University of Nebraska Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Donald A. Wilhite, Director School of...
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versity of NebraskaLincoln R chool of Natural Resources Donald A. Wilhite, Director School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska The U.S. Experience in Drought Management: Breaking the Hydro-illogical Cycle
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Transcript of University of Nebraska Lincoln R School of Natural Resources Donald A. Wilhite, Director School of...
University of NebraskaLincoln
R
School of Natural Resources
Donald A. Wilhite, Director
School of Natural Resources
University of Nebraska
The U.S. Experience in Drought Management:Breaking the Hydro-illogical
Cycle
How do we break the cycle?
STOP!
University of NebraskaLincoln
R
School of Natural Resources
National Drought Mitigation National Drought Mitigation Center . . . . a Center . . . . a catalystcatalyst for for
changechange
MissionMission: To lessen societal vulnerability to drought by
promoting planning and the adoption of appropriate risk
management techniques.
The Cycle of Disaster ManagementThe Cycle of Disaster Management
Support for RISK-BASED DROUGHT MITIGATION PLANNING . . . .
has been from the BOTTOM UP!
State/Local/Tribal
Regional
Federal
Response Mitigation
Increasing need for timely, reliable climate/water supply assessments
Increasing need for higher resolution analysis for policy/decision support
Increasing need for more reliable seasonal forecasts/outlooks
The progression to drought mitigation planning . . . . .
Demand for mitigation planning
Development of new monitoring tools
a synergistic relationship!
and then along comes . . .
NIDISNational Integrated Drought
Information System
Western Governor’s Association• 1996: Recommendation for national preparation for and response
to drought. • 2000: Creation of National Drought Policy Commission.• 2003: Partnership with NOAA to improve drought monitoring and
forecasting.• 2004: Formal document published recommending NIDIS.
U.S. Congress• The 109th Congress introduced a bill (H.R. 1386/S. 802) to improve
national drought preparedness, mitigation, and response efforts, etc.Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction (President’s
National Science and Technology Council)• Highlighted drought as one of the grand challenges for disaster reduction
in 2005. • Proposed actions calls for developing an implementation plan for NIDIS.
U.S. Integrated Earth Observing System• NIDIS is one of six near term opportunities identified by U.S. GEO.
Major Drivers of NIDIS
NIDIS: An integrated, interagency national drought monitoring and forecasting system that provides:
• An early warning system for drought.• Drought impact and causation education.• Resources for drought mitigation.• An interactive, web-based drought portal.• Improved observational capabilities.
Existing Drought Product:Existing Drought Product:NIDIS will Provide Major ImprovementsNIDIS will Provide Major Improvements
National Integrated Drought Information System
drought.gov
Principle Elements
of Drought Risk
Reduction Framework
Percentage change in average duration of longest dry period, 30-year average for 2071-2100 compared to that for 1961-1990.
Drought projections for IPCC‘s A1B scenario
Where we’re headed: Droughts
Lessons Learned• Take advantage of ‘windows of opportunity’,
i.e. drought events.• Focus on drought risk management vs. crisis
management.• Engage stakeholders in all aspects of
planning.• Establish national drought monitoring or early
warning system.• Establish national drought policy focused on
risk reduction principles.
University of NebraskaLincoln
R
School of Natural Resources
Thanks for your attention!
School of Natural ResourcesSchool of Natural Resources
snr.unl.edusnr.unl.edu
[email protected]@unl.edu
