Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft Identify...

15
Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP and FS needs Develop hypothesized species response (≈ population trends) for each 1° and 2° species Explicitly integrate spatial and temporal scales in species selection and sampling approach Establish range of monitoring options that encompass cost and rigor spectrums as needed Identify field sampling protocols for selected species Describe potential analytical methods Identify opportunities for collaborating entities to contribute to monitoring implementation Deliverables – modified from existing draft A final report to build from existing plan and include: Overview of field protocols, sampling approaches, and potential analytical approaches Options: balancing rigorous monitoring of 1° species and casual monitoring of 2° species Wildlife Team’s recommendations: based on funding, rigor, public interest

Transcript of Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft Identify...

Page 1: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion

Goals – modified from existing draft Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP and FS needs Develop hypothesized species response (≈ population trends) for each 1° and 2° species Explicitly integrate spatial and temporal scales in species selection and sampling approach Establish range of monitoring options that encompass cost and rigor spectrums as needed Identify field sampling protocols for selected species Describe potential analytical methods Identify opportunities for collaborating entities to contribute to monitoring implementation

Deliverables – modified from existing draftA final report to build from existing plan and include: Overview of field protocols, sampling approaches, and potential analytical approaches Options: balancing rigorous monitoring of 1° species and casual monitoring of 2° species Wildlife Team’s recommendations: based on funding, rigor, public interest

Page 2: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Ecologically Informative

Politically Prudent Economically / Socially Important

Practical (?) Wildlife Monitoring Groups

functional groups PIPO specialists Trophic representation

ESA listed & candidate spp. FS Sensitive Species State species of concern MIS

Game species Watchable wildlife (enthusiasts) Iconic and culturally important spp. Other economically important spp.

Groups certainly not exhaustive, nor independent

Which meet the needs of the FS and CFLRP?

Page 3: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Meeting Multiple Objectives – Win, Win, Win?

Ecologically Informative

Economically / Socially ImportantPolitically Prudent

1 2

3

4

1. CFLRP Priority?2. Who belongs here?3. Of key interest to FS / CFLRP?4. Win, win, win

Suggest species that not fall into an overlap area should not be a priority for rigorous monitoring. If they can be monitored using a multi-species approach, inclusion makes sense.

Page 4: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Proposed Framework for Selecting Species for CFLRP Monitoring

• Step 1: assign species to ‘monitoring’ groups• Step 2: identify species that meet multiple objectives• Step 3: for species that meet multiple objectives and select

‘single purpose’ speciesNTS: – identify appropriate temporal and spatial monitoring scales– Develop hypothesized population response to CFLRP mgmtNTS

• Step 4a: review sampling methods for species from step 3• Step 4b: review existing data for species from step 3• Step 5: identify potential stressors that may influence

population trends

Page 5: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Species Selection Framework – Filtering species from a whole bunch to a practical few

Reduced to ?? species

Filter 1: multiple objectives, select ‘single purpose’ species (Steps 1 – 3)

Begin – 300+ species

Filter 2: consider sampling approaches, available data, stressors

Reduced to ?? species

Final Filter: Step 6: identify 1° species for monitoring consideration, as well as 2° that could be monitored coincident with 1° NTS

Reduced to 14 species

For Primary Species- Power analysis or similar- Cost / benefits of different

monitoring approaches- Make recommendations that

include range of options

From filter 2: ?? species

Page 6: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Filter 1 Process Step 1

• First: build species list• Next: limit species to those whose range includes the ‘core’ of the CFLRP

footprint– the species’ known or suspected distribution includes the majority of the

CFLRP footprint, elevations from ~6000 – 10000’– Eliminate ‘marginal’ species and species not know to occur in or extirpated

from the CFLRP footprint• Examples:

– Core: Abert’s squirrel, bighorn sheep (even though will likely be filtered later)– Marginal: American marten– Outside / extirpated: eastern cottontail, grizzly bear

• Result ~145 species

Next – assign monitoring group ‘scores’ for each species

Page 7: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Meeting Multiple Objectives – Win, Win, Win?

Ecologically Informative

Economically / Socially ImportantPolitically Prudent

1 2

3

4

1. CFLRP Priority?2. Who belongs here?3. Of key interest to FS / CFLRP?4. Win, win, win

Suggest species that not fall into an overlap area should not be a priority for rigorous monitoring. If they can be monitored using a multi-species approach, inclusion makes sense.

Page 8: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Ecologically Informative

functional groups PIPO specialists Trophic representation

Filter 1, Process Step 2 Assign scores in monitoring groups

Ecologically Informative criteria: The degree to which species are ‘ecologically informative’ based on three main factors: a) their key ecological functions b) degree of habitat specialization c) reliance on lower montane forests to meet life history requirements.

There is no ‘formula’, rather the team relies on a gestalt (general assessment) for each species

Example A- pecies in higher trophic positions will generally be considered more ecologically informative than those in lower positions.

Example B- Among specialists that rely on a similar type, those species that rely on specific habitat elements related to certain stages of succession or disturbance regimes are more informative than those associated with numerous configurations of the habitat.

Example C – Year-round residents of the lower montane are more informative than seasonal inhabitants or transients.

Page 9: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Ecologically Informative

functional groups PIPO specialists Trophic representation

Filter 1, Process Step 2 Assign scores in monitoring groups

Abert’s squirrel – Score = 3

Rationale: The species is strongly associated with ponderosa pine (PIPO) forests, is a year-round resident, relies largely on cone crops for nutrition and energy, requires some degree of inter-connected tree crowns for secure movement, and is an important food source for secondary consumers (key ecological function; KEF) particularly during winter when many other prey species migrate or hibernate and are unavailable to predators. And so on.

House wren– Score = 0

The species is not a year-round resident of the lower montane, is small-bodied and therefore not likely of great importance in the food web, and is a habitat generalist. And so on.

Black bear – Score = 1:

The species is a true generalist, providing and performing many ecological functions and using a wide range of habitats which include but are not limited to the lower montane. The broad set of ecological functions performed by black bear make the species less ecologically informative than species with fewer ecological functions. Black bears may exert pressure on other species through predation or herbivory. Many KEFs are performed by other species.

Page 10: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Politically Prudent

ESA listed & candidate spp. FS Sensitive Species State species of concern MIS

Filter 1, Process Step 2 Assign scores in monitoring groups

Scoring Criteria as Follows

0 = Species does not appear on any special status list

1 = Species appears on one special status list (e.g., CO State Wildlife Action plan species of greatest conservation concern, PIF, BLM sensitive, FS species of local concern)

2 = Species is a FS Sensitive Species or Management Indicator Species, appears on more than one special status list, or is a candidate species under ESA

3 = Species is listed as Threatened or Endangered under the ESA, or is proposed for listing

Examples

Pygmy Nuthatch = 1

Townsend’s big-eared bat = 2

Pawnee Montane Skipper = 3

Page 11: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Economically / Socially Important

Game species Watchable wildlife (enthusiasts) Iconic and culturally important spp. Other economically important spp.

Filter 1, Process Step 2 Assign scores in monitoring groups

Several criteria – again, no forumula

Game species: species that are legally hunted or fished. Species that generate large revenues should be ranked higher than those that are legally hunted/fished, but do not generate considerable revenues.

Watchable wildlife: ‘destination species’ for wildlife tourism- most birds, charismatic mammals, some butterflies.

Iconic species: species recognizable to the majority of the public as part of the forested or aquatic ecosystems in the Front Range or beyond. Examples: mountain bluebird

Other species that evoke strong public awareness, either positive or negative, and/or may have economically important impacts on natural resources in the lower montane (e.g., beavers as pests, mountain pine beetle, rattlesnake)

Species of cultural importance

Page 12: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

What does it all mean?

ExamplesNorthern Goshawk: 3, 2, 1 = 6mountain lion: 2, 0, 3 = 5Pygmy nuthatch: 2, 1, 1 = 4Western chorus frog: 0, 0, 0 = 0

Filter Criteria:Sum of score ≥ 3 AND Ecologically informative score ≥ 1

OREcologically informative score ≥ 2

Results – 73 species ish (Excel / Operator error…)

Page 13: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Species Selection Framework – Filtering species from a whole bunch to a practical few

Reduced to 73 ish species

Filter 1: multiple objectives, select ‘single purpose’ species (Steps 1 – 3)

Begin – 300+ species

Filter 2: consider sampling approaches, available data, stressors

Reduced to ?? species

Final Filter: Step 6: identify 1° species for monitoring consideration, as well as 2° that could be monitored coincident with 1° NTS

Reduced to 14 species

For Primary Species- Power analysis or similar- Cost / benefits of different

monitoring approaches- Make recommendations that

include range of options

From filter 2: ?? species

Page 14: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Species Selection Framework, cont

• Step 6: synthesize all of the above to identify potential 1° and 2°species for monitoring:– 1° species should (?) be resident species whose population trends will be less

influenced by off-site stressors, likely (?) to respond to CFLR treatments and / or overall landscape condition, and able to be monitored using cost-effective techniques.

– Ideally, 1° species will meet multiple objectives though single-purpose species may be appropriate to meet agency / CFLRP needs.

– 2° species will be (?) species that can be monitored using techniques for 1 ° species or other methods that are inexpensive; less rigor for 2 ° species may acceptable

• Step 7: for 1° species, conduct power analysis to establish sampling required to meet objectives

• Step 8: summarize costs / benefits of sampling effort for 1° species• Step 9: make recommendations to LR team, with rationale…

Page 15: Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion Goals – modified from existing draft  Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP.

Roundtable Wildlife Team—DRAFT High Level Work Plan

15

Nov-DecSep-OctJuly-AugMay-JuneAprMarFebJan 2013DecNov

2012Jan-Feb 2014

Roundtable Quarterly meeting: 3/8/13

Roundtable Quarterly meeting: 11/30/12

Roundtable Quarterly meeting: 5/31/13

Make list of experts to ask for broad (early) or specific (later) help

Revise proposed team goals, deliverables, timeframe, scope (RT)

Agree on / finalize team goals, deliverables, timeframe, scope

Summarize from CFLR proposal: what restoration is, expected vegetation trends, and wildlife monitoring intentions (HG) – need to post (TL)

Schedule calendar for team (GB)

Tentative

Needs attention

On track

Completed

Between meetings

During meetings

Check in with prior effort leaders to learn their methods for species list; also get sources (Craig, Tonya, Ken, Janelle) (LD)

Make list of criteria for how to prioritize species for monitoring (RT)

Send team existing list of Front Range Lower & Upper Montane species (CC)

Review Casey’s list and bring to 1/22 mtg additional species to consider adding: reptiles (LC), amphibians (LD); fish (JV), birds (CC), mammals (JB), pollinators CC), inverts (FQ)

Propose additional species to add to list

Ask CDPW’s Kenny Kamire, USFS Denny Bohan) what other fish species to add to list (CC)

Ask Mike Welker about importance of including fish (FQ)

Start rating each species by criteria (spreadsheet), add descriptive information; divvy up further research to fill gaps

Create spreadsheet matrix with criteria and species (RT)

Do research to fill in gaps from criteria spreadsheet (e.g., Identify monitoring efforts already underway)

Review new research and complete filling in matrix of species and criteria; try to filter species to smaller list that meet the most criteria (or justified for single purpose); begin discussing spatial and temporal scales and which species need what type of monitoring

Collect and review existing data and sampling methods on remaining list of species (interview experts, conduct literature search as needed)

Develop hypothesized population response to CFLRP mgmt

identify potential stressors that may influence population trends

Take stock; try to synthesize findings to identify potential 1° and 2°species for monitoring (try to cut list again)

Conduct power analysis to establish sampling required to meet objectives

Summarize costs / benefits of sampling effort for 1° species

Make recommendations to LR team, with rationale…

Seek more funding or capacity to conduct research (?????)

Check in with Sara on team composition (LD)

Check in with Craig & Leslie on capacity (JB)

Present plan to LR team on 1/9 (RT+ CC)

Share draft deliverables with LR team on 4/10