USER GUIDE AND EXPLANATORY NOTE FOR TINA - ESCAP
Transcript of USER GUIDE AND EXPLANATORY NOTE FOR TINA - ESCAP
USER GUIDE AND
EXPLANATORY NOTE
FOR TINA THE TRADE INTELLIGENCE AND
NEGOTIATION ADVISER
Final Draft – 20 Jan 2021 - Version 1 – For review and comments
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Contents
I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................................................. 2
1. ACCESSING TINA ............................................................................................................................................................................ 2
2. START ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................................................................ 2
II. DISPLAY CURRENT TRADE .............................................................................................................................................. 4
III. SET A NEGOTIATION PARTNER ................................................................................................................................. 5
1. OVERVIEW OF TRADING ECONOMIES ................................................................................................................................................ 5
2. BUILDING A NEGOTIATION LIST ...................................................................................................................................................... 10
3. TARIFF SIMULATION .......................................................................................................................................................................... 13
IV. PREFERENCE LOSS SIMULATION ........................................................................................................................... 18
V. LATEST DEVELOPMENTS .............................................................................................................................................. 20
VI. LITERATURE ................................................................................................................................................................. 21
List of Screenshots
Screen 1: Home Page ......................................................................................................................................... 3
Screen 2: Selecting Economies ........................................................................................................................... 3
Screen 3: Options for Negotiating for Economies ............................................................................................... 4
Screen 4: Display Current Trade ......................................................................................................................... 5
Screen 5: Bilateral Trade Negotiation .................................................................................................................. 6
Screen 6: Current Trade ...................................................................................................................................... 7
Screen 7: Trade Facilitation ................................................................................................................................. 7
Screen 8: Trade Agreements ............................................................................................................................... 7
Screen 9: Non-Tariff Measures ............................................................................................................................ 9
Screen 10: Commodity Search ............................................................................................................................ 9
Screen 11: Result of Commodity Search ........................................................................................................... 10
Screen 12: The Negotiation List ........................................................................................................................ 13
Screen 13: Build Negotiation List ....................................................................................................................... 13
Screen 14: Settings of Tariff Simulation ............................................................................................................. 16
Screen 15: Result of Tariff Simulation ............................................................................................................... 17
Screen 16: Trade Diversion Impacts on Commodity 750300 ............................................................................ 17
Screen 17: Preference Loss Simulation ............................................................................................................ 19
Screen 18: Result of Loss of Preferential Treatment ......................................................................................... 19
Screen 19: Affected Trade Flows in Simulation ................................................................................................. 20
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User Guide and Explanatory Note for TINA:
the trade intelligence and negotiation
adviser (Working version)
I. INTRODUCTION
The purpose of this guide is to narrate how to use TINA, Trade Intelligence
and Negotiation Adviser, developed by the Trade Policy and Facilitation
Section of Trade, Investment and Innovation Division of the United Nations
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). TINA is
designed to assist ESCAP member States to negotiate trade agreements
and enhance trade in support of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
Development. It provides insight on current tariffs, non-tariff measures
(NTMs), agreements and bilateral trade flows, and serves to identify key
commodities to negotiate better tariffs. Please note as TINA is continuingly
being developed, some discrepancies with the look/available features may
occur. For any queries, please contact us.
1. ACCESSING TINA
To access TINA, please type the following link into a modern web browser’s
(such as Firefox, Chrome, or Safari) address bar:
https://tina.trade
Please note, this is a temporary website until TINA is fully published.
2. START ANALYSIS
Screen 1 shows the home page of TINA. Click “GET STARTED” button to
start analysis. Further information about TINA is presented by “LEARN
MORE”.
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For the first step, a member State of ESCAP needs to be selected. Users
should type the name of an interested state in the input field. As shown in
Screen 2, Bangladesh is used as an illustrative example in this guide.
After selecting an economy to negotiate for, the page moves to Screen 3. As
shown, TINA has three features for bilateral trade negotiation (1) display
current trade, (2) set a negotiation partner and (3) stimulate preference
loss.
Screen 1: Home Page
Screen 2: Selecting EconomiesScreen 3: Home Page
Screen 4: Selecting Economies
Screen 5: Options for Negotiating for EconomiesScreen 6: Selecting Economies
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Users can either type the trade partner in the input area or scroll down the
page to check the number of trade agreements and trade balance of each
economy with Bangladesh to select one as the negotiation rival1.
II. Display Current Trade
Under the feature “display of current trade”, as shown in Screen 4, TINA
presents a pie chart illustrating the annual share of exports and imports for
the selected economy and a list of top traded commodities with 6-digit
Harmonization System Code (HS-Code). Users can switch between the data
for exports and imports by choosing from the options above and have access
to data for different years by clicking the year number in the right corner.
1 Please note, some data of trade balance are not available (import value of India from Bangladesh), so the data from UN Comtrade Database are used (the export value of Bangladesh to India is used instead).
Screen 7: Options for Negotiating for Economies
Screen 8: Display Current TradeScreen 9: Options for Negotiating for Economies
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III. Set a Negotiation Partner
1. Overview of trading economies
The second feature of TINA is the core function which provides extensive
overviews of bilateral trade, current trade agreements, Non-Tariff Measures
& tariffs, and facilitates building a negotiation list. This list can help an
economy to prioritize the goods for negotiation that will benefit most from
better market access and can form a useful starting point when formulating
a negotiation position.
For the first step, a negotiation partner needs to be selected (as shown on
Screen 3). Once a country is chosen, TINA shifts from Screen 3 to Screen 5.
There are four functions TINA supports in bilateral trade negotiation:
• The function “Current Trade” visualizes detailed bilateral trade data of
both economies. Top export and import partners of both economies are
illustrated in four pie charts and the most traded commodities are listed
with descriptions and their 6-digit HS-Code (Screen 6). For example,
Germany is the most important trade partner for Bangladesh
representing 15.2% of total exports and United States is the biggest
export destination of India. China, as the largest import source for both
economies, accounts for 31.15% of total imports for Bangladesh and
14.5% for India. India is the second largest import source for Bangladesh
as it represents 15.34% of the total, however, Bangladesh is not an
important partner for India. For commodities, top imported products of
India from Bangladesh are Trousers, Shirts etc. Users can check trade
data available from the year 2013 to 2019.
Screen 10: Display Current Trade
Screen 11: Bilateral Trade NegotiationScreen 12: Display Current Trade
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• The function “Trade Facilitation” gives a comparative picture of
implementation of trade facilitation measures between two economies
(Screen 7). Users can compare the performance of trade facilitation
more precisely across years and regions using the UNTF Survey by
clicking “Learn More” button.
Screen 13: Bilateral Trade Negotiation
Screen 14: Current TradeScreen 15: Bilateral Trade Negotiation
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Screen 16: Current Trade
Screen 17: Trade FacilitationScreen 18: Current Trade
Screen 19: Trade Facilitation
Screen 20: Trade AgreementsScreen 21: Trade Facilitation
Screen 22: Trade Agreements
Screen 23: Non-Tariff MeasuresScreen 24: Trade Agreements
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The “Trade Agreements” function generates all trade agreements which
both selected economies are a part of (Screen 8). It includes all trade
agreements involving two economies which are already signed and may be
potentially signed later (under negotiation or pending ratification). Details of
each agreement are provided in the last column.
• And an overview of Non-Tariff measures which can affect the
achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are presented
in the function “Non-Tariff Measures”. The data from both economies
and the world average for each SDG are demonstrated in a histogram
(Screen 9). In addition, users interested in NTMs on a commodities level
can search for related information by giving the HS-code of the product
in “Commodity Search” function (Screen 10). In the example for this
guide, the product “Trousers” with HS-Code “620342” is searched for.
Consequently, results seen in Screen 11 contain bilateral and world trade
values, the description of commodity, three tariff rates, values of two
comparative advantage (explanation in next part), graph of historical
trade value of selected good, list of preferential tariffs, and histogram of
NTMs on the commodity. In the histogram of historical trade of
commodities, value and unit price of exports from Bangladesh between
2013 and 2018 are illustrated by two lines. Also, it is possible to compare
value and unit price of imports from India to other countries by adjusting
options below the graph. In addition, the lists for preferential tariffs show
not only the tariffs for a specific product charged by India to Bangladesh,
also tariffs for other economies under preferential trade agreements. By
clicking the arrows near the name of agreements, economies in
agreements are showed and can be investigated further using the
histogram of historical trade. Lastly, the graph of NTMs shows the
number of NTMs on the product and can be used to investigate whether
the product of economy is discriminated by trade partner compared to
other economies.
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Screen 25: Non-Tariff Measures
Screen 26: Commodity SearchScreen 27: Non-Tariff Measures
Screen 28: Commodity Search
Screen 29: Result of Commodity SearchScreen 30: Commodity Search
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2. Building a Negotiation List
The main feature of TINA is to “Build a Negotiation List”, which allows
users to find out the most worthwhile commodities to (re-)negotiate on a
lower tariff considering different factors, such as comparative advantage.
TINA can also calculate the effect of tariff liberalization for any number of
selected commodities and access potential defensiveness of a trade partner.
To be included in a negotiation list, a product must fulfill several criteria.
These criteria are generated by Manzano (2014) and Graham et al. (2018).
In TINA, there are four filters corresponding to criteria, as showed in Screen
12. For more information about filters please click the icon.
First two filters are used to identify offensive interest. Filter 1 corresponds to
the first criterion in the paper, namely “The product must be one which trade
partner imports”. According to Graham, this criterion excludes commodities
which trade partners are not interested in and indicates remaining products
can have market access in trade partners. Furthermore, only products with
non-negligible demand of trade partners are worthwhile to be (re-)negotiated
and included in negotiation list (Graham et al., 2018, p. 14). To target these
Screen 31: Result of Commodity Search
Screen 32: The Negotiation ListScreen 33: Result of Commodity Search
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commodities, the lowest threshold of import value needs to be set in filter 1.
It is set by default to 1000 US$, users can type in or drag the slider to
change the minimum import threshold of commodities.
The second criterion ensures that the negotiation list does not include
products that are not or cannot be produced by the economy the user is
negotiating for. The first reason for this criterion is clear: if the country has no
ability to produce a good, tariffs on this good by its trade partners do not
affect anything. The possibility of the development of a new industry after
negotiations seems low as well. Another reason suggests that the country
should have capacity to increase the production of a commodity to take
advantage after a decrease of tariff (Graham et al., 2018, p. 15). Therefore,
using filter 2 users can set a minimum export threshold for commodities
from the interested economy to single out products satisfying the criterion.
The third filter is used to determine the potential of tariff decrease. To be
included in the list, a product must have imposed tariffs by the importing
country. This filter provides a choice of preferential, MFN applied, bound
tariffs at HS-6 level and any combinations among them. By default,
preferential tariffs are ignored meaning that zero tariffs under current trade
agreements are not considered. Please note, only the lowest tariff level will
be effective if a combination of tariffs is chosen. For all tariffs the maximum
at HS6 level is used and negotiators would be necessary to go into details at
tariff line to see which tariff-line products are affected.
The last two filters filtrate products so that only those that the economy has
shown comparative advantage to produce are included in the list. The
reason is that the industries with comparative advantage have the greatest
potential for expansion and the most benefits will arise in these industries
after the liberalization of tariffs. Hence, it is important to prioritize the
negotiation for these industries and ensure their products are contained in
the negotiation list. There are two indicators of revealed comparative
advantage2 used by these filters. The filter 4A uses the index of standard
revealed comparative advantage (SRCA)3 and the value is set by default to
one. A product which has an SRCA value exceeding one means that the
country exports disproportionately more of that good compared to the world
average. The filter 4B uses the bilateral revealed comparative advantage
(BRCA)4 to measure whether an economy is good at producing one good
relative to the respective trade partner (Graham et al., 2018, p. 18-19).
2 The definition of revealed comparative advantage of a good is that the ratio between export value of a good and total exports of an economy is larger than the ratio of world exports of that good relative to total world export. 3 The mathematical expression of SRCA for good 𝑘 and country 𝑖 is: 𝑆𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖
𝑘 = (𝑋𝑖,𝑤𝑘 𝑋𝑖,𝑤⁄ )/(𝑋𝑤,𝑤
𝑘 𝑋𝑤,𝑤⁄ ). 4 The mathematical expression of BRCA for good 𝑘 between country 𝑖 and 𝑗 is: 𝐵𝑅𝐶𝐴𝑖,𝑗
𝑘 = (𝑋𝑖,𝑗𝑘 𝑋𝑖,𝑗⁄ )/(𝑋𝑖,𝑤
𝑘 𝑋𝑖,𝑤⁄ ) ,
where 𝑋𝑖,𝑗𝑘 is the export of good 𝑘 from 𝑖 to 𝑗, 𝑋𝑖,𝑗 is the total export from 𝑖 to 𝑗. 𝑋𝑖,𝑤
𝑘 and 𝑋𝑖,𝑤 represent the export of good
𝑘 from 𝑖 to the world and the total export to the world respectively.
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However, this filter could be skipped, if the economy has no access into the
market of trade partner for different reasons.
The last step before generating of negotiation list is to consider whether
trade partners will act defensively during the negotiation on tariff reduction of
a product. Trade partners with strong domestic industries of the product may
be threatened by new imports and will behave in a defensive manner.
Although there are many other factors determining a defensive list, TINA just
highlights two criteria:
1. Whether the export value of the good from the trade partner to the
world is in the top of 75% of total exports. This proxies for domestic
production.
2. Whether The value of bilateral exports from the interested economy
to the trade partner are over 10% of the total value of exports for
that good from the trade partner. This proxies the threat the economy
poses to trade partners (Graham et al., 2018, p. 20).
In the end, the negotiation list can be generated by clicking the button
“Generate Negotiation List” in the lower right of the page. (There are two
additional options for the unit of US Dollar and years of data in the lower
left).
After TINA has processed the data, the negotiation list is completed and
displayed (Screen 13). Between Bangladesh and India, there are 260
commodities that passed the criteria and are included in the offensive list.
The first two columns are the code and description of each product at 6-digit
level. The column 3, 4 and 5 provide the statistics for trade of listed products
in the elected year. In the example, BGD stands for Bangladesh, IND is
India. Then, three different types of tariffs are shown from columns 6 to
columns 8, which are Maximum Bound Tariff, Maximum MFN Tariff and
Lowest preferential Tariff respectively. Because not all products have non-
zero preferential tariffs under trade agreements, some data in column 8 is
missing. If the interested products have no data, users can get more
information by clicking the code of products and TINA returns the results as
in Screen 11. The values of the revealed comparative advantage SRCA and
BRCA for each good are shown in the following two columns. The column 11
indicates whether India has possibility to act in a defensive manner for each
good.
Users can sort the list by different criteria by clicking the column name. There
is also an option to export the list as CSV-file in the upper right of the list. By
clicking “Modify Filters”, numbers of products which pass each filter are
now labeled in the front.
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3. Tariff Simulation
In order to explore the effects of tariff reduction, TINA provides the partial
equilibrium analysis by running a tariff simulation of selected commodities
Screen 34: The Negotiation List
Screen 35: Build Negotiation ListScreen 36: The Negotiation List
Screen 37: Build Negotiation List
Screen 38: Settings of Tariff SimulationScreen 39: Build Negotiation List
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from the negotiation list. The partial equilibrium analysis is a widely used ex-
ante analysis to evaluate trade policy changes at a disaggregated level and
no interactions between various markets are considered. It has two
advantages compared to the general equilibrium model. First, there are
many ready-made and easy-to-use models available online and results are
easy to interpret. Second, the partial equilibrium model needs less data. Only
data from the sector in question is necessary, such as trade flows, trade
policy data and elasticities (Bacchetta et al., 2016, p. 139).
The analysis cannot only generate the effect on trade flows, also the
outcomes of trade creation (or loss) and trade diversion which constitute
changes in trade value. The trade creation (or loss) is caused by the
changed amount of domestic demand for an import good from a country,
because the price of this good changes due to tariff change or varied relative
price to domestic produced substitutes. The formulation of trade creation is:
𝑇𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑘 = 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘 ∙ 𝐸𝑚 ∙𝑑𝑡𝑖𝑗𝑘
(1 + 𝑡𝑖𝑗𝑘) ∙ (1 ∙𝐸𝑚𝐸𝑥 )
Where 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘 is the imports of good 𝑖 in country 𝑗 from country 𝑘. 𝐸𝑚 and 𝐸𝑥
are elasticity of import demand with respect to domestic price and elasticity
of export supply with respect to export price, respectively. 𝑡𝑖𝑗𝑘 denotes the
tariff rate or non-tariff measures in country 𝑗 to good 𝑖 from country 𝑘.
The trade diversion is defined as the substitution of products from some
foreign exporters for products from other exporters. The reason of trade
diversion is that the changes in the tariff rates are different for various
countries and lead to changes in relative prices of goods from different
suppliers. This can arise through changes in the MFN rate, the preference
rate, or both. The mathematical expression is as follows5:
𝑇𝐷𝑖𝑗𝑘 =𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘
∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘∙
∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘 ∙ ∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝐾 ∙ 𝐸𝑠 ∙𝑑(
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝑘
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝐾)
(𝑃𝑖𝑗𝑘
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝐾)
∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘 + ∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝐾 + ∑ 𝑀𝑖𝑗𝑘 ∙ 𝐸𝑠 ∙𝑑(
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝑘
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝐾)
(𝑃𝑖𝑗𝑘
𝑃𝑖𝑗𝐾)
Where 𝐸𝑠 is the elasticity of substitution with respect to relative prices of the
same product from different sources of supply, 𝑃𝑖𝑗𝑘 is the price of good 𝑖 in
5 Note this expression of trade diversion is applicable when the value of elasticity of substitution between goods from different
sources 𝐸𝑠 are available. If it is not the case, another formulation is used: 𝑇𝐷𝑖𝑗𝑘 = 𝑇𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑘 ∙ (𝑀𝑛𝑖𝑗
𝑉𝑖𝑗), where 𝑀𝑛 is the imports
from non-preference-receiving countries and 𝑉 is the output in the importing country. Further information is provided in the paper: “Laird, S. and Yeats, A. (1986), “The UNCTAD Trade Policy Simulation Model: A Note on the Methodology, Data and Uses”, UNCTAD: Geneva”.
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country 𝑗 from country 𝑘. 𝑘 notates one (group) of foreign supplier(s) and 𝐾
notates other (group) of foreign supplier(s). The summation considers only
across country group 𝑘 or 𝐾, not across product 𝑖 or importer 𝑗 (Laird and
Yeats, 1986, p.1 and pp. 20-23).
This analysis is accessed in TINA is by clicking the “simulate tariff
stimulation” button or “Tariff Simulation” at the top of the page. The first
step is to select the interested commodities from the negotiation list. In the
example, all products in the offensive list are selected. Then, there is a table
of selected products with options for current and future tariffs. By clicking
“Current tariff”, the products which passed the criteria and have a non-zero
tariff are listed first.
Three advanced options for supply elasticity, substitution elasticity, and
import demand elasticity are available as well. The supply elasticity
measures the responsiveness of supply from the exporter to price the
exporter faces, calculated as the percentage increase in supply given a one
percent increase in price. The supply elasticity can either be positive6 or
infinite7. TINA sets an infinite supply elasticity by default just for simplicity.
Users can adjust this with specific interests. The second and the third
elasticities follow the Armington assumption, which states that the import
country imports different and not perfect substitutable varies of a good from
different exporters. The import country will first set total demands for a good
with respect to a general price index and then determine the spending on
each variety of this good. Thus, the import elasticity measures the
responsiveness of overall imports to the price index and the substitution
elasticity measures the level of responsiveness of demand to relative price
(Graham et al., 2018, pp. 24-25). The values of import demand elasticity for
over 180 economies are estimated according to Utoktham et al. (2020) using
state-of-the art estimation techniques and cannot be changed in TINA.
After the submission of settings page from Screen 14 is the results in Screen
15. In the example of trade between Bangladesh and India, there are two
commodities posed tariffs currently among 159 products in total. As the
result, liberalization of tariffs of these two goods can create trade amount to
US$ 554.71k for Bangladesh and an 21.23% increase of import of these
goods by India. In addition, TINA shows the precise changes of trade values
for liberalization of tariffs. For the product “Nickel”, removing current tariffs
leads to an increase of trade value for 511,954 US$. Moving the mouse on to
the button shows the amount of trade creation and trade diversion
calculated with above functions. Other countries which are affected by tariff
liberalization between Bangladesh and India are listed by clicking the button
in the last column. As showed in Screen 16, there are 21 economies affected
6 For example, an increase in the price leads to an increase in the number of exports. 7 With infinite supply elasticity, the exporter is willing to sell any number of products at any given prices.
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from United Arab Emirates for a decrease of export by 17,171 US$ to Oman
by 29 US$.
Screen 40: Settings of Tariff Simulation
Screen 41: Result of Tariff SimulationScreen 42: Settings of Tariff Simulation
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Screen 43: Result of Tariff Simulation
Screen 44: Trade Diversion Impacts on Commodity 750300Screen 45: Result of Tariff Simulation
Screen 46: Trade Diversion Impacts on Commodity 750300
Screen 47: Preference Loss SimulationScreen 48: Trade Diversion Impacts on Commodity 750300
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IV. Preference Loss Simulation
Back to Screen 3, TINA also uses the partial equilibrium analysis tool to
determine the effects on trade volume and trade diversion of tariff increase
(For example, the LDC graduation can lead to an increase of tariffs). Click
the button “Simulate Preference Loss” in Screen 3, TINA moves to Screen
17.
As showed in this page, Bangladesh currently has bilateral trade agreements
with four Asia-Pacific economies: China, India, South Korea, and Sri Lanka.
Followed by several regional or bloc trade agreements which Bangladesh
also involves in. Users can choose more than one agreement simultaneously
to investigate the impact of preferential loss. Moreover, same advanced
settings as in tariff liberalization are available as well.
For illustration, all preferences to Bangladesh are withdrawn and the results
are showed in Screen 18. In summary, without the preferential treatments
Bangladesh would loss US$ 21.15 Billion, which represents 46.54% of total
imports from Bangladesh. 1907 commodities and 12906 commodity flow of
different products between different trade partners are influenced. The
complete list of affected commodities is shown below and downloadable.
Users can check values and percentage changes precisely within the list. By
default, the table is listed in descending order of total gain or loss ($). The
most affected products for Bangladesh are T-shirts, Trousers, and Jerseys
etc. In the market aspect, Bangladesh would lose most exports to Germany
and France for more than 84% of current value. India would reduce imports
from Bangladesh by over 22%. However, if Bangladesh would have signed
FTA with India, it would not lose this part of its exports and all related
products are listed in the next table by clicking button. As showed in
Screen 19, this table contains basic information about each affected product
and the prediction of results of losing preferences. Column 4 and 5 show that
tariffs change from 0% currently to new MFN tariffs for each product and
resulting trade loss and trade diversion are in column 6 and 7. For instance,
the tariff of Fabrics (HS-Code: 531010) would raise 10% and lead to a
96.44% decrease of current trade value from Bangladesh. Users can also
download the table to explore the effects further.
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Screen 49: Preference Loss Simulation
Screen 50: Result of Loss of Preferential TreatmentScreen 51: Preference Loss Simulation
Screen 52: Result of Loss of Preferential Treatment
Screen 53: Affected Trade Flows in SimulationScreen 54: Result of Loss of Preferential Treatment
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V. Latest Developments
As discussed with many trade negotiators and economists, it would be useful
to investigate which provisions are common in previous Free Trade
Agreements of trade partners. Because it is the preliminary step for trade
negotiation and very labor-intensive, the next step to develop TINA is to
automate numerical analysis. According to Allee, T. & Elsig, M. (2019), 70%
of the text of different trade agreements is identical. As the result, there is
value in a tool to compare which texts and provisions across FTAs are
common in order to help the conduction of trade analysis. Once the module
passes the beta testing, this user guide will be amended.
Screen 55: Affected Trade Flows in Simulation
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VI. Literature
Allee, T. and Elsig, M. (2019), “Are the Contents of International Treaties
Copied and Pasted? Evidence from Preferential Trade Agreements”,
International Studies Quarterly, 63(3), 603-613.
Bacchetta, M., Beverelli, C., Cadot, O., Fugazza, M., Grether, J., Helble, M.,
Nicita, A. and Piermartini, R. (2016), “A Partial Guide to Trade Policy
Analysis”, UNCTAD and WTO publications.
Graham, L., Kravchenko, A., Ratna, R., Mikic, M. (2018), “A simple analytical
method using trade and tariff data for identifying an offensive list when
negotiating a free trade agreement: An example of Sri Lanka-China free
trade agreement negotiations”, Trade Investment and Innovation, ESCAP
Working Paper Series.
Laird, S. and Yeats, A. (1986), “The UNCTAD Trade Policy Simulation Model:
A Note on the Methodology, Data and Uses”, UNCTAD: Geneva.
Manzano, G. (2014), “An Analysis of the Philippine Offensive and Defensive
Interests in the Non-agricultural Sector: Inputs to the Philippine-European
Union Free Trade Agreement”, Philippine Institute for Development Studies,
Discussion Paper Series No. 2014-04.
Utoktham, C., Kravchenko, A. and Duval, Y. (2020), “New global estimates of
import demand elasticities: a technical note”, ESCAP Report.
UNCTAD and WTO (2012), “Chapter 5. Partial Equilibrium Trade Policy
Simulation in A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis”, UNCTAD & WTO:
Geneva.