U.S. PADIS PORTFOLIO · PADIS The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that...
Transcript of U.S. PADIS PORTFOLIO · PADIS The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that...
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U.S.
PADIS
PORTFOLIO
September 30th 2019
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Portfolio
Advised
D isciplined
Investment
Strategies
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OVERVIEW
FIRM
Echelon Wealth Partners is a full service independent Canadian based brokerage house with
offices in Toronto, Montreal and across Canada. Fidelity acts as their custodian and clearing
agents.
$5 Billion in Assets Under Managements – with over 80 Investment Advisors.
• Portfolio Management
• Capital Markets
• Equity Research
• FX Strategies
• Cash Management
• Financial Planning
• Insurance
CAPABILITIES
EXPERIENCED TEAM
As part of the retail division, the PADIS team of portfolio managers have almost 40 years of
combined experience in the industry.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PADIS’ ROOTS
Passive investment strategies have experienced widespread adoption over the years with their inflows
now dwarfing many active strategies. This increase in size has allowed for the costs associated with these
strategies to continually drop, but it has also magnified other problems such as the herd instinct
amplifying losses when the markets are falling.
Recognizing this problem and other emotional based investing biases, over 5 years ago we began
looking for a solution and thus began the PADIS Portfolios.
The solution stems from rigorous research as to which factors and attributes are found in companies
with the potential to outperform and from which can be built a better portfolio. These portfolios protect
clients from large drawdowns while still generating strong performance over a complete business cycle.
In the following pages we explain in detail our investment process and the factors used in managing
client portfolios.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PADIS
The U.S. PADIS Portfolio is a concentrated multifactor model that consists of 25-30 names. It contains
large cap companies focused on generating growth for investors.
It is a rules based portfolio to ensure the strictest form of investing using quality, momentum & value
factors.
While the portfolio is built to participate in a rising market, it will do so with less upside in a period of
strong rebound, but will increase protection on the downside, with the goal of beating its benchmark
over the long term with less volatility.
The PADIS portfolios began with a total of $5 million 4 years ago and has since grown to over $50
million.
Both portfolio manager and client interests are aligned through a performance based fee structure.
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THIERRY TREMBLAY, MBA
Vice President, Portfolio Manager
Education: MBA Corporate Finance from UQAM
Experience: Over 17 years’ experience in the financial services ⎯ Macro analysis, business analysis & valuation, portfolio modeling, and Fx strategies are Thierry’s
fields of expertise.
NICK SHINDER, CIM
Vice President, Portfolio Manager
Education: Chartered Investment Manager Designation & B.Com in Accounting from
Concordia
Three Main Specialties: Tax reduction, debt strategy & multi-disciplinary investing
PROFESSIONALS
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The Shinder Tremblay Group currently has $250 million in Assets
under Management (including the PADIS strategies) on behalf of
high net worth individuals, family offices and corporations.
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Concentration
A multifactor approach
based on a certain set
of rules. It allows us to
consider a broad range
of companies and filter
them out according to
the individual factors
and rules that we deem
essential to create a
profitable investment
while lowering risk.
Low Correlation to
the Index
Our goal is not to make
the investor the most
money possible, it is to
protect the investor in
the event of down
markets while
continuing to profit in
up markets. One of the
ways this is
accomplished is
through a high active
share portfolios.
Balance Between
Quality and Value.
The model aims to
combine companies
that have value and
strong growth.
Disciplined Process
Systematic approach
using a set of specific
rules and objectives to
make sure the pitfalls
of cognitive biases are
avoided.
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY
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OUR
PROCESS
High Conviction Portfolio
1
3
2
Style Factors
Screening & Ranking
STYLE FACTORS
● Quality ● Value ● Momentum
Style factors have been chosen through extensive research backdating to
2000.
Momentum
(33.33%)
Value(33.33%)
Quality(33.33%)
*Numbers have been rounded*
OUR PROCESS
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OUR
PROCESS
SCREENING & RANKING
● S&P 500 Universe
We begin with a Universe of 500 U.S. Public Companies. We then select the
companies with the highest rating (score).
OUR PROCESS
High Conviction Portfolio
1
3
2
Style Factors
Screening & Ranking
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Only the top 25 - 30 companies according to QVM
factors will be considered for their positions in the
portfolio.
SCREENING & RANKING
BUY RULES
QVM Ranking
TRIMMING RULES
If the company’s weight in the portfolio rises above
10%, the position is trimmed down.
If a company’s ranking falls below the 5th decile, it
will be removed from the portfolio.
SELL RULES
Ranking Company Rating
1 Company A 5
2 Company B 7
3 Company C 8
4 Company D 10
5 Company E 10
6 Company F 11
7 Company G 11
8 Company H 11
9 Company I 17
10 Company J 17
11 Company K 18
12 Company L 20
13 Company M 21
14 Company N 21
15 Company O 22
16 Company P 24
17 Company Q 25
18 Company R 26
19 Company S 28
20 Company T 29
21 Company U 35
22 Company V 36
23 Company W 36
24 Company X 37
25 Company Y 38
26 Company Z 38
27 Company AA 39
28 Company AB 42
29 Company AC 43
30 Company AD 45
Example
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OUR
PROCESS
HIGH CONVICTION
PORTFOLIO
Companies ranked highest are then added to create a high
conviction portfolio.
OUR PROCESS
High Conviction Portfolio
1
3
2
Style Factors
Screening & Ranking
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Company Sector Allocation
Cash 2.41%
LAM Research Corporation Technology 5.14%
The Hershey Co Consumer Staples 4.76%
Stryker Corporation Healthcare 4.48%
Johnson Controls International Industrials 4.45%
Paychex Inc. Industrials 4.29%
Automatic Data Processing Inc. Industrials 4.27%
Home Depot Consumer Discretionary 4.27%
Clorox Co Consumer Staples 4.17%
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Consumer Staples 4.08%
Church & Dwight Co Inc. Consumer Staples 3.72%
Total for top 10 stocks* (excluding cash) 43.63%
Remaining Positions 56.37%
TOP TEN HOLDINGS
*As at September 30th 2019 13
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SECTOR ALLOCATION*
U.S. PADIS SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Minimum Maximum
Materials
Telecommunication
Services
Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financials
Healthcare
Industrials
Real Estate
Technology
Utilities
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
0% 25%
17.28%10.35%0% 25%
0%25%
0% 25%
2.40%
3.38% 3.40%
11.72%9.08%
8.09% 22.83%
4.51%
15.63%6.09%
13.50% 21.11%
17.82%
3.20%
23.24%
3.57%
*As at September 30th 2019
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US PADIS SPDR® S&P 500 ETF
Ann. Compound ROR 13.66% 11.88%
Ann. Standard Deviation 13.65% 14.61%
12 Month Return 5.72% 4.72%
Sharpe Ratio 0.823 0.634
Beta 0.888
Alpha 0.867
R-Squared 90.45
Trailing 12 Month Yield 2.20%
Up Capture Ratio** 94.46%
Down Capture Ratio** 75.67%
Active Share** 88.04%
Turnover Ratio*** 56.17%
PORTFOLIO STATISTICS*
RISK/REWARD ANALYSIS (Since Inception – September 6th 2017)
*As at September 30th 2019
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PORTFOLIO STATISTICS
GROWTH OF $10,000 (Since inception vs. the SPDR S&P 500 ETF)
Source: SIA charts
*Returns are pre-fees
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SUMMARY
1. EXPERIENCED TEAM
2. DISCIPLINED AND REPEATABLE
INVESTMENT PROCESS
3. STRONG PERFORMANCE SINCE INCEPTION
4. LOWER VOLATILITY STRATEGY*
5. LOW CORRELATION TO THE BENCHMARK
*As of March 31st 2019, measured using beta and standard deviation compared to the SPY
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COMPARISONS(AS AT APRIL 30TH 2018)
CONTACT INFO
If you would like more information, please feel free to contact us:
Thierry Tremblay:
Email: [email protected]
Phone: (514) 905-3620
Linked: : www.linkedin.com/in/thierry-tremblay-mba-94b3a846
Nick Shinder:
Email: [email protected]
Phone: (514) 905-3619
LinkedIn : www.linkedin.com/in/nick-shinder-463a48155
Or visit our website at: shindertremblay.caSHINDERTREMBLAY.CA
Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. is a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.
This newsletter is solely the work of Nick Shinder and Thierry Tremblay for the private information of their clients. Although the author is a registered Investment Advisor
with Echelon Wealth Partners Inc. (“Echelon”) this is not an official publication of Echelon, and the author is not an Echelon research analyst. The views (including any
recommendations) expressed in this newsletter are those of the author alone, and are not necessarily those of, Echelon. Every effort has been made to ensure that the contents
have been compiled or derived from sources believed to be reliable and contain information and opinions that are accurate and complete.
Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections based on beliefs and assumptions made by author. These statements involve
risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance or results and no assurance can be given that these estimates and expectations will prove to have been
correct, and actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, implied or projected in such forward-looking statements.
mailto:[email protected]://www.linkedin.com/in/thierry-tremblay-mba-94b3a846mailto:[email protected]://www.linkedin.com/in/nick-shinder-463a48155http://shindertremblay.ca/