Unprepared Idaho: Statewide Survey of 500 Idaho Voters

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Unprepared Idaho “DC’s Next Budget Crisis Is Our Problem” Statewide Survey of 500 Idaho Voters

Transcript of Unprepared Idaho: Statewide Survey of 500 Idaho Voters

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Unprepared Idaho

“DC’s Next Budget Crisis Is Our Problem”

Statewide Survey of 500 Idaho Voters

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Methodology

Statewide survey of 500 registered voters in Idaho.• Interviews conducted January 20 – 22, 2014.• Sample drawn using registered voter lists in Idaho.• Sampling controls used to ensure proportionate and representative

number of interviews across gender, age, racial/ethnic, and regionallines.

• ±4.4% overall margin of error at the 95% confidence interval for thistatewide wide survey. M.O.E.s for subgroups are larger.

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Should we see federal funds

Idahoans believe their state is more self-sufficient than it actually is• Many believe (incorrectly) that less than 30% of the state’s budget

comes from DC.• Over 80% believe Idaho should keep an inventory of federal funds

going into the state.• Registered voters in Idaho are nearly unequivocal in their beliefs th

state legislative priorities should include a plan for fiscal readinessand annual inventory/recordkeeping

Idahoans don’t know about federal funds, but want to

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89%

6%

Support Oppose

The Idaho state governmentconducting an annual inventory and

recordkeeping of federal fundscoming into the state

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Should we know the risks

Over two-thirds want to see the influence of the federal governmentreduced in Idaho’s state government.• Overwhelmingly, voters agree that if it sounds too good to be true, i

is: nothing “free” from Washington comes without a true cost andstrings attached.

Idahoans don’t buy the “free stuff” argument

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Federal government funds to stategovernment are never “free,” and usually

come with strings attached.

90%

8%

Agree Disagree

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Should we plan for future cuts

Over 80% of Idahoans believe the state should have a contingencyplan for financial readiness in case federal funding is reduced.• Although nearly all surveyed say that financial preparedness is

important, not many believe that Idaho has reached this goal.

Idahoans want to plan responsibly, and know that we haven’t

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67%

23%

2%5%

4%

VERY IMPORTANTSOMEWHAT IMPORTANTJUST A LITTLE BIT IMPORTANTNOT AT ALL IMPORTANTDO NOT KNOW/CANNOT JUDGE

Some states are making

preparations in case federal funding for that state is

reduced due to budgetarychanges in Washington, D.C. Inyour opinion, how important is

it for Idaho to be financially prepared for this possibility?

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State versus federal solutions

80% majority agree that state-run programs allocate funds betterthan fed programs.• They consistently and strongly prefer state government prominence

not autonomy and correspondingly, a distaste for the federalgovernment and its long reach across the country.

A solid majority would be more likely to support a candidate for offthat campaigned on reducing federal funds to Idaho in order to limitthe federal government‘s influence.

Idahoans overwhelmingly trust government that’s closer to home

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Would you be more or less likely to vote for acandidate if they campaigned on reducing or

rejecting some federal monies in order tolimit the federal government influence in

Idaho ?

59% TOTAL MORE LIKELY (NET)40% MUCH MORE LIKELY18% SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY

26% TOTAL LESS LIKELY (NET)7% SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY

19% MUCH LESS LIKELY

14% DO NOT KNOW (VOL.)1% REFUSED (VOL.)

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Bottom Line

Idahoans want to see where federal funds are spent

They want to know what risks accompany those fun

And they want to prepare fo r the next DC spend

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Unprepared Idaho

“DC’s Next Budget Crisis Is Our Problem”

Statewide Survey of 500 Idaho Voters