US Lumber Imports and Exports , Lumber Prices

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0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2010 2011 2012 2013 US$1,000,000, F.A.S Value Basis US Sawmill Products Exports : Values 2010 China Japan VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China Jan – Nov 2013: US$959 million VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China Jan – Nov 2013: US$1,199 million (up 20%) VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China & Japan combined for Jan – Nov 2014 was US$1,236 million compared to US$1,490 million for the same time in 2013, a 17% improvement. Our quarterly product is tailored to provide you with vital information about the North American solid wood, pulp, and paper industry at your fingertips in a timely manner. US Sawmill Products Exports: To China and Japan VALUES 2010 to NOVEMBER 2014 SOURCE: US Census

Transcript of US Lumber Imports and Exports , Lumber Prices

Page 1: US Lumber Imports and Exports , Lumber Prices

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US Sawmill Products Exports : Values 2010 to Nov 2014 China

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VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China Jan – Nov 2013: US$959 million VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China Jan – Nov 2013: US$1,199 million (up 20%) VALUES US Sawmill Products Exports to China & Japan combined for Jan – Nov 2014 was US$1,236 million compared to US$1,490 million for the same time in 2013, a 17% improvement.

Our quarterly product is tailored to provide you with vital information about the North American solid wood, pulp, and paper industry at your fingertips in a timely manner.

US Sawmill Products Exports: To China and Japan

VALUES 2010 to NOVEMBER 2014

SOURCE: US Census

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Provincial Manufacturing Sales at Sawmills: Values 2010 to Nov 2014 BC Quebec Alberta

Canada Provincial Sawmill Manufacturing Sales:

VALUES 2010 to November 2014

VALUES Canada Sawmill Manufacturing Sales ( Top 3 Provinces) Jan – Nov 2013: C$7,936 million VALUES Canada Sawmill Manufacturing Sales (Top 3 Provinces) Jan – Nov 2014: C$8,427 (up 5.8%)

BC lumber sales are flat compared to last year. Improvements in Canadian lumber sales are being lead by Quebec. Increases to Quebec lumber sales can usually be credited almost exclusively to US buying, while BC plays between customers from US and China.

SOURCE: Statistics Canada

Page 3: US Lumber Imports and Exports , Lumber Prices

Construction panel prices are often a good leading indicator of general dimension lumber price movement. For at least two decades plywood and OSB manufacturers have been able to prevent panel prices falling below cost-of-production. The same can decidedly not be said about dimension lumber prices. Now there are even fewer, and much more highly-efficient, panel mill operations in Canada and the US, meaning producers can successfully resist customer (wholesalers, reloads) counter-offers. Critical to producer efforts is discipline with capacity and inventories; any oversupply is recognized by customers who promptly slow buying in an effort to achieve lower prices. Benchmark Oriented Strand Board 7/16” Ontario prices Jan: 2015 US$436, 2014 US$389 (up 11%) Canadian Softwood Plywood 9.5mm Toronto prices Jan: 2015 US$230, 2014 US$227 (up 1.3%) All prices C$ dollars per thousand square feet net fob mill

Construction Panel Lumber Price Comparison : North America Oriented Strand Board 7/16” Ontario vs Canadian

Softwood Plywood 9.5mm Toronto January 2012 to 2015

SOURCE: Madison’s Lumber Reporter www.madisonsreport.com

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http://www.madisonsreport.com/products/forest-pulse/ To order a subscription to the quarterly Madison’s Forest Pulse, or any of our other fine publications, please contact our office : mailto:[email protected]

http://www.madisonsreport.com/products/forest-pulse/

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Canada and US Softwood Lumber Production and Sawmill Capacity Rates: January to October 2014

SOURCE: Western Wood Products Association

US Softwood Lumber Production Jan – Oct 2013: 25,388 million board feet US Softwood Lumber Production Jan – Oct 2014: 26,578 million board feet (up 4.7%)

Canada Softwood Lumber Production Jan – Oct 2013: 20,705 million board feet Canada Softwood Lumber Production Jan – Oct 2014: 20,775 million board feet (up 0.3%)

US Softwood Sawmill Capacity Utilization up 4% to 84% for January to October 2014 compared to 2013. Canada Softwood Sawmill Capacity Utilization flat at 79% for January to October 2014 compared to 2013.

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SOURCE: Google Finance Boise Cascade, Lousiana-Pacific, Norbord, Ainsworth

January 2013 to 2015 : Share prices of major North American construction panel producers

in the past two years have increased by between -15% and +44% (with an average of +12%) .

While the S&P TSX index has increased by +20% in the same time frame.

NORTH AMERICAN CONSTRUCTION PANEL PRODUCER COMPANY SHARES vs S&P TSX Index :

Jan 2013 to 2015