UNSD – DFID project:Post-2015 discussion,

Building better dissemination systems

Improving the collation, availability and dissemination of development indicators (including the MDGs)

Post-2015: HLP Key messages

• Debate quickly moved from scene setting (i.e. “Future we want for all”) into target detail.

• Broad range of stakeholders are interested in data and see it as a big part of the agenda.

• But see a greater role for non-traditional collection methods and collection agents

• Likely to develop a similar structure and approach as adopted by MDGs.

Post-2015: Illustrative Goals

Source: Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda

Post-2015: Data Revolution

“We also call for a data revolution for sustainable development, with a new international initiative to improve the quality of statistics and information available to citizens. We should actively take advantage of new technology, crowd sourcing, and improved connectivity to empower people with information on the progress towards the targets.”

Source: Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda

Post-2015: Local reporting“The most pressing issue is not urban versus rural, but how to foster a local, geographic approach to the post-2015 agenda. The Panel believes this can be done by disaggregating data by place, and giving local authorities a bigger role in setting priorities, executing plans, monitoring results and engaging with local firms and communities.”

“The Panel reiterates the vital importance of building data systems to provide timely, disaggregated indicators to measure progress, in all countries, and at all levels (local, sub-national, and national).”

Source: Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda

The state of statistics• Four dimensions of sustainable development• The targets in the HLP and SDSN reports can be

mapped to each dimension statistically:– Economic statistics – GOLD– Social statistics – SILVER– Environment statistics – BRONZE– Governance statistics – TIN

• Significant work would be required to provide the full-range of statistics in the HLP and SDSN reports, even for countries with well-developed statistical systems

From ABS slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

A quick assessment of the HLP report from Australia

• 54 ‘illustrative’ targets– Category A – Doable – 11 targets (eg decrease the maternal

mortality ratio)– Category B – Doable with a bit of effort – 18 targets (eg improve

soil quality, reduce soil erosion and combat desertification)– Category C – A fair way off – 25 targets (eg increase

sustainability in government procurements)

The illustrative targets proposed by the HLP report are extremely ambitious from a statistical perspective

The SDSN report is similarly ambitious

From ABS slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Global and National Monitoring

• Differences in objectives– Globally

• Comparable across countries; set incentives for national action; used for regional and global aggregates

– Nationally• Advocacy and national ownership; policy design; challenges in

country context; empowerment at UN debates and negotiations

• Differences in mechanisms– Inter-Agency Expert Group

• Annual reports– UNDP - scorekeeper of the MDGs at national level

• Over 400 national MDG reports – government owned• Guidance for countries (2001, 2003, 2009, 2013, 2015)• Available information/data for emerging priorities, estimates for

2015 as baselines for next agenda

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Reporting varies by indicator

Source: Own calculations based on developing countries’ national MDG reports at http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/mdg/mdg-reports/

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

National Adaptation Considerable

Source: Own calculations based on countries’ national MDG reports at http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/mdg/mdg-reports/

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

MDG 2 ‘Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to

complete a full course of preschool and high school’ (Morocco) MDG 3

‘Ensure that, by 2015, at least 50% women in economically active workforce’ (Tajikistan)

MDG 4 ‘Reduce by half, between 2005 and 2015, the under-5 mortality rate in highland

areas and selected northern and three southernmost provinces’ (Thailand) MDG 6

‘Achieve by 2015, universal access to treatment and prevention of NCDs and control of major risk factors - smoking, alcohol use, obesity, physical activity, kava, by gender’ (Vanuatu)

MDG 7 ‘Increase waste recycling ratio to 75%’ (Saudi Arabia)

‘MDG 9’ ‘Zero impact of landmines and explosive remnants of war (ERW) by 2012’ (Cambodia)

Changing targets, adding goals and indicators

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Disaggregating to sub-national levels

• Initially – rural/urban, but increasingly by territory– 2001-2005: 23%– 2006-2010: 33%– 30 countries more than once – including CAR, Congo, Djibouti

as well as a number of MICs

• Most frequent– Poverty, Hunger, Education, Child Mortality, Maternal Mortality,

Water and Sanitation

• Least frequent– Reproductive health, environment

• Philippines, Indonesia, Colombia and some others also disaggregated goals and targets by region

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Guiding policy through admin data

Source – ‘Accelerating progress, sustaining results: the MDGs to 2015 and beyond’, UNDP, 2013.

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Is the project an appropriate vehicle to report data on SDGs/Post-2015?

What are the challengesLine Ministries National Statistical Office United Nations

Line Ministry

Database

National Indicator Registry

National Repository DB

DevInfo

Upload

XLS

Scripts

Register files

Post notification

Publish

SDMX-ML

Download

Mapping tool

Key issues in adapting our approach

• DSD will need to be extensively remodeled codelists and perhaps even concepts

• Need to choose disaggregations to model (i.e. sub-national, ethnicity, disability etc.)

• The mapping tool (in DevInfo) will similarly have to be redeveloped based on remodelling

• Expand national repository database contents

From UNDP slide from OWG 17 Dec 2013

Thank you for your attention

http://unstats.un.org

Sources of further reference:

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/broaderprogress/

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/development-beyond-2015.html