodological

    choice we believe that whatever may be lost in analytical rigor gains in richness of details,

    which serve the purpose of making sense of the prospects of a real city and its people in

    turbulent times.

    Comparative Advantage of Nuevo Laredo as Border City

    Nuevo Laredo (NL) is as typically a border city as it is atypical. It is typical in the sense that

    everything revolves around the activities taking place at the border. Its economy, its culture,

    and a very acute commercial ethos stem from the citys direct involvement in the business of

    commercial border crossing. When examined through Latin American eyes, though, it does

    not fit the typical image of the border city. The visitor will not find the dirty streets, the piles

    of garbage everywhere, and the cloud of child beggars present in other border cities across

    the region. First impressions are not always accurate. But in NL this first impression seems to

    point to other important aspects that make the city rather special. In NL a strong sense of

    history combines with the awareness on the part of its economic and political elite that its

    location at a strategic crossroads into the US marks its life today and well into the future. The

    sense of history will be examined later, but the citys location clearly remains its fundamental

    comparative advantage. To what extent NLs elites have been able to translate those

    advantages into competitive ones remains to be seen.

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    Nuevo Laredo is part of a wider Tamaulipas strategic terrestrial system that gained

    full force after 1994, when NAFTAs free trade agreements began to be enforced. When

    considered as a part of that system, Nuevo Laredo fares well in most social and economic

    indicators. As Graph 1 shows, it is among the urban centers where population grows more

    rapidly in the state. Its population increased at 2.42 percent per year in 2007, having doubled

    its population in the last 37 years, from 152,253 inhabitants in 1970 to more than 355,827 in

    2005. In terms of education and health provision Nuevo Laredo ranks among the five better

    performing municipalities, as well as regarding other basic services such as electricity and

    paved roads, according to a regional study conducted in 2007.4 It is in water provision and

    related services where NLs results are weaker. 3.1 percent of the population lack water

    services, and 8.4 percent lack sewage and storm drainage.5 These deficits in social service

    provision are relevant when in a later section we look into the actions of the local

    government.

    In terms of per capita income NL enjoys the highest income in the state, with $10,888

    per person in 2005, closely followed by Matamoros and Reynosa ($10,128 and $9,980 per

    capita, respectively).6 This favorable situation occurs at a time when the economy of the state

    as a whole has had a higher growth rate than the nations average (4th in the federal rank),

    though this has not translated into a parallel contribution to the nations GDPits ranking

    dropped from 6th in 1970 to 12th in 2004.7 Paradoxically, there has also been a widening gap

    between the states growth rate with that of the nation, which can be explained by the

    proximity to the U.S. at a time when Mexico opened up to trade with its northern neighbor.

    4Programa Universitario de Estudios sobre la Ciudad (PUEC), PREDUST, Programa Estratgico de Desarrollo

    Urbano Sustentable de Tamaulipas, UNAM/Instituto Tamaulipeco de Vivienda y Urbanismo, 2007, p.41.5

    Ibid, p.496

    Ibid, p.46

    7 Ibid, ps. 51-52

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    Only in 2006 Tamaulipas grew at 7.9 percent while on average Mexico had a growth rate of

    4.2 percent.8

    As part of this wider regional context, Nuevo Laredo has been taking advantage of its

    location in the border with the U.S. As documented by the municipal governments economic

    unit, Nuevo Laredo is the land port with the highest movement of merchandise in the world

    and carries out the highest number of international trade operations in the continent. It has

    specialized in truck wholesale trade, providing the entire chain of services, including cargo,

    customs logistics, and warehousing so that merchandise can cross the border more rapidly

    and more efficiently there than at through any other border crossing.9

    In terms of location, on the Mexican side NL is connected with 80 percent of Mexican

    consumers, directly covering the northern, central, and western regions by the National

    Highway. In the U.S., Laredo is easily connected with around 80 percent of US consumers

    through Interstate Highway 35 and its many interconnections. In Texas only Nuevo Laredo is

    directly connected to San Antonio (138 mi), Houston (303 mi), and Dallas (390 mi).10 Map 1

    provides a more graphic image of the main transport route from NL to the rest of Mexico and

    to the U.S. With the rest of the world, NL is connected to South East Asia through the Pacific

    via of the Lazaro Cardenas Manzanillo Port, and with Europe through the Atlantic from the

    ports of Tampico Madero/Altamira.11 From a territorial perspective, however, Nuevo Laredo,

    like Tamaulipas more generally, belongs to the Monterrey/Nuevo Leon economic pole,

    Mexicos industrial hub, which for the last few decades has also operated as a source of

    cultural and intellectual leadership.

    8Ibid, p.54

    9Institute for Competitiveness and International Commerce of Nuevo Laredo (ICCE), Nuevo Laredos

    Competitive Advantages, June 2010 ; http:/www.iccedenuevolaredo.org10

    ICCE, Ibid, no page number

    11 Ibid

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    Given the circumstances described above, NL has become the most attractive border

    crossing with the U.S. in terms of logistics, infrastructure, human capital, and intensive use of

    telecommunications and information technologies. Thirty-nine percent of Mexicos total

    international trade activity is mobilized through Nuevo Laredo.12 After NAFTA was

    implemented, border trade between Mexico and the U.S. more than doubled, from $106

    billion in 1994 to $252.5 billion in 2004. When Nuevo Laredos World Trade Bridge was

    opened in year 2000, the areas strategic value was confirmed as the greatest and most

    important land port for international trade in the American continent. With the bridge, the

    Laredo region obtained the much-needed infrastructure to assure strong growth for the

    coming decades. This can be measured by vehicle crossings. In the first semester of 2010

    vehicle crossings through NL experienced growth of around 23 percent as compared to the

    same period in 2009.13

    However, this strategic location has not played equally well for all sectors. In the case

    of maquiladoras for example, while NL counts with several well-established industrial parks,

    the number of companies locating in the city over the years has stagnated. Still, the role of

    manufacturing is very important, accounting as it does for around 30 percent of local

    employment generation.14 Several interviewees pointed out that growth in output and

    employment generation has not been based on an increase in the number of firms but rather

    on the expansion of the 53 maquiladoras already established.15 They also argued that

    compared to other locations such as Reynosa in Tamaulipas or Juarez and Tijuana, NLs

    main advantage in terms of labor relations is a minimal level of industrial conflicts and a low

    turnover of the labor force. These two factors added to the location advantage; however, they

    12Ibid

    13Ibid

    14Ibid

    15 Mentioned in interviews by government officials.

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    have not been sufficient to attract many new manufacturing companies. Rather, the trend is of

    those already established to either expand capacity or to establish new plants oriented to new

    products.16

    Apart from the disincentives created by growing violence, the stagnation of

    manufacturing in Nuevo Laredo, which also applies to other sectors as big supermarkets, mall

    construction, and even tourism, may also be associated to Tamaulipas overall

    competitiveness scores. These have been recently measured by the Monterrey Institute of

    Technology in a study comparing Mexican states on the basis of three clusters of factors,

    which are evaluated in terms of the advantages or disadvantages they provide any given

    state.17 The four clusters studied are economic performance, business environment,

    infrastructure, and government efficiency. When ranked with the rest of Mexican states,

    Tamaulipas shows a polarized structure of advantages and disadvantages. The state

    consistently scores high in economic performance and government efficiency whereas the

    business environment and infrastructure scores tend to be consistently low. This is shown in

    figure 1. This observation, however, may not be as true in NL as it is for the rest of the state,

    at least regarding transportation infrastructure. As mentioned before, the city has been very

    active in partnering with Laredo in the U.S. to modernize transportation infrastructure, as was

    the case of the 2000 bridge. Economic indicators in the city are consistent with this picture.

    According to the data and to the testimony of local government officials, economic

    performance has been higher than in other cities, with unemployment showing lower levels

    than the national and state average during the crisis years (6.5 percent in 2010). 18 Also

    16At least 4 interviewees both from government and businessmen mentioned this issue.

    17EGAP, La Competitividad de los Estados Mexicanos: Fortalezas ante la crisis, Tecnologico de Monterrey,

    Monterrey, 201018 ICCE, Ibid

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    vehicle crossings across Nuevo Laredos World Trade Bridge increased steadily during 2010,

    from 17.31 percent in January to 26.84 percent in May.19

    What is true for the 2010 picture holds also true for the trend in the last ten years.

    During the last decade, Tamaulipas has improved its scores in the annotated favorable factors

    (economic performance and government efficiency) while it deteriorated over time in those

    factors ranking unfavorably in 2010, according to the same exercise by ITESM (Figure 3).

    In sum, Nuevo Laredo counts with important comparative location advantages that

    have solidified over time, adding selectively competitive advantages in the transportation and

    international trade sector, thus granting the city a better economic performance despite both

    the economic downturn and the impact of drug-related violence.

    Shape and Strength of Drug Trafficking Organizations (DTOs): The Mexican Logic

    Nuevo Laredos location has been a doubled edged sword. The advantages described above

    have also played out in the special consideration DTOs have given to the city in the last

    decade, during which a turf war for the control of drug traffic across the border has tainted

    daily life and the citys future.

    The prospects of Nuevo Laredos international commercial role have been greatly

    affected by the wave of violence derived from the drug wars. But the extent and

    characteristics of that impact, as well as the evolution and role of DTOs in NL today, may not

    become fully clear to the reader without at least a glance of the greater picture of the

    narcotics business in Mexico and the vast institutional threats it poses to Mexican society. In

    addition to that it is useful to compare, albeit summarily, the evolution of Mexicos drug

    19 Ibid

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    business to that of other countries like Colombia where it has also had a deep impact on

    society, business and politics. This section provides such an overview.

    In Mexico, both journalist-oriented books as well as recent fiction commonly portray

    the narcotics business as having direct links with political power. A good example is the

    account provided by Diego Enrique Osorio, journalist of Milenio, a media conglomerate

    originated in Monterrey, who narrates how different politicians and businessmen in Nuevo

    Len, Mexicos industrial hub, were until very recently connected to reputed narcotics barons

    on very familiar terms.20 He also shows how this trend goes back to the specific history of the

    Sinaloa cartel, showing how since the early 20th century both the elite of the state of Sinaloa

    and the criminal groups became closely intertwined.

    A more rigorous analytical perspective, perhaps the most detailed account of this

    connection between power and narcotics business is found in the work of Luis Astorga. A

    sociologist and historian, Astorga traces the long evolution of the drug business and the

    criminal organizations in Mexico during the 20th century and how they have become the

    current DTOs.21 The main contention of his work is that the centralized nature of Mexicos

    political regime during the 20th century served as a powerful regulating force in determining

    who would be a player in the drug production and trafficking business.

    20Diego Enrique Osorio, El cartel de Sinaloa, Una historia del uso poltico del narco. Grijalbo, Mxico, 2009.21Luis Astorga, Seguridad, traficantes y militares. El poder y la sombra, Tusquets, Spain, 2007 for a longhistoric narrative. A more recent work isLuis Astorga and David A. Shirk, Drug Trafficking Organizations andCounter-Drug Strategies in the U.S.-Mexican Contrext, Working Paper Series on U.S.-Mexico Security

    Cooperation, Woodrow Wilson Center and the Trans-Border Institute at the University of San Diego, April

    2010.

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    The richness of detail of the convoluted story provided by Astorga is helpful to

    characterize the shape and dynamics of the Mexican narcotics industry, as well as to trace a

    contrast with Colombia, its most important predecessor in the illegal drug business in Latin

    America. In order to provide a graphic description of the business structure and factors we

    use Michael Porters scheme characterizing competitiveness of a given industry or sector.

    Using Porters model serves two purposes: one, it helps to portray the complexities of factors

    intervening in the success of the narcotics industry; two, it allows us to compare with

    Colombia, a different case in its nature. For a brief description of the Porter model see Annex

    1.

    The Colombian narcotics industry developed following a classic industrial

    organization evolution. The structure and strength of the industry were essentially shaped by

    market forces, both from the factors and the demand side, with a relatively important

    influence of related industries from which experience and know-how was acquired.22

    Conversely, the role of government in shaping both the structure and factors of the industry

    was very mild, if only because the Colombian central state has been historically weak.During

    most of Colombias history though less so today the central state has had limited control or

    leverage over many regions of the country.23 Until recently, the scant presence of the

    government in granting minimum security conditions in vast portions of the territory led

    bandits, insurgents or paramilitaries to fill the void, especially in regions where mountain

    ranges and jungle predominate. In other words, for long periods of time in Colombia the

    monopoly of force in the hands of the state has been close to fiction. As a consequence, the

    growth of DTOs evolved taking advantage of factor endowments such as low accessibility to

    22A good part of the inputs informing our Porter-based scheme are taken from Francisco Thoumi, Political

    Economy and Illegal Drugs in Colombia, Boulder, L-Rienner, 1995.23

    David Bushnell, The Making of Modern Colombia, A Nation In Spite of Itself (Berkeley, Univ. of California

    Press, 1993).

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    the regions where cultivation of coca adapts perfectly, or the high level of violence plaguing

    the country after 1948.

    In contrast, Mexicos picture was starkly different. According to Astorga the growth

    and structure of the narcotics business in Mexico during the 20th century were directly tied to

    the Mexican political system. Over time this involvement switched from the states to the

    federal level and back, with different institutions performing a leading role in regulating the

    narcotics market. During the long era of the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI), the

    centralized state held almost absolute control over the regional location of production and

    traffic of narcotics.24 Figure 3 compares the industrial organization of the narcotics industry

    in Mexico with that of Colombia following Michael Porters competitive diamond. The

    strong centralization around the executive branch helped to exercise tight control over the

    states, both by appointing governors and overseeing most of other typical government

    functions. As a result, the illegal drug business did not emerge in Mexico separated from the

    political system of the party-state. An example of this is a reference made by Jorge

    Castaeda, Mexicos former Foreign Affairs Secretary under Vicente Fox, regarding remarks

    made by a high U.S. official during the De la Madrid administration (1982-1988) pointing

    openly to the connections of Mexican governors and other high officials with drug barons.25

    The same kind of allegations have been made about the Salinas de Gortari administration

    (1988-1994), whose brother was killed allegedly due to his connections to organized crime.26

    As soon as the transition to full democratization gained force, the traditional social

    alliances underlying the workings of the narcotics industry also started to break down. At

    both the national and the state level, the capacity of the Mexican state to mediate and, at best,

    24Luis Astorga, Ibid, no page

    25Rubn Aguilar V. and Jorge Castaeda, El Narco: La guerra fallida, Santillana, Mxico, 2009.

    26This was a recurrent theme in many of the interviews, especially with members of the press.

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    to control who would be main players in the narcotics business was undermined. As

    opposition forces strengthened and the PRI lost important pillars of power, the mediation role

    of specific federal agencies or local influential leaders in the drug business diluted.27

    From the year 2000 onwards, the structure of the business changed dramatically as a

    consequence of the breakdown of the brokerage system functioning around the Mexican

    state. After the hegemony of the PRI crumbled and a more competitive democratic system

    emerged, the structure of the narcotics business fragmented, becoming more market oriented

    like Colombia, with less systemic connections between specific political actors and illegal

    drugs groups. However, part of the old logic of the system remains, though mainly the

    political connections are now concentrated at to the state and local level. This is especially

    true in border provinces, inasmuch as they remain the last commercial link with the U.S.

    market. Thus, for competing DTOs cities such as Ciudad Jurez and Nuevo Laredo have

    become key locations in their turf wars. This explains the acute levels of violence in Jurez

    and the growing trend to target local and state politicians and other officials in Tamaulipas

    during 2010 and 2011.

    The violence associated with the narcotics traffic increased dramatically after 2007

    when President Caldern declared an open war on drugs. Whatever the rationale behind this

    decision,28 it was made despite the absence in Mexico of solid institutional and legal

    mechanisms to effectively enforce the law in a highly murky market and with so many

    incoherent law enforcement branches29 This has led to a cycle of violence that then calls for

    27Ibid

    28Interpretations range from the need to reclaiming a shaky legitimacy after winning a highly contested

    election to a strategic step to clean up the prospects for Mexico entering the ranks of promising BRICs in a

    global world.29

    The school of Government and Public Policy (EGAP) from the Tecnolgico de Monterrey has prepared a set

    of systemic proposals to overhaul the legal and prosecution system inMexico. See EGAP, Informe de avancede las Propuestas del Tecnolgico de Monterrey para mejorar la Seguridad Pblica en Mxico, October 2010

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    militarization in those regions where open war breaks out, which in turn brings about more

    intense levels of violence.

    The spiraling of violence in recent years is shown in Graph 3. Since 2007 the number

    of violent actions deriving one way or another from narcotics production and traffic has shot

    up from over 25 per cent to more than 42 percent nationwide. A consequence of this, reported

    daily by the media, is that in the last few years violence has spread up to regions believed to

    be unreachable by the narcotics wars, as is the case of tourism-rich areas like Acapulco or in

    Monterrey, the main industrial hub in Nuevo Leon.

    The Growing Influence of DTOs in Nuevo Laredo

    When the current phase of violence associated with drug trafficking exploded in Mexico in

    the early years of the 21st century, one of the first locations to show dramatic bursts of

    violence was Nuevo Laredo. Those were the times when the first grave territorial disputes

    over NL began. The emergence of the Gulf Cartel openly challenged two local groups, the

    Chachos and the Texas that until then had dominated the narcotics traffic. The usual narrative

    about the emergence of DTOs in Nuevo Laredo locates the shift from domestic groupsfirst

    the Reyes Pruneda, then the competition between the Texas and the Chachos around

    2002 when the Gulf Cartel decided to control the drug flow through the city.30 Prior to that

    date, for many years the two local groups were part of the relatively peaceful times of drug

    trafficking in Mexico. Most interviewees described the market as a local duopoly. As a matter

    of tradition, the influence of the two groups in the city grew along a division created at

    Avenida Reforma, one of the citys main streets, where their control over trafficking in the

    30Drug gangs extort money from Nuevo Laredo business owners, The Dallas Morning News, Wednesday,

    October 17, 2007.

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    city split, with one drug group controlling the eastern part and the other the western side of

    NL.31

    Another sign of times gone by was the relative social acceptance of those groups as

    part of the social landscape. As one interviewee reported, the children of the Chachos chief

    would go to the same school of the elites children. He was the chief mechanic of our

    familys trucks, he mentioned. Even if the local families avoided establishing intense social

    contacts, they were not rejected. Inasmuch as they only cared about their business and did

    not interfere with ours, they were tolerated. Nuevo Laredo society accepted the local drug

    dealers just as, historically, it had accepted pateros or polleros, the people mobilizing

    Mexicans across the border or others involved in smuggling.

    Those peaceful times lasted until first, the revenues from drugs dropped, 32 and

    second, when the Gulf Cartel/Zetas alliance took hold of the city. The drop in revenues from

    the traffic led to an acute competition between the two local groups, which expanded to other

    lines of criminal activities, such as extortion and racketeering. Later, when the corporate logic

    dominating Mexicos contemporary illegal drug business started to dominate the scene, the

    two local groups were essentially wiped out and the nature of narcotics trafficking and other

    criminal activities changed dramatically. The expansion of the Gulf Cartel in Tamaulipas

    took place by subcontracting the Zetas, a paramilitary group with highly sophisticated

    capabilities, in order to secure the drug trafficking activities and assets. At least according to

    the account of most local interviewees the transition from a locally controlled to a cartel

    controlled drug business led to a higher level of violence than the city had experienced up to

    then.

    31Mentioned by one businessman interviewed.

    32This aspect is mentioned by Viridiana Rios in a recent article. See Viridiana Rios, Why violence has increased

    in Mexico and what can we do about it, Unpublished Manuscript.

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    Since then the open disputes between the Gulf Cartel and its former ally, the Zetas,

    has characterized the evolution of the narcotics business in Tamaulipas, particularly in Nuevo

    Laredo. For a number of years their alliance worked on stable terms, but over time it began to

    wane, ending in open confrontation. A first event affecting the alliance occurred in 2003

    when the top leader of the Gulf Cartel, Osiel Cardenas-Guilln was captured by the federal

    police, leaving their paramilitary allies isolated from mainstream decisions. It took some time

    for the Zetas to rebuild their relations with the Gulf Cartel, but in the meantime their business

    portfolio in NL had grown in complexity. It evolved from what was initially a bodyguard

    roleno matter how sophisticated to a more independent strategy to become a criminal

    organization DTO on its own terms. Following a strategy akin to the development of the

    mafia and other historical examples like Colombia,33 they branched out into other activities

    such as kidnapping, several types of extortion, as well as in the sicariato, an important

    criminal activity typical of the heyday of Colombian organized crime.34

    Until recently, however, the Zetas had not become a drugs cartel in their own right.

    They were, essentially a cooperative of violence.35 After the relationship of the Zetas with

    the Gulf cartel regained force reestablished, the former group was in better shape; they had

    expanded territorially and had made important inroads into other states. In consequence, they

    wanted a greater share of the pie. At this point in time the Zetas had become a player in the

    33Carlos Resa Nestares, Los Zetas: de narcos a mafiosos, Notas de Investigacin

    34Hiring hit men to settle scores, the sicariato became in Medelln, Colombia, both a prosperous industry and a

    way of life for many rooted out adolescents for whom the world of crime was the best option. For many years,

    in the Colombian criminal world it was praised as a way to achieve respect. A famous novel by Colombian

    novelist, Fernando Vallejo, La Virgen de los Sicarios (Our Lady of the Assassins) turned movie, depicts the ethos

    of the life of pre-adolescents entering criminal life.

    35Many reasons account for this trend, but those more commonly mentioned are a) that they lacked the

    networking advantages across the border of traditional drug trafficking, b) they also lacked the specific

    knowhow required, and c) because their logistics and organization was essentially military and clandestine,

    whereas most cartel groups tend to enmesh one way or another with local society. Resa Nestares, Ibid, p. 2-4.

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    drug business, disputing the influence of the Gulf cartel. This corporate friction led to a

    total break, which became evident at the beginning of 2010, with the consequence that the

    state of Tamaulipas was put under the negative spell of this turf war. Currently the Zetas

    dispute the influence of the Gulf cartel in Tamaulipas and in Nuevo Leon, which is an

    important commercial corridor in the flow of the cocaine trade, but have also expanded their

    area of influence to Central America, where they operate as midwife between the cocaine

    traffic from Colombia into Mexico. However, they are currently under pressure from both an

    alliance of cartels called The Federation comprising the Sinaloa Cartel, la Familia

    Michoacana and the Gulf Cartel.36 The latter group, as well as the army and the Federal

    Police, tend to agree that the Zetas are the worst deadliest of the criminal groups. 37

    After a number of rather quiet years, during 2010 and 2011 there have been

    important spurts of violence in Tamaulipas. So far, however, Nuevo Laredo has not taken the

    worst part of it. The intensity and the toll in terms of human lives has been more prominent in

    other Tamaulipas cities like Reynosa and Matamoros, or even Victoria, the capital of the

    state, where the cartels have targeted local and state politicians to challenge political power

    directly. However, in February 2011 a confusing event led to the assassination of the newly

    appointed chief of police in Nuevo Laredo.38 Despite these spikes in violence, one could

    always argue that Nuevo Laredo has been relatively spared from the worst levels of violence.

    The reason for this relatively benign circumstance may lie in the contrast with other border

    cities. Historically in places like Ciudad Jurez DTOs have had a greater grip over local

    36The Economist, http://www.economist.com/node/16281317?story_id=16281317

    37Ibid.

    38As described in press accounts, General Manuel Farln Carriola, chief of police of Nuevo Laredo, who had

    been in charge for thirty two days, was killed with all his bodyguards after leaving a restaurant by an army

    patrol that apparently got the wrong information. As always happens when different official branches of the

    police or the military are involved, the investigation of the incident has been kept in great secrecy. See Milenio,

    Thursday 3 February, 2011

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    around 20,000.43 The absence of this trend in Nuevo Laredo can be deducted from the

    priorities chosen by the municipality for its social plans: during the years 2007 to 2010 the

    issue of orphans was not even considered.

    Violence, however, is unpredictable. It erupts at the most unexpected times, as

    happened in July 2010, when a confrontation allegedly between the army and the Zetas left

    thirteen corpses in only one day of violence. The confrontation continued for the rest of the

    week. In the event it diminished almost completely until November when another outburst

    exacerbated the uneasiness about when the next time will be. The apparent reason why

    violence has caught Nuevo Laredo once more is that in the turf war of Tamaulipas the Zetas

    have had a long list of defeats,44 which has led them to retreat to Nuevo Laredo from other

    lucrative places like Reynosa, in the far eastern border of Tamaulipas with the U.S.

    Like Santa Claus, Violence always shows up

    However, apparently violence arrived in Nuevo Laredo to stay. Tamaulipas is among the

    three more violent states in Mexico today, along with Chihuahua and Sinaloa. The reports on

    drug violence in Mexico, by the Trans-Border Institute in the University of San Diego,45

    classifies the different types of violent actions according to their relation with drug

    trafficking, grading the states of Mexico according to the level of drug-related violence. As

    map 2 shows, Tamaulipas is among a second-tier group of states with levels of drug-related

    assassinations between 251 and 2,000 murders per year, along with other like Sinaloa,

    Durango, Baja California, Nuevo Leon, the state of Mexico, Guerrero, and others. The

    43Guerra del narco habra dejado 30 mil hurfanos desde 2006, La Jornada, 25 de julio, 2010

    44The Economist, Ibid.

    45Viridiana Rios & David Shirk, Drug Violence in Mexico, Data & Analysis Through 2010. Trans-Border Institute,University of San Diego, February 2011

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    number of murders mentioned in an earlier Trans-Border report taking place in selected states

    until the summer of 2010 is shown in table 1. In Tamaulipas it was 348, up from 89 in 2007,

    110 in 2008, and 49 in 2009.

    Until 2010 Nuevo Laredo had been relatively spared from the worst outbursts of

    violence. Whereas in other parts of Tamaulipas during 2010 the DTOs have targeted mayors,

    candidates from all the political spectrum, a frontrunner to the Governor post, and perpetrated

    a massacre against a large group of immigrants purportedly on their way to the U.S., in

    Nuevo Laredo recent violence seems to have been confined to confrontations between cartels

    and the armed forces as well as other forms of mafia-like violence. Even if the killings have

    been less than in other parts of the state, other criminal activities have diversified, reportedly

    difficult to keep under control. This transpires from one of the most explicit interviews,

    provided by a local religious leader. Today in many the towns of this area and nearby

    counties fear reigns It has become increasingly difficult to distinguish illegal from legal

    activities: kidnappings and extortions abound In places like Ciudad Guerrero, life is

    overPolice vehicles are cloned to facilitate illegal operations It even happened to me one

    day I was going to fill up my cars tank; I was followed and asked by fake policemen where I

    was heading. A couple of weeks later I was informed that the lady that owned the gas station

    had been forced to close down because the group runs another gas station nearby They

    even took over an oil well in Nueva Ciudad Guerrero and they allegedly own other 5 oil wells

    too They have taken over activities like casinos and in a house right in the middle of town

    convoys enter every day with armed people. It must be an operations center In El Cerezo

    you have two authorities, a legitimate and the parallel one What can we expect if the

    frontrunner candidate for governor was killed? This direct account shows how daily life in

    Nuevo Laredo and its surroundings is beset by the various criminal activities emerging

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    around to narcotics trafficking, to the point that they are sometimes worse than the criminal

    activities directly related to the core drugs business, which in most cases do not affect normal

    citizens. It also illustrates how greater numbers of young people are being recruited to

    perform these spillover activities.

    Despite the differences between Nuevo Laredo and other cities and towns in

    Tamaulipas, as a whole the trend in the state is worrisome, especially now that the state

    advanced from 5th in the number of drug-related-assassinations until mid-2010 to 3rd by the

    end of the year. More detail of this argument is found when the date is analyzed over the

    years. Table 1 shows Tamaulipas behaving in a cyclical fashion, with a medium level during

    2008, a lower level in 2009 (only 0.7 percent of the national total), shooting up in 2010 to

    higher absolute levels and very close to 6% of the national total.46

    In Nuevo Laredo crime-related data did not seem remarkably negative until year

    2010. Table 2 depicting different types of crimes committed in the city from 2006 to 2009

    may have given the local authorities the impression that the worst of crime was over. It

    reports homicides going down from a peak of 165 in 2006 to a low of 24 in 2009, as well as

    kidnappings diminishing from 5 to 1 from 2006 to 2009. But as remarked above, things

    changed dramatically. Without doubt, 2010 has been the year when violence grasped the state

    by the neck.

    With the exception of Jurez, this upward/downward trend has been typical of other

    Mexican cities currently experiencing turf wars. In the case of NL, interviewees attributed

    this cyclical behavior to different reasons. One was a certain degree of monopoly of

    organized crime in the city by one of the groups. Allegedly, the Zetas have more control of

    46The fact that only the first semester of 2010 was considered indicates that the jump in the cycle was higher

    by the end of the year.

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    the drug route going through Nuevo Laredo than is the case in other parts of Tamaulipas,

    where they are in a continuous confrontation with the Gulf cartel. Another explanation is the

    lower presenceor use thereofof negative social capital mentioned in an earlier section.

    Despite the long history of drug trafficking in the city, apparently the Zetas (or the Gulf cartel

    for that matter) did not build their control by assimilating or buying out the human

    networks left behind by the Chachos and the Texas. They rather took over the location with

    their own personnel, leaving behind the traditional web of petty crime and even family ties

    upon which the former drug organizations had operated for decades. But the preferred

    explanation was that Nuevo Laredo, by concentrating around 40 per cent of the road

    commerce with the U.S., is regarded as the crown jewel station for narcotics to cross the

    border.47 Altering the security situation to an extreme degree could prove too risky for the

    drug business overall. So extreme violence only takes place either when the army is up to

    something important, orfar less frequentlywhen other groups decide to enter enemy

    territory.

    Sister Cities and Their Impact on NLs Elite

    One important advantage of Nuevo Laredo is heritage. The city is historically part of a wider

    tradition that includes Laredo, its sister city on the U.S. side of the border. For more than

    century and a half, the two cities have grown to become highly integrated economically,

    socially, and culturally. As happens in many cities along the US-Mexico border, many

    families make their lives on both sides of the border, crossing it to work, to visit relatives, to

    47Most accounts mention that the average number of trucks crossing the border every month is around

    100,000, and the capacity of the customs office to check content of merchandise is only 10 per cent of that

    number. Hence, it can be easily incorporated into the fixed costs of sending illegal substances with no huge

    cost impact. Even if it were 10 per cent across the board which is not the case, given that not all trucks carry

    illegal drugs it does not represent a huge financial burden.

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    attend church, or to shop. They may also have very tight common historical roots.48 In the

    case of the two Laredos, however, apart from most of those listed above, the relationship is

    sustained on the powerful bonds generated by international trade. The people from both cities

    used to live in Laredo until the Treaty of Guadalupe-Hidalgo, signed at the end of the 1846

    Mexican-American War, established the border between Mexico and the US at the Rio

    Grande.

    The classic narrative about the citys history is at the time of the partition families had

    to decide in which side of the border they stayed on.49 This cultural and social bond remained

    for most of the 20th century, becoming more integrated over time, in terms of policy making

    by officials on both sides of the border and in the level of shared communication between

    them. A mid-1970s article about the Two Laredos already made reference to the close ties in

    communication and trust built between the two cities. Around half of the officials surveyed

    were members of social or civic groups including people from both sides of the border. Also

    approximately 2/3 of officials declared that they kept trace of government activities from the

    other side of the border.50 The degree of social integration is also illustrated by other typical

    interactions between the sister cities, like a shared minor league baseball team in the 1950s

    and 1960s, or by the long established tradition of holding an annual ceremony at Bridge #1 in

    which two children selected from each city embrace to signal the will to remain united as

    48See Milo Kearney and Anthony Knopp, Border Cuates , A History of the U.S Mexican Twin Cities, Austin,

    Texas, Eakind Press, 199549

    John C. Kilburn Jr, Dae-Hoon Kwak, and Claudia San Miguel, Fear of Crime Splitting the Sister Cities: The Case

    of Laredo/Nuevo Laredo Border, Mimeo, Department of Behavioral Sciences, Texas A&M International

    University, N/D50

    John W. Sloan & Jonathan P. West, Community Integration and Policies among Elites in Two Border Cities,

    Los dos Laredo,Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs, Vol 18 No. 4, Nov 1976

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    communities,51 or celebrating significant dates of both countries, such as George

    Washingtons birthday and Mexicos Independence Day.52

    It is worth noticing that, as far back as 1979 officials from both countries attributed

    high marks in the vulnerability of both cities to the lack of understanding from policy

    makers, both in Washington D.C. and Mexico City of the uniqueness of the border and the

    shared sense of community.53 Even today, many of the interviewees in our study noted the

    strength of family ties. Laredos links with Mexico are quite unusual for a Texan city:

    according to the U.S. Census Bureau, 2009, 94.3 percent of the population of Laredo is of

    Latino ethnicity, 52.5 percent of the population admits speaking Spanish very well while

    around 24 percent recognize speaking Spanish well.54

    For all the importance of family and cultural ties between the two cities, it has been

    the economic drive derived from handling powerful international trade activities across the

    border that has made Nuevo Laredos elite what it is today. Nuevo Laredo has become highly

    integrated with its sister city in all the value-chain components of the international trade

    business.55 The most consistent feature emerging from our interviews and conversations is

    the continuous presence and influence of the customs business and its leaders in the citys

    daily life.56 Most leaders of the city have either been part of the international trade chain of

    activities or have been members of its powerful business chamber, or are one way or another

    subject to its influence.

    51Kilburn, Kwak and San Miguel, p.2

    52Sloan & West, Ibid, 461

    53Ibid, p. 463

    54Kilburn, Kwak & San Miguel, p.2

    55This level of family ties in the business across the border was pointed out to me in a conversation with

    scholars and staff from TAMIU. It will require empirical substantiation in order to hold effectively true.56

    According to figures of the Competitiveness and International Trade Institute, the city counts with 222

    customs brokers, out of 464 in the entire country. ICCE, Nuevo Laredos Competitive Advantages, Ibid.

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    During the second half of the 20th century, when international trade was becoming the

    centerpiece of the economy of the sister cities, families in Nuevo Laredo used to send

    selected members to live in Laredo in order to operate the U.S. part of the business. After the

    War on Drugs began to wreak havoc on the border economy, especially in the middle of the

    current decade, a significant portion of the Nuevo Laredo elite moved to Laredo for safety

    reasons. As reported by several of the officials interviewed, at a certain point in time in the

    current decade, 1,500 families from Nuevo Laredo left the city per month, moving to the

    sister city on the Northern side. The effect was that the business on both sides of the border

    became far more integrated.

    One of the most decisive impacts of this business influence on running the city has

    been a powerful drive or ethos that has permeated to most other professions or activities, like

    government, civil society organizations or academia. The corpus of the Municipal

    government in place at the time of the field work is a case in point: the President of the

    Municipal Government, a member of the PRI, had been an influential customs operator

    before entering politics. That was also the case of a good part of his inner circle. The same

    was true of his successor of the main opposition party leaders, or of many of those officers in

    charge of government or of parastatal or civil society-led institutions. As one interviewee put

    it, Here in Nuevo Laredo we are dominated by a strong logic of time. In the business of

    international trade you have to be precise, on time, the cargo has to be loaded and then

    transported at a given time, and this is reflected in many other activities in the city. There

    may be differences in approaches or political styles, but this ethos has been reflected in the

    political leadership. The President of the Committee for the oversight of government

    activities on behalf of civil society, for instance, is a businessman from the maquiladoras

    whose family has been in the customs industry; other influential member of the inner circle of

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    the Municipal government, holds doctoral studies in political science in Spain, and had

    experience in the customs business and a third, who wrote several books about the history of

    the city was a recognized historian of the customs industry and editor of the magazine of the

    customs chamber.

    This ethos is not simply a drive toward more efficient government. It is directed

    toward improving the natural advantages of the city. As Ramon Garza Barrios President of

    the Municipal Government at the time mentioned in his interview, as early as the 1970s the

    business leadership of the city recognized that if Nuevo Laredo was to take advantage of its

    strategic location as a transit post to the U.S, it had to build another bridge to increase the

    cross-border transportation of merchandise. So they reached an agreement with the U.S.

    government and with the Mexican Federal government to build a new bridge. As it happens,

    the Mexican Federal government did not release the funds promised, but the Municipal

    Government went on with the project of the World Trade Bridge, which has allowed Nuevo

    Laredo to channel a greater level of cargo than before through the city bridges, which then

    became a strategic condition when NAFTA came into fruition.

    Whatever impact the drug wars have had, they have not checked the drive to change

    and modernize the city. For many of those commuting members of the elite, moving to

    Laredo did not mean abandoning Nuevo Laredo altogether. On the contrary, many of them

    still work and make their living in Mexico but commute daily to Laredo. This explains the

    trail of abandoned houses in Nuevo Laredo reported by several interviewees. Given that for

    Mexican citizens living on both sides of the border it is requisite that the individuals main

    household must be located in the country, many families living in Laredo still declare their

    properties in Nuevo Laredo as main homes, even if they remain deserted. This trend has also

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    limited the development of the housing market, because many houses are neither inhabited

    nor put on the market for sale.

    The Big Push to Modernize Local Government

    When these turbulent times are analyzed with the benefit of hindsight, it may well be that the

    effort to transform local government and opening it up to civil society will remain as the

    greatest achievement of the local elite. This is no negligible outcome in a country like Mexico

    that, as one longtime student of Mexico put it, has been quite reluctant to decentralize given

    its long history of presidentialism and centralization.57 Though not explicitly conceived as a

    survival strategy, it is clear that NLs elite needed a new societal goal in order to reignite the

    self esteem characterizing Nuevo Laredonians but at a low ebb at the time.

    Most conversations showed a wide consensus among interviewees that both the

    sources and consequences of the violence surrounding narcotics-related organized crime

    could not be tempered by tougher security policy only. In general terms, the mood transpiring

    from government officials, businessmen, and members of civil society was that of a city

    caught in the crossfire from increasing violence derived from the drug cartels turf wars and

    the inability of the myriad Mexican law enforcement agencies to tackle narcotics-related

    crimes effectively.58 Even if important changes were introduced in the way local police

    forces conducted themselves as part of a city under constant movement of people and goods

    57Merilee S. Grindle, Going Local: Decentralization, Democratization, and the Promise of Good Governance,

    New Jersey, Princeton University Press, 200758

    There is a wide consensus in most studies and specialists regarding law enforcement in Mexico today about

    the disconnection between the wide range of existing institutions to tackle with narcotics-related violence,

    both at the national, state, and local level. Although there is legislation seeking to bring together the three

    levels of government in fighting crime (national, state, and municipal), the lack of cohesion has become a great

    burden in the war against drugs. See EGAP (Tecnolgico de Monterrey), Informe de avance de las Propuestas

    del Tecnolgico de Monterrey para mejorar la Seguridad Pblica en Mxico, Monterrey, October 2010.

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    to cross the border, there would always remain inconsistencies in the way law is enforced

    when it comes to narcotics-related crimes.

    The modernizing strategy of the 2007-2010 local administration goes back to the time

    when the President of the Municipal Government, Ramn Garza Barrios was representative

    in the state legislature. At the time he pushed for approval a legislation supporting the

    organization of civil society both at the state and municipal level.59 In 2007, after his election

    these ideas and plans became more realistic as a formula for action, which for politicians is

    like blood to the body. Against the backdrop of a deadly eruption of drug-related violence,

    the new team began to enforce the new law in Nuevo Laredo.

    The President of the municipality and his team60 claim having changed a traditionally

    government-led system of ruling to a more citizen-oriented type of government. The high

    level of narcotics-led violence during 2004 up to 2006 had eroded public confidence in local

    government to historic lows. In taking office, the teams assessment was that the main

    consequence of bad communication with society and the absence of support for civil society

    organizations was a very low confidence in government. The government had become

    isolated from its constituents. Therefore the core of the new strategy was to restore

    confidence through promoting civil society participation. Only a new relationship with

    society would restore the governments authority, cracked at its foundations by the explosion

    of organized crime.

    The models Nuevo Laredo chose to build on were four. A first was the Italian

    experience of Leoluca Orlando in Palermo, Sicily, against the Mafia, based on the notion that

    59LEY DE FOMENTO A LAS ACTIVIDADES DE LAS ORGANIZACIONES DE LA SOCIEDAD CIVIL EN EL ESTADO DE

    TAMAULIPAS, D E C R E T O No. LIX-938, 31 de mayo del ao 200060

    In July 2010, when the field work took place, a new President of the Nuevo Laredo Municipal Government

    had been elected to be the successor of Ramn Garza Barrios. We interviewed both incumbent and elected

    mayors.

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    in the battle against organized crime not only weapons count.61 Secondly, the experience of

    Medelln, the capital of narcotics business for more than two decades in Colombia, put into

    effect by former Mayor Sergio Fajardo, inspired by the motto: The most beautiful buildings

    for the poor.62 Thirdly, the importance Chilean post-Pinochet governments have given to

    civil society organizations in rebuilding democratic governance. Fourth, how the political

    combat of Spanish society against ETA was possible only when the Spanish people were fed

    up.63

    Arguably, however, in order to advance any new government strategy Nuevo Laredo

    like any other government in its place required more than will power. The location

    advantages described in earlier sections have put the city in a good financial position to try

    the waters of open government. Table 3 provides income per capita data from a sample of

    municipalities from Tamaulipas. Of all cities in Tamaulipas, Nuevo Laredo holds the highest

    per capita income, 3,513.70 pesos per person in 2005, compared with the states average

    2,018.46 pesos per capita, or with other high income municipalities such as Matamoros

    (1,913.09 pesos), a small city like Altamira (2,807 pesos per person), or that of another

    border city like Reynosa (1,474 pesos per person). Other sources, such as the study by PUEC

    quoted above, agree with this privileged position of NL. In dollar terms Nuevo Laredo was,

    by 2004, the municipality with the highest per capita rank in Tamaulipas ($10,888), followed

    by Matamoros and Reynosa ($10,128 and $9,980 respectively).64

    61Leoluca Orlando, Mayor of Palermo led a battle against crime that paid off handsomely. See his experience

    in Leoluca Orlando, Fighting the Mafia and Renewing Sicilian Culture, San Francisco, Encounter Books, 2001.62

    Simn Romero, Medellns Nonconformist Mayor Turns Blight to Beauty. The New York Times, July 15,

    2007.63

    These concepts came out of a discussion with the mayor and his closest advisors.64

    Puec, Ibid, p 46.

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    Most importantly, compared to other cities in Tamaulipas, Nuevo Laredo derives most

    of its income not from income tax or other forms of direct taxation, but from other sources, in

    this case the share accruing from customs and border crossing fares, which is shown in Table

    3. This explains why, when compared to other border cities, Nuevo Laredos level of

    taxation-derived income of local government revenue is far lower than other border

    municipalities such as Juarez, Mexicali, Piedras Negras or Reynosa. This is shown in Table 4.

    In sum, Nuevo Laredos location and infrastructure have granted the city and its elites an

    edge in terms of revenue allowing the kind of public investment needed for a citizen-

    participation strategy.

    What has been the orientation of the citizen-led government in Nuevo Laredo? What

    have been its main achievements? In 2007, after intense consultations with representatives of

    local society, the local government launched a Municipal Development Plan 2008-2010. One

    of the Plans milestones was the creation of a government with high citizen participation.65

    The four main objectives for local participation were: FIRST, help civil society

    organizations upgrade their capabilities in order to act as better partners in assuming tasks

    previously in governments hands. SECOND, promote the creation of new civil society

    organizations. THIRD, bring social leaders, business representatives, and other social actors

    to participate in public policy design and supervision. FOURTH, translate civil society

    participation and action into institutions, by way of creating institutes to perform an array of

    tasks, from urban planning and development to promoting gender equality. 66

    65Nuevo Laredo, Ciudad con valor, citys website:

    http://www.nlaredo.net/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=93:nato-restore-

    ties&catid=42:rokstories66

    Figure 3 in Annex portrays a working model followed by the municipality to implement the new relationship

    with civil society.

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    Local participation has been an important clue for action in several areas. One case in

    point is the battle against poverty. The policies targeted marginalized population substantially

    underserved in health services and living in dwellings with dirt floors or with no sanitation

    facilities. The rationale was to integrate the population of poor colonias. After meetings with

    local leaders, the government selected five colonias to cover alternatively electricity

    provision, cement floors and latrines, as well as promoting a first clean water contract.

    The process involved direct participation of recipient families in advancing the

    changes. In total around 1,000 persons benefitted from participating in the project. The

    program also included a subprogram of temporary jobs, targeting 500 jobs for cleaning public

    areas. Another project or subprogram targeted 6 colonias with 7,500 people with no access to

    primary health care, who participated in a self-construction project for a dispensario or

    primary health care facility. The same applied to housing for one colonia with 1,148

    inhabitants, which began with a pilot project targeting 10 families the first year.67

    Another interesting program, with international recognition from the UN, is co-

    investment, which seeks direct participation of civil society organizations in advancing

    projects. The logic followed has the municipal government allocating part of the funding

    while the organization in question are responsible for the remaining part, either with own

    funds or through participation of third parties. It covers a wide range of projects (a total of 42

    were projected to have occurred by mid-2010). They included actions for the elderly, primary

    health care, violence against women, retraining for the unemployed, sterilization of

    abandoned animals, mental health, and others. Co-investment involved equipment

    acquisition, workshops, software, food supply, public campaigns, supplies for families

    67Taken from Gobierno Municipal de Tamaulipas, Plan De Accin para el Combate a la Pobreza Extrema,

    Seguimiento y Avance, Presentation, June 2009.

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    affected by houses set on fire, and many others. In 2010 the municipal government allocated

    $8,889,124.01 for co-investment projects, which was matched with $2,489,353.4 by civil

    society organizations.68 Naturally, when compared with annual expenditure of the

    municipality, it still remains a small proportion of the total (3.65 percent of the part of the

    budget destined to subventions and subsidies, see Table 6.)

    The main instrument to grant the effective participation of civil society has been the

    creation of the Society/Government Council,69 an aggregate of different actors, such as

    legally-registered nonprofits, business and professional organizations, representatives from

    the municipal government (including its president), and other individual members from civil

    society. By design, the municipal government has a minority of members in the

    Society/Government Councils board of directors. The council runs two committees, one for

    evaluation and another for technical/consulting functions.

    One important role of the Council is promoting new civil society organizations. In

    order to register, civil society organizations have to fulfill certain requirements, such as

    having structured bylaws, for which the council provides advice. To procure funds, the

    council suggests co-investment strategies, including potential donors. The council also

    provides ways for upgrading managerial capabilities of new and old organizations. In sum,

    the rationale is to create strong organizations as partners, which may then be able to assume

    tasks more efficiently than the government on its own.

    68Proyectos Aprobados, Programa de Coinversin Social, 2010, Nuevo Laredo, Ciudad con valor, citys website:

    http://www.nlaredo.net/index.php?option=com_joomdoc&view=docman&gid=55&task=cat_view&Itemid=12

    9

    69See Figure 3.

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    Another major change has been to promote greater transparency and accountability.

    This takes place through several measures. In the council, the evaluation committee follows

    through decisions and achievements regarding ongoing projects. All recommendations of the

    committee are binding. But also the diffusion of expenditures and consultations over where/

    and to whom public funds were destined.

    Merilee Grindle has argued that from the perspective of local societies,

    decentralization in Mexico has occurred by taken advantage of four possible opportunities:

    Political competition, state entrepreneurship, public sector modernization, and civil society

    activism.70 Viewed through these analytical glasses, it is clear that political competition

    played a very small role in influencing the move toward more open government. Tamaulipas

    has been historically a highly PRI-controlled state, so the incentives from local competition

    were absent. It may have had an impact internally in the PRI, but that remains to be

    substantiated. The above discussion suggests that the two dominant factors in NLs process of

    opening up local government to civil society have been essentially state entrepreneurship and

    civil society activism.

    The municipal government has also advanced other important actions, in particular

    streamlining the government organization in order to upgrade it to meet international

    standards71 and its effort to bring law enforcement more in tune with societal needs.

    Specialized branches of police have been created, like industrial, school, and tourist police,

    which has included special recruitment, training/retraining, and equipment/vehicles to pursue

    their new roles. At the same time, there have been efforts to upgrade the typical profile of law

    enforcers more in line with changes in Tamaulipas overall, as well to seek measures to

    70Grindle, Ibid ps 10-12.

    71 In particular the use of ISO 9000 and other total quality techniques to eliminate waste and boost efficacy.

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    increase indirect compensation, such as scholarships for policemen children or participation

    in broader health plans.72

    Conclusions

    In this chapter we have sought to explore broadly the prospects of Nuevo Laredos economic

    development, as it struggles with the impacts of illegal drugs-related criminal activities and

    the consequences of the war on drugs launched in the country after 2006. The main results

    can be summarized in five theses.

    The first relates to the political economy of NL as a border city under an open drug

    war: the outbursts of violence over the last five to ten years, no matter how irregular they may

    have been, have created deep uncertainty. This in turn blurs the distinction between the short,

    the medium and the long term, with negative consequences for both economic and

    government decision making; hence the title of one of the sections likening violence to Santa

    Claus. Though the city shows no dramatic economic slowdown, even faring well in

    Tamaulipas as far as employment is concerned, investment in manufacturing has been scant,

    as well as in other sectors such as mall construction and housing. As a consequence, NL has

    been sticking to its primary economic function of managing international trade as a result of

    its privileged location on the U.S. border. Under the current circumstances, stagnation of

    other sources of dynamism may hinder the possibilities of a stronger NL, inasmuch as

    Mexico advances toward a greater integration with the U.S. Thus, the city should consider

    tackling additional advantages that play out with its main commercial role, such as the

    development of human capital in logistics, robotics, computer science, and software.

    72 Interview with a security officer from the municipality.

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    A second thesis concerns the specifics of drug-related violence in NL. Tamaulipas in

    general and NL in particular have increasingly become violence-ridden places, where the

    open rift between a long established DTO (the Gulf Cartel) and its recent competitor (the

    Zetas) has wrought havoc throughout the state. Violence has concentrated, though not

    exclusively, along the border. The fact that other sub-regions have not been spared is

    illustrated by the assassination in July 2010 of governor-to-be candidate. It seems, however,

    that the build up to the current levels has followed a different path in NL than in places such

    as Ciudad Jurez. In the latter, the structure of the illegal drug business reveals an evolution

    of initially non-sophisticated drug dealer groups to the full-blown Jurez cartel. The dramatic

    impacts suffered by Jurez, such as the high number of orphans and the near to a quarter

    million people that have fled the city are consistent with local drug traffickers evolving into

    mature DTOs as they take advantage of existing negative social capital. Conversely, in NL

    the initial groups were wiped out from the city and most probably substituted by cadres from

    the Zetas in the name of the Gulf Cartel until the current war between the latter two came to

    the open. This thesis requires further substantiation, especially regarding the genesis of the

    DTOs currently controlling traffic in NL and to what extent they were built or not on the

    organization and manpower left behind by the Chachos and the Texas. Though we have

    illustrated the case of Nuevo Laredo by comparing it with Ciudad Jurez, we do think that the

    positive vs. negative social capital notion can be fruitfully applied to other cities in order to

    examine the potential for both survival and the rejection of what could be called the

    syndrome of surrender to narcotics takeover.

    A third thesis points to the importance of the local elite in creating and strengthening

    both strategies (survival, rejection of syndrome). In the Nuevo Laredo case the elite happens

    to be very cohesive, to the extent that it originated, has expanded and been nurtured around

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    the international trade business, which appears to have generated an ethos of efficiency,

    achievement, and stubbornness when facing difficulties. This cultural factor, transpiring from

    the history of the city and from the customs business organization, came out eloquently from

    most interviews. It is one of the main citys assets and has led to solid elite building that has

    transpired into other aspects of social life: business, government, and academia. Again, it can

    be a methodological tool for other locations and could be explored in greater depth using

    more sophisticated analyses.

    The fourth thesis derives from the role of open government both in quelling the

    impacts of drug-related violence and in improving governance. Despite the slow motion of

    decentralization in Mexico, which advanced against the very strong presidential and

    centralizing tradition of the PRI era, NL has been able to promote a quiet revolution in the

    form of opening the municipal government to the participation of civil society. Based on the

    social ethos mentioned in the third thesis, the current generation of leaders has attempted an

    ambitious plan to grant myriad NGOs both voice in decision making and in running many

    programs formerly in the exclusive hands of the local government. Though not always

    spelled out explicitly as a strategy to counter the impacts of drug-related violence, it has been

    designed to achieve greater confidence in government. The extent to which this major gain in

    governance will endure in successive administrations is still an open question, despite

    continuous pledges by government officials that the institutional infrastructure created in the

    last four years would grant it.

    Last but not least, the fifth thesis points to the importance of NL as part of a larger

    border aggregate in conjunction with its sister city, Laredo in Texas. Though the phenomenon

    is not restricted to these two cities, applying as it does to a long list of US/Mexico twin cities,

    NL and Laredo have become integrated to a greater extent than other examples due to their

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    intimate economic relationship, built as a result of intense international trade. Hence, its

    family ties have grown in complexity with capital reaching both sides and in some cases

    diversifying into other sectors. Given the open relationship both governments enjoy, it would

    seem that a greater integration in security policy and in infrastructure for the future is of more

    importance than in other twin cities, especially if we consider that the time when customs

    disappear entirely is not so distant in the future.

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    Annex 1. The Michael Porter Diamond Model

    The Porter model is a synthesis of how different elements play out in the working of a given industry

    (city or region). See Figure below for a better description. The upper box describes the main

    composition and characteristics of the industry: its structure, if oligopolistic or openly competitive,

    the dominant strategy characterizing the firms, and how the extent to which rivalry is present. The

    factors box at the left indicates the dominant resource endowments, such as cost of labor,

    geography determining location patterns, etc. The box to the right shows the main dynamics of the

    market in terms of demand, if it is segmented or undifferentiated and so on. Related and supporting

    industries at the bottom refer to the cluster nature of competitiveness in a given industry, in the

    sense of not being isolated from other connected industries from which it gains value, knowledge, or

    a network of support. Finally accessory haphazard factors can play a role and there is also a place for

    the role of government when (and if) it occurs. For a full description see, Michael Porter

    The Porter Diamond

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:The_Porter_Diamond.svghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:The_Porter_Diamond.svg
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    Annex 2: Maps

    Map 1.

    Routes Into and From Nuevo Laredo

    Source: ICCE-Nuevo Laredos Competitive Advantages, June 2010

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    Map 2.Organized Crime Killings in 2010, by State

    Source: Viridiana Rios & David Shirk,Drug Violence in Mexico, Data & Analysis Through 2010. Trans-BorderInstitute, University of San Diego, February 2011

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    Annex 3. Tables

    Table 1. Evolution of Drug-Related Murders Over Time

    (Selected States)Absolute Number of Drug-Related Killings Identified(by six month increments)

    ProportionOf National Total

    Rate Per100,000Inhabitants

    Jan08-Jun08

    Jul08-Dec08

    Jan09-Jun09

    Jul09-Dec09

    Jan10-Jun10

    All2009

    Jan10-Jun10

    Jan09-Jun09

    Jan10-Jun10

    CHH 587 1062 896 1186 1491 31.6% 25.8% 28.66 43.9

    DUR 112 156 343 294 471 9.7% 8.2% 22.7 30.37

    GRO 134 153 313 325 434 9.7% 7.5% 10.73 13.81

    NLE 43 35 29 70 279 1.5% 4.8% 0.81 6.27

    SIN 247 433 294 473 1127 11.6% 19.5% 11.69 42.48

    TAM 55 55 26 23 338 0.7% 5.9% 0.85 10.58

    Source: Duran, Hazard & Rios, 2010 Mid-Year Report on Drug Violence in Mexico

    Table 2. Crime Statistics in Nuevo Laredo.

    Crime 2006 2007 2008 2009 Comparative(%)

    Kidnappings 5 8 2 1 87.50

    Homicides 165 49 34 24 85.45

    Thefts/Shops 19 21 16 6 71.42

    Thefts/Vehicles 1,653 1,520 1,280 1,022 29.32

    Thefts/Other 1,409 1,889 1,269 1,354 38.17

    Source: ICCE, Ibid

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    Table 3. Gross Income of Selected Tamaulipas Municipalities

    Gross Income2005

    Tax Derived Income2005

    Population Per capitaIncome

    TAMAULIPAS 6 104 329 785 456 245 627 3,024,238 2018.46

    Reynosa 776 820 026 136 469 028 526,888 1,474.35

    Nuevo Laredo 1 250 269 538 60 029 842 355,827 3,513.70

    Tampico 567 546 227 57 097 150 303,924 1,867.38

    Matamoros 884 151 838 54 183 787 462,157 1,913.09

    Victoria 448 282 819 32 658 610 293,044 1,529.74

    Ciudad Madero 380 234 421 26 353 672 193,045 1,969.66

    Altamira 456 555 995 25 731 971 162,628 2,807.36

    Ro Bravo 183 677 946 13 891 577 106,842 1,719.15

    Mante, El 176 738 725 11 226 051 112,061 1517.16

    Source: Sistema Municipal de Base de Datos, INEGI, Finanzas Pblicas; Authors own calculations.

    Table 4. Tax Derived IncomeBorder Municipalities Compared (2005)

    Jurez 590 891 992

    Mexicali 352 270 595

    Nogales 41 734 314

    Nuevo Laredo 60 029 842

    Piedras Negras 35 427 087

    Reynosa 136 469 028

    Tijuana 556 014 130

    Source: Ibid

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    Table 5. Annual Per Capita Income in Border Municipalities(2000 and 2005 in US dollars)

    2000 2005

    Nuevo Laredo 10.530 11.667

    Mexicali 12.633 12 512

    Piedras Negras 11.820 8.548

    Reynosa 9,651 12.720

    Tijuana 14.017 16.148

    Nogales 6.896 8.085

    Source: ndice de desarrollo humano municipal en Mxico 2000-2005UNDP, 2008

    Table 6. Expenditure of Nuevo Laredo Municipality 2008-2009(In Pesos)

    2008 2009*

    Subsidies & Subventions 300 901 052.6 243 202 678. 24

    Public Works 574 346 579.6 754 049 887. 26

    Municipal Services 399 949 080.7 333 050 677. 20

    Debt 86 730 900,8 244 375 105. 51

    *Until NovemberSource: Estado de Ingreso/ Egresos, Municipio de Nuevo Laredo (2008,2009).

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