Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned...

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20 th Annual EBT: The Next Generation Conference Clearwater, Florida November 5-8, 2017 Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions Presenter: Art Burger, President/CEO [email protected] Knowledge You Can Trust!

Transcript of Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned...

Page 1: Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans. The child food basket included peanut butter only. WIC Vendor Peer Group

20th Annual EBT: The Next Generation Conference

Clearwater, FloridaNovember 5-8, 2017

Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions

Presenter:Art Burger, President/CEO

[email protected]

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WIC’s Impact in the Marketplace

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By its very structure, WIC disrupts the flow of commerce in the grocery business environment

by mandating product offerings, pricing structures, checkout transaction processes, and

revenue accounting.

Some WIC Cost Containment Strategies Aggravate this Phenomenon

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Precision is Important

“Lowering maximum purchase price without a thorough analysis can result in many thousands of food instruments above normal being rejected for payment.”

The WIC Papers, WIC Merchant Coordinators of the Southeast Region, December 1985, Atlanta, GA, pg. 9.

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To Be Effective Cost Containment/Compliance Measures Must Be “Real World” Driven

“The [WIC] edit limits have, in general, been set in an arbitrary fashion without regard to the cost-benefit or statistical considerations. Many states shift their edit limits over time in a trail and error fashion, e.g. if “too many” checks are flagged at the 20 percent edit limit, the limit is moved to 25 percent or 30 percent until the right number (the number the state staff can handle) is reached.”

WIC State Agency Guide to Vendor Monitoring, A. Burger and S. Stollmack, January 1982, Washington, DC

Page 5: Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans. The child food basket included peanut butter only. WIC Vendor Peer Group

Typical Deficiencies in Current Peer Grouping Methods

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Too Few Stores in a Group to provide Stable, Reliable Results

Grouping by Location (e.g. County, BEA) Results in Comparing Retailers Who are not Competitors in Their Respective Markets

Dated Criteria Erodes Validity Due to Changes in Marketplace (e.g. Consolidation; Big Box Outlets; Upscale, etc.)

WIC Vendor Peer Group Study, Altarum Institute, May 2017

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“Food Basket” Cost Analysis

The complete food baskets included an average per unit price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans.

The child food basket included peanut butter only.

WIC Vendor Peer Group Study, Altarum Institute, May 2017

Quantity

Cheese

Eggs

Cereal

Legumes

Fruits & Veggies

Whole Grain

Reduced fat milk

Bottled Juice

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How is Peer Grouping Relevant to Effective Cost Containment and Program Integrity?

Federal Regulations Call

for WIC to Consider

Participant Access and Small

Business Needs

Stores Differ on Inventory and

Pricing Practices

Stores Compete on Basis of Business

Dynamics

Competitive Stocking and

Pricing are Key

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Why Does Better Peer Grouping Make a Difference

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FOR WIC

Common WIC Practice to Set NTEs by Peer Group

Easy for Most Stakeholders to Understand/Accept

Allows Optimum Participant Access

FOR STORES

Each Store Evaluated on its Own Merits

Reduces Need to Limited No. of Authorizations

Best Opportunity for Small Business

Reduces WIC Visibility

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Evidence Has Long Suggested that WIC Fares Best When it is Transparent in the Marketplace

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Employing the “Business Model” to define peer groups allows for

commerce-driven cost containment and compliance promotion initiatives

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10 WIC Vendor Peer Group Study, Altarum Institute, May 2

Snapshot Peer Group StudyCATEGORY STORE NAMES / CRITERIA FOR CATEGORIZING STORES

Mass Merchandiser* Retailer that sells a wide variety of merchandise but also carries groceries and has outlets in most or all States

Discount and Limited- Assortment Chains†

Retailer that primarily sells a limited variety of low-cost merchandise but also carries a limited variety of food items

National Grocery Chain Retailer that primarily sells groceries with outlets in most or all States (>30)

National Drug Chain‡ Pharmacy retailer that sells a limited variety of food items with outlets in most or all States (>30) Regional Grocery Chain Retailer that primarily sells groceries with at least 11 outlets and operates in 2 or more States

Local Grocery Chain Retailer that primarily sells groceries with at least 11 outlets and operates in only one State Independent Grocery Retailer that primarily sells groceries with less than 11 outlets Regional or Local Drug Pharmacy retailer that sells a limited variety of food and is not a national drug chain

Other Island stores, remote location stores, tribal-owned stores, general stores, specialty markets (meat, kosher, deli)

A50, WIC Only Store that derives more than 50 percent of its total annual food sales revenue from WIC food instruments

Commissary Grocery store operated by the U.S. Defense Commissary Agency within the confines of a military installation; it can fit within any of the grocery formats

Convenience, liquor, gas stations Retailer with a limited assortment of grocery items

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Conditions of Effective PG Systems

WIC Vendor Peer Group Study, Altarum Institute, May 2017

Group stores in terms of characteristics that are known to be correlated with food costs and other business practices and characteristics that ultimately predict vendor prices (or demonstrate a correlation with those costs).

Condition 1

Minimize both the overlap of mean food prices between peer groups and the influence of individual vendors on mean food prices within a peer group.

Condition 2

Page 12: Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans. The child food basket included peanut butter only. WIC Vendor Peer Group

The Market Can Behave

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CA WIC 2 dz. Eggs, 2 Gal Milk, 2 lbs. Cheese

Page 13: Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans. The child food basket included peanut butter only. WIC Vendor Peer Group

Expanding the Business Model

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Chains and Annual Shelf RealignmentSmall Independents and Volume-based Stocking

Minimums Owner Compliance Practices Certification Routine Sourcing of Wholesale Product Purchase

Data (Example: Florida WIC)

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Learning to Read the Signals

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Milk 1 quart (n=2551)

$1.00

$1.10

$1.20

$1.30

$1.40

1 Register 2 Registers 3-4 Registers 5-6 Registers 7-9 Registers 10-13Registers

14+Registers

MeanPrice

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Milk 1 gallon (n=3059)

$2.20

$2.40

$2.60

$2.80

$3.00

$3.20

1 Register 2 Registers 3-4 Registers 5-6 Registers 7-9 Registers 10-13Registers

14+Registers

MeanPrice

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Eggs 1 Dozen (n=2549)

$0.70

$0.80

$0.90

$1.00

$1.10

$1.20

$1.30

1 Register 2 Registers 3-4 Registers 5-6 Registers 7-9 Registers 10-13Registers

14+Registers

MeanPrice

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Fluid Milk 1 Ga. -- Means by Registersn=3691

$2.17

$2.00

$2.20

$2.40

$2.60

$2.80

$3.00

$3.20

$3.40

$3.60

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No. of Registers

Mea

n Pr

ice

MeanPrice byRegisters

Linear(MeanPrice byRegisters)

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4 Cans of Powered Similac Advanced

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Other Areas of Inquiry Using EBT Data

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Participant Preferences

Efficacy of Shopping-

Related Nutrition Education

Assessment of High Risk Participant

Cohort Purchasing

Patterns

Page 23: Using WIC EBT Data to Make Program Decisions€¦ · price for peanut butter, dry beans, and canned beans. The child food basket included peanut butter only. WIC Vendor Peer Group

Questions and Contact Information

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Art BurgerBurger, Carroll & Associates

5 Bisbee Court #109-45Santa Fe, NM 87508505-982-9880 main

[email protected]

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