Ventures Industry and Investment Trends in UAVs August 15 ... UAV... · Aerial Photo Business...
Transcript of Ventures Industry and Investment Trends in UAVs August 15 ... UAV... · Aerial Photo Business...
VesnaVentures
Industry and Investment Trends in UAVs August 15, 2018
Overview
Industry Landscape Investor Trends Funding Pathways Takeaways
Rapid Growth
• Consumer drone shipments will reach 29 million by 2021 (CAGR 31.5%).
• Enterprise drone shipment will reach 805k in 2021 (CAGR 51%).
• DoD FY2018 budget request contains $6.97B for procurement, R&D, and system-specific construction.
Market Size and Growth
Market Size and Growth
Applications Reported Drone Usage in the US (FAA, 2017)• 34% photography • 26% construction and industrial
inspection• 26% real estate • 21% agriculture Energy and mining companies make 11%
of their total investments in drones. Power &utilities and industrial products make 7% of their total investments in drone tech.
Market Growth
Part 107 effective date08/29/2016
Part 107 published06/28/2016
Growing opportunities for service providers
FAA Registered Drone OperatorsUS
Top States
1. California 6. Illinois
2. Florida 7. North Carolina
3. Texas 8. Ohio
4. New York 9 Pennsylvania
5. Colorado 10. Georgia
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Construction
Survey
Inspection
Real Estate
Aerial Photo
Business Applications
Looking Ahead
Market Segments for Service Providers
Large Market Players
DJI (Dajiang) Innovations (privately held) – Shenzhen, China70% of drone marketSeveral different product lines: Phantom, Spark, Zero Zero Robotics’ Hover Camera
AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV)~$270M revenue Focus area: surveillance, tactical A leader in military drones, entering commercial space with QuantixRaven done model is most widely used small-scale drone in the world
Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA)2017 revenue $310 MFocus area: video Manufacturer of chip in GoPro camera Supplier for DJI
Large Market Players
GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO)Focus area: videoMount cameras to consumer level drones (Karma series)Target audience: hobbyists, professionals, and adventurers
3D Robotics (Privately held) – Berkeley, CaliforniaFocus: high tech, autonomous drones for “everyday exploration and business applications”Developed the first true "Follow Me" technology
Small Market Players
AUVSI study of 5,500 exemptions from Sept 2014 until Part 107 enactment • More than 5,200 businesses• Over 90% earn <$1M annual
revenue and <10 employees 0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
< $1M $1M to $10M $100M to $1B $1B+
Operator Revenue
Ohio UAS ManufacturersTYPE PLATFORM CITYManufacturer Horsefly‐ Octocopter LovelandManufacturer EH4 ‐Quadcopter SpringfieldManufacturer/Supplier/Distributor Commercial/in‐house ElyriaManufacturer Fixed Wing New PhiladelphiaManufacturer Fixed Wing AkronManufacturer Fixed Wing BeavercreekManufacturer Fixed Wing EnglewoodSupplier Electric Motor GreenvilleSupplier Electronic Control Units West ChesterSupplier Radio Frequency Communication Systems Middletown Supplier Propellers PiquaSupplier Circuit Cards and Cable Harnesses DaytonManufacturer/Supplier/Distributor UX5 and ZX5 platforms, GIS Systems, Data Analysis Programs DaytonSupplier Flight Data Systems, Power Solutions MansfieldSupplier Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Composite Structure Fabrication DaytonSupplier Electronic Systems PerrySupplier Speech Control Devices BeachwoodSupplier Radomes, Antennas, Sensors and Arrays DaytonManufacturer Halo Dayton
Landscape
Source: Droneii2018
Unmanned Platform Manufacturer
Services
Components and Systems
Software
Counter Drone
Shows, Conferences, Events
Coalitions, Organizations & Initiatives
User G
roups, Netw
orks
MarketplaceTest Sites
Insurance
Media, News, Blogs & Magazines
UAS Risk Capital Trends
• Size and number of investment deals trending upward since 2012• CB Insights projected 122 total deals worth $506M in 2017
• Majority of funding is for early stage ventures • Seed and Series A accounting for 62% of total funding in H1 2017
Fundraising Stages CapitalPre‐Seed Seed Series A
Revenue $0 >$5K per month >$100K per monthProduct No MVP MVP / Beta
Early releaseAll systems go!
Customer/Revenue Growth Customer Validationor Pilot complete
Beginning 10% per month for 6+ months
Cofounding Team 1‐4 Cofounders 2‐4 Cofounders full time 2‐4 Cofounders full timeExec Team Founders Founders + 1‐5 Founders + 5‐20Board of Advisors 1‐2 industry credible advisors 3‐6 Serial Entrepreneurs
and/ or industry experts6+ Serial Entrepreneurs, investors and/or industry
expertsBoard of Directors None 1‐2 cofounders 2 founders and 1 Serial
Entrepreneur, Investor or Industry Captain
Runway No funding yet but you should have personal cash
flow
6‐18 months 6‐18 months
Raise Target Amount $50k ‐ $250k $500k ‐ $2m $2m to $10m
Source: CapitalPitch 2016 (Australia)
Most Active Drone Investors 2012-2017Investor Rank Investments
Nondilutive Funding/Support
State • i-Corps at Ohio• TVSF • Regional ESPs (The Entrepreneurs Center)Federal • SBIR/STTR
GovernmentPB18 by Department
Takeaways• Large and growing market• Crowded space, including international players• Government funded techs areas tend to have a higher success rate • VC funding is trending up with a concentration in earlier stages • Not all firms are venturable• Success stories from companies that have transitioned from
military to commercial (AeroVironment)• Opportunities for service providers • Opportunities for complementary component parts or service
providers like GoPro