U.S. PADIS PORTFOLIO · PADIS The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that...

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U.S. PADIS PORTFOLIO September 30 th 2019

Transcript of U.S. PADIS PORTFOLIO · PADIS The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that...

  • U.S.

    PADIS

    PORTFOLIO

    September 30th 2019

  • Portfolio

    Advised

    D isciplined

    Investment

    Strategies

  • OVERVIEW

    FIRM

    Echelon Wealth Partners is a full service independent Canadian based brokerage house with

    offices in Toronto, Montreal and across Canada. Fidelity acts as their custodian and clearing

    agents.

    $5 Billion in Assets Under Managements – with over 80 Investment Advisors.

    • Portfolio Management

    • Capital Markets

    • Equity Research

    • FX Strategies

    • Cash Management

    • Financial Planning

    • Insurance

    CAPABILITIES

    EXPERIENCED TEAM

    As part of the retail division, the PADIS team of portfolio managers have almost 40 years of

    combined experience in the industry.

  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    PADIS’ ROOTS

    Passive investment strategies have experienced widespread adoption over the years with their inflows

    now dwarfing many active strategies. This increase in size has allowed for the costs associated with these

    strategies to continually drop, but it has also magnified other problems such as the herd instinct

    amplifying losses when the markets are falling.

    Recognizing this problem and other emotional based investing biases, over 5 years ago we began

    looking for a solution and thus began the PADIS Portfolios.

    The solution stems from rigorous research as to which factors and attributes are found in companies

    with the potential to outperform and from which can be built a better portfolio. These portfolios protect

    clients from large drawdowns while still generating strong performance over a complete business cycle.

    In the following pages we explain in detail our investment process and the factors used in managing

    client portfolios.

  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    PADIS

    The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that consists of 25-30 names. It contains

    large cap companies focused on generating growth for investors.

    It is a rules based portfolio to ensure the strictest form of investing using quality, momentum & value

    factors.

    While the portfolio is built to participate in a rising market, it will do so with less upside in a period of

    strong rebound, but will increase protection on the downside, with the goal of beating its benchmark

    over the long term with less volatility.

    The PADIS portfolios began with a total of $5 million 4 years ago and has since grown to over $50

    million.

    Both portfolio manager and client interests are aligned through a performance based fee structure.

  • THIERRY TREMBLAY, MBA

    Vice President, Portfolio Manager

    Education: MBA Corporate Finance from UQAM

    Experience: Over 17 years’ experience in the financial services ⎯ Macro analysis, business analysis & valuation, portfolio modeling, and Fx strategies are Thierry’s

    fields of expertise.

    NICK SHINDER, CIM

    Vice President, Portfolio Manager

    Education: Chartered Investment Manager Designation & B.Com in Accounting from

    Concordia

    Three Main Specialties: Tax reduction, debt strategy & multi-disciplinary investing

    PROFESSIONALS

  • The Shinder Tremblay Group currently has $250 million in Assets

    under Management (including the PADIS strategies) on behalf of

    high net worth individuals, family offices and corporations.

  • Concentration

    A multifactor approach

    based on a certain set

    of rules. It allows us to

    consider a broad range

    of companies and filter

    them out according to

    the individual factors

    and rules that we deem

    essential to create a

    profitable investment

    while lowering risk.

    Low Correlation to

    the Index

    Our goal is not to make

    the investor the most

    money possible, it is to

    protect the investor in

    the event of down

    markets while

    continuing to profit in

    up markets. One of the

    ways this is

    accomplished is

    through a high active

    share portfolios.

    Balance Between

    Quality and Value.

    The model aims to

    combine companies

    that have value and

    strong growth.

    Disciplined Process

    Systematic approach

    using a set of specific

    rules and objectives to

    make sure the pitfalls

    of cognitive biases are

    avoided.

    INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY

  • OUR

    PROCESS

    High Conviction Portfolio

    1

    3

    2

    Style Factors

    Screening & Ranking

    STYLE FACTORS

    ● Quality ● Value ● Momentum

    Style factors have been chosen through extensive research backdating to

    2000.

    Momentum

    (33.33%)

    Value(33.33%)

    Quality(33.33%)

    *Numbers have been rounded*

    OUR PROCESS

  • OUR

    PROCESS

    SCREENING & RANKING

    ● S&P 500 Universe

    We begin with a Universe of 500 U.S. Public Companies. We then select the

    companies with the highest rating (score).

    OUR PROCESS

    High Conviction Portfolio

    1

    3

    2

    Style Factors

    Screening & Ranking

  • Only the top 25 - 30 companies according to QVM

    factors will be considered for their positions in the

    portfolio.

    SCREENING & RANKING

    BUY RULES

    QVM Ranking

    TRIMMING RULES

    If the company’s weight in the portfolio rises above

    10%, the position is trimmed down.

    If a company’s ranking falls below the 5th decile, it

    will be removed from the portfolio.

    SELL RULES

    Ranking Company Rating

    1 Company A 5

    2 Company B 7

    3 Company C 8

    4 Company D 10

    5 Company E 10

    6 Company F 11

    7 Company G 11

    8 Company H 11

    9 Company I 17

    10 Company J 17

    11 Company K 18

    12 Company L 20

    13 Company M 21

    14 Company N 21

    15 Company O 22

    16 Company P 24

    17 Company Q 25

    18 Company R 26

    19 Company S 28

    20 Company T 29

    21 Company U 35

    22 Company V 36

    23 Company W 36

    24 Company X 37

    25 Company Y 38

    26 Company Z 38

    27 Company AA 39

    28 Company AB 42

    29 Company AC 43

    30 Company AD 45

    Example

  • OUR

    PROCESS

    HIGH CONVICTION

    PORTFOLIO

    Companies ranked highest are then added to create a high

    conviction portfolio.

    OUR PROCESS

    High Conviction Portfolio

    1

    3

    2

    Style Factors

    Screening & Ranking

  • Company Sector Allocation

    Cash 2.41%

    LAM Research Corporation Technology 5.14%

    The Hershey Co Consumer Staples 4.76%

    Stryker Corporation Healthcare 4.48%

    Johnson Controls International Industrials 4.45%

    Paychex Inc. Industrials 4.29%

    Automatic Data Processing Inc. Industrials 4.27%

    Home Depot Consumer Discretionary 4.27%

    Clorox Co Consumer Staples 4.17%

    The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Consumer Staples 4.08%

    Church & Dwight Co Inc. Consumer Staples 3.72%

    Total for top 10 stocks* (excluding cash) 43.63%

    Remaining Positions 56.37%

    TOP TEN HOLDINGS

    *As at September 30th 2019 13

  • SECTOR ALLOCATION*

    U.S. PADIS SPDR S&P 500 ETF

    Minimum Maximum

    Materials

    Telecommunication

    Services

    Consumer Cyclical

    Consumer Staples

    Energy

    Financials

    Healthcare

    Industrials

    Real Estate

    Technology

    Utilities

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    0% 25%

    17.28%10.35%0% 25%

    0%25%

    0% 25%

    2.40%

    3.38% 3.40%

    11.72%9.08%

    8.09% 22.83%

    4.51%

    15.63%6.09%

    13.50% 21.11%

    17.82%

    3.20%

    23.24%

    3.57%

    *As at September 30th 2019

  • US PADIS SPDR® S&P 500 ETF

    Ann. Compound ROR 13.66% 11.88%

    Ann. Standard Deviation 13.65% 14.61%

    12 Month Return 5.72% 4.72%

    Sharpe Ratio 0.823 0.634

    Beta 0.888

    Alpha 0.867

    R-Squared 90.45

    Trailing 12 Month Yield 2.20%

    Up Capture Ratio** 94.46%

    Down Capture Ratio** 75.67%

    Active Share** 88.04%

    Turnover Ratio*** 56.17%

    PORTFOLIO STATISTICS*

    RISK/REWARD ANALYSIS (Since Inception – September 6th 2017)

    *As at September 30th 2019

  • PORTFOLIO STATISTICS

    GROWTH OF $10,000 (Since inception vs. the SPDR S&P 500 ETF)

    Source: SIA charts

    *Returns are pre-fees

  • SUMMARY

    1. EXPERIENCED TEAM

    2. DISCIPLINED AND REPEATABLE

    INVESTMENT PROCESS

    3. STRONG PERFORMANCE SINCE INCEPTION

    4. LOWER VOLATILITY STRATEGY*

    5. LOW CORRELATION TO THE BENCHMARK

    *As of March 31st 2019, measured using beta and standard deviation compared to the SPY

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  • COMPARISONS(AS AT APRIL 30TH 2018)

    CONTACT INFO

    If you would like more information, please feel free to contact us:

    Thierry Tremblay:

    Email: [email protected]

    Phone: (514) 905-3620

    Linked: : www.linkedin.com/in/thierry-tremblay-mba-94b3a846

    Nick Shinder:

    Email: [email protected]

    Phone: (514) 905-3619

    LinkedIn : www.linkedin.com/in/nick-shinder-463a48155

    Or visit our website at: shindertremblay.caSHINDERTREMBLAY.CA

    Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. is a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.

    This newsletter is solely the work of Nick Shinder and Thierry Tremblay for the private information of their clients. Although the author is a registered Investment Advisor

    with Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. (“Echelon”) this is not an official publication of Echelon, and the author is not an Echelon research analyst. The views (including any

    recommendations) expressed in this newsletter are those of the author alone, and are not necessarily those of, Echelon. Every effort has been made to ensure that the contents

    have been compiled or derived from sources believed to be reliable and contain information and opinions that are accurate and complete.

    Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections based on beliefs and assumptions made by author. These statements involve

    risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance or results and no assurance can be given that these estimates and expectations will prove to have been

    correct, and actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, implied or projected in such forward-looking statements.

    mailto:[email protected]://www.linkedin.com/in/thierry-tremblay-mba-94b3a846mailto:[email protected]://www.linkedin.com/in/nick-shinder-463a48155http://shindertremblay.ca/