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Transcript of Vietnam Petrochemicals 2010 - Petrochemicals+10.pdf  2010 petrochemicals report issN 1749-2564...

  • 2010www.businessmonitor.com

    petrochemicals report

    issN 1749-2564published by Business monitor international ltd.

    VietNamINCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2014

  • Business Monitor International Mermaid House, 2 Puddle Dock, London, EC4V 3DS, UK Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 email: subs@businessmonitor.com web: http://www.businessmonitor.com

    2009 Business Monitor International. All rights reserved. All information contained in this publication is copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor International, and as such no part of this publication may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher.

    DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained.

    Vietnam Petrochemicals Annual Report 2010 Including 5-year industry forecasts by BMI

    Part of BMIs Industry Survey & Forecast Series

    Published by: Business Monitor International

    Publication date: December 2009

  • Vietnam Petrochemicals Annual Report 2010

    Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2

  • Vietnam Petrochemicals Annual Report 2010

    Business Monitor International Ltd Page 3

    CONTENTS

    Executive Summary .........................................................................................................................................5

    SWOT Analysis.................................................................................................................................................7

    Vietnam Petrochemicals Industry SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................... 7 Vietnam Political SWOT........................................................................................................................................................................................ 7 Vietnam Economic SWOT..................................................................................................................................................................................... 8 Vietnam Business Environment SWOT................................................................................................................................................................... 8

    Global Market Overview...................................................................................................................................9

    Global Petrochemicals Overview .......................................................................................................................................................................... 9 Table: World Ethylene Production By Country, 2009 And 2014 (000 tonnes capacity) ....................................................................................... 9 Table: World Petrochemicals Capacities, 2009 (000 tpa) .................................................................................................................................. 13 Global Oil Products Price Outlook...................................................................................................................................................................... 18 Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, Q108-Q409 (US$/bbl)............................................................................................................................ 20 Table: Oil Product Prices, 2007-2014 (US$/bbl) ................................................................................................................................................ 21

    Emerging Asia Petrochemicals Overview ...................................................................................................22

    Table: Asian Ethylene Projects............................................................................................................................................................................ 24

    Vietnam Market Overview..............................................................................................................................25

    Regulatory Structure............................................................................................................................................................................................ 25

    Industry Trends And Developments ............................................................................................................27

    Table: Vietnams Petrochemicals Projects .......................................................................................................................................................... 27

    Business Environment ..................................................................................................................................30

    Asia Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings............................................................................................................................................ 30 Table: Asia Pacific Petrochemicals Business Environment Ratings .................................................................................................................... 30 Limits Of Potential Returns.................................................................................................................................................................................. 30 Risks To Realisation Of Returns .......................................................................................................................................................................... 31 Vietnams Business Environment Outlook ........................................................................................................................................................... 31

    Industry Forecast Scenario...........................................................................................................................37

    Table: Vietnams Petrochemicals Sector, 2007-2014 .......................................................................................................................................... 37 Macroeconomic Outlook...................................................................................................................................................................................... 38 Table: Vietnam Economic Activity 2007-2014.................................................................................................................................................. 40

    Company Monitor...........................................................................................................................................41

    PetroVietnam....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Vinachem ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 44 Petronas............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 45

    Country Snapshot: Vietnam Demographic Data.........................................................................................47

    Section 1: Population........................................................................................................................................................................................... 47 Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030........................................................................................................................................................ 47 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 ....................................................................................................................................................... 48 Section 2: Education And Healthcare.................................................................................................................................................................. 48 Table: Education, 2002-2005 .............................................................................................................................................................................. 48 Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030........................................................................................................................................................................ 48

  • Vietnam Petrochemicals Annual Report 2010

    Business Monitor International Ltd Page 4

    Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ................................................................................................