University of Saskatchewan Academic Money Purchase Pension ... · March 3, 2017 Market Update...

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Prepared by Aon Hewitt University of Saskatchewan Academic Money Purchase Pension Plan Investment Review Annual General Meeting Presentation – March 3, 2017

Transcript of University of Saskatchewan Academic Money Purchase Pension ... · March 3, 2017 Market Update...

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Prepared by Aon Hewitt

University of Saskatchewan Academic Money Purchase Pension PlanInvestment Review

Annual General Meeting Presentation – March 3, 2017

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Agenda

Plan Objectives & Guiding Risk Philosophy Investment Objectives Role of the Pension Committee Expected Risk/Return Spectrum of Investment Options Academic Money Purchase Pension Plan Utilization Prescribed Retirement Income Fund Utilization Market Update Appendix – Investment Options Overviews

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Guiding Risk Philosophy“As members have differing risk preferences, several investment options are available to allow members to customize a portfolio to meet their investment needs. To achieve appropriate long-term investment goals, members should invest in assets that have uncertain returns, such as Canadian equities, foreign equities and non-government bonds.However, the overall level of risk can be reduced by diversifying the asset classes within the Life Cycle funds and, where appropriate, further diversifying within each individual asset class by Investment Manager.”

Plan Objectives“It is recognized that the long-term objective of Members is to maximize the value of benefits derived from the Plan contributions, subject to an acceptable degree of risk.”

Plan Objectives & Guiding Risk Philosophy

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Investment Objectives

Life Cycle FundsTo earn a rate of return that exceeds the rate of return earned on a benchmark portfolio.

Active Managers1. To generate a return in excess of a benchmark

index, with a level of volatility consistent with the investment mandate provided to the Investment Manager.

2. To deliver above median returns over four year periods relative to an active manager peer universe.

Passive ManagersTo deliver a total return with a permissible tracking error of +/-0.1% per year to the relevant benchmark.

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Role of the Pension Committee

Establish and maintain investment policy• Investment objectives• Asset mix / manager structure• Permitted investments

Monitor investment performance versus Plan objectives• Overall fund• Individual managers• Compliance with investment policy

Replace investment managers as required

Members are reminded of their responsibility to periodically review the portfolio structure of their participation in the Plan and to revise it as

appropriate given their needs.

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Expected Risk/Return Spectrum of Investment Options

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Academic Money Purchase Pension Plan - Utilization by Fund

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Academic Money Purchase Pension Plan - Utilization by Manager

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Prescribed Retirement Income Fund - Utilization by Fund

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Prescribed Retirement Income Fund - Utilization by Manager

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Market Update

Growth of $100 CAD over the past 10 years

$159$160

$226

$130$115

Canadian Equities represented by the performance of the S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index.U.S. Equities represented by the performance of the S&P 500 Total Return Index in Canadian dollars.International Equities represented by the performance of the MSCI EAFE Total Return Index in Canadian dollars.Canadian Bonds represented by the performance of the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index.Cash represented by the performance of the FTSE TMX Canada 91-Day T-Bill Index.

Sources: Standard & Poor’s, MSCI, FTSE TMX Global Debt Capital Markets

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Market Update (continued)

Canadian Bond Yields: Have we found a bottom? Maybe…

FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond IndexYield-to-Maturity (“YTM”) from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2016

Source: FTSE TMX Global Debt Capital Markets

May 1, 2013 to August 31, 2013YTM increased from 2.12% to 2.75%Total Return = -3.85%

October 1, 2016 to December 31, 2016YTM increased from 1.71% to 2.14%Total Return = -3.44%

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Market Update (continued)

Global Bond Yields: Negative rates pervade economies

Source: Bloomberg as of December 31, 2016

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Market Update (continued)

Canadian Dollar: Strong rebound off of lows but now overvalued?

CADUSD

+3.1% in 2016, +8.7% from January 20, 2016

CADGBP

+23.2% in 2016, +25.3% from January 15, 2016

CADJPY

+0.1% in 2016, +14.8% from September 27, 2016

CADEUR

+6.1% in 2016, +12.4% from January 15, 2016

Source: Bank of Canada as of December 31, 2016

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Market Update (continued)

Canadian Equities: Best performing asset class (+21.1% in 2016)

China growth concerns, low commodity prices and Canadian economy weakness

Canadian Equities as represented by the S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index

Brexit, European growth concerns and negative interest rates

Donald Trump becomes U.S. President and Federal Reserve raises interest rates

Top performing sectors in the first half of 2016: Materials, Energy, Utilities, Telecommunications, Real Estate.

Top performing sectors in the second half of 2016: Banks, Industrials, Energy, Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary.

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6.8%

-25.5%

30.6%

12.5%

-7.7%

10.7%18.2%

9.0%

-3.0%

14.4%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Market Update (continued)

Investment Options Overview - Canadian Equity Strategy Actively co-managed by BlackRock and Triasima since December 2013. The BlackRock Active Canadian Equity Fund has a quantitative core style investment approach that seeks to

outperform the benchmark in small amounts in all market conditions. The Triasima All Cap Canadian Equity Fund utilizes a core investment style that blends quantitative, fundamental and

thematic approaches in order to outperform the benchmark. The performance of the combined strategies of the Fund underperformed the return of the S&P/TSX Capped

Composite Index in 2016. However, the 10-year annualized returns of the Fund, as well as both BlackRock and Triasima, have exceeded the performance of the Index.

Both strategies are rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

10-year annualized return is 5.5%

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Market Update (continued)Fund Performance up to December 31, 2016

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Market Update (continued)

Risks on the road ahead

• Shocks in 2016 continue in 2017• Fed removing stimulus• Economic expansion in latter phase• Global trade uncertainty• Trump: rhetoric or reality

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Market Update (continued)

“If you expect to be a net saver during the next five years, should you hope for a higher or lower stock market during that period?

Many investors get this one wrong. Even though they are going to be net buyers of stocks for many years to come, they are elated when stock prices rise and depressed when they fall.

This reaction makes no sense. Only those who will be sellers of equities in the near future should be happy at seeing stocks rise. Prospective purchasers should much prefer sinking prices.”

Warren Buffett, 1997

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Appendix –Investment Options Overviews

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Investment Options Overview - Conservative Life Cycle Fund

Conservative Life Cycle Strategy Summary Most conservative balanced fund option offered. Bonds and U.S. equities are passively managed by BlackRock. Canadian equities are co-managed actively by BlackRock and Triasima. International equities are managed actively by Mawer. Performance over the past ten years has exceeded the return of the

blended benchmark of indices. All strategies within the Fund are rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

2.0%

-0.7%

8.4%7.4%

6.3%5.7%

4.2%

9.6%

5.4%2.7%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Bonds80.0%

Canadian Equities

6.7%

U.S. Equities

6.7%

Int'l Equities

6.7%

Fund Structure

10-year annualized return is 5.1%

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Investment Options Overview - Balanced Life Cycle Fund

Balanced Life Cycle Strategy Summary Default balanced fund option. Bonds and U.S. equities are passively managed by BlackRock. Canadian equities are co-managed actively by BlackRock and Triasima. International equities are managed actively by Mawer. Performance over the past ten years has exceeded the return of the

blended benchmark of indices. All strategies within the Fund are rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

-1.2%

-13.6%

15.0%

8.3%

-0.7%

10.0%15.7%

11.3%9.2% 4.7%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Bonds40.0%

Canadian Equities20.0%

U.S. Equities20.0%

Int'l Equities20.0%

Fund Structure

10-year annualized return is 5.5%

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Investment Options Overview - Aggressive Life Cycle Fund

Aggressive Life Cycle Strategy Summary Most aggressive balanced fund option. Bonds and U.S. equities are passively managed by BlackRock. Canadian equities are co-managed actively by BlackRock and Triasima. International equities are managed actively by Mawer. Performance over the past ten years has exceeded the return of the

blended benchmark of indices. All strategies within the Fund are rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

-2.9%

-19.7%

18.1%

8.7%

-4.3%

12.1%

21.8%

12.1% 11.1% 5.7%

-30.0%

-15.0%

0.0%

15.0%

30.0%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Bonds20.0%

Canadian Equities26.7%

U.S. Equities26.7%

Int'l Equities26.7%

Fund Structure

10-year annualized return is 5.6%

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-10.6%-21.2%

7.4% 9.0% 4.6%13.4%

41.2%

23.9% 21.5%8.0%

-50%

-25%

0%

25%

50%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Investment Options Overview - U.S. Equity Fund

U.S. Equity Strategy Summary Passively managed by BlackRock. Seeks to replicate the performance of the S&P500 Index in Canadian dollar terms. Invests in the 500 largest U.S. public companies by market capitalization. Has delivered a total return within the permissible tracking error of +/- 0.1% per year to the benchmark in nine of the

past ten years. The strategy is rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

10-year annualized return is 8.4%

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-9.2%

-30.1%

26.7%

4.9%

-19.2%

18.5%26.1%

6.0%

21.8%

-2.0%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Investment Options Overview - International Equity Fund

International Equity Strategy Summary Actively managed by Mawer since August 2014. The Mawer International Equity Fund’s investment style is defined as “Quality at the Right Price”. Mawer focuses on

wealth-creating companies which are defined as companies that have a return on invested capital greater than their cost of capital. It is this difference between return on capital and cost of capital that Mawer believes allows companies to provide growing economic returns to shareholders. Mawer purchases these companies at what they believe to be a discount to the companies’ intrinsic value.

Mawer’s performance has exceeded its benchmark, the MSCI EAFE Total Return Index in Canadian dollars, since being added to the fund lineup. The 10-year annualized returns of the Fund, as well as Mawer, have exceeded the performance of the Index.

The strategy is rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

10-year annualized return is 2.6%

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3.6%6.1% 5.4%

6.7%9.7%

3.6%

-1.2%

8.8%

3.5%1.6%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Investment Options Overview - Canadian Bond Fund

Canadian Bond Strategy Summary Passively managed by BlackRock. Seeks to replicate the performance of the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index. Invests in Government of Canada, provincial, corporate and municipal bonds. Invests only in bonds that are rated investment grade (i.e. BBB or higher). Invests only in bonds issued in Canada and denominated in Canadian dollars. Has delivered a total return within the permissible tracking error of +/- 10 basis points per year to the benchmark in

nine of the past ten years. The strategy is rated “Buy” by Aon Hewitt.

10-year annualized return is 4.7%

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4.5%3.8%

0.7% 0.7%1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Performance (gross of fees)

Fund Benchmark

Investment Options Overview - Canadian Money Market Fund

Canadian Money Market Strategy Summary Actively managed by Sun Life and sub-advised by MFS Investment Management Seeks to exceed the performance of the FTSE TMX Canada 91-Day T-Bill Index. The Fund’s strategy is to protect capital and to maintain liquidity by investing primarily in Canadian dollar-

denominated money market instruments. Performance has exceeded the Index in nine of the past ten years. The Fund represents the only money market option on the Sun Life platform. The strategy is not rated by Aon Hewitt.

10-year annualized return is 1.5%

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Contact List

Raymond AokiSenior ConsultantAon HewittInvestment [email protected]

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This document contains confidential information and trade secrets protected by copyrights owned by Aon Hewitt. The document is intended to remain strictly confidential and to be used only for your internal needs and only for the purpose for which it was initially created by Aon Hewitt. No part of this document may be disclosed to any third party or reproduced by any means without the prior written consent of Aon Hewitt.