Ventura- Budget 2013
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Transcript of Ventura- Budget 2013
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Friday, 16th Mar, 2012
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Union Budget 2012-13
Tall fiscal deficit projections; implementation is the key
Keeping the increasingly complex political landscape in mind, the Finance Minister, MrPranab Mukherjee has presented a compromise budget (in which the specifics of fiscaldiscipline were not dealt with) with the intent to get it passed in the Parliament. The intentto keep subsidies capped to less than 2% of GDP is encouraging and implies that policymeasures to be introduced in due course would help reign in the subsidy escalation.
While the subsidy cap is a step in the right direction, it seems a bit unrealistic given the
firm oil prices and the embargo on Iran which threatens us with run away oil prices. Inwhich case the fiscal discipline would be out of control leading to higher marketborrowings. A case in point is the budgetary allocation of Rs 53,640 crore to petroleumsubsidy of FY12 which was way behind the actual subsidy of Rs 68,481 crore and that toowhen the average oil prices were much lower than the current Brent crude price of $125 perbarrel.
Already the governments borrowing at Rs 4,79,000 for FY13 is higher than that of lastyear. This is an uncomfortably large number and will ensure that the interest rates willremain elevated, at least in the immediate future. Further if strict fiscal discipline is notadhered to then we risk the danger of higher borrowings leading to fuelling of inflation andcrowding out the private sector from the credit markets hampering growth and make theprojection of GDP growth of 7.35 - 7.85 look ambitious.
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Union Budget 2012-13
Real GDP and its growth rate
6.7%
8.4% 8.4%
6.9%
7.6%
8.60%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
2008-09 2009-10 2011-12 2011-12E 2012-13E 2013-14E
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Fiscal Deficit
6.4%
4.7%
5.9%
5.1%
4.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 RE 2012-13 2013-14
As%
ofG
DP
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Subsidy targets continue to be ambitious
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
Food Fertilizers
Petroleum Interest and Others
Subsidies as a %of GDP (RHS)
To be capped at 2%
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Union Budget 2012-13
Market Borrowings galloping away
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
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Union Budget 2012-13
Budgetary Measures
The government has taken several initiatives to boost revenues, scale down expenditure,resolve mechanisms to curtail subsidy outflow and provide a boost to investment, savingsand development of capital markets. These are enumerated below :-
Revenue measures along expected lines
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
Corporation tax Income tax Wealth Tax
Customs Union Excise Duties Service Tax
Taxes of the Union Direct Indirect
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Revenue Measures- Indirect tax
The excise duty and service tax have been increased to 12% from 10% while a largenumber of services have been bought under the service tax net (by clearly defining 17services on the negative list).
Merit rate from 5 per cent to 6 per cent and the lower merit rate from 1 per cent to 2 percent with few exemptions.
No change proposed in the peak rate of customs duty of 10 per cent on non-agriculturalgoods.
Basic customs duty reduced for certain agricultural equipments and their parts.
Customs duties: Reduced for agri, thermal power producers, LNG, coal mining, railwayequipment, textiles inputs, while duties on cigarettes and tobacco were raised.
Full exemption from basic customs duty for import of equipment for expansion or settingup of fertiliser projects upto March 31, 2015.
Levy of excise duty of 1 per cent on branded precious metal jewellery to be extended toinclude unbranded jewellery.
Branded Silver jewellery exempted from excise duty.
Film industry exempted from service tax on copyright relating to recording ofcinematographic films.
Proposals relating to service tax are estimated to result in a net revenue gain of Rs 18,660crore for the year.
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Union Budget 2012-13
Revenue measures - Direct Taxes
Exemption limit for the general category of individual taxpayers proposed to be enhancedfrom Rs 1,80,000 to Rs 2,00,000 giving tax relief of Rs 2,000
Slabs have been relaxed further as under: 10% of tax on income from Rs 2 lacs to Rs 5 lacs 20% of tax on income from Rs 5 lacs to Rs 10 lacs 30% of tax on income from Rs 10 lacs and above
Rajiv Gandhi Equity Saving Scheme to allow for income tax deduction of 50% to new retailinvestors, who invest upto Rs 50,000 directly in equities and whose annual income is belowRs 10 lakh to be introduced. The scheme will have a lock-in period of 3 years
Deduction of upto Rs 10,000 on interest from savings bank accounts.
Allow deduction of upto Rs 5,000 for preventive health check up
Senior citizens not earing income from business operations to be exempt from advance taxpayments
MAT introduced to 18.5% for individuals
STT reduced by 20% on delivery transactions to 0.1%.
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Direct Tax Proposals and their impact
The direct tax proposals of the Union budget will lead to a revenue loss of ~ Rs 4,500 croreto the exchequer.
Added benefits include relaxation in deduction of up to Rs 10000 for interest from savingsbank accounts to help small tax payers of income up to Rs 5,00,000 and Rs 5000 forpreventive health check
Old Slab Tax Rate (%) New Slab
Up to Rs1,80,000 0% Up to Rs 2,00,000
Rs 1,80,001-Rs 5,00,000 10% Rs 2,00,001 - Rs 5,00,000
Rs5,00,001-Rs 8,00,000 20% Rs 5,00,000 - Rs 10,00,000
Above Rs. 8,00,000 30% Above Rs 10,00,001
Taxable Income Pre-Budget tax Post Budget tax Saving
2,00,000 2,000 0 2,000
5,60,000 44,000 42,000 2,000
11,00,000 1,82,000 1,60,000 22,000
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General Anti Avoidance Rule
Significant General Anti Avoidance Rule (GAAR) measures, including empowering theIncome tax department to open cases dating 16 years back in cases of assets held abroadshould also help to bolster the kitty. Further it has also been made mandatory to reportassets held abroad by assessees.
To deter the generation and use of unaccounted money
Tax collection at source on purchase in cash of bullion or jewellery in excess of
Rs 2 lakhs Tax collection at source on trading in coal, lignite and iron ore
Increasing the onus of proof on closely held companies for funds received fromshareholders as well as taxing share premium in excess of fair market value
Taxation on unexplained money, credits, investments, expenditures etc., at thehighest rate of 30 per cent irrespective of the slab of income
Tax deduction at source on transfer of immovable property (other than
agricultural land) above a specified threshold.
Extension of Alternate Minimum Tax (AMT) on all persons other than companies i.e. wherethe regular income-tax payable by a person (other than a company) is less than thealternate minimum tax payable for such previous year, the adjusted total income (if greaterthan Rs 20 lakhs) shall be deemed to be the total income and he shall be liable to payincome-tax on such total income @ 18.5%.
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Moderate growth in expenditure forecasted
On the expenditure front, the government is emphasising on the Effective Revenue Deficit(to address the structural imbalances in the revenue account) and the Medium termExpenditure Framework (which would help set forth a rolling target for expenditureindicators). The former would help in reducing the consumptive component of the revenuedeficit and create space for increased capital spending, while the latter would help inallocating resources for prioritised schemes and weeding out others that have outlived
utility.
While interest payments, defence and subsidies are expected to go up sharply, other nonplan expenditure items are to be maintained at more or less last years levels. However theworrying factor is the increase in interest payments to 3.2% of GDP
On plan expenditure the encouraging news is that the government has not gone overboard
in its allocation, however the allocations to energy sector which has been kept at last yearslevels is slightly disappointing.
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Non Plan Expenditure
(Rs. in Crore) 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE Chg BE 13/12
Interest Payments and Debt
Servicing234022.1 267986.2 275617.7 319759.4
19%
Defence 154116.7 164415.5 170936.8 193407.3 18%
Subsidies 173419.6 143569.7 216296.7 190015.1 32%
Assistance to States from
NCCF/NDRF4179.3 4525.0 4525.0 4620.0
2%
General Elections 49.8 84.5 84.5 91.5 8%
Payment against Debt Waiver andDebt Relief Scheme for Farmers
11340.5 6000.0 1500.0 0.0-100%
Postal Deficit 6161.7 5017.7 5573.1 5727.1 14%
Reimbursement of losses to
Railways634.4 657.9 652.0 600.0
-9%
Subsidy to Railways towards
dividend reliefs and concessions2013.3 3022.6 2598.3 3003.9
-1%
General Services 101611.3 103225.9 108802.3 120086.1 16%
Social Services 35014.2 20861.1 19708.5 20784.1 0%
Economic Services 24685.4 21694.2 20294.8 20479.2 -6%
Other Non-Plan Exp 86290.9 85646.8 71550.9 95946.5 12%
Amt met from Famers Debt relief
fund and NCCF/NDRF-15240.5 -10525.0 -6025.0 -4620.0
-56%
Total 818298.6 816182.1 892115.6 969900.3 19%
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Non Plan Expenditure
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
RE - I nt Payment & Debt Servicing RE- Defence
RE- Subsidies RE Others
CE- Loan and Advances to State, UT CE- DefenceCE- Others Capital Expenditure (CE)
Revenue Expenditure (RE)
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Interest Payments
2.8%
2.9%
2.9%
3.0%
3.0%
3.1%
3.1%
3.2%
3.2%
3.3%
3.3%
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
Int. Payment and Debt Servicing (LHS) Interest Payment as a %of GDP (RHS)
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Plan Expenditure
(Rs. in Crore) 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE Chg BE 13/12
Agriculture and Allied Activities 15715.7 14744.1 14854.8 17692.4 20%
Rural Development 42059.9 46292.1 39132.2 40763.5 -12%
Irrigation and Flood Control 476.5 565.3 489.3 1275.0 126%
Energy 110977.1 155495.2 147189.5 154841.9 0%
Industry and Minerals 35951.3 45213.8 40580.9 57226.8 27%
Transport 94205.3 116860.9 109205.5 125357.1 7%
Communications 10335.7 20255.5 11994.4 15411.4 -24%Science Technology & Environment 11921.2 16186.3 12712.7 16591.7 3%
General Economic Services 13680.8 15802.1 19420.4 24777.3 57%
Social Services 127633.0 153812.2 157056.2 188871.7 23%
General Services 1359.8 7229.7 5536.2 8700.7 20%
Total 464316.1 592457.0 558172.0 651509.3 10%
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Union Budget 2012-13
Plan Expenditure
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE
Rs. in Crore
RE- State Plan RE- Central Plan
CE- State Plan CE- Central PlanCa ital Ex enditure CE Revenue Ex enditure RE
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Measures to control subsidy spending seem to be ambitious
On the issue of subsidies, while the food subsidies including the Food Security Act havebeen completely provided for, the balance subsidies would be provided to the extentpossible keeping in mind the cap of 2%.
The roll out of the mobile- based Fertiliser Management System (mFMS) will not only helpin curtailing misuse of fertilizer subsidy, but also provide direct transfer of subsidy to theretailer (and eventually to the farmer) while providing information on end to end movement
of fertilizers and subsidies.
Pilot project for selling LPG at market price and reimbursement of subsidy directly into thebeneficiarys bank account is being conducted in Mysore. Similarly, a pilot project ondirect transfer of subsidy for kerosene into the bank accounts of beneficiaries has beeninitiated in Alwar district of Rajasthan and eventually it will be rolled out in at least 50selected districts within the next six months.
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Union Budget 2012-13
Measures to augment savings / investments and boost capital markets
To promote investments and improve depth of the capital markets, a number of measuresare being introduced like
Allowing Qualified Foreign Investors (QFIs) to access Indian Corporate Bond market
Simplifying the process of issuing Initial Public Offers (IPOs)
Two-way fungibility in Indian Depository Receipts
Providing electronic voting facilities for wider share holder participation in theimportant decisions of the companies.
In addition a new scheme called Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme is being introduced.The scheme would allow for income tax deduction of 50 per cent to new retail investors,who invest up to Rs 50,000 directly in equities and whose annual income is below Rs 10lakh. The scheme will have a lock-in period of 3 years. The details will be announced indue course.
Further funds deployed in gold purchases (which have grown by 50% and has been one ofthe primary drivers of the current account) have been competing with other sources ofinvestments. In order to discourage investments in gold, the basic customs duty has beenincreased from 2% to 4% on standard gold bars and on non standard gold from 5% to 10%.In sync with this , the basic duty on gold ore, concentrate and ore bars for refining is beingenhanced from 1% to 2%. On the excise side, duty on refined gold is being increased inthe same proportion from 1.5% to 3%.
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Union Budget 2012-13
Measures to augment savings / investments and boost capital markets(contd)
Further relaxation in ECB limits particularly to part finance rupee debt of existing powerprojects and allow ECB for capital expenditure on the maintenance and operations of tollsystems for roads and highways (so long as they are a part of the original project) areinvestment boosters for the Infrastructure sector. Further, permit to ECB for workingcapital requirements of the airline industry for a period of one year, subject to a totalceiling of $1 billion would help the ailing aviation sector significantly.
The restriction on venture capital funds to invest only in nine specified sectors (under SEBIregulations of 1996) is proposed to be removed which is likely to enhance capital flow intothe high growth sectors that have substantial capital requirements. So far, venture fundscould only invest in information technology, software, nanotechnology, biotechnology,basic drugs and seed development and research, bio-fuels, hotels, dairy and poultryprojects in India.
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Union Budget 2012-13
Legislative Reforms to be undertaken in the current budget session
The Micro Finance Institutions (Development and Regulation) Bill, 2012
The National Housing Bank (Amendment) Bill, 2012
The Small Industries Development Bank of India (Amendment) Bill, 2012
National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (Amendment) Bill, 2012
Regional Rural Banks (Amendment) Bill, 2012
Indian Stamp (Amendment) Bill, 2012
Public Debt Management Agency of India Bill, 2012
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Union Budget 2012-13
FRBM Act
Introduction of amendments to the FRBM Act as part of Finance Bill, 2012.
Concept of Effective Revenue Deficit and Medium Term Expenditure Frameworkstatement are two important features of amendment to FRBM Act in the direction ofexpenditure reforms.
Effective Revenue Deficit is the difference between revenue deficit and grants for creationof capital assets. This will help in reducing consumptive component of revenue deficit andcreate space for increased capital spending.
Medium-term Expenditure Framework statement will set forth a three-year rolling target forexpenditure indicators.
Recommendations of the Expert Committees to streamline and reduce the number ofcentrally sponsored schemes and to address plan & non-plan classification to be kept inview while implementing Twelfth Plan.
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Budget Summary
(Rs. in Crore) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE Chg 12 BE/RE Chg BE 13/12
Revenue Receipts 572,811 788,471 789,892 766,990 935,684 -3% 18%
Net Tax Revenue 456,536 569,869 664,457 642,252 771,070 -3% 16%
Non tax Revenue 116,275 218,602 125,435 124,738 164,614 -1% 31%
Capital Receipts 453,062 402,427 447,837 576,396 555,241 29% 24%
Recoveries of receipts 8,613 12,420 15,020 14,258 11,650 -5% -22%
Other Rec iepts (Dis investments) 24,581 22,846 40,000 15,493 30,000 -61% -25%
Debt Reciepts 419,868 367,161 392,817 546,645 513,591 39% 31%
Draw Down Balance of Cash (1,386) 6,430 20,000 (24,664) -
Total Receipts 1,024,487 1,197,328 1,257,729 1,318,722 1,490,925 5% 19%
Non Plan Expenditure 721,096 818,299 816,182 892,117 969,900 9% 19%
Non Plan Revenue 657,925 726,491 733,558 815,741 865,596 11% 18%
Interest Payments 213,093 234,022 267,986 275,618 319,759 3% 19%
Non Plan Capital 63,172 91,808 82,624 76,376 104,304 -8% 26%
Plan Expenditure 303,391 379,029 441,547 426,605 521,025 -3% 18%
Plan Revenue 253,884 314,232 363,604 346,201 420,513 -5% 16%
Plan Capital 49,507 64,797 77,943 80,404 100,512 3% 29%
Total Expenditure 1,024,488 1,197,328 1,257,729 1,318,722 1,490,925 10% 19%
GDP Nominal 6,550,271 7,877,947 8,986,860 8,912,179 10,159,884 -1% 13%
Gross Fiscal Deficit 418,483 373,591 412,817 521,981 513,591 26% 24%
Fiscal deficit as a % of GDP 6.4% 4.7% 4.6% 5.9% 5.1% 28% 10%
Revenue Deficit 338,998 252,252 307,270 394,952 350,425 29% 14%
Revenue deficit as a % of GDP 5.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 3.4% 30% 1%
Primary Deficit 205,389 139,569 144,831 246,363 193,832 70% 34%
Primary deficit as a % of GDP 3.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 1.9% 72% 18%
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Sectoral Measures and Impact
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Sector Summary
Sector Budget Impact Key Highlights
Automobiles NeutralNo additional excise duties on diesel cars &
increase in excise duty from 10% to 12%
Aviation Neutral Slight increase in duties
Banking / FinancialServices
NeutralRe-capitalization of PSU banks & Reduction of
STT
Capital Goods Negative No import duty imposed on power equipments.
Cement NeutralInfrastructure spending to boost demand, cost
pressures to persist
FMCG / ConsumerDurables
Neutral Increase in excise duty from 10% to 12%
Fertilizers Positive
Abolition of import duty; Increase in Export &
Ad valorem Duty
Healthcare / Pharma NeutralTax exemptions for in-house R&D extended
further by 5 years
Infrastructure PositiveChange in duty structure and reduction in duty
of critical raw material
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Sector Summary
Sector Budget Impact Key Highlights
IT / BPOs NeutralRs. 14,232 crore allocated to complete
enrolment of 40 crore persons under UIDmission
Media Neutral No declaration on raising FDI limits
Metals & Mining NeutralImport duty on flat-rolled steel enhanced from
5% to 7.5%
Oil & Gas NegativeCess on crude petroleum oil produced in India
revised to Rs 4,500 per metric tonne.
Power / Utilities PositiveCoal India advised to sign FSA with power
plants and full exemption from basic customsduty on fuel
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Autos and Autos Ancillaries
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Increase in excise duty fromcurrent 10% to 12%.
Excise duty raised to 12% and duty on large carsraised from 22% to 24%.
Negative
No additional excise ondiesel cars
No additional excise duty on diesel carsimposed.
Positive
Higher allocation to ruralsector
Custom duty to be increased on completely builtlarge cars/SUVs/MUVs of value exceeding$40,000 to 75% from 50%
Positive
N/AExemption of import duty on specific partsrequired for manufacturing of hybrid vehicles
Positive
No imposition of excise duty on diesel vehicles a major positive
Impact Companies
Gainers Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki India Ltd, Tata Motors
Losers
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Aviation
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Direct Import of ATFDirect import of Aviation Turbine Fuel permittedfor Indian Carriers. However infrastructuredevelopment would take 2-3 years.
Neutral
Proposal to allow foreignairlines to participate up to49% of the total equity.
Under active discussion. Positive
N/A ECB to be permitted for WC requirement (up to$1bn) for a period of one year.
Positive
N/A Basic custom duty exemption on import ofaircraft parts.
Marginally Positive
No timeline on enhancement of FDI limit
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Union Budget 2012-13
Banking and Financial Services
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Interest subvention for loansto SEBs.
No Declaration Negative
Reduction of STT by 20% to 0.1% on cashdelivery transactions
Positive for Motilal Oswal,Edelweiss and IIFL
Clarity on Private SectorBank Licenses
No Declaration Negative for L&T Finance,Shriram Transport
Allocated Rs 15,888 crore for Capitalization ofPublic sector banks and financial institutions
Negative for PSB`s
Permission to raise funds byissuing long-term infra bonds
Permission granted for long term infra bondsPositive for IFCI, ICICI andIDFC , PFC and REC
Double the limit of tax-free infrastructure bonds
to raise Rs 60,000 crore in this year
Positive for ICICI, IFCI,
REC and IDFCReduction in FD lock-inperiod to 3 years from 5 years
No Declaration Neutral for all Banks
MFI Bill a major positive
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Union Budget 2012-13
Banking and Financial Services
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Agricultural credit is targeted to increase toRs5.75 lakh crore (21% yoy basis)
Neutral for All Banks
Microfinance institutions(development andregulation) bill to be passed in this year
Positive for SKSMicro finance
Interest subvention of 1% on housing finance
loans up to 15lakh
Positive for Banks and
HF`s
National Housing banks Bill to be passed thisyear
Positive for NBFC- HF`s
Int. subvention up to Rs 10,000 from savingsbank account holders (salary income upto Rs 5Lacs)
Neutral
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Capital Goods
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Imposition of 19% importduties (currently nil) onpower generation equipment
No declaration Negative
Expect 10% hike in capitaloutlay for defense sector
Defense capital outlay up by 14% to Rs 79500crore
Marginally positive
Increase in depreciation rate No declaration Negative
Higher allocation to R-ARDRPAllocation to R-ARDRP up by 53.0% to Rs 3114crore.
Positive
No declaration on levy of import duties on power equipments
Impact Companies
Gainers BEL, Siemens
Losers BHEL, BGR Energy, L&T
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Cement
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Higher infrastructurespending
Government to spend Rs 25 lakh crore in the12th Five year plan
Positive
Review of the duty structureon imports of Coke, Pet Coke(current 2.5%) and Gypsum
No declaration Negative
Government spending to boost demand
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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FMCG/Consumer Durables
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Increase in excise duty by10 12% for cigarettes.
Increase in basic excise duty on cigarettes ofmore than 65mm length by 10% advaloremIncrease in basic excise duty on hand-rolledbidis from Rs 8 to Rs 10 per thousand and onmachine-rolled bidis from Rs 19 to Rs 21 per
thousand
Positive for ITC and VSTIndustries
Increase in excise duty fromcurrent 10% to 12%.
Excise duty increased to 12% from 10% Neutral for the sector
Clarity on FDI in retail sectorEfforts being put for consensus on FDI in multi-brand retail
Neutral for retail sector
Higher allocation to ruralspending
Allocation of Rs 73,175 crore as againstRs 74,100 crore
Negative for the sector
Full exemption from basic customs duty on LCDand LED TV panels
Positive for the sector
Hike in excise duty
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Union Budget 2012-13
Fertilizers
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Urea will be brought underthe NBS regime
Mobile-based Fertilizer Management System onmovement of fertilizer and subsidies
Positive
Per unit subsidy to be cutunder the Nutrient BasedSubsidy (NBS) system fornon-urea fertilizers
Government to finalize pricing and investmentpolicies for urea
Positive
Viable Gap Funding for capital investment Positive
Full exemption from basic customs duty forimport of equipment for expansion or setting upof fertilizer projects
Positive
Reduction of customs duty on some watersoluble & liquid fertilizers other than urea, from
7.5 per cent to 5 per cent and from 5 per cent to2.5 per cent;
Positive
Policies on urea to be the decision maker
Impact Companies
Gainers Nagarjuna Fertilizer, Chambal Fertilizer
Losers
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Healthcare / Pharma
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Higher Weighted Deductionfor R&D (From 150% to 200%)
Weighted deduction remains unchanged,however tax exemptions for in-house R&Dextended further by 5 years
Positive
Tax holiday on healthcare inTier II and III towns should beextended from 5 years to 10years
No declaration
Increased spending onhealthcare
Rs. 20,822 crore earmarked for National RuralHealth Mission against Rs. 18,115 crore in FY11.
Positive
In line with expectations
Impact Companies
Gainers
LosersSun Pharmaceuticals, Cadilla Healthcare (impacted negatively due to domesticformulations partnerships bought under perview of MAT)
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Infrastructure
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Higher infrastructurespending
Infrastructure spending in Twelfth Plan period togo up to Rs. 50 lakh crore.
Positive
Increased spending onBharat Nirman
Rate of withholding tax for interest payment onECBs proposed to be reduced from 2% to 5% for3 years for certain sectors.
Positive
Higher allocation to roadtransportation
Allocation to road transport enhanced by 14% toRs. 25,360 crore.
Positive
Increase in limit forinfrastructure bonds
Exemption from import duty on certainequipment needed for road construction
Positive
Higher spending on ruraldevelopment
Plan outlay for rural development is Rs. 73,175crore
Neutral
Higher investment limits forFII in corporate bonds
Increased spending to boost growth
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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IT / BPOs
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Revival of these benefitsunder section 10A/B of theIncome tax Act for STP/EOUunits
No Declaration
Financial incentives for IT-BPO vendors who take upeGovernance projects
Rs. 14,232 crore allocated to complete enrolmentof 40 crore persons under UID mission
Neutral.
Abolishing MAT levy on theSEZ developers/ units andcarry forward of MAT creditentitlement for an indefiniteperiod
No Declaration
Budget A non event for the sector
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Media
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Raising of FDI limit forbroadcast carriage servicesto 74% (Current Radio 26%,DTH -49% and Cable 49%)
No Declaration
Reduction of customs dutyon digital head ends and settop boxes (current 5%)
No Declaration Negative
Relief from levy andcollection of service tax onsubscription charges
Service tax rate increased from 10% to 12%. Negative
Amortization rules forintangibles like license fees
paid by radio broadcasters
Film industry will get tax exemption oncopyright relating to recording of
cinematographic films
Positive
Lack of steps on FDI limit, weakens investor sentiments
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Metals & Mining
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Rise in import duty on HotRolled Coils (steel) fromprevailing 5% to 10%.
Import duty on flat-rolled steel enhanced from5% to 7.5%
Positive for the domesticsteel companies
Reduction or removal of 5%
import duty on coke / cokingcoal
Basic customs duty on machinery for surveyingand prospecting minerals reduced from 10% or7.5% to 2.5%. Full exemption from basiccustoms duty to coal mining projects
Neutral for mining sector
Export duty on Iron Ore finesand lumps (low grade fines)may be reduced to 20% fromthe current level of 30%
Reduced basic customs duty on plant &machinery imported for setting up/ expansion ofiron ore pellet plants or iron ore beneficiationplants from 7.5% to 2.5%
Positive for the iron orepelletisation industry
Increase in import duty on
manganese ore from 2% to5%. No declaration
Positive policies to improve investment scenario
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Oil & Gas
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Cess on crude petroleum oil produced in Indiarevised to Rs 4,500 per metric tonne.
Negative
Removal of current 5% importduty on LNG & natural gas.
Only for Power Generation Neutral
Oil and Gas, LNG storage facilities, oil & gaspipelines eligible for VGF (Viability GapFunding)
Neutral
Declaring Goods Status tonatural gas & LNG to limitsales tax to less than 5%.
No declaration No Impact
Reduction in excise duty ofbranded diesel
No declaration Negative for OMCs
Increase in cess a major disappointment
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers Cairn India, ONGC
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Power / Utilities
Budget Expectations Budget Declaration Impact
Reduction/removal of dutieson imported coal but nochanges in cess for coal
Coal India advised to sign FSA with powerplantsFull exemption from basic customs duty and aconcessional CVD of 1% for a period of twoyears till March 31, 2014 for steam coal
Full exemption from basic duty to natural gasand LNG
Positive for the powersector
Tax-free bonds of Rs 10,000 crore allocated topower sector
Positive for the powersector
To allow External Commercial Borrowings (ECB)to part finance rupee debt of existing powerprojects
Positive for the powersector
Withholding tax on interest payments on ECBsto be reduced to 5% from 20% Positive for the powersector
Bag full of positives
Impact Companies
Gainers
Losers
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Miscellaneous
Budget Declaration Impact
Coal India to sign FSAs with power projects commissioningcompanies before 31stMarch15
Negative impact for Coal India
Cascading impact of dividend distribution tax to be eliminated All companies
No excise duty on branded silver jewellery whereas non branded
gold jewellery to attract 1% excise dutyBranded Jewellery Players
Increase in excise duty from 1.5% to 3% on import of refined gold
Exemption of basic custom duty for waste paper NR Agarwal, Rainbow Paper, TNPL
Abatement on excise duty for branded retail business enhanced to70% from 55% earlier, reducing the incident of duty from 4.5% to3.6%
Shoppers Stop, Pantaloon, Provogue
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Appendix
U i B d t 2012 13
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Receipts
(Rs. in Crore) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE Chg BE 13/12 Chg 12 BE/RETotal Receipts 1,024,487 1,197,328 1,257,729 1,318,722 1,490,925 19% 5%
Revenue Receipt 572,811 788,471 789,892 766,990 935,684 18% -3%
Tax revenue (Gross) 624,527 793,072 932,440 901,664 1,077,611 16% -3%
Corporation tax 244,725 298688 359990 327680 373227 4% -9%
Income tax 132,315 146587 172026 171879 195786 14% 0%
Wealth Tax 507 687 635 1092 1244 96% 72%
Customs 83,324 135813 151700 153000 186694 23% 1%
Union Excise Duties 103,621 138299 164116 150696 194350 18% -8%
Service Tax 58,422 71016 82000 95000 124000 51% 16%
Taxes of the Union 1,614 1982 1973 2317 2310 17% 17%Less: Share of State, UT 164,832 219303 263458 255414 301921 15% -3%
Less: Transfer to NCCF 3,160 3900 4525 3998 4620 2% -12%
Tax Revenue for Centra l (Ne t) 456,536 569,869 664,457 642,252 771,070 16% -3%
Non Tax Revenue 116,275 218,602 125,435 124,738 164,614 31% -1%
Interest Receipts 21,756 19733 19578 20125 19231 -2% 3%
Dividends and Profits 50,248 47992 42624 50122 50153 18% 18%
Other non-tax 44,271 150877 63233 54491 95230 51% -14%
Capital Receipt 453,062 402,427 447,837 576,396 555,241 24% 29%
Debt Receipts 419,868 367,161 392,817 546,645 513,591 31% 39%
Market Borrowings 398,424 325414 343000 436414 479000 40% 27%
Other short, medium & long term l (9,769) 7759 15000 116084 9000 -40% 674%
External Debt 11,038 23556 14500 10311 10148 -30% -29%
Others 20,175 10,432 20,317 -16164 15443 -24% -180%
Non Debt Receipts 33,194 35,266 55,020 29,751 41,650 -24% -46%
Recoveries of loan and Advances 8,613 12420 15020 14258 11650 -22% -5%
Others 24,581 22846 40000 15493 30000 -25% -61%
Draw Down Balance of Cash (1,386) 6430 20000 -24664 0 -100% -223%
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Expenditure
(Rs. in Crore) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE % Change Chg 12 BE/RETotal Expenditure 1,024,488 1,197,328 1,257,729 1,318,722 1,490,925 19% 5%
Non Plan Expenditure 721,096 818,299 816,182 892,117 969,900 19% 9%
Revenue Expenditure 657,925 726,491 733,558 815,741 865,596 18% 11%
Int. Payment and Debt Servicing 213,093 234022 267986 275618 319759 19% 3%
Defence 90,669 92061 95216 104793 113829 20% 10%
Subsidies 141,351 173420 143570 216297 190015 32% 51%
Others 212,812 226,988 226,786 219,033 241,993 7% -3%
Capital Expenditure 63,172 91,808 82,624 76,376 104,304 26% -8%
Loan and Advances to State, UT 83 85 85 75 85 0% -12%
Defence 51,112 62056 69199 66144 79579 15% -4%
Others 11,976 29,667 13,340 10,157 24,640 85% -24%
Plan Expenditure 303,391 379,029 441,547 426,605 521,025 18% -3%
Revenue Expenditure 253,884 314,232 363,604 346,201 420,513 16% -5%
State Plan 75,082 81778 95317 93604 116985 23% -2%
Central Plan 178,802 232454 268287 252597 303528 13% -6%
Capital expenditure 49,507 64,797 77,943 80,404 100,512 29% 3%
State Plan 9,408 11,301 10,709 11,595 13,013 22% 8%
Central Plan 40,099 53,496 67,234 68,809 87,499 30% 2%
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Deficit Ratios
(Rs. in Crore) 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12BE 2011-12RE 2012-13BE Chg 13/12 Chg 12 BE/REGDP Nominal 6,550,271 7,877,947 8,986,860 8,912,179 10,159,884 13% -1%
Gross Fiscal Deficit 418,483 373,591 412,817 521,981 513,591 24% 26%
Fiscal deficit as a % of GDP 6.4% 4.74% 4.59% 5.86% 5.06% 10% 28%
Revenue Deficit 338,998 252,252 307,270 394,952 350,425 14% 29%
Revenue deficit as a % of GDP 5.18% 3.20% 3.42% 4.43% 3.45% 1% 30%
Primary Deficit 205,389 139,569 144,831 246,363 193,832 34% 70%
Primary deficit as a % of GDP 3.14% 1.77% 1.61% 2.76% 1.91% 18% 72%
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