Video Measurement: results unveiled
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Transcript of Video Measurement: results unveiled
VIDEO MEASUREMENT: RESULTS UNVEILED
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PRESENTATION SPEAKERS
Cheryl IdellEVP, Client Solutions,
Nielsen
Kris MagelChief Investment Officer,
Initiative
Eric SolomonSVP, Global Product Leadership,
Nielsen
Adam GerberVP, Sales Development
and Marketing, ABC Television Network
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AGENDA
Time Topic Presenter
11:00 am Evolution of Video and Measurement Cheryl Idell
11:05 am Agency Perspective Kris Magel
11:20 am Media Perspective Adam Gerber
11:35 am Nielsen Roadmap Eric Solomon
11:45 am Roundtable discussions:1. How will the video business evolve (3-5 yrs)?2. If you were Nielsen CEO, what investments would
YOU make (2-3 years)?
12:15 pm Open group dialogue
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C360 2013 INTRODUCTION
Distributors and programmers are going big in 2013
and 2014
Measurement is a critical enabler and must be in place
Consumers are primed and ready
Third wave of TV innovation—place
shifting—is upon us > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
The Big Bang
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CONSUMERS ARE DRIVING RAPID CHANGEAccelerating change in our future
1950s& 1960s
Black & White TV
First Satellite Broadcast
1970s& 1980s
Rise of Cable TV
More Advertiser-Supported Networks
Video Games
VCR
1990s–2005
Digital & Internet Revolution
DVD DVR VOD
2006–Present
Smartphones HDTV Tablets
Over-the-top Distribution
Smart TV with Social Capabilities
App-Driven Digital World
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MEDIA COMPANIES ARE RAPIDLY MAKING CONTENT AVAILABLE ON MOBILE DEVICES
104 April 2013
118 February 2014
OPERATING SYSTEMS
43% | 24%iOS only
57% | 76%iOS and Android
62% | 35%Short Form
CONTENT TYPE
15% | 36%Live Streaming
23% | 28%Full Episode Vod
AD MODELS
45% | 50%Digital+Pre-Roll
3% | 10%DAI
7% | 11%Linear
44% | 29%No Advertising/Banner Only
Most programmers have announced a substantial expansion of ad-supported simulcasts and VOD with a DAI adload until c3is measureable—and then both models will be in the market.
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NIELSEN IS CONDUCTING RESEARCH TO FUEL MOBILE MEASUREMENT
• Electronic Mobile Measurement Panel = 16,000
• National Probability Survey = 4,000
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TABLET SHARING
M 2-12
M 13-17
M 18-24
M 25-34
M 35-44
M 45-54M 55+
F 2-12
F 13-17
F 18-24
F 25-34
F 35-44
F 45-54F 55+
65%49%
33%49% 53%
32%19%
66%51%
41%49% 50%
39% 34%
35%51%
66%51% 47%
68%81%
34%49%
59%51% 50%
61% 66%
Almost half of respondents share their tablet with a household member. Household members aged 2–12 are most likely to use the respondent’s tablet.
Weighted data; among tablet users (N=2,024) and among persons living with tablet users (N=3,892).
52%
48%
No
Yes
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Children's
programming
Comedy
Drama
Feature films
NewsSports
Variety
User-g
enerated content
Other
26%
36%
27% 28%31%
19%16%
56%
8%
14%
33%
14% 13%
30%
18%13%
53%
4%
Tablet
Smartphone
CO-VIEWING BY GENREUser-generated content is the genre most likely to be co-viewed, and it is co-viewed almost as much on tablets as it is on smartphones.
Weighted data; among all viewers (1,590 tablet; 2,370 smartphone).
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THE INDUSTRY NEEDS RESOLUTION AROUND SEVERAL BUSINESS ISSUES
Business ModelsDigital RightsPrivacy Metrics
ADVERTISING PERSPECTIVE
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HOW NEW CHANNELS, DATA AND TECHNOLOGY CAN MAKE TV ADVERTISING EVEN MORE POWERFUL
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CHANGING LANDSCAPE HAVE YOU WORRIED?
• TV Fragmenting, usage levels falling, prices climbing• DVRs enabling commercial avoidance in half of US homes• Consumption across screens exploding• Younger audiences favor portable screens, gaming, online
and mobile video, hate traditional ads• Multi-screen usage is distracting viewers, making TV
advertising less effective
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W50+ M50+
-1%-1%
W25-54 M25-54
-4%-5%
W18-24 M18-24
0%
-2%
W18-34 M18-34
-3%
-6%
W18-49 M18-49
4Q104Q114Q124Q13
-3%
-5%
T12-17
-6%
W35-64 M35-64
-2%-3%
YES, IT’S TRUE…Traditional TV usage has begun to fall among younger viewers
Source: Nielsen Media View, TV Usage 4Q10–4Q13
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CONSUMPTION BY PLATFORM IS DIVERSIFYING
1Q12 1Q13 4Q13
82%61%
45%
14%28%
40%
4%11% 15%
Mobile/Tablet
Connected TV
PC
% Viewing by Platform, Hulu
Source: Hulu internal data
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FUELED BY GROWTH IN TECHNOLOGY
DVR VOD OTT Broadband Smartphone Contracts
Tablets Connected TV's
Connected Consoles
0
50
100
150
200
250
20122017
+20%
+26%
+222%
+25%
+60%
+71%
+76%
+88%
Source: MAGNAGlobal Projections
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C2-11 T12-17 A18-24 A25-34 A35-49 A50-64
1.9 2.22.6
4.33.9
3.3
2.1 2.3
3.1
4.84.4 4.5
2.4 2.5
4.7
5.75.2
4.6
Hours Per Week—On Demand ViewingVOD, DVR, PC, Mobile Video
1Q111Q121Q13
ON-DEMAND VIEWING IS ON THE RISE
Source: Nielsen Cross Platform Report; On-demand viewing includes DVR playback, PC streaming, and video on mobile phones.
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LARGELY OFFSETTING DECREASES IN LIVE TV VIEWING
1Q11 1Q12 1Q13
33.42 32.32 32.43
3.08 3.49 4.13
Persons 2+ Live vs On-Demand
On Demand
Live TV
36.50 35.81 36.56+63 min
Source: Nielsen Cross Platform Report; On-demand viewing includes DVR playback, PC streaming, and video on mobile phones.
-59 min
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C2-11 T12-17 A18-24 A25-34 A35-49 A50-64 P2+0
50
100
150
200
250
Hours Per Month w/Video
Live TV Time-Shifted TV Online Streaming Mobile Video
TV STILL REPRESENTS THE VAST MAJORITY OF VIDEO USAGE, EVEN AMONG YOUNGER AUDIENCES
3.5%
Source: Nielsen Cross Platform Report, 1Q13
11.4%15.1%
10.5%7.3%
4.5%
7.5% % Online/Mobile Video
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TODAY’S VIDEO ECOSYSTEM OFFERS OPPORTUNITY TO COMPLEMENT TELEVISION IN WAYS NEVER BEFORE POSSIBLE
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VIDEO IN 2014 REQUIRES A HOLISTIC APPROACH
• Demand for traditional TV is sufficient to continue to result in CPM inflation
• Traditional TV is not reaching some of your best customers• Alternative sources of video reach lighter TV viewers• Data can help us discover untapped ways of reaching
customers through traditional TV
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TV HAS NEVER BEEN PERFECT ON ITS OWN
% U.S.
Heaviest Viewers Average Viewers Lightest Viewers
% TV Viewing
40% 20% 40%
74% 15% 11%
Source: Nielsen, 12/13 TV Season Average
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TV Total Day Hulu.com
74%
25%
15%
37%
11%
35%
Heavy TV Users
Avg. TV Users
Light TV Users
ON-DEMAND HELPS US BALANCE OUT LIGHT TV VIEWERS
% Share of Media Usage
Source: Nielsen 12/13 TV Season Average; Hulu.com internal data; Note: 3% of Hulu.com visitors did not watch TV for 6+ minutes in Dec. 2012.
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THE BEST PLACE TO FIND LIGHT TV VIEWERS IS OUTSIDE THE HOME
Gyms/H
ealth Clubs
Inside T
axis
Office Build
ings
Shopping M
alls
Airports
Gas Sta
tions
Restau
rants/
Bars
Cinema
Sports
Arenas
Retail S
tores
Medica
l Offices
152
134130
126 126 125 124120
115112
108
Viewed last 30 days by A18–49 Light TV Viewers
Source: 2013 Spring GfKMRI. A18–49 Q IV & QV TV viewing quintiles and DPb Media.
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Environment-focused approach:Content-driven, multi-screen, sponsorship
Audience-focused approach:Data and technology to target customers, not age/sex demos
EMERGENCE OF AUDIENCE-BUYING IN TV AND VIDEOComplementary reach, frequency and purity against key target segments
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– On-Demand– Across all screens
TV, VOD, online, mobile, tablets
– Web-endemic original programming
– Cinema, place-based– Multi-cultural
Total market approach
A HOLISTIC VIDEO APPROACH WILL COMPLEMENT TV, NOT REPLACE IT
ENVIRONMENT AUDIENCE
– Leverage data and technology
– Extend reach and core target composition
– Target customers, not age/sex demographics
AMPLIFICATION
– Social TV amplification– Target
exposed/unexposed TV viewers
– Custom content– Multi-screen experiences– Gamification
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IN THE LONG RUN, A HOLISTIC APPROACH EXPANDS THE MARKET AND IS GOOD FOR MARKETERS
One video budget across all screens
Traditional TV, on-demand across all screens, cinema
and place-based
More competitive landscape
Adding high quality impressions at efficient prices
to the TV marketplace
Greater use of data and technology
To deliver efficient, incremental reach of customers and more
attention to every ad
Long-term view
Influx of high quality original programming, distributed across more players and
platforms, will ultimately result in more choice and greater
efficiency for advertisers
MEDIA PERSPECTIVE
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THE CHALLENGE
We need a go forward “measurement model”
Video is everywhere Technology and data have complicated how and what we transact
Scaled marketplaces require efficiency, transparency, and units of trade (i.e. liquidity)
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SOME TRUTHS (MAYBE)…
• We “measure” for various reasons (pre, during, post)• How we “transact” and how we “value” can differ• It’s not about Digital and TV…its about supply and demand• We have multiple video marketplaces
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TODAY’S “AUDIENCE” LANDSCAPE1 3 7 35
C3 Ratings
Limited measurement/no monetization
No demos for ads/limited monetization
2+, OCR/VCE & proprietary measurement, DAI
2+ & proprietary measurement, DAI
2+ & proprietary measurement, DAI
Unit ad model No ad model Mixed ad model Impression ad model
Live TV/DVR
VOD
Online (web browser)
Mobile (app)
Connected TV (app)
Day
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UnitAnchored to Show
C3 Ratings“Ad Pods”
ImpressionAnchored to UserCensus“Campaigns”
Constrained
AUDIENCES
Infinite
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TWO AUDIENCE MARKETPLACES EVOLVE
Live TV/DVR
VOD
Online (web browser)
Mobile (app)
Connected TV (app)
Day?1 3 7 35
C3 Ratings
Unit ad model No ad model Impression ad model
DAI with Varying Measurement
?
?
?
Unit Model
DAI Model
C?
DAI M
odel
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ULTIMATELY, IT’S ABOUT IMPRESSIONS
Unit of tradeAbility to price
Seller Buyer
ValueDemographics
Reach/ImmediacyUser Characteristics
EngagementConversion/CPA
ValueLifetime Value
Supply/DemandContent CostEnvironment
Etc.
Impressions
MOBILE MEASUREMENT UPDATE
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THE 2014 PLAN
Delivered in 2014
Credit mobile viewing to linear TV ratings
Launch Digital Program Ratings (DPR)
Add mobile impressions to OCR/DPR
Digital Linear
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WE ARE ALMOST THERE
DIGITAL PROGRAM RATINGS MOBILE OCR MOBILE CREDIT TO TV RATINGS
Design Develop Test Launch R1 Launch R2
On schedule—August
Design Develop Test Launch
On schedule—July
Design Develop Test Internal Preview Industry Preview Launch
Preview/Launch announcement coming in July!
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WHAT’S NEXT?Roadmap items for 2015
Cross-platform Program Ratings (XPR)
OTT and game console crediting to Linear and
Digital TV ratings
PC/Mac crediting via census/SDK
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YOUR OPPORTUNITY TO SHARE AND CONNECT!Table Talk time
What will the videobusiness model be
in the next 5 years?
How would you invest the next $100 at Nielsen?
The Questions